PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sassari vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-91
22-27 17-25 23-16 25-23
Position#6
Record12-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record9-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game75.7
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Sassari v Varese
05 Oct 2025
SAS102
VAR105
05 Jan 2025
SAS81
VAR86
21 Apr 2024
SAS88
VAR112
18 Mar 2023
SAS102
VAR73
19 Dec 2021
SAS104
VAR99
14 Sep 2021
SAS77
VAR61
01 Nov 2020
SAS104
VAR82
12 Jan 2020
SAS93
VAR87
19 Dec 2018
SAS87
VAR90
14 Oct 2018
SAS71
VAR60
25 Mar 2018
SAS87
VAR91
03 Oct 2016
SAS78
VAR72
07 Feb 2016
SAS91
VAR69
19 Apr 2015
SAS71
VAR79
10 Nov 2013
SAS105
VAR74
17 Mar 2013
SAS76
VAR75
11 Dec 2011
SAS90
VAR79
01 May 2011
SAS88
VAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
92-80
92
80
+12
128avg 113
H27/01
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#43
W
103-92
103
92
+11
no box
A30/01
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
L
63-65
63
65
-2
163avg 113
A04/02
Lega A
Enisey
#44
W
101-94
101
94
+7
no box
H07/02
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
82-74
82
74
+8
116avg 113
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
93-116
93
116
-23
113avg 113
A04/03
Lega A
Le Portel
#1
W
72-55
72
55
+17
no box
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#10
W
102-86
102
86
+16
no box
H11/03
Lega A
Le Portel
#1
L
81-100 OT
81
100
-19
no box
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
103-89
103
89
+14
130avg 113
A18/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
28-14
20-14
21-27
22-20
30-30
26-22
25-20
14-15
19-15
22-18
8-17
31-26
19-22
26-17
25-29
11-15
14-23
25-19
32-17
23-32
22-28
19-31
29-25
6-18
21-14
19-15
26-8
23-21
27-19
19-30
33-16
20-22
18-25
14-27
19-14
32-24
24-18
21-20
26-27
174.3Avg total
89.2Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.882.5168.4+3.355%
Season at home (11)87.577.5165.0+9.982%
Season away (11)84.287.5171.7-3.427%
Last 10 (10)89.285.1174.3+4.170%
Last 5 (5)90.289.2179.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.887.8160.6-15.020%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.881.6165.4+2.254%
vs Weaker (12)89.682.8172.4+6.867%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
no box
A02/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
98avg 109
A07/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
120avg 109
H14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
75-63
75
63
+12
103avg 109
A21/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
104avg 109
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
124avg 109
A05/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
100-72
100
72
+28
137avg 109
H11/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
65-74
65
74
-9
96avg 109
A04/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
98avg 109
A10/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
H18/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
18-19
23-20
26-20
14-22
17-22
26-21
15-15
22-18
29-22
18-25
20-27
21-17
15-15
19-20
20-11
17-19
25-17
14-17
20-19
33-25
23-26
22-18
11-16
29-18
34-21
21-17
16-16
16-17
14-16
18-22
17-19
20-17
11-24
21-19
22-22
26-14
18-19
21-24
17-18
160.2Avg total
81.2Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.775.7153.4+2.041%
Season at home (11)82.474.9157.3+7.564%
Season away (11)73.076.5149.5-3.518%
Last 10 (10)81.279.0160.2+2.250%
Last 5 (5)82.077.6159.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.278.2156.5+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (20)77.575.6153.1+1.950%
vs Weaker (6)79.777.7157.3+2.033%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
SassariVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H27/01
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#43
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A30/01
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A04/02
Lega A
Enisey
#44
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H07/02
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A04/03
Lega A
Le Portel
#1
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#10
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H11/03
Lega A
Le Portel
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A18/03
Lega A
85.3Avg total
42.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.881.2-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.938.979.8+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.942.582.4-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.685.3+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.287.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.844.478.2-10.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.540.078.5-1.546%-
vs Weaker (12)45.140.285.3+4.875%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A02/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A07/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A05/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H11/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A04/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/03
Lega A
80.8Avg total
41.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.878.3+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.937.381.2+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)35.640.275.8-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.180.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.484.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.843.082.8-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.038.578.5+1.560%-
vs Weaker (6)37.737.375.0+0.350%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.5
54.3%
51.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.111.7
43.2%
34.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws14.411.6
80.6%
73.0%11.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.3
48.4%
51.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.4
38.8%
34.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.013.4
78.8%
73.0%13.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WLWWLWWLWW
Varese
WLLWWWWLLL
#6
League position
#8
+5.6
Net rating
+2.4
117.8
Offensive rating
109.3
112.1
Defensive rating
107.0
58.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.9%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
43.2%
3-point %
38.8%
59.3%
Assist %
61.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 109.3Defence112.1 · 107.0Shooting58.8% · 52.3%3-point %43.2% · 38.8%Ball care17.8% · 18.9%Off. rebounds29.7% · 34.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Sassari   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Sassari wins
1
Varese wins
DateGameScore
19/11/17Varese v Sassari61-82
22/01/17Varese v Sassari76-83
03/10/16Sassari v Varese78-72
07/02/16Sassari v Varese91-69
26/10/15Varese v Sassari70-86
19/04/15Sassari v Varese71-79
26/12/14Varese v Sassari113-117 OT
23/02/14Varese v Sassari91-112
10/11/13Sassari v Varese105-74
17/03/13Sassari v Varese76-75
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/18ACapo d'Orlando103-89
14/03/18ALe Portel81-100 OT
11/03/18HCremona102-86
07/03/18HLe Portel72-55
04/03/18AOlimpia Milano93-116
11/02/18HVirtus Bologna82-74
07/02/18HEnisey101-94
04/02/18AReggiana63-65
30/01/18AHapoel Holon103-92
27/01/18HTorino92-80
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/18HAvellino82-75
10/03/18ATrento74-82
04/03/18APistoia65-74
11/02/18HBrescia100-72
05/02/18ACantu89-85
29/01/18HOlimpia Milano76-72
21/01/18AVenezia75-63
14/01/18HTorino89-92
07/01/18ACremona72-80
02/01/18ABrindisi90-95 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%82%27%
Points / game85.887.584.2
Allowed / game82.577.587.5
Point differential+3.3+9.9-3.4
Avg total168.4165.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%64%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)-20% (5)
Overtime %14%9%18%
Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW41%
HomeLLWWW64%
AwayLWWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%64%18%
Points / game77.782.473.0
Allowed / game75.774.976.5
Point differential+2.0+7.5-3.5
Avg total153.4157.3149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2318578%80.072.6+7.5
2 Venezia2317674%82.079.2+2.8
3 Brescia2215768%79.074.5+4.5
4 Avellino2315865%83.877.4+6.4
5 Virtus Bologna23131057%79.175.7+3.3
6 Sassari22121055%85.882.5+3.3
7 Cantu23121152%87.788.3-0.5
8 Torino23121152%80.782.2-1.6
9 Cremona22111150%83.381.5+1.8
10 Trento22111150%78.277.7+0.5
11 Reggiana21101148%75.776.4-0.7
12 Varese2291341%77.775.7+2.0
13 Pistoia2381535%76.081.2-5.2
14 Brindisi2371630%77.181.1-4.0
15 Pesaro2251723%77.584.5-7.1
16 Capo d'Orlando2351822%70.583.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari2217232587
Varese2725162391
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.