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Melbourne United vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 05:30
Final 98-87
24-22 27-25 23-26 24-14
Position#4
Record12-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#5
Record8-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game85.8
AustraliaNBLRound 10· John Cain Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Melbourne United v Perth
07 Feb 2027
MELB v PERT
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
MELB98
PERT87
04 Mar 2025
MELB113
PERT112
27 Feb 2025
MELB105
PERT93
09 Nov 2024
MELB106
PERT97
23 Dec 2023
MELB109
PERT103
06 Nov 2023
MELB95
PERT102
31 Oct 2022
MELB94
PERT77
10 Mar 2022
MELB87
PERT97
12 Feb 2022
MELB93
PERT87
25 Jun 2021
MELB81
PERT76
20 Jun 2021
MELB83
PERT74
05 May 2021
MELB69
PERT82
20 Feb 2021
MELB85
PERT89
07 Feb 2021
MELB75
PERT71
29 Jan 2020
MELB77
PERT67
20 Oct 2019
MELB93
PERT95
17 Mar 2019
MELB84
PERT97
10 Mar 2019
MELB92
PERT74
17 Feb 2019
MELB81
PERT70
17 Dec 2018
MELB82
PERT65
16 Feb 2018
MELB97
PERT85
19 Nov 2017
MELB59
PERT91
12 Feb 2017
MELB94
PERT96
23 Oct 2016
MELB69
PERT72
27 Dec 2015
MELB92
PERT87
29 Oct 2015
MELB75
PERT73
28 Dec 2014
MELB80
PERT81
23 Nov 2014
MELB91
PERT76
02 Feb 2014
MELB57
PERT81
20 Oct 2013
MELB71
PERT75
17 Feb 2013
MELB79
PERT83
21 Oct 2012
MELB65
PERT74
23 Mar 2012
MELB71
PERT72
18 Nov 2011
MELB87
PERT82
19 Nov 2010
MELB84
PERT93
24 Oct 2010
MELB66
PERT91
06 Feb 2010
MELB78
PERT84
20 Jan 2010
MELB100
PERT86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
95-60
95
60
+35
84avg 88
H12/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
86avg 88
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
104-88
104
88
+16
103avg 88
H19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
94-67
94
67
+27
88avg 88
A24/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
81-80
81
80
+1
71avg 88
H26/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
92-95
92
95
-3
85avg 88
H03/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
93-107
93
107
-14
80avg 88
A05/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
88avg 88
A08/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
99-93
99
93
+6
90avg 88
H15/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
105-102
105
102
+3
89avg 88
A21/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
21-10
22-16
25-19
31-16
24-21
15-17
25-32
28-17
28-21
19-25
29-25
31-16
17-18
24-17
22-16
14-17
26-20
19-18
22-25
25-30
25-24
19-23
23-18
22-32
21-25
25-22
25-28
27-28
20-17
21-12
24-24
24-24
23-14
25-16
27-39
38-33
20-19
28-31
19-19
180.9Avg total
95.0Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)97.385.8183.1+11.586%
Season at home (7)98.383.0181.3+15.386%
Season away (7)96.388.6184.9+7.786%
Last 10 (10)95.085.9180.9+9.180%
Last 5 (5)96.295.6191.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)93.595.8189.2-2.238%
vs Similar ◀ (9)97.291.0188.2+6.289%
vs Weaker (13)97.587.5185.1+10.085%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
69avg 94
A10/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
93-110
93
110
-17
82avg 94
H15/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
59avg 94
A19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
110-78
110
78
+32
106avg 94
A22/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
84-85
84
85
-1
67avg 94
H25/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
95-84
95
84
+11
88avg 94
A29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
87avg 94
A02/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
94-87
94
87
+7
91avg 94
A09/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
79avg 94
H15/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
101-95
101
95
+6
100avg 94
H21/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
18-20
20-17
19-17
21-26
27-30
23-24
22-30
22-15
23-35
21-24
6-20
30-22
30-20
28-20
22-16
19-23
15-18
24-11
26-33
16-28
21-13
35-27
23-16
24-21
22-25
26-29
17-19
17-18
27-27
28-31
22-11
22-14
21-24
21-22
24-15
32-28
25-24
24-19
20-24
178.5Avg total
90.6Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.285.8175.0+3.362%
Season at home (6)88.387.3175.7+1.050%
Season away (7)89.984.6174.4+5.371%
Last 10 (10)90.687.9178.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)93.487.0180.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.0107.0187.0-27.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)100.398.7199.0+1.756%
vs Weaker (19)100.789.8190.5+10.979%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
Melbourne UnitedPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H12/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A24/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H26/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H03/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A05/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A08/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H15/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A21/11
NBL
90.9Avg total
49.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.845.894.6+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.744.493.1+4.354%-
Last 30 away (17)48.846.995.8+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)49.241.790.9+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)49.049.298.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)45.149.894.9-4.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)50.046.696.6+3.467%-
vs Weaker (13)50.242.993.1+7.269%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A10/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H15/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
60-42
60
42
+18
A22/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H25/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H15/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H21/11
NBL
90.9Avg total
45.5Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.548.297.7+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.548.795.2-2.238%-
Last 30 away (17)51.847.999.6+3.953%-
Last 10 (10)45.545.490.9+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)45.444.489.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.556.5103.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)50.351.4101.8-1.133%-
vs Weaker (19)49.445.895.2+3.558%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 96.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.824.6
52.6%
54.6%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.3
31.3%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.919.5
78.3%
74.8%19.5
They take 76.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.922.3
53.2%
54.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.9
32.2%
33.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.818.3
76.9%
74.8%18.3
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WWWLLWWWWW
Perth
WWWLWLWLLW
#4
League position
#5
+11.7
Net rating
+3.2
114.1
Offensive rating
113.9
102.4
Defensive rating
110.8
50.4%
Effective FG%
51.3%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
13.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.3%
3-point %
32.2%
56.3%
Assist %
52.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 113.9Defence102.4 · 110.8Shooting50.4% · 51.3%3-point %31.3% · 32.2%Ball care13.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds31.9% · 34.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Melbourne United wins
3
Perth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25AIllawarra Hawks105-102
15/11/25HBrisbane Bullets99-93
08/11/25ASouth East Melbourne92-81
05/11/25AIllawarra Hawks93-107
03/11/25HSydney92-95
26/10/25HAdelaide81-80
24/10/25ACairns Taipans94-67
19/10/25HNew Zealand Breakers104-88
17/10/25ABrisbane Bullets95-86
12/10/25HCairns Taipans95-60
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25HTasmania JackJumpers101-95
15/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers88-75
09/11/25AAdelaide94-87
02/11/25ASouth East Melbourne89-94
29/10/25ATasmania JackJumpers95-84
25/10/25HIllawarra Hawks84-85
22/10/25ACairns Taipans110-78
19/10/25ASydney72-94
15/10/25HBrisbane Bullets93-110
10/10/25ACairns Taipans80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW86%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%86%86%
Points / game97.398.396.3
Allowed / game85.883.088.6
Point differential+11.5+15.3+7.7
Avg total183.1181.3184.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%50%71%
Points / game89.288.389.9
Allowed / game85.887.384.6
Point differential+3.3+1.0+5.3
Avg total175.0175.7174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%17%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1412286%97.385.8+11.5
2 Adelaide1411379%91.985.9+5.9
3 South East Melbourne139469%96.588.4+8.2
4 Perth138562%89.285.8+3.3
5 Sydney137654%91.185.8+5.2
6 Tasmania JackJumpers156940%85.786.8-1.1
7 New Zealand Breakers1551033%88.388.1+0.1
8 Brisbane Bullets1551033%88.796.1-7.4
9 Illawarra Hawks134931%88.897.2-8.4
10 Cairns Taipans1531220%81.496.5-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United2427232498
Perth2225261487
← all games of the day
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