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Sydney vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 89-93
25-18 20-31 24-23 20-21
Position#4
Record5-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#9
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game84.6
AustraliaNBLRound 6· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sydney v New Zealand Breakers
15 Nov 2026
SYDN v NEW
upcoming
14 Oct 2026
SYDN101
NEW 102
09 Nov 2025
SYDN79
NEW 72
04 Oct 2025
SYDN97
NEW 75
27 Oct 2024
SYDN89
NEW 93
28 Feb 2024
SYDN76
NEW 83
14 Jan 2024
SYDN105
NEW 76
05 Nov 2023
SYDN87
NEW 85
15 Mar 2023
SYDN77
NEW 69
10 Mar 2023
SYDN91
NEW 68
03 Mar 2023
SYDN87
NEW 95
22 Jan 2023
SYDN88
NEW 93
06 Feb 2022
SYDN84
NEW 65
16 Jan 2022
SYDN75
NEW 82
25 Feb 2021
SYDN96
NEW 78
12 Feb 2021
SYDN84
NEW 74
18 Oct 2019
SYDN96
NEW 91
11 Jan 2019
SYDN100
NEW 92
18 Nov 2018
SYDN100
NEW 87
18 Feb 2018
SYDN101
NEW 86
21 Dec 2017
SYDN95
NEW 98
29 Jan 2017
SYDN84
NEW 57
30 Dec 2016
SYDN85
NEW 80
27 Dec 2015
SYDN83
NEW 93
19 Nov 2015
SYDN74
NEW 86
26 Dec 2014
SYDN85
NEW 97
06 Dec 2014
SYDN82
NEW 69
08 Feb 2014
SYDN98
NEW 96
29 Dec 2013
SYDN83
NEW 99
01 Apr 2013
SYDN88
NEW 99
09 Feb 2013
SYDN94
NEW 96
08 Dec 2012
SYDN75
NEW 62
15 Oct 2011
SYDN61
NEW 98
05 Dec 2010
SYDN80
NEW 94
16 Oct 2010
SYDN70
NEW 83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
122-67
122
67
+55
126avg 86
A17/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 86
H28/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
102-94
102
94
+8
91avg 86
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#3
W
88-87
88
87
+1
73avg 86
A27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 86
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 86
A05/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
66avg 86
A11/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
99-73
99
73
+26
95avg 86
H13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
79avg 86
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
84-87
84
87
-3
75avg 86
A25/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-14
29-25
29-17
30-11
22-15
25-23
13-22
16-23
27-28
24-20
19-27
32-19
27-11
16-29
24-18
21-29
15-27
32-21
20-27
22-21
22-17
25-10
28-28
16-27
22-26
15-23
25-19
17-21
28-18
25-21
23-18
23-16
13-21
20-24
16-8
31-18
21-21
23-20
16-24
24-22
173.9Avg total
91.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.084.9173.9+4.162%
Season at home (2)94.084.5178.5+9.550%
Season away (6)87.385.0172.3+2.367%
Last 10 (10)91.082.9173.9+8.160%
Last 5 (5)86.680.4167.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.096.0185.0-7.00%
vs Similar (15)93.293.5186.7-0.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)93.587.5181.0+6.057%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
81-94
81
94
-13
65avg 78
A11/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
103-87
103
87
+16
96avg 78
H16/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
70-76
70
76
-6
56avg 78
A18/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
83-76
83
76
+7
74avg 78
A28/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
78avg 78
A04/03
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
91-87
91
87
+4
88avg 78
H21/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
69avg 78
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
61avg 78
A17/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
83avg 78
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
62-88
62
88
-26
48avg 78
H24/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
17-28
16-23
26-16
26-21
29-19
20-23
28-24
14-17
21-20
12-21
23-18
15-22
23-25
22-13
23-16
17-31
25-11
21-24
22-22
24-19
27-15
21-18
19-35
11-21
22-15
27-23
21-20
13-17
20-22
17-19
23-26
24-18
17-21
27-19
21-27
17-27
18-20
16-18
11-23
166.2Avg total
81.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.284.6163.8-5.460%
Season at home (4)80.884.8165.5-4.075%
Season away (1)73.084.0157.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)81.884.4166.2-2.650%
Last 5 (5)79.284.6163.8-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)84.888.7173.4-3.956%
vs Similar (17)87.886.6174.4+1.253%
vs Weaker (4)87.881.0168.8+6.850%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
SydneyNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
63-39
63
39
+24
A17/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H28/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A05/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/10
NBL
87.9Avg total
46.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.144.592.6+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.146.696.7+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)46.442.689.0+3.869%-
Last 10 (10)46.541.487.9+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.283.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.048.095.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (15)50.343.894.1+6.580%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.845.090.8+0.850%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A11/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H16/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A28/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/03
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H21/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A17/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H24/10
NBL
81.8Avg total
40.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.843.186.9+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.141.586.7+3.653%-
Last 30 away (15)42.544.787.1-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.681.8-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.077.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.943.485.3-1.644%-
vs Similar (17)44.243.988.1+0.441%-
vs Weaker (4)46.239.085.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.7
53.4%
52.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.1
32.9%
35.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.213.1
72.0%
74.7%13.1
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.9
52.0%
52.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.0
32.5%
35.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.812.2
68.5%
74.7%12.2
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
LWWLWLWWLW
New Zealand Breakers
LWLWWLWLWL
#4
League position
#9
+9.3
Net rating
-3.1
111.8
Offensive rating
105.1
102.4
Defensive rating
108.2
51.6%
Effective FG%
50.7%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.9%
3-point %
32.5%
61.3%
Assist %
55.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 105.1Defence102.4 · 108.2Shooting51.6% · 50.7%3-point %32.9% · 32.5%Ball care16.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds34.3% · 27.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Sydney   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sydney wins
5
New Zealand Breakers wins
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/24APerth84-87
18/10/24ATasmania JackJumpers80-71
13/10/24HCairns Taipans99-73
11/10/24AAdelaide79-89
05/10/24ABrisbane Bullets91-82
29/09/24HIllawarra Hawks89-96
27/09/24APerth88-87
22/09/24AAdelaide102-94
28/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers76-83
17/02/24ASouth East Melbourne122-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/24HSouth East Melbourne62-88
19/10/24HPerth89-85
17/10/24ABrisbane Bullets73-84
29/09/24HSouth East Melbourne81-79
21/09/24HBrisbane Bullets91-87
04/03/24AIllawarra Hawks85-88
28/02/24ASydney83-76
18/02/24AAdelaide70-76
16/02/24HBrisbane Bullets103-87
11/02/24AMelbourne United81-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %62%50%67%
Points / game89.094.087.3
Allowed / game84.984.585.0
Point differential+4.1+9.5+2.3
Avg total173.9178.5172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game79.280.873.0
Allowed / game84.684.884.0
Point differential-5.4-4.0-11.0
Avg total163.8165.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks86275%97.886.5+11.2
2 Melbourne United85362%90.484.0+6.4
3 Sydney85362%89.084.9+4.1
4 Adelaide85362%91.292.1-0.9
5 New Zealand Breakers53260%79.284.6-5.4
6 Perth73443%86.089.6-3.6
7 Cairns Taipans83538%86.992.5-5.6
8 Tasmania JackJumpers83538%78.684.2-5.6
9 Brisbane Bullets62433%86.790.0-3.3
10 South East Melbourne82625%86.587.1-0.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney2520242089
New Zealand Breakers1831232193
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