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Real Madrid vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 May 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-86
21-16 26-26 18-26 19-18
Position#8
Record22-17
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#2
Record26-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game81.2
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Quarter-finals· Movistar Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Real Madrid v Olympiacos
07 Jan 2027
MAD v OLY
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
MAD89
OLY77
01 May 2025
MAD84
OLY86
29 Apr 2025
MAD80
OLY72
16 Jan 2025
MAD86
OLY96
24 May 2024
MAD87
OLY76
25 Jan 2024
MAD90
OLY85
19 Oct 2022
MAD87
OLY89
02 Feb 2022
MAD75
OLY67
02 Apr 2021
MAD72
OLY63
10 Jan 2019
MAD94
OLY78
09 Feb 2018
MAD79
OLY80
12 Oct 2016
MAD83
OLY65
28 Jan 2016
MAD84
OLY72
17 May 2015
MAD78
OLY59
25 Apr 2014
MAD83
OLY69
17 Apr 2014
MAD82
OLY77
15 Apr 2014
MAD88
OLY71
25 Nov 2010
MAD82
OLY68
02 Apr 2009
MAD75
OLY78
31 Mar 2009
MAD71
OLY63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
91-89
91
89
+2
85avg 82
A06/04
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
91-89
91
89
+2
84avg 82
A10/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 82
A13/04
ACB
Paris
#9
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 82
H15/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
W
93-71
93
71
+22
97avg 82
H18/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
98-97
98
97
+1
95avg 82
H20/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
67avg 82
A23/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
70avg 82
A25/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
79-71
79
71
+8
78avg 82
A27/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
74avg 82
H29/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
22-15
26-22
23-28
22-24
26-22
17-28
26-15
23-15
22-19
21-15
13-19
22-27
14-19
22-16
15-19
33-17
19-16
21-22
20-16
29-29
17-15
30-25
22-28
14-27
15-20
22-17
21-20
25-15
13-23
16-19
17-20
15-21
19-8
27-24
18-18
28-21
10-23
20-12
22-16
162.6Avg total
82.7Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)84.282.0166.2+2.256%
Season at home (20)89.584.3173.8+5.275%
Season away (19)78.679.6158.2-1.037%
Last 10 (10)82.779.9162.6+2.870%
Last 5 (5)80.080.2160.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.182.8163.9-1.747%
vs Weaker (14)85.476.0161.4+9.4100%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Panionios
#8
W
95-64
95
64
+31
94avg 84
H23/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
70-81
70
81
-11
60avg 84
A25/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 84
H27/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
100-92
100
92
+8
103avg 84
A04/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
106-67
106
67
+39
108avg 84
H06/04
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
99-93
99
93
+6
99avg 84
H10/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
86avg 84
A13/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
84-72
84
72
+12
72avg 84
H23/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
W
77-71
77
71
+6
66avg 84
H25/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
70avg 84
A29/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-9
26-16
20-20
27-19
16-14
23-23
13-21
18-23
15-23
22-12
23-23
17-22
36-17
25-29
19-27
20-19
22-17
20-28
32-8
32-14
31-28
20-20
19-22
29-23
28-18
16-22
28-17
19-28
27-14
20-15
17-22
20-21
15-25
23-13
19-16
20-17
21-28
23-10
12-20
16-22
165.6Avg total
87.1Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)86.181.2167.4+4.970%
Season at home (19)86.378.1164.4+8.279%
Season away (18)86.084.5170.5+1.561%
Last 10 (10)87.178.5165.6+8.670%
Last 5 (5)84.680.2164.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.779.7160.3+1.058%
vs Weaker (16)92.077.4169.4+14.694%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
Real MadridOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/04
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A10/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A13/04
ACB
Paris
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H15/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H18/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A23/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A27/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/04
Euroleague
80.8Avg total
40.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.178.8+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.440.383.7+3.146%-
Last 30 away (17)38.536.575.0+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.080.8+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.477.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.340.781.0-0.533%-
vs Weaker (14)40.935.976.8+4.964%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#8
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H23/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A25/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H27/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A04/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H06/04
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H10/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A13/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H23/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A29/04
Euroleague
83.2Avg total
45.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.637.279.8+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.136.377.4+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)44.038.282.2+5.867%-
Last 10 (10)45.138.183.2+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.683.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.030.064.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.537.377.8+3.258%-
vs Weaker (16)45.138.283.4+6.969%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.7
56.7%
54.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
36.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.913.5
71.4%
78.0%13.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.8
59.4%
54.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.7
33.4%
36.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.815.6
71.6%
78.0%15.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLLWWLWWW
Olympiacos
LWWWWWWLLW
#8
League position
#2
+3.6
Net rating
+11.6
112.6
Offensive rating
117.4
109.0
Defensive rating
105.9
55.0%
Effective FG%
55.2%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.0%
3-point %
33.4%
59.3%
Assist %
70.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 117.4Defence109.0 · 105.9Shooting55.0% · 55.2%3-point %35.0% · 33.4%Ball care17.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds30.8% · 32.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
5
Olympiacos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/25HOlympiacos80-72
27/04/25ABasquet Girona79-71
25/04/25AOlympiacos71-77
23/04/25AOlympiacos72-84
20/04/25HMoraBanc Andorra98-97
18/04/25HBayern93-71
15/04/25HParis73-81
13/04/25ATenerife79-68
10/04/25APartizan91-89
06/04/25ABarcelona91-89
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/25AReal Madrid72-80
25/04/25HReal Madrid77-71
23/04/25HReal Madrid84-72
13/04/25APanionios91-85
10/04/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv99-93
06/04/25HPanionios106-67
04/04/25AAlba Berlin100-92
27/03/25HMonaco77-80
25/03/25ALyon-Villeurbanne70-81
23/03/25HPanionios95-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWWLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %56%75%37%
Points / game84.289.578.6
Allowed / game82.084.379.6
Point differential+2.2+5.2-1.0
Avg total166.2173.8158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%35%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)100% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeLLWWW79%
AwayWWLWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %70%79%61%
Points / game86.186.386.0
Allowed / game81.278.184.5
Point differential+4.9+8.2+1.5
Avg total167.4164.4170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)80% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos37261170%86.181.2+4.9
2 Fenerbahce37261170%83.881.0+2.7
3 Panathinaikos37241365%87.883.5+4.3
4 Monaco37231462%86.883.2+3.6
5 Anadolu Efes37211657%86.282.2+4.0
6 Barcelona37211657%88.085.1+2.9
7 Real Madrid39221756%84.282.0+2.2
8 Bayern36201656%87.088.1-1.0
9 Paris38201853%85.885.6+0.2
10 Crvena zvezda35181751%83.181.6+1.5
11 Olimpia Milano34171750%85.486.7-1.2
12 Partizan34161847%81.880.1+1.6
13 Zalgiris Kaunas34151944%77.479.0-1.6
14 Baskonia34142041%82.683.6-1.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne34132138%80.985.3-4.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv34112332%85.989.8-3.9
17 Virtus Bologna3492526%79.283.7-4.5
18 Alba Berlin3452915%78.791.3-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2126181984
Olympiacos1626261886
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