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Sassari vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 102-73
27-21 24-21 32-4 19-27
Position#5
Record12-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game80.9
Sassari 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record12-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game90.9
ItalyLega ARound 22
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Sassari v Varese
05 Oct 2025
SAS102
VAR105
05 Jan 2025
SAS81
VAR86
21 Apr 2024
SAS88
VAR112
18 Mar 2023
SAS102
VAR73
19 Dec 2021
SAS104
VAR99
14 Sep 2021
SAS77
VAR61
01 Nov 2020
SAS104
VAR82
12 Jan 2020
SAS93
VAR87
19 Dec 2018
SAS87
VAR90
14 Oct 2018
SAS71
VAR60
25 Mar 2018
SAS87
VAR91
03 Oct 2016
SAS78
VAR72
07 Feb 2016
SAS91
VAR69
19 Apr 2015
SAS71
VAR79
10 Nov 2013
SAS105
VAR74
17 Mar 2013
SAS76
VAR75
11 Dec 2011
SAS90
VAR79
01 May 2011
SAS88
VAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 81
A26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
92-94 OT
92
94
-2
no box
H02/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
99-74
99
74
+25
106avg 81
A08/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
111-93
111
93
+18
no box
H15/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
83-93
83
93
-10
75avg 81
A22/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
110-74
110
74
+36
116avg 81
H29/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
95-77
95
77
+18
91avg 81
A05/02
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
93-80
93
80
+13
84avg 81
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 81
H04/03
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
90-80
90
80
+10
92avg 81
A12/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
18-21
14-22
23-25
17-21
23-23
29-13
15-27
20-16
32-24
24-18
23-16
27-23
24-23
37-24
23-23
25-23
19-29
14-25
25-16
29-21
32-15
28-19
21-19
27-15
31-19
17-29
20-14
25-17
21-19
20-22
27-22
25-16
19-27
18-18
28-20
23-21
23-21
16-20
28-18
177.1Avg total
93.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.980.9166.8+5.057%
Season at home (10)88.980.8169.7+8.170%
Season away (11)83.181.0164.1+2.145%
Last 10 (10)93.983.2177.1+10.770%
Last 5 (5)95.678.4174.0+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.082.3155.3-9.317%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.983.5169.4+2.457%
vs Weaker (9)85.778.1163.8+7.656%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
76avg 80
H02/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
104-90
104
90
+14
103avg 80
A08/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
106-79
106
79
+27
109avg 80
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
80-90
80
90
-10
68avg 80
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 80
H28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
91-103
91
103
-12
84avg 80
A05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 80
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
101-93
101
93
+8
92avg 80
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
110-99
110
99
+11
108avg 80
H11/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
27-24
29-20
15-27
26-27
29-17
23-24
26-22
24-20
22-20
27-20
33-19
16-28
25-23
19-23
20-16
15-16
29-22
27-17
9-17
23-20
31-34
20-31
17-18
22-21
23-24
18-23
12-19
12-29
23-15
29-23
16-17
28-29
28-33
25-16
20-15
34-23
28-36
26-21
22-19
180.1Avg total
91.5Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)92.590.9183.4+1.657%
Season at home (11)92.889.4182.2+3.564%
Season away (10)92.292.6184.8-0.450%
Last 10 (10)91.588.6180.1+2.950%
Last 5 (5)91.493.2184.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.696.8181.4-12.112%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.988.9177.7+0.050%
vs Weaker (7)99.992.4192.3+7.486%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
SassariVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H02/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A08/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H15/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A22/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
61-36
61
36
+25
H29/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
58-34
58
34
+24
A05/02
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H04/03
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A12/03
Lega A
89.3Avg total
48.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.783.7+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.340.283.5+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.841.183.9+1.740%-
Last 10 (10)48.141.289.3+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)51.038.289.2+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.244.883.0-6.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.239.983.1+3.464%-
vs Weaker (9)45.938.884.7+7.156%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A08/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H11/03
Lega A
96.1Avg total
48.2Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.746.892.4-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.844.890.6+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)45.548.794.3-3.247%-
Last 10 (10)48.247.996.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)50.452.8103.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.049.590.5-8.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.643.690.1+3.064%-
vs Weaker (7)50.750.4101.1+0.357%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.1
56.5%
51.3%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.512.8
52.2%
36.4%38.4
🏀 Free throws18.314.2
77.6%
76.1%14.2
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.7
51.7%
51.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.712.6
38.5%
36.4%37.8
🏀 Free throws21.815.5
71.1%
76.1%15.5
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WWWWWLWWLL
Varese
WWLLLWLWWL
#5
League position
#4
+15.2
Net rating
+2.1
128.6
Offensive rating
112.5
113.4
Defensive rating
110.4
65.4%
Effective FG%
54.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
18.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
52.2%
3-point %
38.5%
66.0%
Assist %
61.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence128.6 · 112.5Defence113.4 · 110.4Shooting65.4% · 54.6%3-point %52.2% · 38.5%Ball care18.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds31.8% · 25.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Sassari   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Sassari wins
2
Varese wins
DateGameScore
02/10/22Varese v Sassari87-81
08/05/22Varese v Sassari96-110
19/12/21Sassari v Varese104-99
14/09/21Sassari v Varese77-61
08/09/21Varese v Sassari82-92
06/03/21Varese v Sassari89-74
01/11/20Sassari v Varese104-82
12/01/20Sassari v Varese93-87
26/09/19Varese v Sassari52-74
30/01/19Varese v Sassari69-79
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23AScafati90-80
04/03/23HVenezia90-81
12/02/23ABrescia93-80
05/02/23ATrento95-77
29/01/23HPesaro110-74
22/01/23ABasket Napoli83-93
15/01/23HBrindisi111-93
08/01/23AReggiana99-74
02/01/23HBrescia92-94 OT
26/12/22AVenezia76-86
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23HPesaro110-99
05/03/23ABasket Napoli101-93
15/02/23APesaro80-84
12/02/23HOlimpia Milano75-87
05/02/23ATortona91-103
28/01/23HBrescia80-72
22/01/23ATrento80-90
15/01/23HBasket Napoli106-79
08/01/23ABrindisi104-90
02/01/23HTortona88-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW57%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayWLWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%70%45%
Points / game85.988.983.1
Allowed / game80.980.881.0
Point differential+5.0+8.1+2.1
Avg total166.8169.7164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeLWWLW64%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game92.592.892.2
Allowed / game90.989.492.6
Point differential+1.6+3.5-0.4
Avg total183.4182.2184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2117481%83.072.9+10.2
2 Virtus Bologna2117481%84.277.1+7.1
3 Tortona2216673%81.976.7+5.1
4 Sassari2112957%85.980.9+5.0
5 Varese2112957%92.590.9+1.6
6 Pesaro22121055%86.086.3-0.3
7 Brindisi21111052%81.882.6-0.8
8 Trento22111150%75.077.0-2.0
9 Venezia2191243%81.880.1+1.6
10 Treviso2191243%80.284.7-4.5
11 Trieste2291341%77.982.5-4.5
12 Brescia2281436%83.282.6+0.5
13 Scafati2171433%77.078.8-1.9
14 Basket Napoli2171433%77.184.2-7.1
15 Verona2171433%77.885.9-8.1
16 Reggiana2271532%75.477.2-1.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari27243219102
Varese212142773
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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