Real Madrid vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 May 2016

Tip-off: 19:15

Final 107-103

21-28 28-21 30-21 28-33

Position#1

Record29-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game95.0

Allowed / game81.4

Real Madrid 🏆

Murcia

Position#7

Record18-16

FormWWWWW

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game78.3

ACBACB - Quarter-finals

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Real Madrid v Murcia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Murcia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

69-75

-6

A12/04

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

78-100

100

-22

A14/04

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#13

91-77

+14

H17/04

ACB

Fenerbahce

63-75

-12

H19/04

Euroleague

Barcelona

91-86

A24/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#15

111-81

111

+30

H01/05

ACB

Unicaja

88-62

+26

A08/05

ACB

Fuenlabrada

129-81

129

+48

H11/05

ACB

Baskonia

93-88

H18/05

ACB

Real Betis

#11

97-90

A22/05

ACB

11-15

18-26

23-12

17-22

14-27

15-27

19-22

30-24

25-13

26-19

19-24

21-21

13-18

14-12

13-24

23-21

17-26

26-26

20-19

28-15

21-16

33-19

27-22

30-24

19-18

24-16

17-21

28-7

27-15

33-21

37-21

32-24

29-19

24-19

22-21

18-29

23-20

22-24

28-24

24-22

172.5Avg total

91.0Scored

81.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	95.0	81.4	176.4	+13.6	85%
Season at home (17)	98.9	81.4	180.3	+17.6	88%
Season away (17)	91.0	81.4	172.4	+9.6	82%
Last 10 (10)	91.0	81.5	172.5	+9.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	103.6	80.4	184.0	+23.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.2	86.5	160.8	-12.2	0%
vs Similar (7)	84.9	83.4	168.3	+1.4	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	97.3	83.5	180.8	+13.8	94%

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Murcia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

#11

80-76

H27/03

ACB

Real Madrid

99-104 OT

104

-5

H03/04

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

91-86

A10/04

ACB

Manresa

#16

73-75

-2

H17/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#15

69-88

-19

A23/04

ACB

Valencia

80-62

+18

H01/05

ACB

Tenerife

#10

88-83

H07/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#17

82-67

+15

A10/05

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#13

80-78

H15/05

ACB

Fuenlabrada

73-61

+12

A22/05

ACB

18-13

16-16

14-20

32-27

26-26

16-26

24-28

27-13

18-20

23-21

27-18

23-27

17-18

16-23

21-16

19-18

13-26

17-14

14-29

25-19

17-23

19-22

23-9

21-8

27-16

22-26

21-17

18-24

17-22

22-7

19-19

24-19

17-18

19-16

23-24

21-20

16-15

30-15

12-19

15-12

159.5Avg total

81.5Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	78.9	78.3	157.2	+0.6	53%
Season at home (17)	82.4	76.2	158.5	+6.2	71%
Season away (17)	75.5	80.5	155.9	-5.0	35%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	78.0	159.5	+3.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	70.2	150.8	+10.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	74.1	80.7	154.9	-6.6	29%
vs Similar (14)	83.8	79.9	163.7	+3.9	64%
vs Weaker (9)	78.3	74.2	152.6	+4.1	67%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridMurcia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.3	20.1	44.4	+4.2	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.9	21.8	41.6	-1.9	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.6	41.4	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.0	19.5	33.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	23.6	43.7	-3.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	24.0	20.4	44.4	+3.6	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	17.4	37.9	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.1	19.7	37.9	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (9)	17.7	16.2	33.9	+1.4	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	21.9	45.0	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.5	18.9	44.4	+6.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.2	24.2	45.4	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	20.9	44.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	19.8	47.0	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.5	22.2	38.8	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.7	22.9	44.6	-1.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	24.7	22.0	46.7	+2.7	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.7	40.8	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	20.1	41.3	+1.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.2	39.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.3	23.3	42.6	-4.0	29%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	64%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	44%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

29-41

-12

A12/04

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

29-54

-25

A14/04

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#13

51-32

+19

H17/04

ACB

Fenerbahce

27-30

-3

H19/04

Euroleague

Barcelona

43-52

-9

A24/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#15

54-35

+19

H01/05

ACB

Unicaja

43-34

A08/05

ACB

Fuenlabrada

60-36

+24

H11/05

ACB

Baskonia

53-38

+15

H18/05

ACB

Real Betis

#11

45-44

A22/05

ACB

83.0Avg total

43.4Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.8	43.0	87.8	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	49.8	39.0	88.8	+10.8	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.1	46.0	87.1	-4.9	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	39.6	83.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	37.4	88.4	+13.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.5	41.8	72.2	-11.2	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.9	46.4	88.3	-4.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	48.7	42.4	91.1	+6.3	72%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

#11

34-29

H27/03

ACB

Real Madrid

42-52

-10

H03/04

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

41-41

A10/04

ACB

Manresa

#16

33-41

-8

H17/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#15

30-40

-10

A23/04

ACB

Valencia

36-45

-9

H01/05

ACB

Tenerife

#10

49-42

H07/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#17

39-29

+10

A10/05

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#13

36-34

H15/05

ACB

Fuenlabrada

46-30

+16

A22/05

ACB

76.9Avg total

38.6Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	38.9	77.9	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	38.6	78.3	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	39.1	77.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	38.3	76.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	36.0	77.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	37.4	43.0	80.4	-5.6	14%	-
vs Similar (14)	41.4	39.2	80.6	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	36.7	35.1	71.8	+1.6	56%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	20.1	43.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.5	21.4	45.9	+3.2	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.8	19.1	41.9	+3.6	82%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	21.8	48.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.6	18.6	40.1	+3.0	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	25.1	20.4	45.6	+4.7	89%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	19.3	41.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	21.7	39.8	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.9	22.3	41.1	-3.4	14%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.6	43.4	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+0.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	20.9	46.0	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	21.2	47.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.8	24.8	48.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	18.4	39.9	+3.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.9	20.3	43.3	+2.6	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	17.3	38.0	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.1	37.9	-0.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	18.7	41.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.6	36.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.0	13.9	30.9	+3.1	71%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.3	40.7	87.0	+5.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	46.7	42.6	89.3	+4.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	45.9	39.3	85.2	+6.6	88%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.6	41.9	89.5	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.6	43.0	95.6	+9.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	43.8	44.8	88.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	43.0	37.0	80.0	+6.0	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	48.1	40.8	88.8	+7.3	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	38.7	78.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	36.6	79.5	+6.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	40.8	77.7	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	38.6	80.9	+3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	34.2	73.6	+5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	35.9	36.1	72.0	-0.3	43%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.8	39.7	80.5	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	41.7	39.1	80.8	+2.6	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Murcia wins

Date	Game	Score
03/04/16	Murcia v Real Madrid	99-104 OT
06/12/15	Real Madrid v Murcia	101-80
22/03/15	Murcia v Real Madrid	86-79
16/11/14	Real Madrid v Murcia	90-65
15/03/14	Real Madrid v Murcia	102-65
27/10/13	Murcia v Real Madrid	81-88
03/03/13	Real Madrid v Murcia	86-69
04/11/12	Murcia v Real Madrid	64-79
29/04/12	Real Madrid v Murcia	80-79
08/01/12	Murcia v Real Madrid	60-91

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/05/16	A	Real Betis	97-90
18/05/16	H	Baskonia	93-88
11/05/16	H	Fuenlabrada	129-81
08/05/16	A	Unicaja	88-62
01/05/16	H	Obradoiro CAB	111-81
24/04/16	A	Barcelona	91-86
19/04/16	H	Fenerbahce	63-75
17/04/16	H	Joventut Badalona	91-77
14/04/16	A	Fenerbahce	78-100
12/04/16	A	Fenerbahce	69-75

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/05/16	A	Fuenlabrada	73-61
15/05/16	H	Joventut Badalona	80-78
10/05/16	A	Estudiantes	82-67
07/05/16	H	Tenerife	88-83
01/05/16	H	Valencia	80-62
23/04/16	A	Obradoiro CAB	69-88
17/04/16	H	Manresa	73-75
10/04/16	A	MoraBanc Andorra	91-86
03/04/16	H	Real Madrid	99-104 OT
27/03/16	H	Real Betis	80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	85%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	LWWWW	82%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	85%	88%	82%
Points / game	95.0	98.9	91.0
Allowed / game	81.4	81.4	81.4
Point differential	+13.6	+17.6	+9.6
Avg total	176.4	180.3	172.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	71%	41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (6)	100% (2)	100% (4)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Murcia

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	53%
Home	LLWWW	71%
Away	LWLWW	35%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	53%	71%	35%
Points / game	78.9	82.4	75.5
Allowed / game	78.3	76.2	80.5
Point differential	+0.6	+6.2	-5.0
Avg total	157.2	158.5	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	29%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (13)	60% (10)	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	35	30	5	86%	83.8	70.0	+13.9
2	Real Madrid	34	29	5	85%	95.0	81.4	+13.6
3	Valencia	34	28	6	82%	83.3	73.6	+9.7
4	Baskonia	35	25	10	71%	87.7	79.4	+8.3
5	Gran Canaria	35	21	14	60%	82.7	79.6	+3.1
6	Unicaja	34	20	14	59%	77.6	73.8	+3.8
7	Murcia	34	18	16	53%	78.9	78.3	+0.6
8	Fuenlabrada	35	17	18	49%	81.7	84.4	-2.7
9	Bilbao	34	16	18	47%	77.9	80.2	-2.3
10	Tenerife	34	16	18	47%	76.8	79.6	-2.9
11	Real Betis	34	14	20	41%	78.3	84.5	-6.2
12	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	34	13	21	38%	80.0	81.7	-1.7
13	Joventut Badalona	34	13	21	38%	77.5	81.9	-4.4
14	MoraBanc Andorra	34	12	22	35%	80.7	83.1	-2.4
15	Obradoiro CAB	34	10	24	29%	75.4	79.0	-3.6
16	Manresa	34	10	24	29%	70.1	78.5	-8.4
17	Estudiantes	34	9	25	26%	75.4	82.0	-6.6
18	Gipuzkoa	34	7	27	21%	72.9	85.1	-12.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	21	28	30	28	107
Murcia	28	21	21	33	103

← all games of the day

Real Madrid vs Murcia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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