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Bayern vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 May 2021
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 85-79
17-29 24-10 24-19 20-21
Position#1
Record3-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game80.0
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game101.7
Allowed / game80.3
GermanyGerman CupGerman Cup - Final
Other2020-21
Meetings · Bayern v Alba Berlin
26 Sep 2026
BAY95
ABE61
21 Jun 2026
BAY81
ABE84
14 Jun 2026
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2026
BAY102
ABE94
01 May 2026
BAY85
ABE79
02 Feb 2025
BAY99
ABE86
14 Nov 2024
BAY115
ABE88
10 Jun 2024
BAY70
ABE79
08 Jun 2024
BAY79
ABE67
05 May 2024
BAY77
ABE53
05 Oct 2023
BAY80
ABE68
17 Mar 2023
BAY75
ABE76
18 Feb 2023
BAY83
ABE77
08 Jan 2023
BAY79
ABE80
19 Jun 2022
BAY81
ABE96
14 Jun 2022
BAY58
ABE71
10 May 2022
BAY78
ABE83
28 Jan 2022
BAY62
ABE56
13 Jun 2021
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2021
BAY69
ABE81
16 May 2021
BAY85
ABE79
25 Apr 2021
BAY62
ABE100
05 Feb 2021
BAY101
ABE95
10 Nov 2019
BAY84
ABE80
23 Dec 2018
BAY70
ABE78
16 Dec 2018
BAY83
ABE81
16 Jun 2018
BAY106
ABE85
10 Jun 2018
BAY72
ABE66
03 Jun 2018
BAY95
ABE106
25 Mar 2018
BAY72
ABE91
13 May 2017
BAY80
ABE73
06 May 2017
BAY95
ABE68
18 Feb 2017
BAY78
ABE70
16 Oct 2016
BAY97
ABE58
01 Mar 2016
BAY84
ABE75
28 Feb 2016
BAY96
ABE65
21 Feb 2016
BAY65
ABE67
02 Jun 2015
BAY89
ABE83
28 May 2015
BAY85
ABE73
26 Apr 2015
BAY70
ABE68
15 Jun 2014
BAY92
ABE86
08 Jun 2014
BAY88
ABE81
04 May 2014
BAY72
ABE80
12 May 2013
BAY89
ABE83
04 May 2013
BAY88
ABE67
10 Feb 2013
BAY79
ABE61
26 Nov 2011
BAY79
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
68avg 76
A20/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
60avg 76
A22/04
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
62-100
62
100
-38
55avg 76
H25/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
85-79
85
79
+6
85avg 76
H28/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 76
H30/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#11
W
102-90
102
90
+12
106avg 76
A02/05
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
89-92
89
92
-3
80avg 76
A04/05
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
64-98
64
98
-34
59avg 76
H07/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
69avg 76
A09/05
BBL
Ulm
#9
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
no box
A15/05
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
26-11
20-26
14-26
12-26
17-21
24-18
16-15
21-23
9-29
16-31
16-17
23-9
16-26
25-16
21-28
23-19
17-31
23-21
22-11
25-26
27-18
25-18
25-28
22-24
18-26
18-22
31-20
18-35
14-21
17-17
15-25
12-24
21-26
25-17
19-24
26-18
23-18
20-32
15-16
170.8Avg total
81.5Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.580.0172.5+12.575%
Season at home (1)89.095.0184.0-6.00%
Season away (3)93.775.0168.7+18.7100%
Last 10 (10)81.589.3170.8-7.840%
Last 5 (5)87.294.6181.8-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.783.7158.3-9.067%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.084.0163.0-5.036%
vs Weaker (13)88.978.5167.4+10.585%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
81-58
81
58
+23
80avg 78
H08/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
72avg 78
H10/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
102-96
102
96
+6
102avg 78
A13/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
78avg 78
H22/04
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
100-62
100
62
+38
105avg 78
A25/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
82-81
82
81
+1
75avg 78
A30/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
99-79
99
79
+20
94avg 78
A02/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
79-78
79
78
+1
80avg 78
H04/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
91-81
91
81
+10
95avg 78
A09/05
BBL
Gottingen
#3
W
112-96
112
96
+16
no box
A15/05
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
25-8
17-16
15-12
10-15
19-15
16-23
23-22
29-20
20-30
25-24
28-22
17-11
19-23
14-23
32-30
23-21
29-9
31-16
17-16
14-21
29-21
16-20
23-19
25-18
33-19
23-19
18-23
23-21
18-27
17-16
21-14
31-25
23-21
17-11
20-24
24-14
31-35
28-19
29-28
168.9Avg total
89.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)101.780.3182.0+21.3100%
Season at home (1)103.063.0166.0+40.0100%
Season away (2)101.089.0190.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.679.3168.9+10.380%
Last 5 (5)92.683.0175.6+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.785.7160.3-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.780.4163.1+2.256%
vs Weaker (18)89.477.3166.7+12.278%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
BayernAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A20/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A22/04
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H25/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H28/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H30/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A02/05
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A04/05
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H07/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A09/05
BBL
Ulm
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A15/05
German Cup
83.5Avg total
38.8Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.479.6-1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.941.179.1-3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)40.239.880.0+0.556%-
Last 10 (10)38.844.783.5-5.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.247.288.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.745.081.7-8.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.741.678.4-4.936%-
vs Weaker (13)42.438.080.4+4.485%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H08/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H10/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A13/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H22/04
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A25/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A30/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A02/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H04/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A09/05
BBL
Gottingen
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A15/05
German Cup
86.2Avg total
46.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.340.284.5+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.936.076.9+4.967%-
Last 30 away (18)46.642.989.5+3.661%-
Last 10 (10)46.639.686.2+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)50.244.494.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.043.390.3+3.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.742.182.8-1.433%-
vs Weaker (18)45.738.784.3+7.078%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.6
53.1%
51.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.9
33.5%
34.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws22.617.3
76.5%
72.2%17.3
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.821.6
60.3%
51.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.0
37.6%
34.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.412.2
79.2%
72.2%12.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLLLWWWLLL
Alba Berlin
WWWWWWLWLW
#1
League position
#2
-8.5
Net rating
+11.4
108.7
Offensive rating
117.4
117.2
Defensive rating
106.0
52.1%
Effective FG%
58.7%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.5%
3-point %
37.6%
61.8%
Assist %
75.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 117.4Defence117.2 · 106.0Shooting52.1% · 58.7%3-point %33.5% · 37.6%Ball care18.5% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.7% · 31.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Bayern   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bayern wins
4
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
25/04/21Bayern v Alba Berlin62-100
05/02/21Bayern v Alba Berlin101-95 OT
03/01/21Alba Berlin v Bayern85-72
09/10/20Alba Berlin v Bayern72-90
10/11/19Bayern v Alba Berlin84-80
28/04/19Alba Berlin v Bayern75-85
23/12/18Bayern v Alba Berlin70-78
16/12/18Bayern v Alba Berlin83-81
16/06/18Bayern v Alba Berlin106-85
13/06/18Alba Berlin v Bayern72-68
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/21AUlm104-102 OT
09/05/21ALudwigsburg77-91
07/05/21HUlm64-98
04/05/21AOlimpia Milano89-92
02/05/21AGottingen102-90
30/04/21HOlimpia Milano85-82
28/04/21HOlimpia Milano85-79
25/04/21HAlba Berlin62-100
22/04/21AOlimpia Milano69-80
20/04/21AOlimpia Milano78-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/21AGottingen112-96
09/05/21AChemnitz91-81
04/05/21HLudwigsburg79-78
02/05/21As.Oliver Wurzburg99-79
30/04/21AVechta82-81
25/04/21ABayern100-62
22/04/21HBasketball Braunschweig82-87
13/04/21AGiessen102-96
10/04/21HHamburg68-75
08/04/21HCrvena zvezda81-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
German Cup 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeL0%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%0%100%
Points / game92.589.093.7
Allowed / game80.095.075.0
Point differential+12.5-6.0+18.7
Avg total172.5184.0168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%33%
Alba Berlin
German Cup 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game101.7103.0101.0
Allowed / game80.363.089.0
Point differential+21.3+40.0+12.0
Avg total182.0166.0190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin330100%101.780.3+21.3
2 Bayern43175%92.580.0+12.5
3 Gottingen43175%99.295.5+3.8
4 Bonn32167%87.781.7+6.0
5 Ludwigsburg32167%83.077.0+6.0
6 Frankfurt32167%79.776.3+3.3
7 Bamberg32167%78.377.3+1.0
8 Syntainics MBC32167%94.0101.7-7.7
9 Ulm42250%84.881.2+3.5
10 Bayreuth31233%95.397.7-2.3
11 Vechta31233%88.791.0-2.3
12 Crailsheim Merlins31233%79.385.3-6.0
13 Basketball Braunschweig31233%79.794.0-14.3
14 Giessen3030%91.3102.7-11.3
15 Oldenburg2020%82.093.5-11.5
16 s.Oliver Wurzburg3030%70.082.3-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1724242085
Alba Berlin2910192179
← all games of the day
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