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Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 120-112
31-32 34-29 26-25 29-26
Position#5
Record44-23
FormWWLLW
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game107.0
Boston Celtics 🏆
USA
vs
Phoenix Suns
USA
Position#16
Record39-27
FormWWWWL
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns
29 Jan 2027
BOS v PHX
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
BOS120
PHX112
04 Apr 2025
BOS123
PHX103
14 Mar 2024
BOS127
PHX112
03 Feb 2023
BOS94
PHX106
31 Dec 2021
BOS123
PHX108
22 Apr 2021
BOS99
PHX86
26 Jul 2020
BOS117
PHX103
18 Jan 2020
BOS119
PHX123
19 Dec 2018
BOS103
PHX111
02 Dec 2017
BOS116
PHX111
24 Mar 2017
BOS130
PHX120
15 Jan 2016
BOS117
PHX103
17 Nov 2014
BOS114
PHX118
14 Mar 2014
BOS80
PHX87
09 Jan 2013
BOS87
PHX79
20 Jan 2012
BOS71
PHX79
02 Mar 2011
BOS115
PHX103
06 Nov 2009
BOS103
PHX110
19 Jan 2009
BOS104
PHX87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
84-103
84
103
-19
72avg 106
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
148-111
148
111
+37
158avg 106
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
114-98
114
98
+16
114avg 106
H02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
108-81
108
81
+27
105avg 106
A03/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
89-118
89
118
-29
80avg 106
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
120-100
120
100
+20
117avg 106
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
109-98
109
98
+11
106avg 106
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
116-125
116
125
-9
106avg 106
A11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
102-104
102
104
-2
91avg 106
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
111-100
111
100
+11
109avg 106
H14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
24-26
19-30
17-26
35-32
31-25
43-26
39-28
26-28
36-22
27-33
25-15
30-20
27-23
26-22
25-16
23-35
20-29
25-27
21-27
21-22
37-31
32-27
30-20
35-26
21-10
30-33
23-29
31-29
27-29
32-39
26-28
28-27
31-29
24-24
19-24
29-27
35-14
29-31
18-28
213.9Avg total
110.1Scored
103.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)114.2107.0221.2+7.266%
Season at home (32)114.5107.3221.8+7.269%
Season away (35)114.0106.7220.7+7.363%
Last 10 (10)110.1103.8213.9+6.360%
Last 5 (5)111.6105.4217.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)99.0107.2206.2-8.212%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)113.9100.6214.5+13.286%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
77-92
77
92
-15
62avg 102
H23/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
81-97
81
97
-16
66avg 102
H25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
113-110
113
110
+3
103avg 102
H27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
114-103
114
103
+11
112avg 102
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
103-105
103
105
-2
90avg 102
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
118-116
118
116
+2
107avg 102
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
111-99
111
99
+12
106avg 102
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
129-114
129
114
+15
128avg 102
A11/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
123-108
123
108
+15
113avg 102
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
115-122
115
122
-7
102avg 102
A13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
20-27
17-24
20-21
26-21
20-29
11-30
24-17
22-27
27-22
31-31
33-30
22-30
37-25
31-20
24-28
20-24
30-31
27-28
26-22
26-29
32-23
34-29
26-35
28-30
32-28
21-19
30-22
36-30
26-35
38-32
29-17
36-36
31-25
29-27
27-20
28-30
34-29
30-27
23-36
215.0Avg total
108.4Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)112.9110.8223.7+2.159%
Season at home (35)111.2108.0219.2+3.363%
Season away (31)114.8113.9228.7+0.955%
Last 10 (10)108.4106.6215.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)119.2111.8231.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)103.0109.1212.1-6.143%
vs Similar (14)108.6111.1219.7-2.643%
vs Weaker (9)116.8107.7224.4+9.189%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
Boston CelticsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A03/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
43-64
43
64
-21
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H14/03
NBA
107.6Avg total
57.1Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.250.5107.7+6.773%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.450.6108.0+6.771%-
Last 30 away (16)57.150.4107.5+6.675%-
Last 10 (10)57.150.5107.6+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)59.048.8107.8+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)52.054.5106.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)59.149.1108.2+10.082%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H23/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A11/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A13/03
NBA
110.4Avg total
55.3Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.457.1113.6-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.754.1107.8-0.344%-
Last 30 away (12)60.561.8122.2-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)55.355.1110.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)61.859.0120.8+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)57.059.1116.1-2.143%-
vs Similar (14)52.656.8109.4-4.229%-
vs Weaker (9)62.056.1118.1+5.978%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 110.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.9
54.2%
54.8%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.715.5
35.5%
35.8%46.5
🏀 Free throws18.815.8
84.0%
78.1%15.8
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 108.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.0
52.3%
54.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.016.6
37.7%
35.8%49.8
🏀 Free throws19.214.6
76.0%
78.1%14.6
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WLLWWLWWWL
Phoenix Suns
LWWWWLWWLL
#5
League position
#16
+6.6
Net rating
+1.9
115.5
Offensive rating
113.5
108.9
Defensive rating
111.6
53.7%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
12.0%
Turnover %
13.1%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.5%
3-point %
37.7%
66.5%
Assist %
61.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 113.5Defence108.9 · 111.6Shooting53.7% · 54.5%3-point %35.5% · 37.7%Ball care12.0% · 13.1%Off. rebounds29.6% · 29.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Boston Celtics wins
2
Phoenix Suns wins
DateGameScore
25/02/26Phoenix Suns v Boston Celtics81-97
04/04/25Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns123-103
27/03/25Phoenix Suns v Boston Celtics102-132
14/03/24Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns127-112
10/03/24Phoenix Suns v Boston Celtics107-117
04/02/23Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns94-106
08/12/22Phoenix Suns v Boston Celtics98-125
31/12/21Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns123-108
11/12/21Phoenix Suns v Boston Celtics111-90
22/04/21Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns99-86
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HWashington Wizards111-100
13/03/26AOklahoma City Thunder102-104
11/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs116-125
08/03/26ACleveland Cavaliers109-98
07/03/26HDallas Mavericks120-100
05/03/26HCharlotte Hornets89-118
03/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks108-81
02/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers114-98
28/02/26HBrooklyn Nets148-111
26/02/26ADenver Nuggets84-103
Phoenix Sunslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26AToronto Raptors115-122
12/03/26AIndiana Pacers123-108
11/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks129-114
09/03/26HCharlotte Hornets111-99
07/03/26HNew Orleans Pelicans118-116
06/03/26HChicago Bulls103-105
04/03/26ASacramento Kings114-103
27/02/26HLos Angeles Lakers113-110
25/02/26HBoston Celtics81-97
23/02/26HPortland Trail Blazers77-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW66%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayLWWLL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673235
Win %66%69%63%
Points / game114.2114.5114.0
Allowed / game107.0107.3106.7
Point differential+7.2+7.2+7.3
Avg total221.2221.8220.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%44%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (18)43% (7)45% (11)
Overtime %1%0%3%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeLWLWW63%
AwayLWWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663531
Win %59%63%55%
Points / game112.9111.2114.8
Allowed / game110.8108.0113.9
Point differential+2.1+3.3+0.9
Avg total223.7219.2228.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%31%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (21)64% (14)29% (7)
Overtime %3%3%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder66521479%118.4107.9+10.4
2 San Antonio Spurs65471872%118.8111.7+7.0
3 Detroit Pistons67481972%117.2109.8+7.5
4 Boston Celtics67442366%114.2107.0+7.2
5 Los Angeles Lakers66422464%116.5115.0+1.4
6 New York Knicks67422563%116.6110.6+6.0
7 Houston Rockets66412562%114.1109.9+4.2
8 Cleveland Cavaliers68412760%119.1114.9+4.2
9 Denver Nuggets68412760%120.7116.7+4.0
10 Minnesota Timberwolves68412760%118.5115.2+3.3
11 Phoenix Suns66392759%112.9110.8+2.1
12 Toronto Raptors66382858%113.8111.8+2.0
13 Orlando Magic65372857%115.5114.0+1.5
14 Miami Heat67382957%120.6116.6+4.0
15 Atlanta Hawks68373154%117.8116.6+1.3
16 Philadelphia 76ers68373154%115.6116.0-0.4
17 Los Angeles Clippers67343351%113.4112.6+0.9
18 Charlotte Hornets68343450%115.5112.3+3.2
19 Golden State Warriors68333549%115.2114.4+0.9
20 Portland Trail Blazers68323647%115.1117.6-2.5
21 Milwaukee Bucks67283942%111.2116.1-4.9
22 Chicago Bulls67274040%115.7120.2-4.5
23 Memphis Grizzlies66234335%115.7118.4-2.7
24 Dallas Mavericks68234534%113.2118.1-4.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans68224632%115.4119.8-4.4
26 Utah Jazz68204829%117.3124.9-7.6
27 Sacramento Kings69185126%110.8120.6-9.7
28 Brooklyn Nets67175025%106.7115.6-8.9
29 Washington Wizards67165124%112.7123.7-11.0
30 Indiana Pacers68155322%111.2119.9-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics31342629120
Phoenix Suns32292526112
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