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Perth vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 88-75
22-14 21-24 21-22 24-15
Position#5
Record6-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game86.0
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#7
Record4-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game87.5
AustraliaNBLRound 9· RAC Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Perth v New Zealand Breakers
15 Jan 2027
PERT v NEW
upcoming
10 Oct 2026
PERT100
NEW 84
26 Sep 2026
PERT97
NEW 93
15 Nov 2025
PERT88
NEW 75
01 Dec 2024
PERT123
NEW 112
04 Feb 2024
PERT78
NEW 89
10 Nov 2023
PERT94
NEW 76
10 Jan 2023
PERT93
NEW 90
07 Apr 2022
PERT89
NEW 80
20 Mar 2022
PERT95
NEW 85
09 May 2021
PERT98
NEW 84
18 Apr 2021
PERT78
NEW 83
12 Mar 2021
PERT85
NEW 75
25 Jan 2020
PERT80
NEW 79
17 Nov 2019
PERT88
NEW 77
25 Nov 2018
PERT91
NEW 86
03 Nov 2018
PERT92
NEW 78
27 Jan 2018
PERT90
NEW 73
12 Nov 2017
PERT82
NEW 88
13 Nov 2016
PERT86
NEW 87
14 Oct 2016
PERT75
NEW 73
06 Mar 2016
PERT75
NEW 52
02 Mar 2016
PERT82
NEW 76
27 Nov 2015
PERT86
NEW 80
16 Oct 2015
PERT83
NEW 80
15 Feb 2015
PERT87
NEW 89
10 Oct 2014
PERT70
NEW 80
17 Jan 2014
PERT97
NEW 72
06 Dec 2013
PERT95
NEW 91
12 Apr 2013
PERT66
NEW 70
22 Mar 2013
PERT73
NEW 58
22 Nov 2012
PERT89
NEW 64
20 Apr 2012
PERT87
NEW 86
04 Mar 2012
PERT99
NEW 101
23 Dec 2011
PERT86
NEW 62
10 Apr 2011
PERT89
NEW 93
14 Nov 2010
PERT114
NEW 74
08 Jan 2010
PERT76
NEW 72
08 Nov 2009
PERT94
NEW 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
92-84
92
84
+8
86avg 93
H02/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
69avg 93
A10/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
93-110
93
110
-17
82avg 93
H15/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
59avg 93
A19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
110-78
110
78
+32
106avg 93
A22/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
84-85
84
85
-1
67avg 93
H25/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
95-84
95
84
+11
88avg 93
A29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
87avg 93
A02/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
94-87
94
87
+7
91avg 93
A09/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
19-25
18-17
27-19
10-20
34-23
23-13
25-28
23-23
18-20
20-17
19-17
21-26
27-30
23-24
22-30
22-15
23-35
21-24
6-20
30-22
30-20
28-20
22-16
19-23
15-18
24-11
26-33
16-28
21-13
35-27
23-16
24-21
22-25
26-29
17-19
17-18
27-27
28-31
22-11
176.9Avg total
89.8Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.286.0174.2+2.255%
Season at home (4)85.288.5173.8-3.225%
Season away (7)89.984.6174.4+5.371%
Last 10 (10)89.887.1176.9+2.760%
Last 5 (5)94.485.6180.0+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)90.3111.7202.0-21.30%
vs Similar (9)100.398.7199.0+1.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)102.791.6194.2+11.178%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
75-97
75
97
-22
65avg 79
A04/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
117-88
117
88
+29
114avg 79
H08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
78avg 79
H12/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
82-65
82
65
+17
70avg 79
H17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
88-104
88
104
-16
77avg 79
A19/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
62avg 79
H23/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
102-60
102
60
+42
101avg 79
A31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
69avg 79
H06/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
60avg 79
A09/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
113-84
113
84
+29
112avg 79
A12/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
19-17
18-31
23-27
30-24
30-25
27-23
30-16
15-21
31-13
19-28
16-25
20-18
20-13
23-11
19-23
17-28
21-28
25-19
25-29
25-11
32-28
15-29
11-16
31-18
21-16
27-10
23-16
14-22
33-21
21-23
11-17
25-17
16-22
13-13
18-27
27-18
41-18
24-21
21-27
172.3Avg total
89.2Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.287.5175.8+0.731%
Season at home (7)87.985.7173.6+2.129%
Season away (6)88.789.7178.3-1.033%
Last 10 (10)89.283.1172.3+6.140%
Last 5 (5)89.878.0167.8+11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)82.896.4179.2-13.60%
vs Similar (13)88.285.3173.5+2.946%
vs Weaker (3)97.090.7187.7+6.333%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.6-2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.6-2.6
PerthNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H02/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A10/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H15/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
60-42
60
42
+18
A22/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H25/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/11
NBL
89.2Avg total
44.3Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.248.798.9+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.249.797.8-1.531%-
Last 30 away (17)51.847.999.6+3.953%-
Last 10 (10)44.344.989.2-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.087.2+1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.756.0104.7-7.30%-
vs Similar (9)50.351.4101.8-1.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)50.446.196.4+4.356%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A04/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H12/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A19/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H23/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H06/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A09/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
68-36
68
36
+32
A12/11
NBL
88.3Avg total
48.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.546.090.5-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.445.490.8-0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)43.346.890.2-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)48.340.088.3+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)53.038.291.2+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.948.089.9-6.129%-
vs Similar (13)44.545.289.8-0.746%-
vs Weaker (3)56.340.396.7+16.067%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.9
58.3%
54.6%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.917.2
75.1%
74.8%17.2
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.024.6
61.5%
54.6%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.2
31.0%
33.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.311.6
71.2%
74.8%11.6
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WLWLWLLWWW
New Zealand Breakers
WLLWLLWLWL
#5
League position
#7
+1.2
Net rating
+8.8
118.9
Offensive rating
116.4
117.8
Defensive rating
107.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
55.1%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.0%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.8%
3-point %
31.0%
54.7%
Assist %
57.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 116.4Defence117.8 · 107.6Shooting53.8% · 55.1%3-point %31.8% · 31.0%Ball care14.1% · 16.0%Off. rebounds31.6% · 30.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Perth   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Perth wins
3
New Zealand Breakers wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25AAdelaide94-87
02/11/25ASouth East Melbourne89-94
29/10/25ATasmania JackJumpers95-84
25/10/25HIllawarra Hawks84-85
22/10/25ACairns Taipans110-78
19/10/25ASydney72-94
15/10/25HBrisbane Bullets93-110
10/10/25ACairns Taipans80-77
02/10/25HIllawarra Hawks92-84
27/09/25ANew Zealand Breakers89-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25ABrisbane Bullets113-84
09/11/25ASydney72-79
06/11/25HAdelaide79-83
31/10/25AIllawarra Hawks102-60
23/10/25HBrisbane Bullets83-84
19/10/25AMelbourne United88-104
17/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers82-65
12/10/25HSouth East Melbourne81-87
08/10/25HIllawarra Hawks117-88
04/10/25ASydney75-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%25%71%
Points / game88.285.289.9
Allowed / game86.088.584.6
Point differential+2.2-3.2+5.3
Avg total174.2173.8174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%0%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW31%
HomeWLWLL29%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game88.287.988.7
Allowed / game87.585.789.7
Point differential+0.7+2.1-1.0
Avg total175.8173.6178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1311285%96.784.5+12.2
2 South East Melbourne118373%97.489.0+8.4
3 Adelaide118373%90.085.1+4.9
4 Sydney116555%91.485.5+5.8
5 Perth116555%88.286.0+2.2
6 Illawarra Hawks104640%89.796.4-6.7
7 Tasmania JackJumpers135838%83.586.2-2.6
8 Brisbane Bullets145936%89.695.6-6.0
9 New Zealand Breakers134931%88.287.5+0.7
10 Cairns Taipans1331023%78.895.4-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth2221212488
New Zealand Breakers1424221575
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