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Real Madrid vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-63
20-11 16-15 17-12 19-25
Position#7
Record18-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#12
Record15-17
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33
European cup2020
Meetings · Real Madrid v Olympiacos
07 Jan 2027
MAD v OLY
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
MAD89
OLY77
01 May 2025
MAD84
OLY86
29 Apr 2025
MAD80
OLY72
16 Jan 2025
MAD86
OLY96
24 May 2024
MAD87
OLY76
25 Jan 2024
MAD90
OLY85
19 Oct 2022
MAD87
OLY89
02 Feb 2022
MAD75
OLY67
02 Apr 2021
MAD72
OLY63
10 Jan 2019
MAD94
OLY78
09 Feb 2018
MAD79
OLY80
12 Oct 2016
MAD83
OLY65
28 Jan 2016
MAD84
OLY72
17 May 2015
MAD78
OLY59
25 Apr 2014
MAD83
OLY69
17 Apr 2014
MAD82
OLY77
15 Apr 2014
MAD88
OLY71
25 Nov 2010
MAD82
OLY68
02 Apr 2009
MAD75
OLY78
31 Mar 2009
MAD71
OLY63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
75-71
75
71
+4
69avg 78
A04/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
W
74-58
74
58
+16
69avg 78
A07/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
74avg 78
H11/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
85-74
85
74
+11
86avg 78
A14/03
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 78
H18/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
95-77
95
77
+18
78avg 78
H21/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
87-71
87
71
+16
76avg 78
A23/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 78
A25/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
77-76
77
76
+1
72avg 78
A27/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
83-108
83
108
-25
78avg 78
H30/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
14-16
14-29
23-13
16-6
14-18
20-20
24-14
19-24
19-17
16-16
22-24
27-20
18-16
21-24
19-14
21-23
20-32
26-19
22-22
18-14
28-24
24-13
25-26
23-16
19-16
16-17
29-22
20-23
12-14
24-14
18-20
17-13
18-19
19-16
23-28
20-20
22-21
22-35
19-32
159.8Avg total
81.5Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.978.3158.2+1.656%
Season at home (16)82.279.2161.4+3.156%
Season away (16)77.677.4154.9+0.256%
Last 10 (10)81.578.3159.8+3.270%
Last 5 (5)83.280.6163.8+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.392.3169.7-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.480.4159.8-1.050%
vs Weaker (16)81.873.4155.2+8.488%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
64avg 72
H28/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
77-88
77
88
-11
63avg 72
H05/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
53-76
53
76
-23
50avg 72
A18/02
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
74-75
74
75
-1
64avg 72
H25/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
66-91
66
91
-25
57avg 72
A03/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
75-61
75
61
+14
73avg 72
H12/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
84-80
84
80
+4
82avg 72
A18/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
63avg 72
H26/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
90avg 72
A31/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
18-19
23-10
21-26
18-21
17-17
19-23
23-27
26-11
8-32
9-15
10-18
12-24
14-20
23-15
25-16
21-15
11-28
26-25
8-23
30-19
23-29
22-19
19-12
15-28
15-13
24-15
21-5
16-18
21-24
25-20
22-18
11-20
16-23
22-15
22-18
23-19
21-12
30-10
14-38
153.7Avg total
75.6Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.080.2159.1-1.247%
Season at home (16)77.978.6156.6-0.738%
Season away (16)80.081.7161.7-1.756%
Last 10 (10)75.678.1153.7-2.540%
Last 5 (5)82.475.0157.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.482.5156.9-8.120%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.979.7159.6+0.253%
vs Weaker (3)93.382.0175.3+11.3100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
Real MadridOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A04/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A07/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H11/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/03
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H18/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H21/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A23/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A27/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H30/03
Euroleague
75.4Avg total
38.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.478.7+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.040.182.1+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)38.336.574.8+1.864%-
Last 10 (10)38.936.575.4+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.075.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.044.781.7-7.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.241.680.8-2.440%-
vs Weaker (16)41.035.676.6+5.469%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H28/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H05/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/02
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H25/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H12/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A18/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H26/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A31/03
Euroleague
76.1Avg total
34.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.941.478.3-4.523%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.741.776.3-7.013%-
Last 30 away (15)39.141.180.2-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)34.841.376.1-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.079.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.143.377.4-9.210%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.739.275.9-2.524%-
vs Weaker (3)47.047.794.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.5
55.9%
52.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.1
37.8%
38.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.115.0
78.5%
79.3%15.0
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.1
56.8%
52.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.6
31.9%
38.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.311.0
71.9%
79.3%11.0
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWWLWLWW
Olympiacos
WLWWWLLLLL
#7
League position
#12
+2.2
Net rating
-2.9
114.9
Offensive rating
104.3
112.7
Defensive rating
107.2
56.2%
Effective FG%
52.8%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
21.2%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.8%
3-point %
31.9%
52.7%
Assist %
65.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 104.3Defence112.7 · 107.2Shooting56.2% · 52.8%3-point %37.8% · 31.9%Ball care17.4% · 21.2%Off. rebounds31.7% · 31.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Real Madrid wins
4
Olympiacos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/21HAnadolu Efes83-108
27/03/21AManresa77-76
25/03/21ALyon-Villeurbanne74-71
23/03/21AObradoiro CAB87-71
21/03/21HReal Betis95-77
18/03/21HCSKA Moscow89-96
14/03/21ABaskonia85-74
11/03/21HBarcelona76-81
07/03/21AMurcia74-58
04/03/21AZenit Petersburg75-71
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/21AValencia88-79
26/03/21HFenerbahce71-76
18/03/21AAlba Berlin84-80
12/03/21HZenit Petersburg75-61
05/03/21HCrvena zvezda94-79
03/03/21ABaskonia66-91
25/02/21HCSKA Moscow74-75
18/02/21AAnadolu Efes53-76
05/02/21HPanathinaikos77-88
28/01/21HBarcelona74-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeLWLLL56%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game79.982.277.6
Allowed / game78.379.277.4
Point differential+1.6+3.1+0.2
Avg total158.2161.4154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)0% (3)67% (9)
Overtime %9%0%19%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW47%
HomeLLWWL38%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %47%38%56%
Points / game79.077.980.0
Allowed / game80.278.681.7
Point differential-1.2-0.7-1.7
Avg total159.1156.6161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%19%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)33% (9)75% (4)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3324973%80.973.3+7.6
2 CSKA Moscow32221069%83.979.8+4.1
3 Anadolu Efes33221167%84.376.2+8.1
4 Olimpia Milano33201361%80.978.0+2.8
5 Bayern33201361%78.177.4+0.7
6 Fenerbahce33201361%78.878.6+0.2
7 Zenit Petersburg32181456%77.274.8+2.4
8 Real Madrid32181456%79.978.3+1.6
9 Baskonia33181555%80.977.3+3.6
10 Valencia33181555%81.781.2+0.5
11 Zalgiris Kaunas33161748%76.977.8-0.9
12 Olympiacos32151747%79.080.2-1.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv31131842%78.679.7-1.2
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne32122038%77.080.8-3.8
15 Panathinaikos31112035%79.582.2-2.7
16 Alba Berlin33112233%78.683.5-4.9
17 Crvena zvezda33102330%74.679.6-5.0
18 Khimki M.3242812%78.090.4-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2016171972
Olympiacos1115122563
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