Real Madrid vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	83.2	76.8	160.1	+6.4	65%
Season at home (9)	91.4	80.8	172.2	+10.7	67%
Season away (11)	76.5	73.6	150.1	+2.8	64%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	75.3	160.1	+9.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	68.8	148.0	+10.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	85.3	80.6	165.9	+4.8	56%
vs Weaker (21)	85.5	73.7	159.2	+11.8	81%

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBarcelona

Date

Competition

Basket Zaragoza

#13

68-63

61avg 77

H28/12

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#11

99-94 OT

no box

A30/12

Euroleague

Real Madrid

87-78

80avg 77

A02/01

ACB

Virtus Bologna

#14

75-83

-8

69avg 77

H05/01

Euroleague

Real Betis

#17

104-70

104

+34

104avg 77

H07/01

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#18

82-75

78avg 77

A11/01

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

#10

75-80

-5

69avg 77

H13/01

Euroleague

Murcia

86-72

+14

82avg 77

A15/01

ACB

Baskonia

85-78

80avg 77

A19/01

Euroleague

Bilbao

#12

88-78

+10

88avg 77

H22/01

ACB

14-17

24-19

20-10

10-17

28-17

15-23

14-25

27-19

28-26

14-18

20-13

25-21

15-26

24-16

18-18

18-23

29-21

25-15

22-16

28-18

11-15

31-18

21-27

19-15

9-21

19-18

20-23

27-18

17-13

20-20

28-24

21-15

28-28

19-12

17-23

21-15

18-11

29-18

16-26

25-23

162.0Avg total

84.9Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	80.3	77.4	157.8	+2.9	65%
Season at home (10)	77.3	74.7	152.0	+2.6	60%
Season away (10)	83.4	80.1	163.5	+3.3	70%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	77.1	162.0	+7.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	76.6	159.8	+6.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	80.5	75.5	156.1	+5.0	82%
vs Weaker (19)	82.2	75.8	158.0	+6.4	68%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridBarcelona

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	17.3	40.6	+5.9	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.9	17.3	42.1	+7.6	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	17.4	39.1	+4.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	14.4	36.0	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	23.3	16.1	39.4	+7.2	90%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.3	37.9	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	19.5	42.3	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	17.6	34.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.5	19.2	38.6	+0.3	55%	-
vs Weaker (19)	22.3	18.7	40.9	+3.6	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.6	39.5	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.0	41.5	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	20.1	37.5	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.8	35.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.7	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.7	39.9	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	17.2	40.1	+5.7	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.7	39.7	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	17.2	40.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	73%	-
vs Weaker (19)	22.2	19.1	41.3	+3.2	58%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

#12

42-42

A27/12

ACB

Baskonia

43-59

-16

A29/12

Euroleague

Barcelona

44-42

H02/01

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

51-34

+17

H06/01

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

50-36

+14

H08/01

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#11

38-34

A10/01

Euroleague

Alba Berlin

#17

46-35

+11

A12/01

Euroleague

Granada

#16

32-24

A15/01

ACB

Olympiacos

28-36

-8

A20/01

Euroleague

Breogan

#10

46-37

H22/01

ACB

79.9Avg total

42.0Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	36.9	80.1	+6.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.4	36.3	83.7	+11.1	100%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	37.5	76.6	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	37.9	79.9	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	33.2	71.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.4	40.8	84.2	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	43.1	35.2	78.4	+7.9	81%	-

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Basket Zaragoza

#13

38-36

H28/12

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#11

43-40

A30/12

Euroleague

Real Madrid

42-44

-2

A02/01

ACB

Virtus Bologna

#14

39-42

-3

H05/01

Euroleague

Real Betis

#17

54-36

+18

H07/01

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#18

42-33

A11/01

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

#10

28-39

-11

H13/01

Euroleague

Murcia

37-33

A15/01

ACB

Baskonia

47-40

A19/01

Euroleague

Bilbao

#12

47-29

+18

H22/01

ACB

78.9Avg total

41.7Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	37.6	80.0	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.6	35.5	78.1	+7.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	39.7	81.9	+2.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	37.2	78.9	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	34.8	75.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.7	37.4	76.1	+1.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (19)	44.5	37.7	82.2	+6.7	79%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.3	38.7	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	16.9	36.1	+2.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	17.9	39.6	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	18.1	37.7	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	24.6	45.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (19)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.6	42%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.5	40.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (21)	22.0	19.7	41.6	+2.3	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.9	37.7	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	18.5	36.5	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.3	38.9	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.4	40.5	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	17.2	39.8	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (19)	17.5	18.6	36.1	-1.2	42%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	38.6	80.7	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.9	40.6	84.5	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	36.7	76.8	+3.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	37.4	80.2	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	35.6	76.8	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	41.9	39.8	81.7	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	42.1	38.1	80.2	+4.0	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	37.8	76.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	36.6	74.1	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	38.9	78.9	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	38.9	80.6	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	41.8	84.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	41.8	38.2	80.0	+3.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (19)	36.9	37.5	74.5	-0.6	47%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	20.0	53.2%	53.5%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.3	35.9%	36.2%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	21.6	15.7	72.7%	78.5%	15.7

They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 82.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	19.9	54.7%	53.5%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.9	34.4%	36.2%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	19.8	15.8	79.8%	78.5%	15.8

They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.4	20.5	49.5%	53.5%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	8.3	31.7%	36.2%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	12.7	8.8	69.3%	78.5%	8.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	18.9	51.2%	53.5%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	7.7	32.9%	36.2%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	18.5	14.2	76.8%	78.5%	14.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	20.3	54.3%	53.5%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	9.4	36.4%	36.2%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.8	78.2%	78.5%	15.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	19.3	54.9%	53.5%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.3	36.3%	36.2%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	17.3	13.7	79.2%	78.5%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	19.0	48.3%	53.5%	37.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	8.5	32.7%	36.2%	25.6
🏀 Free throws	14.5	11.2	77.2%	78.5%	11.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	19.0	50.7%	53.5%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	7.2	31.2%	36.2%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	18.1	14.4	79.6%	78.5%	14.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

WLWWWWWLLW

Barcelona

WWWLWWLWWW

League position

+12.2

Net rating

+10.3

114.5

Offensive rating

117.4

102.3

Defensive rating

107.2

53.5%

Effective FG%

53.4%

48.7%

Opp. effective FG%

50.5%

18.5%

Turnover %

15.7%

36.7%

Off. rebound %

35.8%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.32

35.9%

3-point %

34.4%

65.5%

Assist %

67.4%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Barcelona

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Barcelona wins

Date	Game	Score
02/01/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	78-87
13/10/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	75-73
25/09/22	Real Madrid v Barcelona	89-83 OT
19/06/22	Real Madrid v Barcelona	81-74
17/06/22	Real Madrid v Barcelona	81-66
15/06/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	71-69
13/06/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	75-88
19/05/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	83-86
10/04/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	108-97 OT
20/02/22	Real Madrid v Barcelona	59-64

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/23	H	Breogan	91-73
20/01/23	A	Olympiacos	60-73
15/01/23	A	Granada	82-62
12/01/23	A	Alba Berlin	84-77
10/01/23	A	Crvena zvezda	79-59
08/01/23	H	Gran Canaria	105-85
06/01/23	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	98-65
02/01/23	H	Barcelona	78-87
29/12/22	A	Baskonia	86-92
27/12/22	A	Bilbao	85-80

Barcelonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/23	H	Bilbao	88-78
19/01/23	A	Baskonia	85-78
15/01/23	A	Murcia	86-72
13/01/23	H	Anadolu Efes	75-80
11/01/23	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	82-75
07/01/23	H	Real Betis	104-70
05/01/23	H	Virtus Bologna	75-83
02/01/23	A	Real Madrid	87-78
30/12/22	A	Crvena zvezda	99-94 OT
28/12/22	H	Basket Zaragoza	68-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

Euroleague 2022

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	65%
Home	WWLWW	67%
Away	LLWWL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	65%	67%	64%
Points / game	83.2	91.4	76.5
Allowed / game	76.8	80.8	73.6
Point differential	+6.3	+10.7	+2.8
Avg total	160.1	172.2	150.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	44%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	5%	11%	0%

Barcelona

Euroleague 2022

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	65%
Home	WLWLL	60%
Away	WLWWW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	65%	60%	70%
Points / game	80.3	77.3	83.4
Allowed / game	77.4	74.7	80.1
Point differential	+3.0	+2.6	+3.3
Avg total	157.8	152.0	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	30%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	50% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olympiacos	20	13	7	65%	84.5	76.0	+8.6
2	Real Madrid	20	13	7	65%	83.2	76.8	+6.3
3	Fenerbahce	20	13	7	65%	83.9	79.4	+4.5
4	Barcelona	20	13	7	65%	80.3	77.4	+3.0
5	Zalgiris Kaunas	20	12	8	60%	76.7	76.2	+0.5
6	Monaco	20	12	8	60%	81.4	82.2	-0.8
7	Baskonia	20	11	9	55%	84.1	81.6	+2.5
8	Maccabi Tel Aviv	20	11	9	55%	81.6	81.5	+0.1
9	Anadolu Efes	20	10	10	50%	81.5	78.1	+3.5
10	Valencia	20	10	10	50%	81.4	83.2	-1.9
11	Crvena zvezda	20	10	10	50%	75.4	77.5	-2.1
12	Partizan	20	9	11	45%	84.0	84.4	-0.3
13	Virtus Bologna	20	9	11	45%	77.3	80.4	-3.0
14	Bayern	20	8	12	40%	76.4	78.4	-2.0
15	Panathinaikos	20	7	13	35%	78.5	83.2	-4.7
16	Lyon-Villeurbanne	20	7	13	35%	74.6	79.6	-5.0
17	Alba Berlin	20	6	14	30%	80.8	83.4	-2.5
18	Olimpia Milano	20	6	14	30%	69.8	76.2	-6.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Real Madrid	16	16	18	23	18	91
Barcelona	20	19	20	14	13	86

← all games of the day

Real Madrid vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature