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Varese vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 102-78
26-19 24-17 27-23 25-19
Position#10
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game70.8
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#5
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game79.6
ItalyLega ARound 6
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Varese v Brindisi
10 Mar 2024
VAR81
BRI73
19 Apr 2023
VAR93
BRI86
07 Nov 2021
VAR71
BRI84
04 Feb 2021
VAR76
BRI74
27 Oct 2019
VAR102
BRI78
25 Nov 2018
VAR85
BRI67
29 Apr 2018
VAR69
BRI65
23 Oct 2016
VAR91
BRI81
20 Mar 2016
VAR80
BRI69
28 Mar 2015
VAR82
BRI93
17 Nov 2013
VAR71
BRI85
20 Jan 2013
VAR83
BRI71
14 Nov 2010
VAR73
BRI60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
206avg 114
H13/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
no box
A17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
160avg 114
A20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 114
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
98-70
98
70
+28
93avg 114
H05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
72-84
72
84
-12
56avg 114
A12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
52-74
52
74
-22
35avg 114
H26/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
92-62
92
62
+30
88avg 114
A29/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
83-60
83
60
+23
75avg 114
H06/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-87
80
87
-7
66avg 114
A19/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
23-14
18-32
21-25
11-30
21-16
27-29
27-14
25-18
15-21
13-23
22-22
19-22
19-8
19-28
24-17
18-14
22-13
28-23
30-20
19-17
18-28
22-22
13-17
15-15
9-25
17-17
11-17
29-13
25-12
12-20
26-17
17-15
32-16
21-15
13-14
22-21
12-19
21-17
25-30
158.2Avg total
80.3Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.870.8147.5+6.050%
Season at home (2)67.567.0134.5+0.550%
Season away (2)86.074.5160.5+11.550%
Last 10 (10)80.377.9158.2+2.440%
Last 5 (5)75.873.4149.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.080.0147.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.482.3164.8+0.144%
vs Weaker (17)79.973.6153.5+6.259%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
76avg 105
H28/04
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
87-83
87
83
+4
83avg 105
A05/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
H12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
73-89
73
89
-16
no box
A18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
97-106
97
106
-9
88avg 105
A20/05
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
64-69
64
69
-5
53avg 105
H26/09
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
87-63
87
63
+24
77avg 105
A29/09
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
88-78
88
78
+10
84avg 105
H05/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
92-89
92
89
+3
81avg 105
A13/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
108-99
108
99
+9
104avg 105
H20/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
19-21
26-16
22-24
19-17
20-14
26-27
22-25
20-19
21-19
19-22
16-21
19-25
19-17
21-25
14-22
26-25
21-24
23-25
27-32
20-19
11-17
20-23
13-10
27-14
16-13
26-22
18-14
20-18
29-21
21-23
18-16
24-24
29-22
21-15
18-28
32-27
27-24
19-20
30-28
169.1Avg total
85.7Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.879.6167.4+8.280%
Season at home (3)86.782.0168.7+4.767%
Season away (2)89.576.0165.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.783.4169.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)87.879.6167.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.080.0162.0+2.067%
vs Similar ◀ (19)84.283.2167.3+1.058%
vs Weaker (7)87.478.9166.3+8.671%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.2-2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.2-2.2
VareseBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H13/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H26/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
54-25
54
25
+29
A29/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H06/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A19/10
Lega A
75.3Avg total
39.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.376.7+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.935.974.9+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)39.738.778.5+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.075.3+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.275.8+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.039.368.3-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.039.683.6+4.478%-
vs Weaker (17)38.635.474.1+3.259%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H28/04
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A05/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A20/05
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H26/09
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A29/09
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H05/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A13/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H20/10
Lega A
83.3Avg total
43.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.384.1+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.839.180.8+2.762%-
Last 30 away (17)45.241.386.5+3.959%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.683.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.039.886.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.340.379.7-1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)43.341.184.4+2.258%-
vs Weaker (7)46.438.384.7+8.171%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.4
50.1%
52.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.5
34.0%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws13.69.1
66.9%
73.6%9.1
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.8
51.7%
52.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.2
39.7%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.713.3
75.1%
73.6%13.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWWLLWWLLL
Brindisi
WWWWLLLLWW
#10
League position
#5
+4.2
Net rating
+2.8
111.7
Offensive rating
111.6
107.5
Defensive rating
108.8
50.5%
Effective FG%
54.4%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
11.6%
Turnover %
14.0%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.0%
3-point %
39.7%
46.4%
Assist %
55.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 111.6Defence107.5 · 108.8Shooting50.5% · 54.4%3-point %34.0% · 39.7%Ball care11.6% · 14.0%Off. rebounds30.9% · 22.9%Free throws0.20 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
24/03/19Brindisi v Varese81-77
25/11/18Varese v Brindisi85-67
29/04/18Varese v Brindisi69-65
02/01/18Brindisi v Varese95-90 OT
12/02/17Brindisi v Varese80-58
23/10/16Varese v Brindisi91-81 OT
20/03/16Varese v Brindisi80-69
29/11/15Brindisi v Varese80-74
28/03/15Varese v Brindisi82-93
06/12/14Brindisi v Varese69-71
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/19AVirtus Bologna80-87
06/10/19HFortitudo Bologna83-60
29/09/19ATrieste92-62
26/09/19HSassari52-74
12/05/19AVirtus Bologna72-84
05/05/19HPistoia98-70
28/04/19HPesaro81-75
20/04/19ACantu75-84
17/04/19As.Oliver Wurzburg86-89
13/04/19HOlimpia Milano84-94
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/19HPesaro108-99
13/10/19AOlimpia Milano92-89
05/10/19HBrescia88-78
29/09/19AVirtus Roma87-63
26/09/19HCantu64-69
20/05/19ASassari97-106
18/05/19ASassari73-89
12/05/19HTrento76-81
05/05/19AAvellino87-83
28/04/19HTrieste85-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.867.586.0
Allowed / game70.867.074.5
Point differential+6.0+0.5+11.5
Avg total147.5134.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brindisi
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game87.886.789.5
Allowed / game79.682.076.0
Point differential+8.2+4.7+13.5
Avg total167.4168.7165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna660100%83.375.7+7.7
2 Brindisi54180%87.879.6+8.2
3 Sassari43175%77.067.2+9.8
4 Reggiana53260%83.878.4+5.4
5 Fortitudo Bologna53260%74.277.0-2.8
6 Varese42250%76.870.8+6.0
7 Brescia63350%81.276.5+4.7
8 Olimpia Milano63350%79.074.3+4.7
9 Venezia63350%75.371.3+4.0
10 Virtus Roma63350%76.777.7-1.0
11 Trento63350%76.578.0-1.5
12 Cantu42250%67.076.0-9.0
13 Cremona52340%78.282.8-4.6
14 Trieste52340%69.878.2-8.4
15 Treviso62433%76.278.0-1.8
16 Pistoia5050%72.885.6-12.8
17 Pesaro4040%82.295.2-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese26242725102
Brindisi1917231978
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