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Phoenix Suns vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 120-98
34-20 32-28 31-21 23-29
Position#14
Record42-32
FormLLLLL
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game110.5
vs
Position#11
Record43-31
FormLWWWL
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game111.9
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Toronto Raptors
28 Mar 2027
PHX v TOR
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
PHX120
TOR98
17 Mar 2025
PHX129
TOR89
07 Mar 2024
PHX120
TOR113
30 Jan 2023
PHX114
TOR106
11 Mar 2022
PHX112
TOR117
06 Jan 2021
PHX123
TOR115
28 Jul 2020
PHX117
TOR106
03 Mar 2020
PHX114
TOR123
02 Nov 2018
PHX98
TOR107
13 Dec 2017
PHX109
TOR115
29 Dec 2016
PHX99
TOR91
02 Feb 2016
PHX97
TOR104
04 Jan 2015
PHX125
TOR109
06 Dec 2013
PHX106
TOR97
20 Jul 2013
PHX103
TOR98
06 Mar 2013
PHX71
TOR98
24 Jan 2012
PHX96
TOR99
23 Mar 2011
PHX114
TOR106
06 Oct 2010
PHX78
TOR129
15 Nov 2009
PHX101
TOR100
27 Feb 2009
PHX133
TOR113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
103-105
103
105
-2
90avg 101
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
118-116
118
116
+2
107avg 101
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
111-99
111
99
+12
106avg 101
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
129-114
129
114
+15
128avg 101
A11/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
123-108
123
108
+15
113avg 101
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
115-122
115
122
-7
102avg 101
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
112-120
112
120
-8
103avg 101
A16/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
104-116
104
116
-12
86avg 101
A18/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
100-101
100
101
-1
92avg 101
A20/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
105-108
105
108
-3
93avg 101
H22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
30-31
27-28
26-22
26-29
32-23
34-29
26-35
28-30
32-28
21-19
30-22
36-30
26-35
38-32
29-17
36-36
31-25
29-27
27-20
28-30
34-29
30-27
23-36
32-31
29-34
25-26
26-29
39-36
24-28
23-28
18-24
26-24
33-28
20-21
21-28
26-15
26-42
30-24
23-27
222.9Avg total
112.0Scored
110.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)112.6110.5223.1+2.057%
Season at home (39)111.6108.4220.0+3.262%
Season away (35)113.6112.8226.5+0.851%
Last 10 (10)112.0110.9222.9+1.140%
Last 5 (5)107.2113.4220.6-6.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)102.3110.0212.3-7.729%
vs Similar ◀ (14)107.4110.4217.7-3.043%
vs Weaker (9)116.0109.3225.3+6.778%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
W
134-125
134
125
+9
132avg 107
A01/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
95-111
95
111
-16
85avg 107
H04/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
107-115
107
115
-8
98avg 107
A06/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
122-92
122
92
+30
121avg 107
H08/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
99-113
99
113
-14
85avg 107
A11/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
111-122
111
122
-11
94avg 107
A12/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
122-115
122
115
+7
118avg 107
H13/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
119-108
119
108
+11
112avg 107
H15/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
139-109
139
109
+30
142avg 107
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
115-121
115
121
-6
112avg 107
A21/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-33
36-31
37-28
36-33
31-32
27-36
24-19
13-24
27-31
27-24
22-35
31-25
36-29
21-15
31-22
34-26
29-29
20-29
34-28
16-27
30-29
28-31
25-33
28-29
30-28
29-34
27-30
36-23
33-32
26-32
34-17
26-27
32-17
40-28
36-31
31-33
30-27
23-30
41-28
21-36
229.4Avg total
116.3Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)114.2111.9226.1+2.358%
Season at home (37)113.6111.7225.3+1.957%
Season away (37)114.8112.2227.0+2.659%
Last 10 (10)116.3113.1229.4+3.250%
Last 5 (5)121.2115.0236.2+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)102.6111.1213.7-8.629%
vs Similar ◀ (10)115.4117.8233.2-2.430%
vs Weaker (13)118.8107.2226.1+11.685%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
Phoenix SunsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A11/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A16/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A18/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A20/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H22/03
NBA
118.2Avg total
59.4Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.157.2113.3-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.554.1106.6-1.635%-
Last 30 away (13)60.961.2122.1-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)59.458.8118.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)59.459.4118.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)56.359.3115.6-3.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)53.256.3109.5-3.129%-
vs Weaker (9)60.656.9117.4+3.767%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A01/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H04/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A06/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H08/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A11/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A12/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H13/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H15/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
72-45
72
45
+27
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A21/03
NBA
115.7Avg total
58.0Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.4112.5+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.758.0114.7-1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)57.652.8110.4+4.853%-
Last 10 (10)58.057.7115.7+0.320%-
Last 5 (5)60.257.6117.8+2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)54.959.0113.9-4.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)57.954.1112.0+3.850%-
vs Weaker (13)57.854.5112.2+3.354%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.624.0
52.6%
54.8%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.215.6
37.0%
35.8%46.8
🏀 Free throws22.917.2
75.1%
78.1%17.2
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.332.5
58.8%
54.8%65.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.5
34.3%
35.8%31.5
🏀 Free throws25.119.8
78.9%
78.1%19.8
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLLLLWWWWL
Toronto Raptors
LWWWLLWLLW
#14
League position
#11
+1.1
Net rating
+3.2
114.5
Offensive rating
117.9
113.4
Defensive rating
114.6
54.0%
Effective FG%
56.2%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
11.0%
Turnover %
11.6%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.0%
3-point %
34.3%
64.1%
Assist %
63.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 117.9Defence113.4 · 114.6Shooting54.0% · 56.2%3-point %37.0% · 34.3%Ball care11.0% · 11.6%Off. rebounds27.9% · 23.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Phoenix Suns wins
5
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HMilwaukee Bucks105-108
20/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs100-101
18/03/26AMinnesota Timberwolves104-116
16/03/26ABoston Celtics112-120
13/03/26AToronto Raptors115-122
12/03/26AIndiana Pacers123-108
11/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks129-114
09/03/26HCharlotte Hornets111-99
07/03/26HNew Orleans Pelicans118-116
06/03/26HChicago Bulls103-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26ADenver Nuggets115-121
19/03/26AChicago Bulls139-109
15/03/26HDetroit Pistons119-108
13/03/26HPhoenix Suns122-115
12/03/26ANew Orleans Pelicans111-122
11/03/26AHouston Rockets99-113
08/03/26HDallas Mavericks122-92
06/03/26AMinnesota Timberwolves107-115
04/03/26HNew York Knicks95-111
01/03/26AWashington Wizards134-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL57%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayWLLLL51%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743935
Win %57%62%51%
Points / game112.6111.6113.6
Allowed / game110.5108.4112.8
Point differential+2.0+3.2+0.8
Avg total223.1220.0226.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%28%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (25)59% (17)25% (8)
Overtime %4%5%3%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLLLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %58%57%59%
Points / game114.2113.6114.8
Allowed / game111.9111.7112.2
Point differential+2.3+1.9+2.6
Avg total226.1225.3227.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%32%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)54% (13)75% (4)
Overtime %5%8%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder75591679%117.8107.9+9.9
2 San Antonio Spurs73551875%119.3111.6+7.7
3 Detroit Pistons74532172%117.2109.6+7.6
4 Boston Celtics75502567%114.4106.9+7.4
5 New York Knicks75492665%116.2109.8+6.4
6 Houston Rockets74472764%114.9110.5+4.4
7 Los Angeles Lakers76472962%115.4114.6+0.8
8 Denver Nuggets77473061%120.0115.8+4.2
9 Cleveland Cavaliers75453060%118.7114.9+3.8
10 Minnesota Timberwolves77453258%118.3114.9+3.4
11 Toronto Raptors74433158%114.2111.9+2.3
12 Orlando Magic72413157%115.8114.0+1.9
13 Phoenix Suns74423257%112.6110.5+2.0
14 Atlanta Hawks75413455%117.8116.8+1.0
15 Philadelphia 76ers75403553%115.1115.9-0.9
16 Charlotte Hornets76393751%116.4112.6+3.8
17 Miami Heat76383850%119.7117.4+2.3
18 Los Angeles Clippers74373750%113.1112.4+0.7
19 Golden State Warriors76364047%114.8114.6+0.2
20 Portland Trail Blazers76364047%115.4117.7-2.2
21 Milwaukee Bucks74324243%111.2115.9-4.7
22 Chicago Bulls75314441%116.1120.2-4.1
23 Dallas Mavericks75264935%113.5117.8-4.2
24 New Orleans Pelicans74254934%115.8119.5-3.7
25 Memphis Grizzlies75255033%115.6119.3-3.7
26 Utah Jazz75225329%117.6125.1-7.5
27 Sacramento Kings76205626%111.2120.9-9.8
28 Brooklyn Nets74185624%106.8115.7-8.9
29 Washington Wizards74175723%112.4123.6-11.2
30 Indiana Pacers75175823%111.6120.6-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns34323123120
Toronto Raptors2028212998
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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