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Virtus Bologna vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-96
12-26 21-24 25-18 21-28
Position#14
Record13-16
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#2
Record20-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30
European cup2022
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Real Madrid
22 Dec 2026
VIR v MAD
upcoming
30 Sep 2025
VIR74
MAD68
13 Mar 2025
VIR67
MAD80
15 Mar 2024
VIR74
MAD89
24 Mar 2023
VIR79
MAD96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Tortona
#4
W
90-65
90
65
+25
no box
H18/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
H19/02
Italian Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
85avg 78
H24/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
72-104
72
104
-32
67avg 78
A03/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
W
91-90
91
90
+1
88avg 78
H05/03
Lega A
Partizan
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
82avg 78
H07/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
96-74
96
74
+22
100avg 78
A09/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
83-68
83
68
+15
79avg 78
A12/03
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
66avg 78
A16/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
67avg 78
A19/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
23-21
21-18
17-14
16-17
14-23
21-21
25-23
16-19
28-22
24-21
20-21
14-31
15-27
23-27
20-19
18-25
26-18
23-18
24-29
26-28
21-17
16-20
16-23
22-14
27-19
28-26
19-15
24-12
14-14
26-17
19-25
22-21
15-20
16-22
15-18
26-15
23-21
8-19
18-14
162.4Avg total
81.8Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.381.3159.6-3.045%
Season at home (15)79.778.8158.5+0.953%
Season away (14)76.883.9160.7-7.136%
Last 10 (10)81.880.6162.4+1.260%
Last 5 (5)80.276.0156.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.385.8166.1-5.540%
vs Similar (8)79.178.6157.8+0.550%
vs Weaker (11)83.877.3161.1+6.582%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
96-69
96
69
+27
100avg 82
H23/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
75-71
75
71
+4
70avg 82
A03/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 82
A05/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
81-85
81
85
-4
82avg 82
H07/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
95-91
95
91
+4
98avg 82
H09/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
86-65
86
65
+21
82avg 82
H12/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
90avg 82
A14/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
91-87
91
87
+4
83avg 82
H16/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
82avg 82
H19/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
20-22
20-27
23-27
22-24
31-14
23-14
20-17
20-10
27-22
16-22
12-17
24-14
20-16
22-27
18-21
22-17
21-23
22-22
16-23
24-20
25-20
22-25
24-26
11-15
27-13
26-13
22-24
24-18
15-24
21-35
29-13
24-23
18-17
25-26
24-21
27-15
18-24
24-31
19-25
169.1Avg total
86.7Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.878.4163.3+6.469%
Season at home (15)90.780.9171.5+9.873%
Season away (14)78.675.9154.4+2.764%
Last 10 (10)86.782.4169.1+4.360%
Last 5 (5)89.885.6175.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
vs Similar (10)83.981.7165.6+2.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.675.5163.1+12.194%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
Virtus BolognaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#4
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H18/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/02
Italian Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H24/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
29-58
29
58
-29
A03/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H05/03
Lega A
Partizan
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H07/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A09/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A12/03
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A19/03
Lega A
81.5Avg total
41.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.379.3+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.739.680.3+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.338.978.2+0.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.681.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.280.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.943.982.8-5.040%-
vs Similar (8)39.537.476.9+2.150%-
vs Weaker (11)42.036.878.8+5.273%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H23/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A03/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A05/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H07/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H09/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H12/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A14/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H19/03
ACB
80.7Avg total
43.9Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.236.779.9+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.836.681.4+8.188%-
Last 30 away (14)41.436.978.2+4.564%-
Last 10 (10)43.936.880.7+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.880.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (10)41.339.881.1+1.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.635.179.6+9.589%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.3
50.0%
53.5%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.4
40.3%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.113.5
78.9%
78.5%13.5
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.722.6
59.9%
53.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
36.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.917.7
80.8%
78.5%17.7
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLWWLWLWLW
Real Madrid
LWLWWLWWWL
#14
League position
#2
-2.2
Net rating
+9.2
108.6
Offensive rating
118.0
110.8
Defensive rating
108.8
54.6%
Effective FG%
56.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
19.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
40.3%
3-point %
34.6%
71.9%
Assist %
56.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 118.0Defence110.8 · 108.8Shooting54.6% · 56.9%3-point %40.3% · 34.6%Ball care19.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds27.5% · 31.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Bologna wins
0
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
27/10/22Real Madrid v Virtus Bologna91-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23AOlimpia Milano75-69
16/03/23AMonaco68-81
12/03/23AVenezia83-68
09/03/23AAlba Berlin96-74
07/03/23HPartizan79-88
05/03/23HTortona91-90
03/03/23AFenerbahce72-104
24/02/23HBaskonia88-83
19/02/23HBrescia76-84
18/02/23HTortona90-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23HBaskonia88-95
16/03/23HOlimpia Milano91-87
14/03/23AAnadolu Efes89-90
12/03/23HBilbao86-65
09/03/23HValencia95-91
07/03/23HBaskonia81-85
05/03/23AObradoiro CAB84-78
03/03/23ALyon-Villeurbanne75-71
23/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas96-69
18/02/23HUnicaja82-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWWLWL53%
AwayLWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%53%36%
Points / game78.379.776.8
Allowed / game81.378.883.9
Point differential-3.0+0.9-7.1
Avg total159.6158.5160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %69%73%64%
Points / game84.890.778.6
Allowed / game78.480.975.9
Point differential+6.4+9.8+2.7
Avg total163.3171.5154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)43% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2921872%84.775.7+9.0
2 Real Madrid2920969%84.878.4+6.4
3 Barcelona30201067%81.077.2+3.7
4 Monaco29191066%83.981.6+2.3
5 Fenerbahce30181260%84.280.6+3.6
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv30171357%82.681.4+1.2
7 Partizan29161355%84.582.5+2.0
8 Baskonia30151550%85.583.8+1.7
9 Zalgiris Kaunas30151550%75.577.8-2.3
10 Valencia29141548%83.085.5-2.6
11 Anadolu Efes30141647%82.581.8+0.7
12 Olimpia Milano29131645%73.876.8-2.9
13 Virtus Bologna29131645%78.381.3-3.0
14 Crvena zvezda30131743%76.078.2-2.2
15 Bayern29111838%76.879.6-2.8
16 Panathinaikos30102033%79.182.8-3.8
17 Alba Berlin3092130%80.184.9-4.8
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3082227%74.780.7-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1221252179
Real Madrid2624182896
← all games of the day
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