Saga vs Chiba Result & Analysis

Saga will host Chiba on 8 November 2026 in the B League, with the model favouring Chiba at 68% to win over Saga's 32% chance. Saga's season has been difficult, 1-12 overall with 76.3 points scored and 94.0 allowed per game, and they have gone 0-8 at home, averaging 75.4 points and conceding 94.5. Their last five games have yielded no victories, including defeats to SeaHorses Mikawa 78-84 and 83-100 away and to Alvark 88-112 at home. Chiba, meanwhile, is 5-9 overall, scoring 90.4 and allowing 96.3 per game, and has a 3-3 road record with 94.0 points for and 92.8 against; their last five games include two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 89-87 home win over Altiri Chiba. Historically, Chiba has won four of six meetings against Saga, most recently 95-76 on 1 February 2026. The Pythia projection puts the score at 85-90, with a total of 174.9 points; the home line of 8.5 gives a 61% chance that Saga will cover. An overtime probability of 5% is also noted. Chiba's recent 89-87 victory suggests they will likely continue their edge in this matchup.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost

32.3%fair 3.10

Best odds3.88

Implied24.4%

Edge+7.9pp

Chiba winWon

67.7%fair 1.48

Best odds1.29

Implied75.6%

Edge-7.9pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 14:23 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Saga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSaga

Date

Competition

NeoPhoenix

89-93

-4

81avg 74

H04/10

B League

Alvark

74-90

-16

57avg 74

A08/10

B League

Kobe

#23

84-77

75avg 74

A10/10

B League

Gunma

61-72

-11

52avg 74

H12/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

90-109

109

-19

71avg 74

H16/10

B League

Kyoto

#10

70-115

115

-45

58avg 74

A18/10

B League

Nagasaki

#21

66-84

-18

58avg 74

H21/10

B League

Alvark

88-112

112

-24

72avg 74

H26/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

83-100

100

-17

72avg 74

A31/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

78-84

-6

60avg 74

A01/11

B League

19-26

20-25

31-20

19-22

15-29

19-15

22-22

18-24

27-20

17-12

15-26

25-19

15-16

12-16

17-17

17-23

24-28

21-26

19-23

26-32

18-29

21-33

16-24

15-29

20-24

15-24

17-17

14-19

13-33

17-28

30-21

28-30

16-37

31-21

11-24

25-18

13-21

28-15

16-21

21-27

171.9Avg total

78.3Scored

93.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	76.3	94.0	170.3	-17.7	8%
Season at home (8)	75.4	94.5	169.9	-19.1	0%
Season away (5)	77.8	93.2	171.0	-15.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	78.3	93.6	171.9	-15.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	99.0	176.0	-22.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	77.0	91.7	168.7	-14.7	12%
vs Similar (4)	76.0	77.2	153.2	-1.2	50%
vs Weaker (9)	87.1	78.4	165.6	+8.7	78%

This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Chiba

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormChiba

Date

Competition

Kobe

#23

86-94

-8

76avg 80

A08/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

109-103

109

103

104avg 80

A10/10

B League

Yokohama

#16

106-108 OT

106

108

-2

96avg 80

A12/10

B League

Shimane

#18

97-78

+19

97avg 80

H17/10

B League

Tokyo Sunrockers

64-107

107

-43

51avg 80

H19/10

B League

Kyoto

#10

79-102

102

-23

68avg 80

H21/10

B League

Osaka

#26

87-65

+22

87avg 80

A25/10

B League

Toyama

#11

93-100

100

-7

87avg 80

H31/10

B League

Toyama

#11

78-83

-5

67avg 80

H01/11

B League

Altiri Chiba

#17

89-87 OT

no box

H06/11

B League

22-19

29-24

18-18

17-33

32-23

30-32

27-24

20-24

25-22

18-22

25-18

27-33

23-16

23-30

22-15

29-17

25-26

11-22

12-32

16-27

21-26

19-28

24-28

15-20

23-20

29-15

20-14

15-16

34-27

19-30

11-24

29-19

19-20

10-26

23-19

26-18

20-19

24-19

23-15

10-24

181.5Avg total

88.8Scored

92.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	90.4	96.3	186.7	-5.9	36%
Season at home (8)	87.8	98.9	186.6	-11.1	25%
Season away (6)	94.0	92.8	186.8	+1.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	88.8	92.7	181.5	-3.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	87.4	172.6	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	89.4	99.5	188.9	-10.1	30%
vs Similar (8)	84.6	88.2	172.9	-3.6	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	90.7	77.2	167.9	+13.4	83%

This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 172.5Actual: Over 172.5

Over 172.5

54.9%

@ 1.57-5.8pp

Under 172.5

45.1%

@ 2.45+5.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.47

Under

Betano

2.45

Bet365

2.25

Over/Under 177.5 · main lineActual: Over 177.5

Over 177.5

42.9%

@ 1.91-7.1pp

Under 177.5

57.1%

@ 2.12+7.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.91

SBO

1.84

WilliamHill

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.78

Under

Bet365

2.12

WilliamHill

1.91

BetVictor

1.91

Pinnacle

1.91

Betano

1.88

Over/Under 182.5Actual: Over 182.5

Over 182.5

31.7%

@ 2.30-12.3pp

Under 182.5

68.3%

@ 1.69+12.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

2.30

Betano

2.27

Pinnacle

2.15

Bet365

2.05

Marathon Be

1.95

Under

Pinnacle

1.69

Bet365

1.68

1xBet

1.62

Marathon Be

1.55

Betano

1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

Saga total 82.5Actual: Saga over 82.5

Over 82.5

58.4%

@ 1.60+0.9pp

Under 82.5

41.6%

@ 2.22-0.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.60

Bet365

1.58

1xBet

1.51

Under

Bet365

2.22

Betano

2.15

1xBet

2.04

Saga total 86.5 · main lineActual: Saga over 86.5

Over 86.5

43.1%

@ 2.10-3.5pp

Under 86.5

56.9%

@ 1.83+3.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.10

1xBet

1.96

Marathon Be

1.86

Bet365

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.78

Betano

1.62

1xBet

1.55

Saga total 90.5Actual: Saga over 90.5

Over 90.5

29.0%

@ 2.85-3.1pp

Under 90.5

71.0%

@ 1.37+3.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.85

1xBet

2.80

Under

Bet365

1.37

1xBet

1.30

Chiba total 90.5Actual: Chiba over 90.5

Over 90.5

48.1%

@ 1.52-11.5pp

Under 90.5

51.9%

@ 2.30+11.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.52

1xBet

1.47

Under

Betano

2.30

1xBet

2.12

Chiba total 94.5 · main lineActual: Chiba over 94.5

Over 94.5

33.0%

@ 2.00-15.5pp

Under 94.5

67.0%

@ 1.84+15.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.00

BetVictor

1.91

1xBet

1.89

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.82

Under

Marathon Be

1.84

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.70

1xBet

1.59

Chiba total 98.5Actual: Chiba over 98.5

Over 98.5

20.3%

@ 3.20-12.8pp

Under 98.5

79.7%

@ 1.40+12.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.20

1xBet

2.67

Betano

2.65

Under

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.32

Bet365

1.31

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Saga +5.5Actual: Chiba -5.5

SAGA +5.5

50.2%

@ 2.40+10.5pp

CHIB -5.5

49.8%

@ 1.55-10.5pp

Best 5 market prices

SAGA

BetVictor

2.40

Betano

2.30

Bet365

2.30

1xBet

2.25

CHIB

Bet365

1.55

Marathon Be

1.53

Betano

1.53

BetVictor

1.50

1xBet

1.46

Spread Saga +8.5 · main lineActual: Saga +8.5

SAGA +8.5

61.3%

@ 1.92+11.6pp

CHIB -8.5

38.7%

@ 1.90-11.6pp

Best 5 market prices

SAGA

Pinnacle

1.92

SBO

1.91

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.85

Marathon Be

1.84

CHIB

Pinnacle

1.90

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Betfair

1.83

Spread Saga +11.5Actual: Saga +11.5

SAGA +11.5

71.2%

@ 1.57+11.7pp

CHIB -11.5

28.8%

@ 2.30-11.7pp

Best 5 market prices

SAGA

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.55

BetVictor

1.55

Marathon Be

1.53

1xBet

1.46

CHIB

BetVictor

2.30

1xBet

2.25

Betano

2.25

Bet365

2.25

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SagaChiba

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.75
Last 30 (30)	21.0	24.2	45.2	-3.2	27%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	24.9	45.5	-4.4	7%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	23.4	44.9	-1.9	47%	47%
Last 10 (10)	18.0	26.3	44.3	-8.3	10%	50%
Last 5 (5)	16.0	28.8	44.8	-12.8	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.3	25.7	45.0	-6.4	6%	53%
vs Similar (4)	24.0	19.8	43.8	+4.2	75%	25%
vs Weaker (9)	22.9	23.2	46.1	-0.3	44%	56%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.75
Last 30 (30)	24.3	21.4	45.6	+2.9	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (19)	24.1	19.9	43.9	+4.2	53%	37%
Last 30 away (11)	24.6	23.9	48.5	+0.7	55%	64%
Last 10 (10)	24.4	21.8	46.2	+2.6	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.4	45.8	+1.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	23.4	25.2	48.6	-1.8	20%	70%
vs Similar (8)	23.0	19.8	42.8	+3.2	62%	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	25.8	19.2	45.1	+6.6	75%	42%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.25
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	57%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.9	33%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	22.4	18.3	40.7	+4.1	80%	20%
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	24.2	46.6	-1.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	41%	35%
vs Similar (4)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.0	50%	0%
vs Weaker (9)	22.8	16.6	39.3	+6.2	89%	22%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.25
Last 30 (30)	22.9	21.3	44.2	+1.6	60%	50%
Last 30 at home (19)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.5	53%	47%
Last 30 away (11)	25.5	20.4	45.9	+5.2	73%	55%
Last 10 (10)	21.2	24.8	46.0	-3.6	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.6	43.8	-3.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	23.0	23.7	46.7	-0.7	40%	70%
vs Similar (8)	19.5	25.2	44.8	-5.8	25%	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	25.1	16.7	41.8	+8.4	100%	42%

SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NeoPhoenix

39-51

-12

H04/10

B League

Alvark

34-44

-10

A08/10

B League

Kobe

#23

44-32

+12

A10/10

B League

Gunma

27-32

-5

H12/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

45-54

-9

H16/10

B League

Kyoto

#10

39-62

-23

A18/10

B League

Nagasaki

#21

35-48

-13

H21/10

B League

Alvark

30-61

-31

H26/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

47-58

-11

A31/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

41-36

A01/11

B League

85.9Avg total

38.1Scored

47.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 89
Last 30 (30)	41.3	43.4	84.7	-2.0	43%	30%
Last 30 at home (15)	38.8	45.1	83.9	-6.3	20%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	41.7	85.5	+2.2	67%	27%
Last 10 (10)	38.1	47.8	85.9	-9.7	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	38.4	53.0	91.4	-14.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.8	46.7	85.5	-7.9	24%	35%
vs Similar (4)	42.5	37.2	79.8	+5.2	75%	0%
vs Weaker (9)	45.7	39.8	85.4	+5.9	67%	33%

This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kobe

#23

51-43

A08/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

62-55

A10/10

B League

Yokohama

#16

43-44

-1

A12/10

B League

Shimane

#18

46-46

H17/10

B League

Tokyo Sunrockers

36-48

-12

H19/10

B League

Kyoto

#10

40-54

-14

H21/10

B League

Osaka

#26

52-35

+17

A25/10

B League

Toyama

#11

53-57

-4

H31/10

B League

Toyama

#11

29-46

-17

H01/11

B League

Altiri Chiba

#17

44-38

H06/11

B League

92.2Avg total

45.6Scored

46.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 89
Last 30 (30)	47.2	42.7	89.8	+4.5	60%	50%
Last 30 at home (19)	45.4	41.7	87.2	+3.7	58%	42%
Last 30 away (11)	50.2	44.3	94.5	+5.9	64%	64%
Last 10 (10)	45.6	46.6	92.2	-1.0	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	43.6	46.0	89.6	-2.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	46.4	48.9	95.3	-2.5	30%	70%
vs Similar (8)	42.5	45.0	87.5	-2.5	38%	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	50.9	35.9	86.8	+15.0	100%	50%

This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Chiba win

SAGA win

no forecast

@ 3.37

CHIB win

no forecast

@ 1.40

1st half Spread Saga +4.5 · main lineActual: Chiba -4.5

SAGA +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

CHIB -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.87

1st half Over/Under 89 · main lineActual: Over 89

Over

no forecast

@ 1.90

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

Saga 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Saga under 42.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.93

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Chiba 1st half total 47 · main lineActual: Chiba over 47

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: SAGA + total 88.5

SAGA & over

no forecast

@ 5.00

SAGA & under

no forecast

@ 4.90

1st half: Draw + total 88.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: CHIB + total 88.5

CHIB & over

no forecast

@ 3.00

CHIB & under

no forecast

@ 2.90

1st half Over/Under 90.25Actual: Over 90.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.74

1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Over 87.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.67

Under

no forecast

@ 2.12

1st half Spread Saga +3.5Actual: Chiba -3.5

SAGA +3.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

CHIB -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Saga +5.5Actual: Chiba -5.5

SAGA +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.79

CHIB -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.20

1st half Over/Under 91.5Actual: Over 91.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.22

Under

no forecast

@ 1.76

1st half Spread Saga +2.5Actual: Chiba -2.5

SAGA +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

CHIB -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half Spread Saga +6.5Actual: Chiba -6.5

SAGA +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

CHIB -6.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Chiba (regulation)

SAGA

no forecast

@ 3.22

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.50

CHIB

no forecast

@ 1.44

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.25
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.5	40.4	-0.5	37%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	40%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.3	33%	27%
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.5	40.9	-2.1	20%	30%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.9	21.6	41.6	-1.7	29%	41%
vs Similar (4)	17.8	20.8	38.5	-3.0	25%	0%
vs Weaker (9)	21.0	18.1	39.1	+2.9	56%	33%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.25
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	47%	23%
Last 30 at home (19)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	42%	16%
Last 30 away (11)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.5	55%	36%
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.7	24.0	43.7	-4.3	30%	50%
vs Similar (8)	18.8	17.9	36.6	+0.9	50%	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.3	58%	17%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	30%	20%
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	23.1	41.1	-5.2	20%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	40%	13%
Last 10 (10)	20.8	24.3	45.1	-3.5	20%	30%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.6	45.2	-4.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.3	23.4	41.6	-5.1	24%	24%
vs Similar (4)	15.8	19.2	35.0	-3.5	25%	0%
vs Weaker (9)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.1	44%	22%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.9	43.2	-2.6	33%	40%
Last 30 at home (19)	20.8	21.9	42.7	-1.1	42%	37%
Last 30 away (11)	19.5	24.6	44.2	-5.1	18%	45%
Last 10 (10)	20.4	23.1	43.5	-2.7	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.9	22.5	42.4	-2.6	20%	40%
vs Similar (8)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	38%	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.6	23.5	44.1	-2.9	42%	42%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 88
Last 30 (30)	38.6	42.4	81.0	-3.9	30%	20%
Last 30 at home (15)	39.4	43.3	82.7	-3.9	27%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	41.5	79.3	-3.8	33%	7%
Last 10 (10)	40.2	45.8	86.0	-5.6	20%	30%
Last 5 (5)	38.6	46.0	84.6	-7.4	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.2	45.0	83.2	-6.8	18%	29%
vs Similar (4)	33.5	40.0	73.5	-6.5	50%	0%
vs Weaker (9)	41.4	38.7	80.1	+2.8	44%	11%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 88
Last 30 (30)	39.6	42.8	82.4	-3.2	37%	27%
Last 30 at home (19)	39.3	41.8	81.1	-2.5	32%	16%
Last 30 away (11)	40.0	44.5	84.5	-4.5	45%	45%
Last 10 (10)	40.9	43.8	84.7	-2.9	40%	20%
Last 5 (5)	39.2	39.4	78.6	-0.2	40%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	39.6	46.5	86.1	-6.9	30%	40%
vs Similar (8)	39.2	40.4	79.6	-1.1	38%	12%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	39.8	41.3	81.1	-1.6	42%	25%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

SAGA win + total 177.5

🔒 Pro

CHIB win + total 177.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SAGA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CHIB leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (SAGA:CHIB): SAGA wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 184	71.8%	1.60	Marathon Bet 1.60	Bet365 1.60	-	-	-	+14.0pp	Lost
Chiba under 95.5	70.4%	1.56	Betano 1.60	1xBet 1.51	-	-	-	+13.0pp	Lost
Chiba under 97.5	76.8%	1.45	Bet365 1.55	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.37	-	-	+12.9pp	Lost
Chiba under 98.5	79.7%	1.34	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.32	Bet365 1.31	-	-	+12.8pp	Lost
Chiba under 96.5	73.7%	1.45	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.43	Bet365 1.41	-	-	+12.7pp	Lost
Under 185.5	74.3%	1.47	Bet365 1.52	BetVictor 1.50	Betano 1.39	-	-	+12.3pp	Lost
Saga +14.5	79.5%	1.37	Betano 1.37	-	-	-	-	+12.3pp	Won
Saga +12	73.4%	1.52	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	-	+12.1pp	Won
Saga +15.5	81.8%	1.31	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Under 190.5	82.7%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Lost
Saga +11.5	71.2%	1.53	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.55	BetVictor 1.55	Marathon Bet 1.53	1xBet 1.46	+11.7pp	Won
Saga +12.5	74.2%	1.46	Bet365 1.50	BetVictor 1.48	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.38	-	+11.7pp	Won
Under 187.5	78.0%	1.38	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Lost
Saga +13.5	76.9%	1.39	Betano 1.42	BetVictor 1.42	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.32	-	+11.6pp	Won
Saga +11	70.3%	1.59	Pinnacle 1.61	Bet365 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.56	-	-	+11.5pp	Won
Under 184.5	72.4%	1.52	Bet365 1.58	Marathon Bet 1.57	BetVictor 1.50	Betano 1.44	-	+10.9pp	Lost
Under 195.5	89.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Lost
Saga +18.5	87.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Saga +16.5	84.0%	1.24	Betano 1.28	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Under 183.5	70.4%	1.56	Bet365 1.64	Marathon Bet 1.63	BetVictor 1.50	Betano 1.47	-	+8.4pp	Lost
Under 186.5	76.2%	1.35	Betano 1.39	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Lost
Saga under 93.5	79.8%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Lost
Saga +23.5	94.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Saga under 91.5	74.1%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Lost
Saga under 97.5	88.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Lost
Saga under 95.5	84.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Lost
Saga under 99.5	91.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Lost
Saga +21.5	91.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Under 191.5	84.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Lost
Chiba over 71.5	96.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Chiba over 70.5	97.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Chiba over 72.5	95.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Chiba +18.5	97.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Chiba +13.5	94.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Saga under 94.5	82.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Lost
Under 196.5	90.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Lost
Saga under 96.5	86.6%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Lost
Saga over 70.5	91.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Chiba over 74.5	93.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Saga under 98.5	90.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Saga under 92.5	77.1%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Saga over 69.5	93.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Chiba +16.5	96.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Saga over 74.5	84.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Saga over 72.5	88.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.1%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Chiba over 76.5	90.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Chiba over 73.5	94.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Saga under 90.5	71.0%	1.33	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Lost
Saga over 71.5	90.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Saga over 76.5	78.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Over 151.5	92.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Chiba over 78.5	87.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Chiba over 80.5	82.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Chiba +11.5	92.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Saga over 78.5	72.7%	1.27	Bet365 1.31	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Chiba over 75.5	92.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Chiba +8.5	87.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Saga over 73.5	86.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Saga over 75.5	81.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Chiba over 82.5	77.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Over 156.5	86.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Chiba +3.5	76.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Chiba over 77.5	89.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-0.0pp	Won
Saga over 77.5	75.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Over 161.5	78.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Chiba over 84.5	70.6%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Over 155.5	87.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-1.6pp	Won
Chiba +6.5	83.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-2.2pp	Won
Chiba over 79.5	84.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Won
Chiba over 81.5	79.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-4.0pp	Won
Chiba +1.5	70.2%	1.24	Betano 1.28	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-4.6pp	Won
Chiba over 83.5	73.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-5.6pp	Won
Over 160.5	80.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-5.7pp	Won
Over 165.5	70.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-7.9pp	Won
Under 185	73.8%	1.54	Marathon Bet 1.54	-	-	-	-	-	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	18.9	51.9%	53.6%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	9.6	30.9%	32.9%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	14.9	11.0	73.8%	73.8%	11.0

They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 86.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	19.8	50.3%	53.6%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	10.3	33.1%	32.9%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	21.4	16.3	76.2%	73.8%	16.3

They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	23.1	58.2%	53.6%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	11.7	38.7%	32.9%	35.1
🏀 Free throws	16.8	11.8	70.2%	73.8%	11.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.5	24.2	53.2%	53.6%	48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.2	10.1	31.4%	32.9%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.9	75.3%	73.8%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	18.6	51.8%	53.6%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	10.1	32.8%	32.9%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	15.2	11.3	74.6%	73.8%	11.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	20.8	53.8%	53.6%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.3	34.0%	32.9%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	19.3	14.8	76.7%	73.8%	14.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	20.3	55.2%	53.6%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	10.8	37.7%	32.9%	32.5
🏀 Free throws	16.0	11.8	73.6%	73.8%	11.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	21.7	52.2%	53.6%	43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.4	10.2	31.4%	32.9%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	18.2	13.4	73.6%	73.8%	13.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Saga

LLLLLLLWLL

Chiba

WLLWLLWLWL

#25

League position

#14

-18.0

Net rating

-7.1

90.3

Offensive rating

90.5

108.3

Defensive rating

97.6

49.3%

Effective FG%

50.0%

58.2%

Opp. effective FG%

50.6%

11.1%

Turnover %

14.7%

0.22

Free-throw rate

0.30

30.9%

3-point %

33.1%

60.4%

Assist %

68.8%

10%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Saga ■ Chiba

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Saga wins

Chiba wins

Date	Game	Score
01/02/26	Saga v Chiba	76-95
31/01/26	Saga v Chiba	83-79
12/03/25	Chiba v Saga	85-71
23/10/24	Saga v Chiba	74-79
12/11/23	Chiba v Saga	78-72
11/11/23	Chiba v Saga	76-95

Sagalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	78-84
31/10/26	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	83-100
26/10/26	H	Alvark	88-112
21/10/26	H	Nagasaki	66-84
18/10/26	A	Kyoto	70-115
16/10/26	H	Levanga Hokkaido	90-109
12/10/26	H	Gunma	61-72
10/10/26	A	Kobe	84-77
08/10/26	A	Alvark	74-90
04/10/26	H	NeoPhoenix	89-93

Chibalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/26	H	Altiri Chiba	89-87 OT
01/11/26	H	Toyama	78-83
31/10/26	H	Toyama	93-100
25/10/26	A	Osaka	87-65
21/10/26	H	Kyoto	79-102
19/10/26	H	Tokyo Sunrockers	64-107
17/10/26	H	Shimane	97-78
12/10/26	A	Yokohama	106-108 OT
10/10/26	A	Levanga Hokkaido	109-103
08/10/26	A	Kobe	86-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga

B League 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	8%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LWLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	8	5
Win %	8%	0%	20%
Points / game	76.3	75.4	77.8
Allowed / game	94.0	94.5	93.2
Point differential	-17.7	-19.1	-15.4
Avg total	170.3	169.9	171.0
Over 177.5	46%	50%	40%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Chiba

B League 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	36%
Home	LLLLW	25%
Away	LLWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	36%	25%	50%
Points / game	90.4	87.8	94.0
Allowed / game	96.3	98.9	92.8
Point differential	-5.9	-11.1	+1.2
Avg total	186.7	186.6	186.8
Over 177.5	50%	38%	67%
Win by 10+	14%	12%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	21%	25%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Diamond Dolphins	11	11	0	100%	92.5	74.2	+18.4
2	Hiroshima D.	14	13	1	93%	90.4	79.1	+11.2
3	NeoPhoenix	9	7	2	78%	87.3	80.7	+6.7
4	SeaHorses Mikawa	12	9	3	75%	90.3	80.2	+10.1
5	Alvark	15	11	4	73%	93.6	83.9	+9.7
6	Sendai	15	11	4	73%	86.3	79.3	+7.1
7	Gunma	14	10	4	71%	82.4	73.6	+8.8
8	Tokyo Sunrockers	15	10	5	67%	89.5	79.8	+9.7
9	Kyoto	13	8	5	62%	84.8	78.0	+6.8
10	Levanga Hokkaido	13	8	5	62%	97.4	95.8	+1.5
11	Toyama	14	8	6	57%	83.4	86.2	-2.8
12	Ryukyu	14	7	7	50%	84.4	82.0	+2.4
13	Ibaraki Robots	15	7	8	47%	83.8	78.9	+4.9
14	Yokohama	15	7	8	47%	78.5	83.4	-4.9
15	Shiga	14	6	8	43%	85.6	88.8	-3.2
16	Utsunomiya Brex	14	6	8	43%	81.1	84.6	-3.5
17	Shinshu	15	6	9	40%	84.4	86.6	-2.2
18	Nagasaki	15	6	9	40%	76.7	80.3	-3.5
19	Chiba	14	5	9	36%	90.4	96.3	-5.9
20	Shimane	12	4	8	33%	81.2	82.8	-1.6
21	Altiri Chiba	15	5	10	33%	80.5	86.4	-5.9
22	Brave Thunders	14	4	10	29%	79.0	83.9	-4.9
23	Kobe	14	4	10	29%	79.5	84.9	-5.4
24	Akita	15	4	11	27%	82.7	90.1	-7.4
25	Saga	13	1	12	8%	76.3	94.0	-17.7
26	Osaka	14	1	13	7%	67.9	89.9	-22.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Saga	20	21	26	36	103
Chiba	34	24	25	28	111

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Saga vs Chiba Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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