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Trieste vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-82
30-21 14-20 26-24 16-17
Position#10
Record4-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game93.6
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record5-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game75.4
ItalyLega ARound 9· PalaTrieste
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Trieste v Olimpia Milano
14 Mar 2027
TRI v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
TRI86
MIL82
29 Sep 2024
TRI84
MIL78
05 Feb 2023
TRI59
MIL65
19 Dec 2021
TRI71
MIL68
11 Oct 2020
TRI65
MIL87
26 Jan 2020
TRI67
MIL85
13 Jan 2019
TRI73
MIL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
L
90-91
90
91
-1
82avg 79
H15/10
Champions League
Venezia
#5
L
66-102
66
102
-36
53avg 79
A18/10
Lega A
Igokea
#39
L
76-91
76
91
-15
67avg 79
A21/10
Champions League
Udine
#13
W
92-85
92
85
+7
93avg 79
H26/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
107-100
107
100
+7
107avg 79
A01/11
Lega A
Igokea
#39
W
115-90
115
90
+25
107avg 79
H04/11
Champions League
Brescia
#4
L
75-98
75
98
-23
60avg 79
A09/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 79
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
94-113
94
113
-19
85avg 79
A15/11
Lega A
Galatasaray
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 79
A18/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
21-28
29-21
23-21
19-26
19-20
17-32
11-24
12-27
27-28
14-15
23-21
26-30
21-19
24-24
21-12
25-30
33-24
34-23
15-23
23-16
33-28
21-18
38-28
26-32
18-21
16-18
15-27
15-29
26-14
23-18
27-20
22-27
24-23
23-35
25-28
18-18
21-21
18-22
23-18
181.6Avg total
88.6Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.093.6180.6-6.650%
Season at home (3)90.085.7175.7+4.367%
Season away (5)85.298.4183.6-13.240%
Last 10 (10)88.693.0181.6-4.450%
Last 5 (5)91.092.2183.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.491.1171.5-10.730%
vs Similar (10)87.492.7180.1-5.340%
vs Weaker (9)92.880.2173.0+12.678%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#8
L
72-74
72
74
-2
61avg 81
A28/10
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
86-77
86
77
+9
85avg 81
H30/10
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
93-61
93
61
+32
100avg 81
A02/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
92-98
92
98
-6
85avg 81
A05/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
95avg 81
A07/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
87-63
87
63
+24
88avg 81
H09/11
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 81
H12/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
88-87
88
87
+1
83avg 81
H14/11
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
75avg 81
H16/11
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
83-105
83
105
-22
74avg 81
H20/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
22-22
20-28
11-10
23-15
24-12
20-26
19-24
27-16
26-12
16-22
24-11
20-27
21-29
27-24
24-18
16-16
17-20
26-12
14-25
25-13
21-16
21-16
20-18
18-9
22-23
16-19
24-21
27-21
20-22
20-13
21-31
15-21
23-23
22-21
20-21
25-25
20-24
19-27
19-29
167.4Avg total
85.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.875.4162.1+11.462%
Season at home (4)84.877.8162.5+7.050%
Season away (4)88.873.0161.8+15.875%
Last 10 (10)85.881.6167.4+4.260%
Last 5 (5)83.682.6166.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.389.3181.7+3.067%
vs Similar (16)79.678.4158.0+1.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.475.1161.5+11.370%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
TriesteOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H15/10
Champions League
Venezia
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A18/10
Lega A
Igokea
#39
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A21/10
Champions League
Udine
#13
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H26/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A01/11
Lega A
Igokea
#39
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H04/11
Champions League
Brescia
#4
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A09/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A15/11
Lega A
Galatasaray
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/11
Champions League
92.8Avg total
44.6Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.486.4-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.941.185.0+2.854%-
Last 30 away (17)42.245.287.5-3.035%-
Last 10 (10)44.648.292.8-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)45.245.891.0-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.046.385.3-7.30%-
vs Similar (10)44.846.591.3-1.750%-
vs Weaker (9)45.938.083.9+7.978%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/10
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H30/10
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A02/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A05/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A07/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H09/11
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/11
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/11
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H20/11
Euroleague
81.1Avg total
43.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.882.3+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.641.285.8+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)40.638.679.2+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.081.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.482.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.746.391.0-1.733%-
vs Similar (16)40.938.179.0+2.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.340.184.4+4.260%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.9
52.0%
54.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.7
35.2%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.719.7
79.8%
76.1%19.7
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.1
56.8%
54.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.1
36.9%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.814.5
77.1%
76.1%14.5
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WLWLWWWLLL
Olimpia Milano
LLWWWWLWWL
#10
League position
#2
-6.8
Net rating
+5.7
112.8
Offensive rating
115.6
119.7
Defensive rating
109.9
52.4%
Effective FG%
56.1%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.9%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.2%
3-point %
36.9%
60.1%
Assist %
67.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 115.6Defence119.7 · 109.9Shooting52.4% · 56.1%3-point %35.2% · 36.9%Ball care16.5% · 17.9%Off. rebounds30.5% · 32.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Trieste   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trieste wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25AGalatasaray80-79
15/11/25ACremona94-113
12/11/25HTortona91-81
09/11/25ABrescia75-98
04/11/25HIgokea115-90
01/11/25ATreviso107-100
26/10/25HUdine92-85
21/10/25AIgokea76-91
18/10/25AVenezia66-102
15/10/25HGalatasaray90-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv83-105
16/11/25HTrapani80-86
14/11/25HOlympiacos88-87
12/11/25HLyon-Villeurbanne80-72
09/11/25HTreviso87-63
07/11/25AAnadolu Efes97-93 OT
05/11/25ABrescia92-98
02/11/25AReggiana93-61
30/10/25HParis86-77
28/10/25ABarcelona72-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game87.090.085.2
Allowed / game93.685.798.4
Point differential-6.6+4.3-13.2
Avg total180.6175.7183.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game86.884.888.8
Allowed / game75.477.873.0
Point differential+11.4+7.0+15.8
Avg total162.1162.5161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia98189%88.779.7+9.0
2 Virtus Bologna87188%89.080.2+8.8
3 Trapani87188%92.186.9+5.2
4 Venezia86275%91.583.5+8.0
5 Tortona86275%89.587.4+2.1
6 Olimpia Milano85362%86.875.4+11.4
7 Cremona95456%87.383.6+3.8
8 Trieste84450%87.093.6-6.6
9 Trento94544%85.381.6+3.8
10 Basket Napoli83538%84.988.9-4.0
11 Cantu83538%82.091.4-9.4
12 Reggiana82625%81.284.9-3.6
13 Sassari82625%81.987.4-5.5
14 Varese82625%81.190.6-9.5
15 Udine81712%82.284.9-2.6
16 Treviso91811%83.695.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste3014261686
Olimpia Milano2120241782
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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