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Trieste vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 108-83
28-20 26-27 17-17 37-19
Position#6
Record7-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game79.1
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record4-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game86.8
ItalyLega ARound 14
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Trieste v Varese
24 Jan 2027
TRI v VAR
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
TRI90
VAR89
03 Nov 2024
TRI107
VAR81
16 Apr 2023
TRI80
VAR83
14 Nov 2021
TRI70
VAR86
27 Jan 2021
TRI108
VAR83
29 Sep 2019
TRI62
VAR92
10 Feb 2019
TRI96
VAR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
60-77
60
77
-17
55avg 74
H13/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
67-73
67
73
-6
54avg 74
A16/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
92-82
92
82
+10
92avg 74
H20/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
no box
A23/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
74-84
74
84
-10
69avg 74
A27/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
87avg 74
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
67avg 74
H06/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 74
A10/01
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
101-80
101
80
+21
101avg 74
A17/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
82-103
82
103
-21
76avg 74
H24/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-20
18-23
17-16
18-18
17-20
14-14
10-13
26-26
23-17
24-26
26-21
19-18
16-20
23-25
11-25
16-11
20-26
25-20
17-19
12-19
18-14
23-21
22-24
21-20
23-17
15-15
22-19
18-18
15-24
24-15
20-14
23-16
24-25
23-26
29-12
25-17
18-28
28-27
15-20
21-28
158.3Avg total
78.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.779.1156.9-1.447%
Season at home (8)79.981.6161.5-1.850%
Season away (7)75.376.3151.6-1.043%
Last 10 (10)78.679.7158.3-1.150%
Last 5 (5)85.480.0165.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.981.2154.1-8.431%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.276.5155.8+2.858%
vs Weaker (2)89.578.0167.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Cremona
#9
L
67-80
67
80
-13
55avg 70
A17/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
58avg 70
H24/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
82-104
82
104
-22
73avg 70
A01/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 70
A08/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
96avg 70
H15/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
77-74
77
74
+3
74avg 70
A22/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
52avg 70
H06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
76-89
76
89
-13
69avg 70
H13/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 70
A20/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 70
H27/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
15-21
16-15
18-18
23-29
16-24
21-15
13-17
18-36
14-31
26-17
24-20
21-16
18-18
18-27
21-24
20-17
28-16
23-28
27-27
14-21
20-15
25-21
18-17
18-20
14-35
18-22
20-19
12-14
23-19
8-24
33-32
23-27
25-19
14-18
15-22
29-16
16-14
8-28
26-22
164.4Avg total
77.7Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.986.8166.8-6.931%
Season at home (7)81.488.1169.6-6.729%
Season away (6)78.285.3163.5-7.233%
Last 10 (10)77.786.7164.4-9.020%
Last 5 (5)75.885.0160.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.093.4173.4-13.410%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.985.0164.9-5.130%
vs Weaker (10)86.577.9164.4+8.670%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
TriesteVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H13/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A16/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H20/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A23/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A27/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H06/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A10/01
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A17/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H24/01
Lega A
82.1Avg total
39.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.978.9-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.440.780.1-1.344%-
Last 30 away (14)36.441.277.6-4.821%-
Last 10 (10)39.842.382.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.484.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.141.277.2-5.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.840.279.0-1.533%-
vs Weaker (2)49.043.092.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#9
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H24/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
32-67
32
67
-35
A01/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H15/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A22/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
32-55
32
55
-23
H06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A20/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H27/12
Lega A
81.9Avg total
38.5Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.085.7-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.743.486.1-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)40.544.785.2-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.543.481.9-4.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.078.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.051.992.9-10.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.840.179.9-0.340%-
vs Weaker (10)44.140.184.2+4.060%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.7
52.9%
51.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.4
35.6%
35.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.911.4
67.5%
75.8%11.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.4
47.2%
51.2%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.610.5
32.2%
35.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.014.6
76.8%
75.8%14.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LWWWWLLWLL
Varese
LLLLWWLLLL
#6
League position
#12
-0.9
Net rating
-12.1
105.3
Offensive rating
103.5
106.2
Defensive rating
115.6
53.1%
Effective FG%
47.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.3%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.6%
3-point %
32.2%
64.6%
Assist %
56.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 103.5Defence106.2 · 115.6Shooting53.1% · 47.8%3-point %35.6% · 32.2%Ball care18.1% · 17.3%Off. rebounds25.5% · 29.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Trieste   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trieste wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
19/01/20Varese v Trieste91-85
29/09/19Trieste v Varese62-92
10/02/19Trieste v Varese96-104
28/10/18Varese v Trieste78-66
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21HSassari82-103
17/01/21ACremona101-80
10/01/21AFortitudo Bologna82-69
06/01/21HReggiana78-69
30/12/20HTreviso84-79
27/12/20APesaro74-84
23/12/20AVenezia66-81
20/12/20HTrento92-82
16/12/20ACantu67-73
13/12/20HVirtus Bologna60-77
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/20HTreviso79-80
20/12/20AVenezia77-86
13/12/20HReggiana76-89
06/12/20HOlimpia Milano70-96
22/11/20ATrento77-74
15/11/20HVirtus Roma98-88
08/11/20APesaro78-85
01/11/20ASassari82-104
24/10/20HVirtus Bologna73-85
17/10/20ACremona67-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL47%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%50%43%
Points / game77.779.975.3
Allowed / game79.181.676.3
Point differential-1.4-1.8-1.0
Avg total156.9161.5151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL31%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game79.981.478.2
Allowed / game86.888.185.3
Point differential-6.9-6.7-7.2
Avg total166.8169.6163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1716194%89.173.6+15.4
2 Brindisi1511473%85.980.0+5.9
3 Sassari1712571%91.585.4+6.1
4 Venezia1711665%80.777.2+3.5
5 Virtus Bologna1610662%85.278.2+7.0
6 Pesaro179853%84.282.5+1.6
7 Trieste157847%77.779.1-1.4
8 Reggiana167944%76.680.1-3.6
9 Treviso167944%83.888.7-4.9
10 Trento1661038%78.280.1-1.9
11 Cremona1661038%83.586.2-2.7
12 Brescia1661038%80.183.6-3.6
13 Fortitudo Bologna1551033%78.982.6-3.7
14 Varese134931%79.986.8-6.9
15 Cantu1751229%78.484.5-6.2
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste28261737108
Varese2027171983
← all games of the day
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