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Pistoia vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-92
21-22 27-23 24-27 16-20
Position#16
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Trento 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record7-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game75.4
ItalyLega ARound 8· PalaCarrara
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Pistoia v Trento
17 Nov 2024
PIS88
TRE92
08 Oct 2023
PIS73
TRE78
12 Jan 2020
PIS71
TRE74
26 Dec 2018
PIS70
TRE78
23 Dec 2017
PIS79
TRE86
20 Nov 2016
PIS84
TRE78
19 Feb 2016
PIS74
TRE81
31 Jan 2016
PIS64
TRE69
18 Mar 2015
PIS86
TRE69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
53avg 69
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
62avg 69
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
63avg 69
H17/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 69
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
56avg 69
A06/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
66-65
66
65
+1
63avg 69
A13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 69
H20/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
95-102
95
102
-7
95avg 69
A27/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
66avg 69
H03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 69
A10/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
16-25
27-13
15-18
19-30
15-16
17-25
24-26
13-31
17-28
25-16
22-23
29-24
27-19
10-20
22-19
19-32
20-19
10-17
19-16
12-14
21-11
16-20
17-20
18-20
14-14
17-24
15-19
18-26
32-21
14-31
31-24
16-24
15-16
23-14
19-16
21-15
16-14
18-32
20-16
158.2Avg total
75.1Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.679.6155.1-4.043%
Season at home (3)75.076.3151.3-1.367%
Season away (4)76.082.0158.0-6.025%
Last 10 (10)75.183.1158.2-8.030%
Last 5 (5)74.678.2152.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.282.0157.2-6.841%
vs Similar (12)85.088.3173.3-3.342%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
106-100
106
100
+6
98avg 75
H13/10
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
70-110
70
110
-40
57avg 75
A16/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
85avg 75
A20/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 75
H23/10
Eurocup
Sassari
#10
W
84-81
84
81
+3
78avg 75
A27/10
Lega A
Ulm
#13
L
82-84
82
84
-2
76avg 75
A30/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
91-57
91
57
+34
91avg 75
H03/11
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
87-85
87
85
+2
70avg 75
H05/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#6
W
76-68
76
68
+8
71avg 75
H09/11
Lega A
BC Wolves
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
73avg 75
A12/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
25-31
29-14
27-28
25-26
14-37
16-20
15-27
23-16
25-16
18-24
17-20
26-18
15-20
16-20
22-15
26-19
20-19
23-21
15-22
20-18
21-15
23-35
18-16
21-18
27-11
18-13
25-15
17-30
26-16
17-20
27-19
23-19
23-6
14-25
16-18
21-25
30-19
13-22
19-22
166.3Avg total
84.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.775.4163.1+12.3100%
Season at home (4)88.873.8162.5+15.0100%
Season away (3)86.377.7164.0+8.7100%
Last 10 (10)84.182.2166.3+1.970%
Last 5 (5)83.876.4160.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.390.6166.9-14.418%
vs Similar (13)86.280.5166.7+5.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)89.882.2172.0+7.6100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
PistoiaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
30-59
30
59
-29
H17/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A06/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A27/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A10/11
Lega A
79.2Avg total
37.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.844.081.8-6.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.643.781.4-6.121%-
Last 30 away (16)37.944.382.2-6.438%-
Last 10 (10)37.042.279.2-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.071.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.742.378.0-6.635%-
vs Similar (12)41.147.288.2-6.125%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H13/10
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A16/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A20/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H23/10
Eurocup
Sassari
#10
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/10
Lega A
Ulm
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A30/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H03/11
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H05/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#6
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H09/11
Lega A
BC Wolves
#10
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A12/11
Eurocup
85.9Avg total
45.3Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.085.4-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.340.581.9+0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)43.545.488.9-1.960%-
Last 10 (10)45.340.685.9+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.835.481.2+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.547.889.3-6.436%-
vs Similar (13)43.140.183.2+3.054%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.840.687.4+6.280%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.0
45.2%
52.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.0
34.0%
35.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.314.1
73.1%
76.8%14.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.0
53.7%
52.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.8
34.9%
35.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.614.9
76.0%
76.8%14.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LWLLWLWLLL
Trento
LWWWLWWWLW
#16
League position
#4
-10.9
Net rating
+2.4
98.5
Offensive rating
107.3
109.4
Defensive rating
104.8
47.4%
Effective FG%
53.2%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
19.3%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.0%
3-point %
34.9%
56.9%
Assist %
48.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 107.3Defence109.4 · 104.8Shooting47.4% · 53.2%3-point %34.0% · 34.9%Ball care16.4% · 19.3%Off. rebounds22.8% · 28.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Pistoia   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pistoia wins
8
Trento wins
DateGameScore
28/04/24Trento v Pistoia80-105
08/10/23Pistoia v Trento73-78
12/01/20Pistoia v Trento71-74
25/09/19Trento v Pistoia88-75
20/04/19Trento v Pistoia82-73
26/12/18Pistoia v Trento70-78
22/04/18Trento v Pistoia85-70
23/12/17Pistoia v Trento79-86
18/03/17Trento v Pistoia99-91
20/11/16Pistoia v Trento84-78 OT
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24ASassari75-77
03/11/24HReggiana73-70
27/10/24AVarese95-102
20/10/24HVenezia64-77
13/10/24ACremona66-65
06/10/24AVirtus Bologna68-84
29/09/24HBasket Napoli88-82
17/05/24HBrescia77-98
14/05/24ABrescia75-97
12/05/24ABrescia70-79
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/24ABC Wolves83-88
09/11/24HTrieste76-68
05/11/24HJoventut Badalona87-85
03/11/24HOlimpia Milano91-57
30/10/24AUlm82-84
27/10/24ASassari84-81
23/10/24HHapoel Tel-Aviv79-73
20/10/24ATreviso83-76
16/10/24ABahcesehir Kol.70-110
13/10/24HVarese106-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game75.675.076.0
Allowed / game79.676.382.0
Point differential-4.0-1.3-6.0
Avg total155.1151.3158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.788.886.3
Allowed / game75.473.877.7
Point differential+12.3+15.0+8.7
Avg total163.1162.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento770100%87.775.4+12.3
2 Virtus Bologna76186%86.782.1+4.6
3 Trapani86275%93.985.4+8.5
4 Brescia75271%92.387.7+4.6
5 Olimpia Milano75271%82.081.9+0.1
6 Trieste85362%89.286.2+3.0
7 Tortona74357%83.680.7+2.9
8 Reggiana74357%80.378.6+1.7
9 Venezia73443%74.975.4-0.6
10 Pistoia73443%75.679.6-4.0
11 Scafati83538%84.888.2-3.5
12 Treviso72529%83.687.4-3.9
13 Sassari72529%81.185.3-4.1
14 Varese82625%95.1103.6-8.5
15 Cremona71614%75.680.4-4.9
16 Basket Napoli7070%81.389.4-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2127241688
Trento2223272092
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