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Sydney vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 76-83
22-15 25-23 13-22 16-23
Position#7
Record13-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game92.9
Sydney
Australia
vs
New Zealand Breakers 🏆
Australia
Position#5
Record13-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game88.6
AustraliaNBL· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sydney v New Zealand Breakers
15 Nov 2026
SYDN v NEW
upcoming
14 Oct 2026
SYDN101
NEW 102
09 Nov 2025
SYDN79
NEW 72
04 Oct 2025
SYDN97
NEW 75
27 Oct 2024
SYDN89
NEW 93
28 Feb 2024
SYDN76
NEW 83
14 Jan 2024
SYDN105
NEW 76
05 Nov 2023
SYDN87
NEW 85
15 Mar 2023
SYDN77
NEW 69
10 Mar 2023
SYDN91
NEW 68
03 Mar 2023
SYDN87
NEW 95
22 Jan 2023
SYDN88
NEW 93
06 Feb 2022
SYDN84
NEW 65
16 Jan 2022
SYDN75
NEW 82
25 Feb 2021
SYDN96
NEW 78
12 Feb 2021
SYDN84
NEW 74
18 Oct 2019
SYDN96
NEW 91
11 Jan 2019
SYDN100
NEW 92
18 Nov 2018
SYDN100
NEW 87
18 Feb 2018
SYDN101
NEW 86
21 Dec 2017
SYDN95
NEW 98
29 Jan 2017
SYDN84
NEW 57
30 Dec 2016
SYDN85
NEW 80
27 Dec 2015
SYDN83
NEW 93
19 Nov 2015
SYDN74
NEW 86
26 Dec 2014
SYDN85
NEW 97
06 Dec 2014
SYDN82
NEW 69
08 Feb 2014
SYDN98
NEW 96
29 Dec 2013
SYDN83
NEW 99
01 Apr 2013
SYDN88
NEW 99
09 Feb 2013
SYDN94
NEW 96
08 Dec 2012
SYDN75
NEW 62
15 Oct 2011
SYDN61
NEW 98
05 Dec 2010
SYDN80
NEW 94
16 Oct 2010
SYDN70
NEW 83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
85-101
85
101
-16
81avg 89
H04/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
93-101
93
101
-8
84avg 89
H07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
82-95
82
95
-13
64avg 89
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
105-76
105
76
+29
107avg 89
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
98-104
98
104
-6
87avg 89
H21/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
89avg 89
A25/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 89
H28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 89
A02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
95-106
95
106
-11
86avg 89
H11/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
122-67
122
67
+55
126avg 89
A17/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
17-20
19-35
26-28
24-23
15-29
28-28
26-21
19-20
8-22
27-28
28-25
34-19
29-15
26-20
16-22
20-34
37-24
21-22
20-24
27-36
27-25
14-21
30-22
22-26
36-17
14-22
26-21
18-17
23-20
18-17
19-31
17-31
29-28
19-20
30-27
34-14
29-25
29-17
30-11
187.9Avg total
95.4Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)95.492.9188.4+2.546%
Season at home (14)96.694.6191.3+2.050%
Season away (14)94.291.2185.4+3.043%
Last 10 (10)95.492.5187.9+2.930%
Last 5 (5)98.289.6187.8+8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)92.291.4183.6+0.744%
vs Weaker (12)96.792.1188.8+4.650%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
72avg 80
H12/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
76-105
76
105
-29
62avg 80
A14/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
106-75
106
75
+31
104avg 80
H20/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 80
H26/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
68avg 80
A28/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
89-78
89
78
+11
81avg 80
A04/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
88-85
88
85
+3
81avg 80
H09/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
81-94
81
94
-13
65avg 80
A11/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
103-87
103
87
+16
96avg 80
H16/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
70-76
70
76
-6
56avg 80
A18/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
22-22
18-23
19-20
19-34
15-29
20-26
22-16
25-10
27-27
25-26
29-12
24-20
33-19
12-21
25-28
22-22
26-20
20-22
17-25
21-16
25-23
25-24
18-15
18-21
23-21
27-19
20-24
22-27
17-28
16-23
26-16
26-21
29-19
20-23
28-24
14-17
21-20
12-21
23-18
173.2Avg total
87.3Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)89.288.6177.8+0.646%
Season at home (14)91.687.8179.4+3.857%
Season away (14)86.989.4176.2-2.536%
Last 10 (10)87.385.9173.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)86.284.0170.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.491.9180.3-3.443%
vs Similar ◀ (17)87.885.9173.6+1.953%
vs Weaker (6)89.387.3176.7+2.033%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
SydneyNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
63-34
63
34
+29
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H21/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A25/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H11/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
63-39
63
39
+24
A17/02
NBL
95.1Avg total
48.8Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.145.493.5+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.447.496.8+2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)46.943.490.3+3.560%-
Last 10 (10)48.846.395.1+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)52.447.8100.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)48.344.492.7+3.961%-
vs Weaker (12)47.946.994.8+1.050%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
34-63
34
63
-29
A14/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H20/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H26/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A28/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A04/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H09/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A11/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H16/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/02
NBL
88.4Avg total
45.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.688.4+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.341.988.2+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)43.445.388.7-1.953%-
Last 10 (10)45.143.388.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.685.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.444.488.9+0.057%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)44.343.487.6+0.953%-
vs Weaker (6)46.843.390.2+3.567%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 95.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.824.2
57.9%
50.9%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.1
32.5%
33.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.016.3
77.6%
73.8%16.3
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.822.1
51.6%
50.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.5
37.0%
33.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.713.6
72.7%
73.8%13.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
WLLWLLWLLL
New Zealand Breakers
LWLWWLWWLL
#7
League position
#5
+4.3
Net rating
+1.8
116.6
Offensive rating
109.9
112.3
Defensive rating
108.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.1%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.5%
3-point %
37.0%
54.5%
Assist %
50.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 109.9Defence112.3 · 108.1Shooting54.0% · 53.1%3-point %32.5% · 37.0%Ball care16.1% · 15.2%Off. rebounds33.5% · 26.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Sydney   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sydney wins
4
New Zealand Breakers wins
DateGameScore
14/01/24Sydney v New Zealand Breakers105-76
22/12/23New Zealand Breakers v Sydney109-101
05/11/23Sydney v New Zealand Breakers87-85
15/03/23Sydney v New Zealand Breakers77-69
12/03/23New Zealand Breakers v Sydney80-70
10/03/23Sydney v New Zealand Breakers91-68
05/03/23New Zealand Breakers v Sydney74-81
03/03/23Sydney v New Zealand Breakers87-95
22/01/23Sydney v New Zealand Breakers88-93
08/12/22New Zealand Breakers v Sydney81-88
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24ASouth East Melbourne122-67
11/02/24HIllawarra Hawks95-106
02/02/24AAdelaide78-85
28/01/24HMelbourne United98-86
25/01/24ASouth East Melbourne98-104
21/01/24HPerth98-104
14/01/24HNew Zealand Breakers105-76
11/01/24AAdelaide82-95
07/01/24HBrisbane Bullets93-101
04/01/24HMelbourne United85-101
New Zealand Breakerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24AAdelaide70-76
16/02/24HBrisbane Bullets103-87
11/02/24AMelbourne United81-94
09/02/24HIllawarra Hawks88-85
04/02/24APerth89-78
28/01/24AIllawarra Hawks85-89
26/01/24HTasmania JackJumpers94-88
20/01/24HSouth East Melbourne106-75
14/01/24ASydney76-105
12/01/24HMelbourne United81-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW46%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game95.496.694.2
Allowed / game92.994.691.2
Point differential+2.5+2.0+3.0
Avg total188.4191.3185.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL46%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %46%57%36%
Points / game89.291.686.9
Allowed / game88.687.889.4
Point differential+0.6+3.8-2.5
Avg total177.8179.4176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2820871%93.487.6+5.8
2 Perth28171161%93.991.5+2.4
3 Tasmania JackJumpers29171259%91.684.6+7.0
4 Illawarra Hawks29141548%90.490.0+0.4
5 Sydney28131546%95.492.9+2.5
6 New Zealand Breakers28131546%89.288.6+0.6
7 Brisbane Bullets28131546%87.890.5-2.7
8 Cairns Taipans28121643%89.592.5-3.0
9 Adelaide28121643%87.891.5-3.8
10 South East Melbourne28101836%86.696.1-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney2225131676
New Zealand Breakers1523222383
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