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Trento vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 90-80
28-16 23-25 23-19 16-20
Position#7
Record8-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game75.3
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record9-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game91.0
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Trento v Varese
18 Oct 2026
TRE87
VAR85
08 Feb 2026
TRE84
VAR78
13 Oct 2024
TRE106
VAR100
04 Feb 2024
TRE90
VAR84
22 Jan 2023
TRE90
VAR80
28 Jan 2022
TRE84
VAR90
22 Nov 2020
TRE74
VAR77
19 Apr 2020
TRE v VAR
upcoming
02 Feb 2019
TRE74
VAR71
10 Mar 2018
TRE82
VAR74
18 Dec 2016
TRE84
VAR68
15 Nov 2015
TRE89
VAR63
02 Mar 2015
TRE78
VAR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
L
58-69
58
69
-11
47avg 61
A10/12
Lega A
Hamburg
#16
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 61
H13/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
77-75
77
75
+2
72avg 61
H18/12
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#20
L
57-80
57
80
-23
43avg 61
A21/12
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
L
68-74
68
74
-6
no box
A26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
68-78
68
78
-10
58avg 61
H02/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 61
A07/01
Lega A
Promitheas
#7
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 61
A11/01
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
L
68-84
68
84
-16
52avg 61
H15/01
Lega A
London Lions
#14
L
70-84
70
84
-14
54avg 61
H18/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
14-14
16-18
13-21
16-20
25-22
23-20
21-18
21-16
18-12
18-19
20-28
14-27
14-20
9-15
20-18
17-20
22-24
17-13
12-17
14-19
14-17
17-17
23-25
25-20
25-12
13-17
15-24
16-23
22-22
17-21
16-18
13-23
20-24
16-17
19-20
24-20
18-20
14-22
14-22
148.1Avg total
70.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.775.3149.1-1.653%
Season at home (7)71.072.6143.6-1.657%
Season away (8)76.177.8153.9-1.650%
Last 10 (10)70.078.1148.1-8.130%
Last 5 (5)71.080.6151.6-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.581.1153.5-8.623%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.680.5155.1-5.936%
vs Weaker (3)75.372.3147.7+3.067%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
W
101-93
101
93
+8
88avg 78
A06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
73avg 78
H19/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
98-91
98
91
+7
88avg 78
A27/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
100-108
100
108
-8
86avg 78
H04/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
93-101
93
101
-8
88avg 78
A11/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
no box
H18/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
61avg 78
A26/12
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
76avg 78
H02/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
104-90
104
90
+14
103avg 78
A08/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
106-79
106
79
+27
109avg 78
H15/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-33
28-15
17-20
25-25
20-16
27-23
26-30
20-21
34-30
25-19
19-21
20-21
20-28
27-28
22-23
31-29
27-27
17-32
30-23
19-19
26-16
21-22
25-21
16-29
21-36
11-21
28-25
24-14
17-18
27-24
29-20
15-27
26-27
29-17
23-24
26-22
24-20
22-20
27-20
33-19
190.7Avg total
97.1Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)93.791.0184.7+2.760%
Season at home (8)94.590.6185.1+3.962%
Season away (7)92.991.4184.3+1.457%
Last 10 (10)97.193.6190.7+3.560%
Last 5 (5)97.290.6187.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)85.591.5177.0-5.936%
vs Similar ◀ (14)89.288.1177.3+1.157%
vs Weaker (5)97.691.0188.6+6.680%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
TrentoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A10/12
Lega A
Hamburg
#16
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H13/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H18/12
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#20
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A21/12
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H02/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A07/01
Lega A
Promitheas
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/01
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H15/01
Lega A
London Lions
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H18/01
Eurocup
75.8Avg total
36.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.176.9-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.838.774.5-2.936%-
Last 30 away (16)37.841.279.1-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.175.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.078.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.542.277.7-6.623%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.138.176.2-0.136%-
vs Weaker (3)37.040.077.0-3.033%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H19/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A27/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H04/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A11/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H18/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A26/12
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A08/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H15/01
Lega A
95.2Avg total
48.0Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.044.389.3+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.143.187.2+1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)46.045.691.6+0.471%-
Last 10 (10)48.047.295.2+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.289.0+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.546.589.9-3.055%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.441.987.2+3.564%-
vs Weaker (5)47.446.493.8+1.060%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.818.4
44.0%
51.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.2
32.6%
36.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.911.7
73.6%
76.1%11.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 94.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.4
56.5%
51.3%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.0
36.0%
36.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws23.217.4
75.0%
76.1%17.4
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LLLWLLLWWL
Varese
WWLLWLLWWW
#7
League position
#4
-9.8
Net rating
+3.4
95.8
Offensive rating
115.3
105.6
Defensive rating
111.9
45.7%
Effective FG%
55.3%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.4%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.6%
3-point %
36.0%
48.0%
Assist %
55.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 115.3Defence105.6 · 111.9Shooting45.7% · 55.3%3-point %32.6% · 36.0%Ball care16.8% · 14.4%Off. rebounds25.0% · 23.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Trento   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Trento wins
6
Varese wins
DateGameScore
16/10/22Varese v Trento91-94 OT
30/01/22Varese v Trento90-89
28/01/22Trento v Varese84-90
28/03/21Varese v Trento88-70
22/11/20Trento v Varese74-77
29/12/19Varese v Trento81-86
02/02/19Trento v Varese74-71
21/10/18Varese v Trento93-85
10/03/18Trento v Varese82-74
04/11/17Varese v Trento93-66
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23HLondon Lions70-84
15/01/23HReggiana68-84
11/01/23APromitheas71-84
07/01/23ABrescia78-73
02/01/23HBrindisi68-78
26/12/22ATrieste68-74
21/12/22ASlask Wroclaw57-80
18/12/22HOlimpia Milano77-75
13/12/22HHamburg85-80
10/12/22ABasket Napoli58-69
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23HBasket Napoli106-79
08/01/23ABrindisi104-90
02/01/23HTortona88-89
26/12/22AOlimpia Milano84-96
18/12/22HTrieste104-99 OT
11/12/22APesaro93-101
04/12/22HVirtus Bologna100-108
27/11/22AVerona98-91
19/11/22HVenezia93-90
06/11/22AScafati101-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL53%
HomeLWWLL57%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game73.771.076.1
Allowed / game75.372.677.8
Point differential-1.6-1.6-1.6
Avg total149.1143.6153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %13%0%25%
Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game93.794.592.9
Allowed / game91.090.691.4
Point differential+2.7+3.9+1.4
Avg total184.7185.1184.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %13%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1512380%83.973.3+10.7
2 Virtus Bologna1612475%84.477.4+7.0
3 Tortona1510567%80.976.1+4.8
4 Pesaro1610662%87.483.2+4.1
5 Varese159660%93.791.0+2.7
6 Trento158753%73.775.3-1.6
7 Venezia168850%82.279.2+2.9
8 Sassari157847%82.880.9+1.9
9 Brescia157847%84.783.3+1.3
10 Brindisi167944%80.084.3-4.3
11 Trieste167944%79.483.8-4.4
12 Scafati156940%76.777.5-0.8
13 Verona1661038%78.485.6-7.1
14 Treviso1551033%78.185.1-7.0
15 Basket Napoli1551033%76.784.3-7.7
16 Reggiana1541127%75.978.4-2.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2823231690
Varese1625192080
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