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Saga vs Chiba Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 10 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#25
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#22
Record4-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game97.0
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Saga v Chiba
10 Feb 2027
SAGA v CHIB
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
SAGA v CHIB
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
SAGA76
CHIB95
31 Jan 2026
SAGA83
CHIB79
23 Oct 2024
SAGA74
CHIB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Chiba win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#5
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 73
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
57avg 73
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
84-77
84
77
+7
75avg 73
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#7
L
61-72
61
72
-11
52avg 73
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#11
L
90-109
90
109
-19
71avg 73
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#8
L
70-115
70
115
-45
58avg 73
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#15
L
66-84
66
84
-18
58avg 73
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
88-112
88
112
-24
72avg 73
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
83-100
83
100
-17
72avg 73
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
60avg 73
A01/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
20-25
31-20
19-22
15-29
19-15
22-22
18-24
27-20
17-12
15-26
25-19
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
24-28
21-26
19-23
26-32
18-29
21-33
16-24
15-29
20-24
15-24
17-17
14-19
13-33
17-28
30-21
28-30
16-37
31-21
11-24
25-18
13-21
28-15
16-21
21-27
171.9Avg total
78.3Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.394.0170.3-17.78%
Season at home (8)75.494.5169.9-19.10%
Season away (5)77.893.2171.0-15.420%
Last 10 (10)78.393.6171.9-15.310%
Last 5 (5)77.099.0176.0-22.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.091.7168.7-14.712%
vs Similar (4)76.077.2153.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (9)87.178.4165.6+8.778%
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Alvark
#4
L
71-96
71
96
-25
62avg 81
H04/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
86-94
86
94
-8
76avg 81
A08/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#11
W
109-103
109
103
+6
104avg 81
A10/10
B League
Yokohama
#13
L
106-108 OT
106
108
-2
96avg 81
A12/10
B League
Shimane
#20
W
97-78
97
78
+19
97avg 81
H17/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#9
L
64-107
64
107
-43
51avg 81
H19/10
B League
Kyoto
#8
L
79-102
79
102
-23
68avg 81
H21/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
87-65
87
65
+22
87avg 81
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#10
L
93-100
93
100
-7
87avg 81
H31/10
B League
Toyama
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 81
H01/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
21-25
14-27
18-22
22-19
29-24
18-18
17-33
32-23
30-32
27-24
20-24
25-22
18-22
25-18
27-33
23-16
23-30
22-15
29-17
25-26
11-22
12-32
16-27
21-26
19-28
24-28
15-20
23-20
29-15
20-14
15-16
34-27
19-30
11-24
29-19
19-20
10-26
23-19
26-18
180.6Avg total
87.0Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.597.0187.5-6.531%
Season at home (7)87.6100.6188.1-13.014%
Season away (6)94.092.8186.8+1.250%
Last 10 (10)87.093.6180.6-6.630%
Last 5 (5)80.291.4171.6-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)88.898.2186.9-9.425%
vs Similar (5)83.487.2170.6-3.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.478.7170.1+12.785%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
SagaChiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#7
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#11
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#8
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#15
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
30-61
30
61
-31
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/11
B League
85.9Avg total
38.1Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.484.7-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.845.183.9-6.320%-
Last 30 away (15)43.941.785.5+2.267%-
Last 10 (10)38.147.885.9-9.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.453.091.4-14.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.846.785.5-7.924%-
vs Similar (4)42.537.279.8+5.275%-
vs Weaker (9)45.739.885.4+5.967%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H04/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A08/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#11
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A10/10
B League
Yokohama
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A12/10
B League
Shimane
#20
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H17/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#9
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H19/10
B League
Kyoto
#8
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H21/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#10
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H31/10
B League
Toyama
#10
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H01/11
B League
92.6Avg total
45.1Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.342.890.1+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.541.987.4+3.656%-
Last 30 away (12)50.144.194.2+6.067%-
Last 10 (10)45.147.592.6-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.048.090.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)45.549.394.8-3.825%-
vs Similar (5)42.843.886.6-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.836.487.2+14.4100%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.9
51.9%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.6
30.9%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.911.0
73.8%
73.8%11.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.8
50.3%
53.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.3
33.1%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.416.3
76.2%
73.8%16.3
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLLLLLWLL
Chiba
LLWLLWLWLL
#25
League position
#22
-18.0
Net rating
-7.1
90.3
Offensive rating
90.5
108.3
Defensive rating
97.6
49.3%
Effective FG%
50.0%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
11.1%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.9%
3-point %
33.1%
60.4%
Assist %
68.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 90.5Defence108.3 · 97.6Shooting49.3% · 50.0%3-point %30.9% · 33.1%Ball care11.1% · 14.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Saga   ■ Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Saga wins
4
Chiba wins
DateGameScore
01/02/26Saga v Chiba76-95
31/01/26Saga v Chiba83-79
12/03/25Chiba v Saga85-71
23/10/24Saga v Chiba74-79
12/11/23Chiba v Saga78-72
11/11/23Chiba v Saga76-95
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa78-84
31/10/26ASeaHorses Mikawa83-100
26/10/26HAlvark88-112
21/10/26HNagasaki66-84
18/10/26AKyoto70-115
16/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido90-109
12/10/26HGunma61-72
10/10/26AKobe84-77
08/10/26AAlvark74-90
04/10/26HNeoPhoenix89-93
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HToyama78-83
31/10/26HToyama93-100
25/10/26AOsaka87-65
21/10/26HKyoto79-102
19/10/26HTokyo Sunrockers64-107
17/10/26HShimane97-78
12/10/26AYokohama106-108 OT
10/10/26ALevanga Hokkaido109-103
08/10/26AKobe86-94
04/10/26HAlvark71-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %8%0%20%
Points / game76.375.477.8
Allowed / game94.094.593.2
Point differential-17.7-19.1-15.4
Avg total170.3169.9171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chiba
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeWLLLL14%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%14%50%
Points / game90.587.694.0
Allowed / game97.0100.692.8
Point differential-6.5-13.0+1.2
Avg total187.5188.1186.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins10100100%92.573.6+18.9
2 Hiroshima D.1312192%91.279.6+11.5
3 SeaHorses Mikawa108280%90.578.2+12.3
4 Alvark1411379%95.483.1+12.3
5 NeoPhoenix97278%87.380.7+6.7
6 Sendai1410471%85.680.0+5.6
7 Gunma139469%81.872.8+8.9
8 Kyoto128467%84.676.8+7.8
9 Tokyo Sunrockers149564%89.479.3+10.1
10 Toyama138562%83.785.7-2.0
11 Levanga Hokkaido127558%95.294.0+1.2
12 Ryukyu137654%85.182.2+2.8
13 Yokohama147750%79.183.1-4.1
14 Ibaraki Robots146843%83.679.6+4.0
15 Nagasaki146843%77.080.3-3.3
16 Shiga125742%85.589.3-3.8
17 Utsunomiya Brex135838%81.285.2-4.0
18 Shinshu145936%83.285.9-2.7
19 Altiri Chiba145936%80.186.2-6.1
20 Shimane124833%81.282.8-1.6
21 Brave Thunders134931%79.384.2-4.8
22 Chiba134931%90.597.0-6.5
23 Akita134931%78.986.7-7.8
24 Kobe1331023%78.986.1-7.2
25 Saga131128%76.394.0-17.7
26 Osaka131128%67.890.2-22.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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