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Varese vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-65
8-13 17-14 24-10 20-28
Position#8
Record14-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game75.4
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record8-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game82.3
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Varese v Brindisi
10 Mar 2024
VAR81
BRI73
19 Apr 2023
VAR93
BRI86
07 Nov 2021
VAR71
BRI84
04 Feb 2021
VAR76
BRI74
27 Oct 2019
VAR102
BRI78
25 Nov 2018
VAR85
BRI67
29 Apr 2018
VAR69
BRI65
23 Oct 2016
VAR91
BRI81
20 Mar 2016
VAR80
BRI69
28 Mar 2015
VAR82
BRI93
17 Nov 2013
VAR71
BRI85
20 Jan 2013
VAR83
BRI71
14 Nov 2010
VAR73
BRI60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
124avg 111
A05/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
100-72
100
72
+28
137avg 111
H11/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
65-74
65
74
-9
96avg 111
A04/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
98avg 111
A10/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
H18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
91-87
91
87
+4
123avg 111
A25/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
88-68
88
68
+20
118avg 111
H31/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
75-73
75
73
+2
99avg 111
A08/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
110avg 111
H15/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
71-69
71
69
+2
95avg 111
A22/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-25
23-26
22-18
11-16
29-18
34-21
21-17
16-16
16-17
14-16
18-22
17-19
20-17
11-24
21-19
22-22
26-14
18-19
21-24
17-18
27-22
25-17
16-23
23-25
26-12
22-16
14-19
26-21
23-21
22-20
10-16
20-16
28-10
15-25
12-24
25-14
18-22
10-14
19-16
24-17
157.3Avg total
81.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.375.4153.7+2.952%
Season at home (13)82.674.2156.8+8.469%
Season away (14)74.376.4150.7-2.136%
Last 10 (10)81.575.8157.3+5.780%
Last 5 (5)81.074.0155.0+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.777.7154.3-1.033%
vs Similar (19)77.876.1153.9+1.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.175.9156.0+4.250%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
71-76
71
76
-5
161avg 114
A04/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
164avg 114
H11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
60-74
60
74
-14
85avg 114
A05/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
94avg 114
A11/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
93-83
93
83
+10
124avg 114
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
85-94
85
94
-9
118avg 114
A25/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
105-98 OT
105
98
+7
no box
H31/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
no box
A08/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
74-75
74
75
-1
104avg 114
H15/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
72-99
72
99
-27
100avg 114
H22/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
17-15
21-23
17-17
25-18
17-22
7-20
23-24
12-15
17-20
20-19
11-20
11-27
18-25
18-17
24-20
23-17
29-19
17-24
24-23
19-25
22-24
17-21
27-24
23-21
25-17
18-22
21-27
15-21
15-25
23-16
15-23
13-18
22-16
24-21
15-20
26-23
18-21
11-32
17-23
162.8Avg total
77.1Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.582.3159.8-4.830%
Season at home (14)81.382.7164.0-1.443%
Season away (13)73.481.8155.2-8.515%
Last 10 (10)77.185.7162.8-8.620%
Last 5 (5)80.890.2171.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.985.8162.7-8.924%
vs Similar (10)79.778.2157.9+1.550%
vs Weaker (3)74.076.0150.0-2.00%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
VareseBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A05/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H11/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A04/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A25/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H31/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H15/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A22/04
Lega A
81.6Avg total
44.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.238.278.4+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.835.980.7+8.986%-
Last 30 away (16)36.240.276.4-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)44.037.681.6+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.879.0+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.042.083.0-1.033%-
vs Similar (19)40.238.378.5+1.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.936.676.5+3.262%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A04/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A05/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A11/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A25/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H31/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A08/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H15/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H22/04
Lega A
79.3Avg total
38.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.179.8-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.382.8+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)34.842.076.8-7.227%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.079.3-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.281.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.441.578.9-4.241%-
vs Similar (10)40.741.482.1-0.740%-
vs Weaker (3)39.338.077.3+1.367%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.5
49.4%
51.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.411.0
43.3%
34.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.512.7
77.0%
73.0%12.7
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.721.6
49.4%
51.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.9
30.4%
34.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws15.910.5
66.0%
73.0%10.5
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWWWWWLLWW
Brindisi
LLLWLWLLLL
#8
League position
#14
+7.8
Net rating
-10.7
114.7
Offensive rating
98.1
106.9
Defensive rating
108.8
55.9%
Effective FG%
48.1%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
43.3%
3-point %
30.4%
64.9%
Assist %
53.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 98.1Defence106.9 · 108.8Shooting55.9% · 48.1%3-point %43.3% · 30.4%Ball care18.5% · 16.8%Off. rebounds33.3% · 27.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Varese   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
6
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
02/01/18Brindisi v Varese95-90 OT
12/02/17Brindisi v Varese80-58
23/10/16Varese v Brindisi91-81 OT
20/03/16Varese v Brindisi80-69
29/11/15Brindisi v Varese80-74
28/03/15Varese v Brindisi82-93
06/12/14Brindisi v Varese69-71
02/03/14Brindisi v Varese96-70
17/11/13Varese v Brindisi71-85
20/01/13Varese v Brindisi83-71
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/18AVirtus Bologna71-69
15/04/18HReggiana80-73
08/04/18ACapo d'Orlando75-73
31/03/18HPesaro88-68
25/03/18ASassari91-87
18/03/18HAvellino82-75
10/03/18ATrento74-82
04/03/18APistoia65-74
11/02/18HBrescia100-72
05/02/18ACantu89-85
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/18HCremona72-99
15/04/18HCapo d'Orlando74-75
08/04/18ATrento68-85
31/03/18HSassari105-98 OT
25/03/18AVirtus Bologna85-94
18/03/18HPesaro93-83
11/03/18AAvellino71-89
05/03/18ABrescia60-74
11/02/18HOlimpia Milano72-84
04/02/18AVenezia71-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW52%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%69%36%
Points / game78.382.674.3
Allowed / game75.474.276.4
Point differential+2.9+8.4-2.1
Avg total153.7156.8150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)33% (3)50% (8)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Brindisi
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %30%43%15%
Points / game77.581.373.4
Allowed / game82.382.781.8
Point differential-4.8-1.4-8.5
Avg total159.8164.0155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)38% (8)25% (4)
Overtime %11%21%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia2822679%82.878.6+4.2
2 Olimpia Milano2821775%81.374.3+7.0
3 Brescia2819968%79.174.9+4.2
4 Avellino28181064%83.777.7+6.0
5 Trento28171161%80.876.6+4.2
6 Virtus Bologna28151354%78.275.6+2.6
7 Varese27141352%78.375.4+2.9
8 Cantu27141352%87.488.1-0.7
9 Sassari28141450%85.582.9+2.6
10 Cremona28141450%84.182.5+1.6
11 Reggiana27121544%76.677.7-1.1
12 Torino28121643%80.282.6-2.4
13 Pistoia2891932%75.180.8-5.7
14 Brindisi2781930%77.582.3-4.8
15 Pesaro2872125%76.984.3-7.5
16 Capo d'Orlando2862221%71.084.1-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese817242069
Brindisi1314102865
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