Pesaro vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 79-72

21-21 20-20 15-16 23-15

Position#12

Record7-14

FormLWLWL

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game78.7

Pesaro 🏆

Trento

Position#9

Record11-10

FormWLLWL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game75.7

Lega ARound 21

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Pesaro v Trento

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Trento winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Capo d'Orlando

#16

72-69

A20/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

69-66

H23/12

Lega A

Cantu

#11

65-90

-25

A27/12

Lega A

Torino

#15

69-76

-7

H04/01

Lega A

Avellino

82-88

-6

H18/01

Lega A

Pistoia

75-77

-2

A25/01

Lega A

Varese

76-71

H31/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

75-79

-4

A09/02

Lega A

Reggiana

90-80

+10

H14/02

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

76-81

-5

A06/03

Lega A

23-19

22-11

15-25

12-14

19-18

11-16

16-19

23-13

14-21

13-25

18-24

20-20

22-15

13-19

14-22

26-24

18-17

20-28

18-19

22-11

20-17

19-28

14-21

24-20

11-28

16-19

25-4

21-14

19-29

20-18

15-18

23-23

27-20

20-13

20-24

21-19

28-19

17-22

10-21

152.6Avg total

74.9Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	74.5	78.7	153.2	-4.2	33%
Season at home (10)	75.8	74.9	150.7	+0.9	60%
Season away (11)	73.3	82.2	155.5	-8.9	9%
Last 10 (10)	74.9	77.7	152.6	-2.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	77.6	156.0	+0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	74.5	80.0	154.5	-5.5	33%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	73.5	78.9	152.4	-5.5	27%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Trento

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pistoia

69-64

A31/01

Lega A

Reggiana

#23

84-72

+12

A03/02

Eurocup

Brindisi

#10

89-92

-3

H07/02

Lega A

Trabzonspor

#21

73-89

-16

H10/02

Eurocup

Avellino

68-80

-12

H13/02

Lega A

Pistoia

81-74

A19/02

Italian Cup

Avellino

69-71

-2

A20/02

Italian Cup

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

83-85

-2

A24/02

Eurocup

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

79-65

+14

H01/03

Eurocup

Varese

82-96

-14

A06/03

Lega A

24-21

18-15

13-14

14-14

20-18

26-21

24-13

14-20

20-24

20-23

25-17

24-28

18-14

19-22

14-31

22-22

27-14

15-15

13-17

13-34

17-15

20-24

26-10

18-25

16-18

14-16

23-21

16-16

28-18

17-26

21-24

17-17

18-17

15-16

26-16

20-16

25-17

16-23

23-23

18-33

156.5Avg total

77.7Scored

78.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	76.5	75.7	152.1	+0.8	52%
Season at home (11)	77.3	74.0	151.3	+3.3	64%
Season away (10)	75.6	77.5	153.1	-1.9	40%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	78.8	156.5	-1.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	78.2	157.0	+0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	85.0	93.5	178.5	-8.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	76.9	75.5	152.4	+1.4	47%
vs Weaker (10)	84.2	79.6	163.8	+4.6	80%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PesaroTrento

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.9	40.2	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.8	21.7	40.5	-2.9	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.9	39.6	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	17.4	38.7	+3.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	17.6	38.9	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	28.5	51.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.4	71%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.7	37.4	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	19.9	37.2	-2.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.6	43.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.9	38.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	20.6	38.4	-2.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.1	38.1	-2.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.0	37.4	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	22.5	36.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	17.1	18.9	36.0	-1.8	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	40%	-

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Capo d'Orlando

#16

45-30

+15

A20/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

30-34

-4

H23/12

Lega A

Cantu

#11

27-46

-19

A27/12

Lega A

Torino

#15

42-35

H04/01

Lega A

Avellino

44-41

H18/01

Lega A

Pistoia

42-28

+14

A25/01

Lega A

Varese

35-48

-13

H31/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

40-43

-3

A09/02

Lega A

Reggiana

50-43

H14/02

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

49-38

+11

A06/03

Lega A

79.0Avg total

40.4Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	39.6	76.7	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.1	40.1	77.2	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.1	39.1	76.2	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	38.6	79.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	40.0	83.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	36.1	40.4	76.5	-4.3	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.1	38.7	76.9	-0.6	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pistoia

42-36

A31/01

Lega A

Reggiana

#23

46-39

A03/02

Eurocup

Brindisi

#10

40-47

-7

H07/02

Lega A

Trabzonspor

#21

37-36

H10/02

Eurocup

Avellino

42-29

+13

H13/02

Lega A

Pistoia

37-39

-2

A19/02

Italian Cup

Avellino

30-34

-4

A20/02

Italian Cup

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

45-44

A24/02

Eurocup

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

33-33

H01/03

Eurocup

Varese

41-40

A06/03

Lega A

77.0Avg total

39.3Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	38.8	77.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.0	38.1	77.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.7	39.4	78.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	37.7	77.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	38.0	75.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.0	51.0	88.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	38.9	37.3	76.2	+1.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.3	38.8	78.1	+0.5	60%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.6	37.5	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	17.4	36.4	+1.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	21.5	38.9	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.3	20.3	37.7	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.3	38.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	18.8	42.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	17.5	39.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.1	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.3	39.3	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.6	34.4	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	27%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	21.6	41.2	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	22.5	40.1	-4.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.5	25.0	51.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	41%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.5	20.3	41.8	+1.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	39.9	76.8	-3.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.2	36.9	75.1	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	42.5	78.2	-6.8	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	39.1	73.6	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	37.6	72.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.5	39.6	78.1	-1.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	35.3	40.2	75.5	-4.9	27%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	38.8	79.2	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	36.6	77.8	+4.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	40.6	80.4	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	41.1	79.5	-2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	40.2	81.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	48.0	42.5	90.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	38.0	38.2	76.2	-0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.7	39.4	82.1	+3.3	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pesaro wins

Trento wins

Date	Game	Score
08/11/15	Trento v Pesaro	81-74
11/04/15	Trento v Pesaro	77-65
21/12/14	Pesaro v Trento	57-76

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/16	A	Brindisi	76-81
14/02/16	H	Reggiana	90-80
09/02/16	A	Virtus Bologna	75-79
31/01/16	H	Varese	76-71
25/01/16	A	Pistoia	75-77
18/01/16	H	Avellino	82-88
04/01/16	H	Torino	69-76
27/12/15	A	Cantu	65-90
23/12/15	H	Olimpia Milano	69-66
20/12/15	A	Capo d'Orlando	72-69

Trentolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/16	A	Varese	82-96
01/03/16	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	79-65
24/02/16	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	83-85
20/02/16	A	Avellino	69-71
19/02/16	A	Pistoia	81-74
13/02/16	H	Avellino	68-80
10/02/16	H	Trabzonspor	73-89
07/02/16	H	Brindisi	89-92
03/02/16	A	Reggiana	84-72
31/01/16	A	Pistoia	69-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	33%
Home	WLLWW	60%
Away	WLLLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	33%	60%	9%
Points / game	74.5	75.8	73.3
Allowed / game	78.7	74.9	82.2
Point differential	-4.2	+0.9	-8.9
Avg total	153.2	150.7	155.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	45% (11)	80% (5)	17% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Trento

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	52%
Home	WWLLL	64%
Away	LLLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	52%	64%	40%
Points / game	76.5	77.3	75.6
Allowed / game	75.7	74.0	77.5
Point differential	+0.8	+3.3	-1.9
Avg total	152.1	151.3	153.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	27%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	21	16	5	76%	83.6	72.0	+11.6
2	Reggiana	22	16	6	73%	79.5	73.9	+5.5
3	Cremona	22	15	7	68%	74.9	73.0	+1.9
4	Avellino	22	14	8	64%	78.0	76.8	+1.2
5	Pistoia	22	13	9	59%	78.3	77.3	+1.0
6	Trento	21	11	10	52%	76.5	75.7	+0.8
7	Venezia	22	11	11	50%	76.9	73.4	+3.5
8	Sassari	22	11	11	50%	82.7	80.4	+2.3
9	Brindisi	22	11	11	50%	80.4	80.5	-0.2
10	Caserta	21	9	12	43%	71.4	73.6	-2.2
11	Cantu	22	9	13	41%	80.2	80.3	-0.0
12	Varese	22	9	13	41%	74.0	78.9	-4.9
13	Virtus Bologna	22	8	14	36%	74.9	79.9	-5.0
14	Capo d'Orlando	22	8	14	36%	67.6	72.6	-5.0
15	Pesaro	21	7	14	33%	74.5	78.7	-4.2
16	Torino	22	6	16	27%	74.6	80.7	-6.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pesaro	21	20	15	23	79
Trento	21	20	16	15	72

← all games of the day

Pesaro vs Trento Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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