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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 118-104
34-44 32-16 30-24 22-20
Position#11
Record45-30
FormLWWWW
Points / game114.1
Allowed / game111.2
vs
Position#9
Record47-30
FormLWWLL
Points / game120.9
Allowed / game116.9
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
90avg 108
H16/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
105-114
105
114
-9
94avg 108
H18/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
104-93
104
93
+11
105avg 108
H19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
117-114
117
114
+3
107avg 108
H21/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
115-124
115
124
-9
108avg 108
A22/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
86-112
86
112
-26
72avg 108
A25/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
111-95
111
95
+16
104avg 108
A29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
148-106
148
106
+42
152avg 108
A30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
134-125
134
125
+9
126avg 108
A02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
123-116
123
116
+7
123avg 108
A04/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
22-19
21-22
22-22
22-29
28-33
27-27
28-25
32-27
26-17
20-32
26-17
33-30
34-31
26-31
24-22
23-40
34-29
24-29
34-26
22-28
18-29
30-26
16-29
21-28
29-25
33-29
28-13
44-27
24-17
43-29
37-33
45-32
29-34
29-37
31-22
26-22
34-25
28-30
35-39
223.3Avg total
114.0Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)114.1111.2225.3+2.960%
Season at home (37)112.6110.1222.7+2.662%
Season away (38)115.6112.3227.9+3.358%
Last 10 (10)114.0109.3223.3+4.770%
Last 5 (5)120.4110.8231.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)116.0109.0225.0+7.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (17)114.1107.9222.0+6.276%
vs Weaker (12)122.8114.1236.8+8.767%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
L
123-126
123
126
-3
124avg 114
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
114-105
114
105
+9
114avg 114
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
108-120
108
120
-12
100avg 114
A20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
109-128
109
128
-19
102avg 114
A22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
111avg 114
A23/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
119-129
119
129
-10
116avg 114
H25/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
127-117
127
117
+10
128avg 114
H27/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
129-93
129
93
+36
137avg 114
H29/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
139-140 OT
139
140
-1
139avg 114
H02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
106-113
106
113
-7
97avg 114
H03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-30
28-33
23-32
28-31
29-22
33-28
27-27
25-28
29-46
30-27
18-32
31-15
30-30
29-24
23-34
27-40
27-27
30-30
39-22
20-32
35-27
30-38
30-30
24-34
38-27
29-37
33-28
27-25
26-15
31-32
29-18
43-28
32-26
21-26
26-32
33-28
21-33
33-33
31-22
21-25
237.2Avg total
119.0Scored
118.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)120.9116.9237.9+4.061%
Season at home (39)123.0117.1240.0+5.964%
Season away (38)118.8116.8235.6+2.058%
Last 10 (10)119.0118.2237.2+0.840%
Last 5 (5)124.0118.4242.4+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)115.3121.3236.7-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (13)117.6116.4234.0+1.262%
vs Weaker (14)126.9118.4245.4+8.571%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H16/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H18/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H21/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A22/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A25/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
68-44
68
44
+24
A30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A04/04
NBA
113.1Avg total
57.8Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.355.2111.5+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.751.6107.2+4.158%-
Last 30 away (18)56.857.6114.3-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)57.855.3113.1+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)58.453.4111.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.058.0106.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)55.553.9109.5+1.653%-
vs Weaker (12)58.256.7114.8+1.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A23/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
D
65-65
65
65
+0
H25/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H27/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H29/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H03/04
NBA
119.6Avg total
60.5Scored
59.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.059.2121.2+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.958.9121.9+4.065%-
Last 30 away (13)60.859.5120.4+1.362%-
Last 10 (10)60.559.1119.6+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)59.258.8118.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.365.0123.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)59.559.5119.0+0.162%-
vs Weaker (14)65.157.7122.9+7.479%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 114.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.323.4
54.0%
54.3%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.815.7
35.8%
35.9%47.1
🏀 Free throws25.220.1
79.8%
77.8%20.1
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 119.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.032.1
58.4%
54.3%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.912.1
35.7%
35.9%36.3
🏀 Free throws25.318.5
73.1%
77.8%18.5
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWWWLLWWLW
Denver Nuggets
LLWWLWLLWL
#11
League position
#9
+4.8
Net rating
+0.8
115.8
Offensive rating
115.3
111.0
Defensive rating
114.6
53.9%
Effective FG%
56.5%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
12.9%
Turnover %
14.6%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.8%
3-point %
35.7%
72.1%
Assist %
71.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 115.3Defence111.0 · 114.6Shooting53.9% · 56.5%3-point %35.8% · 35.7%Ball care12.9% · 14.6%Off. rebounds26.6% · 27.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/25ALos Angeles Lakers123-116
02/04/25AMemphis Grizzlies134-125
30/03/25ASan Antonio Spurs148-106
29/03/25ANew Orleans Pelicans111-95
25/03/25AMiami Heat86-112
22/03/25AAtlanta Hawks115-124
21/03/25HToronto Raptors117-114
19/03/25HMilwaukee Bucks104-93
18/03/25HDenver Nuggets105-114
16/03/25HNew York Knicks97-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/25HSan Antonio Spurs106-113
02/04/25HMinnesota Timberwolves139-140 OT
29/03/25HUtah Jazz129-93
27/03/25HMilwaukee Bucks127-117
25/03/25HChicago Bulls119-129
23/03/25AHouston Rockets116-111
22/03/25APortland Trail Blazers109-128
20/03/25ALos Angeles Lakers108-120
18/03/25AGolden State Warriors114-105
16/03/25HWashington Wizards123-126

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753738
Win %60%62%58%
Points / game114.1112.6115.6
Allowed / game111.2110.1112.3
Point differential+2.9+2.6+3.3
Avg total225.3222.7227.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%30%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (18)78% (9)44% (9)
Overtime %1%0%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL61%
HomeLWWLL64%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773938
Win %61%64%58%
Points / game120.9123.0118.8
Allowed / game116.9117.1116.8
Point differential+4.0+5.9+2.0
Avg total237.9240.0235.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)50% (10)70% (10)
Overtime %8%5%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder75621383%120.4107.4+13.0
2 Cleveland Cavaliers77621581%122.2112.2+10.0
3 Boston Celtics77572074%116.8107.8+8.9
4 Houston Rockets76502666%115.0109.3+5.8
5 New York Knicks75482764%116.3112.0+4.3
6 Denver Nuggets77473061%120.9116.9+4.0
7 Los Angeles Lakers76463061%113.1112.4+0.7
8 Golden State Warriors75453060%114.1111.2+2.9
9 Indiana Pacers77463160%117.4115.1+2.3
10 Minnesota Timberwolves77453258%114.0109.4+4.7
11 Memphis Grizzlies77453258%121.8117.2+4.6
12 Los Angeles Clippers76443258%112.2108.2+3.9
13 Detroit Pistons77433456%115.4113.1+2.3
14 Milwaukee Bucks74403454%114.9113.1+1.8
15 Dallas Mavericks76383850%115.1115.1-0.0
16 Orlando Magic77383949%105.0105.5-0.4
17 Sacramento Kings77374048%115.8115.6+0.3
18 Atlanta Hawks74353947%118.1119.9-1.8
19 Miami Heat77354245%109.8109.8+0.0
20 Chicago Bulls77354245%117.6119.9-2.3
21 Phoenix Suns77354245%114.2116.7-2.5
22 Portland Trail Blazers78344444%110.9114.2-3.3
23 San Antonio Spurs77324542%114.0116.6-2.6
24 Toronto Raptors78285036%110.6115.2-4.7
25 Brooklyn Nets77255232%105.0111.8-6.7
26 Philadelphia 76ers77235430%109.6115.8-6.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans76215528%110.0118.7-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets77195825%105.5113.8-8.3
29 Washington Wizards77176022%108.5120.6-12.1
30 Utah Jazz78166221%111.4120.6-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors34323022118
Denver Nuggets44162420104
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