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Pesaro vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 57-71
8-16 16-15 23-22 10-18
Position#10
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Trento 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record0-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game88.0
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Pesaro v Trento
10 Dec 2023
PES74
TRE87
02 Apr 2023
PES70
TRE84
31 Oct 2021
PES75
TRE79
17 Oct 2020
PES57
TRE71
09 Nov 2019
PES95
TRE101
23 Dec 2018
PES65
TRE77
25 Mar 2018
PES62
TRE77
27 Nov 2016
PES73
TRE78
09 Mar 2016
PES79
TRE72
21 Dec 2014
PES57
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
77-103
77
103
-26
H09/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
104-60
104
60
+44
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
89-56
89
56
+33
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
85-95
85
95
-10
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A04/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A11/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
17-29
28-33
14-25
18-21
19-17
20-15
26-18
23-26
19-27
17-9
12-24
23-7
28-20
25-13
28-20
24-16
20-9
23-19
22-12
23-20
9-24
18-28
20-12
23-28
25-22
17-15
16-13
26-18
16-22
27-29
16-26
13-21
19-15
27-19
13-26
19-23
22-15
23-17
26-17
160.8Avg total
82.2Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.382.7165.0-0.333%
Season at home (1)85.095.0180.0-10.00%
Season away (2)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)82.278.6160.8+3.650%
Last 5 (5)79.682.0161.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)79.591.7171.2-12.29%
vs Similar ◀ (5)75.480.0155.4-4.640%
vs Weaker (2)96.558.0154.5+38.5100%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
L
67-91
67
91
-24
A08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#11
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A26/09
Lega A
Bursaspor
#18
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A29/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H03/10
Lega A
Promitheas
#22
W
78-51
78
51
+27
H06/10
Eurocup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
70-93
70
93
-23
A10/10
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A13/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
9-30
28-19
29-14
16-27
15-14
20-28
16-22
22-20
20-6
18-17
19-18
15-21
16-24
20-12
24-21
18-25
20-27
22-12
20-20
19-29
21-20
27-16
26-21
18-25
22-19
21-19
20-24
15-18
21-11
19-10
23-12
16-23
18-25
18-32
18-13
13-24
23-11
14-15
21-15
155.9Avg total
78.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.088.0165.0-11.00%
Season at home (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
Season away (2)75.088.5163.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)78.477.5155.9+0.950%
Last 5 (5)78.676.4155.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.177.9151.0-4.743%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.880.8157.6-4.138%
vs Weaker (7)84.376.9161.1+7.471%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.6+3.6
PesaroTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A04/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A11/10
Lega A
80.0Avg total
40.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.384.4-4.223%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.643.481.1-5.821%-
Last 30 away (16)42.245.187.3-2.825%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.680.0+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.680.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)39.945.985.8-6.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.244.282.4-6.00%-
vs Weaker (2)47.526.073.5+21.5100%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#11
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A26/09
Lega A
Bursaspor
#18
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A29/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H03/10
Lega A
Promitheas
#22
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H06/10
Eurocup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A10/10
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A13/10
Eurocup
77.6Avg total
36.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.977.3-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.137.874.9-0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)37.841.879.5-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)36.141.577.6-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.241.078.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.137.672.7-2.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.242.178.2-5.931%-
vs Weaker (7)42.637.379.9+5.371%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.4
48.4%
51.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.8
34.9%
35.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.612.3
69.9%
75.8%12.3
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.0
51.0%
51.2%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.48.3
38.8%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws12.88.7
68.0%
75.8%8.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLLWLWWLWL
Trento
WLWLWLLWLW
#10
League position
#8
-12.3
Net rating
+0.4
106.4
Offensive rating
110.3
118.7
Defensive rating
109.9
50.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.9%
3-point %
38.8%
49.3%
Assist %
54.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 110.3Defence118.7 · 109.9Shooting50.0% · 53.4%3-point %34.9% · 38.8%Ball care16.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds30.7% · 33.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
9
Trento wins
DateGameScore
09/11/19Pesaro v Trento95-101 OT
14/04/19Trento v Pesaro81-76
23/12/18Pesaro v Trento65-77
25/03/18Pesaro v Trento62-77
19/11/17Trento v Pesaro91-74
26/03/17Trento v Pesaro97-91
27/11/16Pesaro v Trento73-78
09/03/16Pesaro v Trento79-72
08/11/15Trento v Pesaro81-74
11/04/15Trento v Pesaro77-65
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/20AVenezia90-72
04/10/20ACantu72-81
27/09/20HSassari85-95
14/09/20ASassari81-78
12/09/20HBrindisi70-84
10/09/20AVirtus Roma89-56
07/09/20HVirtus Roma104-60
05/09/20HSassari71-86
03/09/20ABrindisi83-71
09/02/20HBrindisi77-103
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/20ANanterre71-65
10/10/20AFortitudo Bologna70-93
06/10/20HPromitheas78-51
03/10/20HReggiana81-87
29/09/20ABursaspor93-86
26/09/20ATreviso80-84
14/09/20AVenezia75-78
11/09/20HTrieste79-61
08/09/20ATreviso67-91
05/09/20HTreviso90-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game82.385.081.0
Allowed / game82.795.076.5
Point differential-0.3-10.0+4.5
Avg total165.0180.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.081.075.0
Allowed / game88.087.088.5
Point differential-11.0-6.0-13.5
Avg total165.0168.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano330100%92.766.7+26.0
2 Sassari32167%86.377.0+9.3
3 Brindisi32167%79.772.7+7.0
4 Virtus Bologna32167%85.780.0+5.7
5 Venezia32167%76.774.3+2.3
6 Trieste32167%80.378.7+1.7
7 Cantu32167%78.778.7+0.0
8 Varese32167%87.387.3+0.0
9 Fortitudo Bologna31233%84.079.7+4.3
10 Brescia31233%87.787.3+0.3
11 Pesaro31233%82.382.7-0.3
12 Reggiana31233%78.082.7-4.7
13 Cremona31233%79.392.3-13.0
14 Virtus Roma31233%73.386.7-13.3
15 Treviso31233%78.392.7-14.3
16 Trento3030%77.088.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro816231057
Trento1615221871
← all games of the day
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