PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 123-111
37-28 25-26 36-31 25-26
Position#2
Record23-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game116.4
Allowed / game114.4
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
vs
Boston Celtics
USA
Position#3
Record26-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game118.8
Allowed / game112.1
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics
18 Nov 2026
DEN v BOS
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
DEN103
BOS84
07 Jan 2025
DEN106
BOS118
07 Mar 2024
DEN115
BOS109
01 Jan 2023
DEN123
BOS111
20 Mar 2022
DEN104
BOS124
11 Apr 2021
DEN87
BOS105
22 Nov 2019
DEN96
BOS92
05 Nov 2018
DEN115
BOS107
29 Jan 2018
DEN110
BOS111
10 Mar 2017
DEN119
BOS99
21 Feb 2016
DEN101
BOS121
23 Jan 2015
DEN99
BOS100
07 Jan 2014
DEN129
BOS98
19 Feb 2013
DEN97
BOS90
17 Mar 2012
DEN98
BOS91
24 Feb 2011
DEN89
BOS75
21 Feb 2010
DEN114
BOS105
23 Feb 2009
DEN76
BOS114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#22
W
115-110
115
110
+5
112avg 113
H11/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
141-128
141
128
+13
146avg 113
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
108-126
108
126
-18
101avg 113
A17/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
119-115
119
115
+4
116avg 113
H19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
105-91
105
91
+14
98avg 113
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
120-107
120
107
+13
119avg 113
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
121avg 113
H26/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
113-106
113
106
+7
112avg 113
A28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
126-127
126
127
-1
124avg 113
A29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
124-119
124
119
+5
129avg 113
H31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
33-26
31-38
23-20
38-31
34-36
30-28
39-33
32-33
33-31
23-29
20-33
20-25
35-27
39-28
25-35
35-14
20-26
29-31
21-20
32-27
26-37
35-16
27-27
28-24
23-33
30-27
32-29
20-32
27-24
32-27
34-23
40-24
35-38
30-32
21-33
23-19
37-38
25-33
39-29
235.3Avg total
119.9Scored
115.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)116.4114.4230.8+2.066%
Season at home (16)118.9109.9228.8+9.081%
Season away (19)114.3118.2232.5-3.853%
Last 10 (10)119.9115.4235.3+4.580%
Last 5 (5)122.2116.8239.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)115.8116.1231.9-0.250%
vs Weaker (18)117.3111.8229.2+5.578%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
107-123
107
123
-16
90avg 110
A11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
93-113
93
113
-20
87avg 110
A13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
122-118 OT
122
118
+4
110avg 110
A14/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
109-117
109
117
-8
93avg 110
H17/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
92-95
92
95
-3
83avg 110
H18/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
112-117
112
117
-5
104avg 110
H22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
121-109
121
109
+12
112avg 110
H24/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
139-118
139
118
+21
135avg 110
H25/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
126-102
126
102
+24
125avg 110
H28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
116-110
116
110
+6
108avg 110
H30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-33
38-35
20-27
24-28
25-29
22-27
25-32
21-25
37-24
28-26
23-32
22-28
28-32
26-30
27-26
28-29
23-26
18-24
30-18
21-27
22-42
21-29
42-29
27-17
22-29
32-27
34-30
33-23
36-28
26-33
38-25
39-32
22-21
34-28
36-32
34-21
27-26
33-23
24-36
32-25
225.9Avg total
113.7Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)118.8112.1230.9+6.872%
Season at home (20)122.5113.0235.5+9.675%
Season away (16)114.2110.9225.1+3.269%
Last 10 (10)113.7112.2225.9+1.550%
Last 5 (5)122.8111.2234.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)124.5112.0236.5+12.583%
vs Weaker (24)118.0111.5229.4+6.571%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
Denver NuggetsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#22
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H11/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A17/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H26/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H31/12
NBA
117.0Avg total
59.9Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.658.3118.9+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.355.9117.1+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)60.160.4120.4-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)59.957.1117.0+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)58.259.2117.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)59.856.8116.5+3.058%-
vs Weaker (18)61.259.3120.5+1.956%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
65-50
65
50
+15
A14/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H17/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H18/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
43-71
43
71
-28
H22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H24/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H25/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H30/12
NBA
111.7Avg total
54.5Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.756.6117.3+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.157.1118.1+4.071%-
Last 30 away (13)60.356.0116.3+4.362%-
Last 10 (10)54.557.2111.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)55.057.2112.2-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)63.358.3121.7+5.0100%-
vs Weaker (24)60.156.2116.2+3.958%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 119.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.734.3
59.4%
54.5%68.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.7
38.5%
35.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws25.919.2
74.1%
78.1%19.2
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.726.4
56.5%
54.5%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.113.9
31.5%
35.8%41.7
🏀 Free throws24.419.2
78.7%
78.1%19.2
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWWWLWW
Boston Celtics
WWWWLLLWLL
#2
League position
#3
+4.4
Net rating
+1.5
116.9
Offensive rating
110.7
112.5
Defensive rating
109.2
58.9%
Effective FG%
52.0%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
14.3%
Turnover %
12.4%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.5%
3-point %
31.5%
67.6%
Assist %
61.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 110.7Defence112.5 · 109.2Shooting58.9% · 52.0%3-point %38.5% · 31.5%Ball care14.3% · 12.4%Off. rebounds22.7% · 23.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
Boston Celtics wins
DateGameScore
12/11/22Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets131-112
21/03/22Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics104-124
12/02/22Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets108-102
11/04/21Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics87-105
17/02/21Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets112-99
07/12/19Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets108-95
23/11/19Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics96-92
18/03/19Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets105-114
06/11/18Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics115-107
30/01/18Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics110-111
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22HMiami Heat124-119
29/12/22ASacramento Kings126-127
28/12/22ASacramento Kings113-106
26/12/22HPhoenix Suns128-125 OT
24/12/22HPortland Trail Blazers120-107
21/12/22HMemphis Grizzlies105-91
19/12/22HCharlotte Hornets119-115
17/12/22ALos Angeles Lakers108-126
15/12/22HWashington Wizards141-128
11/12/22HUtah Jazz115-110
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22HLos Angeles Clippers116-110
28/12/22HHouston Rockets126-102
25/12/22HMilwaukee Bucks139-118
24/12/22HMinnesota Timberwolves121-109
22/12/22HIndiana Pacers112-117
18/12/22HOrlando Magic92-95
17/12/22HOrlando Magic109-117
14/12/22ALos Angeles Lakers122-118 OT
13/12/22ALos Angeles Clippers93-113
11/12/22AGolden State Warriors107-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW66%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayLWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351619
Win %66%81%53%
Points / game116.4118.9114.3
Allowed / game114.4109.9118.2
Point differential+2.0+9.0-3.8
Avg total230.8228.8232.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)62% (8)83% (6)
Overtime %6%6%5%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWWLLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362016
Win %72%75%69%
Points / game118.8122.5114.2
Allowed / game112.1113.0110.9
Point differential+6.8+9.6+3.2
Avg total230.9235.5225.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %11%10%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics36261072%118.8112.1+6.8
2 Brooklyn Nets36241267%114.5111.0+3.5
3 Milwaukee Bucks35231266%112.9110.5+2.5
4 Denver Nuggets35231266%116.4114.4+2.0
5 New Orleans Pelicans36231364%117.6112.8+4.8
6 Memphis Grizzlies35221363%115.4111.2+4.2
7 Cleveland Cavaliers37231462%111.2106.2+5.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers35211460%111.9108.2+3.7
9 Dallas Mavericks37211657%112.6110.4+2.2
10 Sacramento Kings34191556%118.3116.7+1.6
11 Los Angeles Clippers38211755%109.7109.4+0.3
12 Phoenix Suns37201754%115.1112.0+3.1
13 Indiana Pacers37201754%115.4115.8-0.5
14 Portland Trail Blazers35181751%112.3112.2+0.1
15 New York Knicks37191851%114.5112.1+2.4
16 Golden State Warriors37191851%116.4116.8-0.4
17 Miami Heat37191851%109.0109.6-0.6
18 Utah Jazz39192049%117.3116.6+0.7
19 Atlanta Hawks36171947%114.5115.5-1.0
20 Toronto Raptors36162044%111.3111.2+0.1
21 Chicago Bulls36162044%113.8114.8-1.0
22 Washington Wizards37162143%111.9112.9-1.0
23 Minnesota Timberwolves37162143%114.4115.9-1.5
24 Oklahoma City Thunder36152142%115.2116.8-1.6
25 Los Angeles Lakers36152142%116.0117.7-1.7
26 Orlando Magic37132435%109.8113.9-4.2
27 San Antonio Spurs36122433%111.9120.5-8.6
28 Houston Rockets36102628%109.4115.8-6.4
29 Charlotte Hornets37102727%111.3118.0-6.7
30 Detroit Pistons39102926%111.7118.5-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets37253625123
Boston Celtics28263126111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.