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Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 98-115
36-34 14-26 23-29 25-26
Position#28
Record4-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game102.4
Allowed / game113.8
vs
Position#17
Record9-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game107.4
Allowed / game109.4
USANBA· Talking Stick Resort Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat
19 Mar 2027
PHX v MIA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
PHX102
MIA111
06 Nov 2024
PHX115
MIA112
05 Jan 2024
PHX113
MIA97
06 Jan 2023
PHX96
MIA104
08 Jan 2022
PHX100
MIA123
13 Apr 2021
PHX106
MIA86
07 Nov 2019
PHX108
MIA124
07 Dec 2018
PHX98
MIA115
08 Nov 2017
PHX115
MIA126
03 Jan 2017
PHX99
MIA90
08 Jan 2016
PHX95
MIA103
09 Dec 2014
PHX97
MIA103
11 Feb 2014
PHX97
MIA103
17 Nov 2012
PHX88
MIA97
23 Dec 2010
PHX83
MIA95
08 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIA109
28 Nov 2008
PHX92
MIA107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
114-119
114
119
-5
99avg 92
A20/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
116-124
116
124
-8
no box
A22/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
116-114
116
114
+2
104avg 92
A24/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
107-118
107
118
-11
100avg 92
A25/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
104-109
104
109
-5
90avg 92
H28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
99-115
99
115
-16
81avg 92
A29/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
85-99
85
99
-14
74avg 92
H01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
96-120
96
120
-24
82avg 92
A02/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
105-122
105
122
-17
98avg 92
H05/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
86-108
86
108
-22
70avg 92
A07/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-26
26-31
24-35
28-27
28-25
41-39
24-30
23-30
34-30
30-31
27-29
25-24
32-27
28-35
24-21
23-35
26-26
28-35
23-20
27-28
22-26
27-23
25-40
25-26
25-21
23-30
23-24
14-24
31-21
15-40
28-34
22-25
9-36
31-32
27-31
38-23
9-34
32-28
18-25
27-21
217.6Avg total
102.8Scored
114.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)102.4113.8216.2-11.416%
Season at home (12)102.1109.5211.6-7.425%
Season away (13)102.6117.8220.4-15.28%
Last 10 (10)102.8114.8217.6-12.010%
Last 5 (5)94.2112.8207.0-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)102.8113.4216.1-10.618%
vs Similar (2)106.5109.0215.5-2.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
120-107
120
107
+13
115avg 97
A15/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
91-99
91
99
-8
79avg 97
A17/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
97-113
97
113
-16
86avg 97
H18/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
92-104
92
104
-12
72avg 97
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
103-96
103
96
+7
90avg 97
A24/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
115-125
115
125
-10
98avg 97
A25/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
113-115
113
115
-2
101avg 97
H28/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
106-101
106
101
+5
92avg 97
H01/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
102-100
102
100
+2
89avg 97
H02/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
90-105
90
105
-15
77avg 97
H05/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-21
24-28
29-23
30-35
27-18
16-32
24-22
24-27
21-34
31-33
24-25
21-21
13-20
29-19
35-35
15-30
28-26
32-13
18-30
25-27
29-36
25-27
35-38
26-24
38-35
14-33
34-32
27-15
37-17
24-24
20-34
25-26
27-35
26-20
27-22
22-23
25-27
25-19
12-30
28-29
209.4Avg total
102.9Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)107.4109.4216.8-2.039%
Season at home (14)105.4107.9213.3-2.436%
Season away (9)110.4111.8222.2-1.344%
Last 10 (10)102.9106.5209.4-3.640%
Last 5 (5)105.2109.2214.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)106.2113.1219.4-6.938%
vs Similar (18)105.7110.3215.9-4.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)111.0105.2216.2+5.850%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
Phoenix SunsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A20/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A22/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A24/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A25/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A29/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A02/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
40-68
40
68
-28
H05/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A07/12
NBA
112.9Avg total
53.3Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.157.8107.8-7.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.554.3102.9-5.833%-
Last 30 away (15)51.661.2112.8-9.627%-
Last 10 (10)53.359.6112.9-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.858.2103.0-13.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)49.558.2107.7-8.625%-
vs Similar (2)57.552.0109.5+5.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A15/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A17/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
52-67
52
67
-15
H18/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A24/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A25/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
52-68
52
68
-16
H28/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H01/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H02/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H05/12
NBA
104.5Avg total
52.8Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.653.7108.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.153.4107.5+0.661%-
Last 30 away (12)55.454.2109.6+1.233%-
Last 10 (10)52.851.7104.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)54.054.6108.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)55.154.2109.4+0.950%-
vs Similar (18)53.952.9106.8+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)56.856.5113.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 102.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.830.8
52.4%
51.7%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.5
31.1%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.312.7
73.4%
76.6%12.7
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 102.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.326.6
46.4%
51.7%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.611.6
34.5%
35.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws22.314.9
66.8%
76.6%14.9
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLLLLLLWLL
Miami Heat
LWWLLWLLLW
#28
League position
#17
-11.7
Net rating
-3.5
100.0
Offensive rating
101.2
111.7
Defensive rating
104.7
50.4%
Effective FG%
48.4%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
13.9%
Turnover %
13.6%
18.8%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.1%
3-point %
34.5%
56.8%
Assist %
53.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 101.2Defence111.7 · 104.7Shooting50.4% · 48.4%3-point %31.1% · 34.5%Ball care13.9% · 13.6%Off. rebounds18.8% · 26.1%Free throws0.19 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Phoenix Suns wins
9
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/18APortland Trail Blazers86-108
05/12/18HSacramento Kings105-122
02/12/18ALos Angeles Lakers96-120
01/12/18HOrlando Magic85-99
29/11/18ALos Angeles Clippers99-115
28/11/18HIndiana Pacers104-109
25/11/18ADetroit Pistons107-118
24/11/18AMilwaukee Bucks116-114
22/11/18AChicago Bulls116-124
20/11/18APhiladelphia 76ers114-119
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/18HOrlando Magic90-105
02/12/18HUtah Jazz102-100
01/12/18HNew Orleans Pelicans106-101
28/11/18HAtlanta Hawks113-115
25/11/18AToronto Raptors115-125
24/11/18AChicago Bulls103-96
21/11/18HBrooklyn Nets92-104
18/11/18HLos Angeles Lakers97-113
17/11/18AIndiana Pacers91-99
15/11/18ABrooklyn Nets120-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayWLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %16%25%8%
Points / game102.4102.1102.6
Allowed / game113.8109.5117.8
Point differential-11.4-7.4-15.2
Avg total216.2211.6220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL39%
HomeLLWWL36%
AwayWWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %39%36%44%
Points / game107.4105.4110.4
Allowed / game109.4107.9111.8
Point differential-2.0-2.4-1.3
Avg total216.8213.3222.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%7%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors2721678%116.0108.0+8.0
2 Milwaukee Bucks2316770%121.1110.4+10.7
3 Denver Nuggets2517868%110.6103.8+6.9
4 Oklahoma City Thunder2416867%111.1104.4+6.8
5 Los Angeles Clippers2416867%116.4112.2+4.2
6 Philadelphia 76ers2718967%113.8111.8+2.0
7 Golden State Warriors2617965%116.8111.2+5.6
8 Memphis Grizzlies2415962%104.2102.4+1.8
9 Indiana Pacers25151060%106.0101.6+4.4
10 Los Angeles Lakers25151060%113.4112.0+1.4
11 Boston Celtics24141058%109.3104.0+5.4
12 Detroit Pistons23131057%109.4109.8-0.3
13 Portland Trail Blazers25141156%112.3110.6+1.7
14 Sacramento Kings24131154%115.2116.3-1.1
15 Dallas Mavericks23121152%110.6109.6+1.0
16 Minnesota Timberwolves25131252%110.0109.5+0.5
17 Utah Jazz26131350%107.4107.2+0.2
18 New Orleans Pelicans27131448%118.1115.9+2.1
19 Charlotte Hornets25121348%114.0111.0+3.0
20 Orlando Magic26121446%105.7108.2-2.5
21 San Antonio Spurs26121446%110.3114.0-3.7
22 Houston Rockets24111346%108.5109.8-1.4
23 Washington Wizards25111444%112.4116.7-4.3
24 Miami Heat2391439%107.4109.4-2.0
25 Brooklyn Nets2791833%108.6110.9-2.3
26 New York Knicks2681831%108.6114.9-6.3
27 Chicago Bulls2662023%103.3112.3-9.0
28 Cleveland Cavaliers2552020%103.0111.9-9.0
29 Atlanta Hawks2552020%108.0119.0-11.0
30 Phoenix Suns2542116%102.4113.8-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns3614232598
Miami Heat34262926115
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