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Perth vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 100-84
21-22 20-16 29-28 30-18
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game94.5
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
New Zealand Breakers
Australia
Position#9
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game82.6
AustraliaNBLRound 4· RAC Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Perth v New Zealand Breakers
15 Jan 2027
PERT v NEW
upcoming
10 Oct 2026
PERT100
NEW 84
26 Sep 2026
PERT97
NEW 93
15 Nov 2025
PERT88
NEW 75
01 Dec 2024
PERT123
NEW 112
04 Feb 2024
PERT78
NEW 89
10 Nov 2023
PERT94
NEW 76
10 Jan 2023
PERT93
NEW 90
07 Apr 2022
PERT89
NEW 80
20 Mar 2022
PERT95
NEW 85
09 May 2021
PERT98
NEW 84
18 Apr 2021
PERT78
NEW 83
12 Mar 2021
PERT85
NEW 75
25 Jan 2020
PERT80
NEW 79
17 Nov 2019
PERT88
NEW 77
25 Nov 2018
PERT91
NEW 86
03 Nov 2018
PERT92
NEW 78
27 Jan 2018
PERT90
NEW 73
12 Nov 2017
PERT82
NEW 88
13 Nov 2016
PERT86
NEW 87
14 Oct 2016
PERT75
NEW 73
06 Mar 2016
PERT75
NEW 52
02 Mar 2016
PERT82
NEW 76
27 Nov 2015
PERT86
NEW 80
16 Oct 2015
PERT83
NEW 80
15 Feb 2015
PERT87
NEW 89
10 Oct 2014
PERT70
NEW 80
17 Jan 2014
PERT97
NEW 72
06 Dec 2013
PERT95
NEW 91
12 Apr 2013
PERT66
NEW 70
22 Mar 2013
PERT73
NEW 58
22 Nov 2012
PERT89
NEW 64
20 Apr 2012
PERT87
NEW 86
04 Mar 2012
PERT99
NEW 101
23 Dec 2011
PERT86
NEW 62
10 Apr 2011
PERT89
NEW 93
14 Nov 2010
PERT114
NEW 74
08 Jan 2010
PERT76
NEW 72
08 Nov 2009
PERT94
NEW 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
65avg 83
A15/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
83avg 83
H20/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
94-111
94
111
-17
93avg 83
A04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
94avg 83
H07/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
104-105
104
105
-1
95avg 83
A11/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 83
H14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
79-100
79
100
-21
49avg 83
H19/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
98-97
98
97
+1
97avg 83
H24/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
97-93
97
93
+4
90avg 83
H26/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
92-88
92
88
+4
88avg 83
H02/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
16-27
19-24
20-23
19-17
29-17
17-24
21-16
29-35
18-29
17-22
30-25
22-19
22-34
23-10
28-14
24-22
20-26
31-25
29-32
23-22
23-21
13-17
16-29
24-19
13-30
25-16
17-35
30-20
18-28
22-29
28-20
22-26
25-25
29-22
21-20
26-24
22-22
22-21
22-21
184.0Avg total
90.4Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.594.5186.0-3.075%
Season at home (4)91.594.5186.0-3.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.493.6184.0-3.250%
Last 5 (5)88.293.4181.6-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)85.598.7184.2-13.217%
vs Similar ◀ (13)91.489.6181.0+1.854%
vs Weaker (11)96.381.5177.8+14.7100%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
L
83-114
83
114
-31
74avg 82
H05/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
106-95
106
95
+11
98avg 82
H07/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
89-92
89
92
-3
84avg 82
A14/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
115-84
115
84
+31
110avg 82
H19/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
111-107
111
107
+4
no box
A22/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
84avg 82
H20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
85-88
85
88
-3
69avg 82
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#7
L
93-97
93
97
-4
84avg 82
A26/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
98-75
98
75
+23
99avg 82
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 82
A04/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
32-35
15-34
16-28
33-25
28-25
23-30
22-15
29-16
21-23
21-20
18-33
24-24
37-20
27-22
27-18
28-25
19-29
34-28
30-25
28-24
26-23
22-14
19-20
26-19
18-18
19-28
22-23
26-22
25-25
22-29
20-21
19-18
23-17
30-25
26-15
23-19
25-23
12-15
28-15
186.8Avg total
96.3Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.882.6174.4+9.260%
Season at home (2)96.578.0174.5+18.5100%
Season away (3)88.785.7174.3+3.033%
Last 10 (10)96.390.5186.8+5.860%
Last 5 (5)91.882.6174.4+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.798.1183.8-12.422%
vs Similar ◀ (14)95.188.1183.2+6.957%
vs Weaker (7)101.389.9191.1+11.471%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
PerthNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A15/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H20/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H07/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A11/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H19/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H24/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H26/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
NBL
94.5Avg total
45.4Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.144.891.9+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (19)47.142.789.8+4.368%-
Last 30 away (11)47.248.595.6-1.345%-
Last 10 (10)45.449.194.5-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)45.247.492.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.747.591.2-3.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)47.945.793.6+2.254%-
vs Weaker (11)48.042.490.4+5.682%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H05/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H07/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A14/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H19/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A22/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A26/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/10
NBL
95.7Avg total
51.0Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.745.893.4+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (12)48.146.194.2+2.067%-
Last 30 away (18)47.445.692.9+1.861%-
Last 10 (10)51.044.795.7+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)47.841.689.4+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.349.492.8-6.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)47.943.090.9+4.979%-
vs Weaker (7)52.746.699.3+6.171%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.0
54.1%
56.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.4
34.1%
34.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.517.2
80.0%
74.0%17.2
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 93.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.4
54.8%
56.4%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.610.3
40.2%
34.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.614.1
71.9%
74.0%14.1
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WWWLLLWLWL
New Zealand Breakers
WWLLWWWLWL
#7
League position
#9
-5.4
Net rating
+5.6
97.1
Offensive rating
103.7
102.5
Defensive rating
98.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
56.8%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
11.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.1%
3-point %
40.2%
61.5%
Assist %
54.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 103.7Defence102.5 · 98.0Shooting52.7% · 56.8%3-point %34.1% · 40.2%Ball care14.2% · 11.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Perth   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Perth wins
2
New Zealand Breakers wins
DateGameScore
26/09/26Perth v New Zealand Breakers97-93
04/01/26New Zealand Breakers v Perth91-99
15/11/25Perth v New Zealand Breakers88-75
27/09/25New Zealand Breakers v Perth78-89
05/01/25New Zealand Breakers v Perth86-96
01/12/24Perth v New Zealand Breakers123-112
19/10/24New Zealand Breakers v Perth89-85
04/02/24Perth v New Zealand Breakers78-89
07/01/24New Zealand Breakers v Perth102-108
10/11/23Perth v New Zealand Breakers94-76
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/26HSouth East Melbourne92-88
26/09/26HNew Zealand Breakers97-93
24/09/26HAdelaide98-97
19/09/26HSouth East Melbourne79-100
14/03/26HSydney75-89
11/03/26ASydney104-105
07/03/26HMelbourne United95-77
04/03/26ASouth East Melbourne94-111
20/02/26HAdelaide86-74
15/02/26ASydney84-102
New Zealand Breakerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26AAdelaide88-72
30/09/26HCairns Taipans98-75
26/09/26APerth93-97
22/09/26ABrisbane Bullets85-88
20/09/26HIllawarra Hawks95-81
22/02/26AAdelaide111-107
19/02/26HCairns Taipans115-84
14/02/26AAdelaide89-92
07/02/26HIllawarra Hawks106-95
05/02/26HSouth East Melbourne83-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game91.591.5-
Allowed / game94.594.5-
Point differential-3.0-3.0-
Avg total186.0186.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%-
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game91.896.588.7
Allowed / game82.678.085.7
Point differential+9.2+18.5+3.0
Avg total174.4174.5174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney330100%108.389.3+19.0
2 Tasmania JackJumpers54180%99.695.4+4.2
3 Perth43175%91.594.5-3.0
4 New Zealand Breakers53260%91.882.6+9.2
5 Melbourne United63350%93.089.8+3.2
6 Cairns Taipans63350%88.594.2-5.7
7 Brisbane Bullets52340%91.895.8-4.0
8 South East Melbourne62433%92.092.2-0.2
9 Adelaide62433%88.793.3-4.7
10 Illawarra Hawks61517%99.7107.7-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth21202930100
New Zealand Breakers2216281884
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