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Varese vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 100-72
29-18 34-21 21-17 16-16
Position#8
Record7-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game75.7
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#3
Record13-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game73.9
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Varese v Brescia
14 Feb 2026
VAR98
BRE96
25 Jan 2025
VAR77
BRE118
30 Mar 2024
VAR92
BRE95
28 Jan 2023
VAR80
BRE72
26 Sep 2021
VAR75
BRE72
27 Sep 2020
VAR94
BRE89
13 Sep 2020
VAR102
BRE100
11 Mar 2020
VAR v BRE
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
VAR81
BRE80
16 May 2018
VAR64
BRE69
11 Feb 2018
VAR100
BRE72
19 Nov 2016
VAR68
BRE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
L
71-74
71
74
-3
96avg 109
A03/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
82-58
82
58
+24
114avg 109
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
66-76
66
76
-10
90avg 109
A16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
no box
A02/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
98avg 109
A07/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
120avg 109
H14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
75-63
75
63
+12
103avg 109
A21/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
104avg 109
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
124avg 109
A05/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
12-18
19-16
25-18
17-14
24-16
26-17
15-11
15-14
19-21
17-25
15-16
14-17
24-19
17-15
19-23
15-23
18-19
23-20
26-20
14-22
17-22
26-21
15-15
22-18
29-22
18-25
20-27
21-17
15-15
19-20
20-11
17-19
25-17
14-17
20-19
33-25
23-26
22-18
11-16
158.0Avg total
79.5Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.175.7152.8+1.439%
Season at home (9)80.475.2155.7+5.256%
Season away (9)73.876.1149.9-2.322%
Last 10 (10)79.578.5158.0+1.040%
Last 5 (5)80.278.4158.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.077.6156.6+1.460%
vs Similar ◀ (20)76.075.5151.6+0.550%
vs Weaker (5)82.678.4161.0+4.240%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A04/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
78-79
78
79
-1
104avg 107
H09/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
90-71
90
71
+19
119avg 107
H17/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
94avg 107
A26/12
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
67-80
67
80
-13
95avg 107
H02/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A07/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
108avg 107
H14/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
88-70
88
70
+18
124avg 107
H21/01
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
no box
A28/01
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
166avg 107
H04/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
22-19
16-22
22-22
18-21
23-22
21-14
16-22
19-25
17-12
25-24
29-10
16-22
19-23
27-15
9-14
18-18
21-19
15-25
13-18
16-32
24-24
23-20
23-19
22-20
24-16
14-19
16-17
21-20
16-20
27-13
24-17
19-24
22-14
22-26
22-21
22-20
12-11
9-20
27-27
160.8Avg total
81.0Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.973.9153.8+6.072%
Season at home (10)80.471.3151.7+9.170%
Season away (8)79.277.1156.4+2.175%
Last 10 (10)81.079.8160.8+1.250%
Last 5 (5)83.282.0165.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.287.0163.2-10.820%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.878.2155.0-1.553%
vs Weaker (8)81.972.6154.5+9.288%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
VareseBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A03/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A02/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A07/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A05/02
Lega A
77.5Avg total
38.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.478.3-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.837.679.4+4.271%-
Last 30 away (16)36.441.077.4-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.677.5+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.683.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.844.284.0-4.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)38.638.577.2+0.155%-
vs Weaker (5)39.238.277.4+1.060%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A04/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H09/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H17/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A26/12
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H02/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A07/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H14/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/01
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A28/01
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H04/02
Lega A
80.2Avg total
39.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.578.1+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.436.677.0+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)38.740.779.4-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.380.2-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.279.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.442.280.6-3.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.537.575.9+1.059%-
vs Weaker (8)42.938.481.2+4.562%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.6
48.3%
51.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.2
32.4%
34.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws16.412.8
78.0%
73.0%12.8
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.4
53.8%
51.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.8
33.5%
34.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
73.0%13.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWWLLLLLWL
Brescia
LWWWLLLWLW
#8
League position
#3
-0.7
Net rating
+7.0
105.4
Offensive rating
109.6
106.1
Defensive rating
102.6
48.4%
Effective FG%
52.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.4%
3-point %
33.5%
53.7%
Assist %
63.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 109.6Defence106.1 · 102.6Shooting48.4% · 52.5%3-point %32.4% · 33.5%Ball care16.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds33.1% · 31.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
2
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
23/10/17Brescia v Varese73-67
19/03/17Brescia v Varese78-87
19/11/16Varese v Brescia68-74
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/18ACantu89-85
29/01/18HOlimpia Milano76-72
21/01/18AVenezia75-63
14/01/18HTorino89-92
07/01/18ACremona72-80
02/01/18ABrindisi90-95 OT
26/12/17HVirtus Bologna85-90 OT
16/12/17AReggiana66-76
10/12/17HCapo d'Orlando82-58
03/12/17APesaro71-74
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/18HTrento70-78
28/01/18AAvellino96-95 OT
21/01/18HPesaro88-70
14/01/18HPistoia76-72
07/01/18ATorino86-95
02/01/18HCremona67-80
26/12/17AOlimpia Milano71-74
17/12/17HVenezia90-71
09/12/17HSassari78-79
04/12/17ACantu88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW39%
HomeLWLLW56%
AwayLLLWW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%56%22%
Points / game77.180.473.8
Allowed / game75.775.276.1
Point differential+1.4+5.2-2.3
Avg total152.8155.7149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %11%11%11%
Brescia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL72%
HomeWLWWL70%
AwayWWLLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %72%70%75%
Points / game79.980.479.2
Allowed / game73.971.377.1
Point differential+6.0+9.1+2.1
Avg total153.8151.7156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Avellino1914574%84.677.0+7.6
2 Olimpia Milano1914574%78.071.3+6.7
3 Venezia1914574%80.778.6+2.2
4 Brescia1813572%79.973.9+6.0
5 Virtus Bologna1911858%79.976.2+3.7
6 Torino1911858%80.180.4-0.3
7 Sassari1910953%83.780.3+3.4
8 Cremona1991047%82.381.2+1.1
9 Trento1991047%77.777.8-0.2
10 Reggiana1991047%75.976.2-0.3
11 Cantu1991047%87.087.7-0.7
12 Varese1871139%77.175.7+1.4
13 Brindisi1961332%77.180.3-3.2
14 Pistoia1961332%74.880.8-6.0
15 Capo d'Orlando1951426%67.681.6-14.0
16 Pesaro1941521%76.783.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese29342116100
Brescia1821171672
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