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Real Madrid vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 71-65
24-14 13-26 19-15 15-10
Position#2
Record13-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game72.2
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
CSKA Moscow
Position#6
Record10-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game79.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17
European cup2021
Meetings · Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow
23 Dec 2021
MAD71
CMO65
18 Mar 2021
MAD89
CMO96
29 Nov 2018
MAD88
CMO93
19 Oct 2017
MAD82
CMO69
21 May 2017
MAD70
CMO94
06 Jan 2017
MAD95
CMO85
02 Mar 2016
MAD87
CMO96
20 Mar 2014
MAD93
CMO79
31 Jan 2013
MAD86
CMO78
06 Nov 2008
MAD54
CMO58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
79-67
79
67
+12
74avg 75
H18/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#13
W
71-48
71
48
+23
68avg 75
H21/11
ACB
Baskonia
#15
W
88-60
88
60
+28
88avg 75
A25/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
72-70
72
70
+2
60avg 75
H02/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
86-65
86
65
+21
86avg 75
A04/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
63avg 75
A10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
70avg 75
H12/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#14
W
87-64
87
64
+23
91avg 75
H14/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
71avg 75
A16/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
80-71
80
71
+9
75avg 75
A19/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
16-19
25-14
22-21
18-6
14-15
25-13
14-14
25-14
28-20
18-13
17-13
20-18
17-20
13-21
22-11
20-15
15-21
24-13
27-16
19-24
23-27
16-16
22-26
16-19
15-18
31-16
17-21
19-16
24-10
17-20
27-18
18-19
17-8
20-21
20-25
25-17
20-18
14-17
21-19
148.2Avg total
79.7Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.972.2152.1+7.781%
Season at home (8)83.471.5154.9+11.9100%
Season away (8)76.472.9149.2+3.562%
Last 10 (10)79.768.5148.2+11.290%
Last 5 (5)80.275.0155.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)81.080.5161.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (26)80.769.0149.7+11.792%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
74-73
74
73
+1
66avg 78
H11/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 78
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
W
80-74
80
74
+6
72avg 78
A19/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 78
H25/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
97-77
97
77
+20
98avg 78
H02/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
88-69
88
69
+19
no box
A05/12
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
73-51
73
51
+22
64avg 78
A10/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
67-88
67
88
-21
54avg 78
H15/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
W
93-90
93
90
+3
86avg 78
A17/12
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#11
W
93-59
93
59
+34
92avg 78
A20/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
22-19
19-21
16-14
13-13
14-25
33-13
13-30
23-8
12-18
19-15
26-33
18-24
14-17
24-16
21-17
31-22
22-16
22-16
22-23
25-18
19-17
22-19
22-15
19-18
11-10
27-11
16-12
21-27
7-19
23-26
16-16
23-21
25-27
21-25
24-17
23-19
32-13
20-15
18-12
155.1Avg total
81.5Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.179.4159.5+0.662%
Season at home (8)80.078.5158.5+1.575%
Season away (8)80.180.4160.5-0.250%
Last 10 (10)81.573.6155.1+7.980%
Last 5 (5)82.871.4154.2+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.581.6159.1-4.246%
vs Weaker (17)84.868.8153.6+15.988%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
Real MadridCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#12
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H18/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#13
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H21/11
ACB
Baskonia
#15
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A25/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H02/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A04/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H12/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#14
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H14/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A16/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A19/12
ACB
72.2Avg total
38.5Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.835.175.9+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.333.874.1+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.336.377.6+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)38.533.772.2+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.274.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)44.840.084.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker (26)40.234.374.5+5.965%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H11/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A19/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#11
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H25/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H02/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A05/12
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A10/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H15/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A17/12
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#11
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A20/12
VTB United League
76.1Avg total
39.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.336.577.8+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.938.580.4+3.467%-
Last 30 away (18)40.935.276.1+5.772%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.076.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.878.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.540.379.8-0.854%-
vs Weaker (17)42.633.676.2+9.182%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.1
52.2%
52.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.1
38.1%
35.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws14.29.6
67.6%
77.2%9.6
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.0
51.5%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.9
37.1%
35.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws15.612.8
82.1%
77.2%12.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWLWWWWW
CSKA Moscow
WWLWWWWWLW
#2
League position
#6
+16.1
Net rating
+10.5
109.7
Offensive rating
114.1
93.6
Defensive rating
103.6
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.2%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.1%
3-point %
37.1%
55.0%
Assist %
56.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 114.1Defence93.6 · 103.6Shooting54.0% · 53.2%3-point %38.1% · 37.1%Ball care17.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds31.2% · 35.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Real Madrid wins
7
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
18/03/21Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow89-96
26/11/20CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid74-73
17/05/19CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid95-90
08/02/19CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid82-78
29/11/18Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow88-93
18/05/18CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid83-92
01/02/18CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid93-87
19/10/17Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow82-69
21/05/17Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow70-94
06/01/17Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow95-85
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/21AMurcia80-71
16/12/21AOlimpia Milano75-73
14/12/21HAlba Berlin87-64
12/12/21HUnicaja79-74
10/12/21ABarcelona80-93
04/12/21ABasket Zaragoza86-65
02/12/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv72-70
25/11/21ABaskonia88-60
21/11/21HReal Betis71-48
18/11/21HCrvena zvezda79-67
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/21AZielona Gora93-59
17/12/21AAlba Berlin93-90
15/12/21HUnics Kazan67-88
10/12/21AZalgiris Kaunas73-51
05/12/21ALokomotiv Kuban88-69
02/12/21HPanathinaikos97-77
25/11/21HBayern77-74
19/11/21ABaskonia80-74
17/11/21ABarcelona73-81
11/11/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv74-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %81%100%62%
Points / game79.983.476.4
Allowed / game72.271.572.9
Point differential+7.7+11.9+3.5
Avg total152.1154.9149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%62%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game80.180.080.1
Allowed / game79.478.580.4
Point differential+0.6+1.5-0.2
Avg total159.5158.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1715288%85.276.1+9.1
2 Real Madrid1613381%79.972.2+7.7
3 Olympiacos1712571%81.272.2+9.1
4 Zenit Petersburg1711665%73.571.6+1.8
5 Olimpia Milano1610662%75.071.9+3.1
6 CSKA Moscow1610662%80.179.4+0.6
7 Unics Kazan1710759%79.275.0+4.2
8 Anadolu Efes179853%83.279.4+3.8
9 Fenerbahce167944%75.673.8+1.8
10 Lyon-Villeurbanne167944%72.678.1-5.5
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv1771041%77.778.5-0.8
12 Crvena zvezda1771041%72.073.4-1.4
13 Bayern1771041%74.476.1-1.7
14 Monaco1761135%81.483.5-2.1
15 Alba Berlin1761135%75.681.1-5.5
16 Baskonia1761135%70.878.7-7.9
17 Panathinaikos1741324%72.579.1-6.6
18 Zalgiris Kaunas1631319%70.480.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2413191571
CSKA Moscow1426151065
← all games of the day
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