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Siauliai vs Neptunas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:50
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#4
Record4-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game85.2
LithuaniaLKL· Siauliu arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Siauliai v Neptunas
29 Apr 2027
SIA v NEP
upcoming
05 Dec 2026
SIA v NEP
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
SIA81
NEP90
02 Nov 2025
SIA89
NEP85
22 Mar 2025
SIA91
NEP78
19 Oct 2024
SIA108
NEP103
02 Oct 2024
SIA102
NEP82
05 May 2024
SIA104
NEP98
24 Sep 2023
SIA90
NEP82
15 Apr 2023
SIA87
NEP89
06 Dec 2022
SIA61
NEP60
21 Mar 2022
SIA84
NEP87
15 Feb 2022
SIA75
NEP77
21 Mar 2021
SIA99
NEP68
07 Jan 2021
SIA76
NEP91
08 Nov 2020
SIA93
NEP88
29 Apr 2020
SIA v NEP
upcoming
17 Nov 2019
SIA95
NEP102
26 Jan 2019
SIA103
NEP106
27 Oct 2018
SIA88
NEP98
14 Apr 2018
SIA77
NEP76
21 Sep 2017
SIA73
NEP82
18 Mar 2017
SIA65
NEP100
06 Nov 2016
SIA62
NEP110
06 May 2016
SIA86
NEP87
01 May 2016
SIA93
NEP84
13 Apr 2016
SIA79
NEP74
07 Nov 2015
SIA68
NEP75
19 Mar 2015
SIA67
NEP88
02 Oct 2014
SIA80
NEP90
07 May 2014
SIA95
NEP66
15 Apr 2014
SIA90
NEP79
06 Feb 2013
SIA81
NEP82
21 Apr 2012
SIA102
NEP92
16 Apr 2012
SIA89
NEP74
06 Oct 2011
SIA85
NEP76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
London Lions
#8
W
74-71
74
71
+3
75avg 77
H30/09
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
79-63
79
63
+16
76avg 77
A03/10
LKL
Frankfurt
#15
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 77
A06/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
69avg 77
H11/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#24
L
75-93
75
93
-18
60avg 77
H14/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 77
H17/10
LKL
Turk Telekom
#27
W
94-84
94
84
+10
96avg 77
A20/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#4
L
88-110
88
110
-22
79avg 77
A25/10
LKL
Maxima Roma
#20
W
98-93
98
93
+5
94avg 77
H28/10
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
76avg 77
H31/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
22-18
16-22
17-17
20-16
28-17
22-17
9-13
13-12
22-16
17-21
19-30
23-25
18-28
21-15
21-3
26-16
14-25
20-25
15-27
27-21
15-27
24-28
22-19
16-21
27-24
24-22
27-17
23-25
17-26
26-31
22-28
31-23
18-26
31-26
18-18
27-22
22-17
15-29
17-23
168.1Avg total
83.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.287.2170.5-4.038%
Season at home (4)84.583.5168.0+1.050%
Season away (4)82.091.0173.0-9.025%
Last 10 (10)83.185.0168.1-1.950%
Last 5 (5)89.894.6184.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.593.8175.4-12.318%
vs Similar (13)81.880.5162.2+1.362%
vs Weaker (6)86.383.7170.0+2.767%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Trento
#22
L
73-76
73
76
-3
66avg 82
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
92avg 82
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 82
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 82
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#25
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 82
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 82
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#18
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 82
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
110-88
110
88
+22
108avg 82
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#3
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 82
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-99
79
99
-20
78avg 82
A31/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
21-15
15-23
22-17
34-10
21-12
14-19
20-21
15-31
24-26
27-18
18-18
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
33-19
20-29
11-25
15-26
173.7Avg total
86.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.685.2170.9+0.450%
Season at home (4)91.881.8173.5+10.075%
Season away (4)79.588.8168.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)86.387.4173.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)89.493.6183.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.393.8176.2-11.50%
vs Similar (12)82.383.1165.4-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)94.086.3180.3+7.758%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
SiauliaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
London Lions
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H30/09
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A03/10
LKL
Frankfurt
#15
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A06/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H11/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#24
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H14/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H17/10
LKL
Turk Telekom
#27
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A20/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#4
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A25/10
LKL
Maxima Roma
#20
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H28/10
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H31/10
LKL
84.7Avg total
42.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.984.9+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.042.787.7+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.941.182.1-0.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.984.7+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.491.0-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.644.886.5-3.236%-
vs Similar (13)43.339.883.1+3.554%-
vs Weaker (6)44.741.386.0+3.350%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#22
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#5
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#25
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#18
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A31/10
LKL
89.4Avg total
46.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.742.888.5+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.442.188.4+4.356%-
Last 30 away (14)44.943.688.6+1.357%-
Last 10 (10)46.043.489.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.847.295.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.749.090.7-7.30%-
vs Similar (12)45.139.584.6+5.675%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)48.343.091.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.5
55.0%
55.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.2
36.1%
35.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.0
73.7%
70.7%14.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.1
53.4%
55.7%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
35.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.620.2
82.1%
70.7%20.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siauliai
LWLWLLWLWW
Neptunas
LLWLWWLLWL
#8
League position
#4
-3.0
Net rating
-1.7
98.5
Offensive rating
98.4
101.5
Defensive rating
100.1
54.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.1%
3-point %
32.8%
62.3%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 98.4Defence101.5 · 100.1Shooting54.6% · 51.8%3-point %36.1% · 32.8%Ball care14.9% · 15.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Siauliai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Siauliai wins
3
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
25/10/26Neptunas v Siauliai110-88
19/04/26Neptunas v Siauliai98-83
08/03/26Siauliai v Neptunas81-90
28/12/25Neptunas v Siauliai101-103
02/11/25Siauliai v Neptunas89-85
27/04/25Neptunas v Siauliai90-95
22/03/25Siauliai v Neptunas91-78
25/01/25Neptunas v Siauliai80-90
27/11/24Neptunas v Siauliai101-104 OT
19/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas108-103 OT
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HTaurage81-91
28/10/26HMaxima Roma98-93
25/10/26ANeptunas88-110
20/10/26ATurk Telekom94-84
17/10/26HRytas88-95
14/10/26HCluj-Napoca75-93
11/10/26HJuventus83-71
06/10/26AFrankfurt71-79
03/10/26AJonava79-63
30/09/26HLondon Lions74-71
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ALietkabelis79-99
28/10/26HBasket Napoli85-94
25/10/26HSiauliai110-88
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
10/10/26ARytas77-86
07/10/26AChemnitz84-93
03/10/26HNevezis89-62
29/09/26HTrento73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game83.284.582.0
Allowed / game87.283.591.0
Point differential-4.0+1.0-9.0
Avg total170.5168.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game85.691.879.5
Allowed / game85.281.888.8
Point differential+0.4+10.0-9.2
Avg total170.9173.5168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas770100%93.073.0+20.0
2 Rytas54180%91.283.4+7.8
3 Gargzdai75271%90.688.4+2.1
4 Neptunas84450%85.685.2+0.4
5 Lietkabelis84450%78.981.1-2.2
6 Jonava73443%78.479.4-1.0
7 Juventus83538%85.287.2-2.0
8 Siauliai83538%83.287.2-4.0
9 Taurage83538%81.487.8-6.4
10 Nevezis6060%71.383.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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