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Varese vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-73
15-16 20-22 28-18 18-17
Position#12
Record8-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game89.7
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record5-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game82.2
ItalyLega ARound 22· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Varese v Brindisi
10 Mar 2024
VAR81
BRI73
19 Apr 2023
VAR93
BRI86
07 Nov 2021
VAR71
BRI84
04 Feb 2021
VAR76
BRI74
27 Oct 2019
VAR102
BRI78
25 Nov 2018
VAR85
BRI67
29 Apr 2018
VAR69
BRI65
23 Oct 2016
VAR91
BRI81
20 Mar 2016
VAR80
BRI69
28 Mar 2015
VAR82
BRI93
17 Nov 2013
VAR71
BRI85
20 Jan 2013
VAR83
BRI71
14 Nov 2010
VAR73
BRI60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
92-103
92
103
-11
84avg 82
H14/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
69-81
69
81
-12
56avg 82
H21/01
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
88avg 82
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 82
A28/01
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
77-81
77
81
-4
64avg 82
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 82
A04/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
W
103-96
103
96
+7
88avg 82
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 82
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
49avg 82
A03/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
80-65
80
65
+15
70avg 82
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
25-29
18-26
27-17
20-27
20-20
16-17
13-17
25-21
20-16
18-20
27-21
19-12
20-23
26-22
18-25
27-19
13-27
18-19
19-16
29-20
15-25
21-21
19-24
18-27
25-23
39-29
21-17
29-21
18-22
22-21
22-16
13-29
17-25
20-27
13-13
16-16
18-16
23-16
23-17
168.2Avg total
83.2Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.689.7174.3-5.138%
Season at home (11)85.084.1169.1+0.945%
Season away (10)84.195.9180.0-11.830%
Last 10 (10)83.285.0168.2-1.850%
Last 5 (5)84.285.0169.2-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.894.6173.4-15.912%
vs Similar ◀ (15)91.287.5178.7+3.760%
vs Weaker (7)90.782.6173.3+8.171%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
75avg 68
A17/12
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
no box
H23/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
58-75
58
75
-17
46avg 68
A30/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
88-79
88
79
+9
79avg 68
H07/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-103
76
103
-27
63avg 68
A15/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
71avg 68
H21/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
86-78
86
78
+8
77avg 68
A28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
68avg 68
H04/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
55-69
55
69
-14
40avg 68
A11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
73avg 68
H03/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
26-28
16-14
14-20
26-19
20-19
25-18
19-34
13-18
12-22
22-15
11-20
19-21
22-19
26-23
21-16
19-35
17-23
17-20
23-25
22-18
20-21
12-19
23-22
28-22
25-18
15-19
18-19
18-16
21-26
11-21
27-23
14-13
11-23
17-19
13-14
21-14
17-15
20-20
21-27
160.8Avg total
77.5Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.682.2155.8-8.724%
Season at home (11)77.183.0160.1-5.936%
Season away (10)69.781.4151.1-11.710%
Last 10 (10)77.583.3160.8-5.830%
Last 5 (5)74.877.8152.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.885.1159.9-10.218%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.580.0157.5-2.536%
vs Weaker (1)69.080.0149.0-11.00%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.0-3.0
VareseBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H14/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/01
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/01
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A04/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A03/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
85.8Avg total
40.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.744.789.4+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.342.490.7+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.147.088.1-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.944.985.8-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.884.4-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.952.693.5-11.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.142.387.5+2.860%-
vs Weaker (7)48.140.788.9+7.471%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A17/12
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H23/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A30/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A15/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H04/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H03/03
Lega A
80.8Avg total
39.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.779.2-4.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.538.978.4+0.662%-
Last 30 away (14)35.244.980.1-9.614%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.280.8-1.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.276.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.643.279.8-6.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.539.978.4-1.555%-
vs Weaker (1)37.046.083.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.216.0
49.7%
53.1%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.7
35.0%
35.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.014.9
78.4%
76.3%14.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.716.2
45.4%
53.1%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.0
36.9%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.516.1
82.6%
76.3%16.1
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLWWLLWWLL
Brindisi
WLLWLLWLLL
#12
League position
#15
-3.1
Net rating
-6.3
107.5
Offensive rating
104.2
110.7
Defensive rating
110.5
51.1%
Effective FG%
49.4%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.6%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.0%
3-point %
36.9%
56.0%
Assist %
48.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 104.2Defence110.7 · 110.5Shooting51.1% · 49.4%3-point %35.0% · 36.9%Ball care16.0% · 15.6%Off. rebounds25.5% · 21.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Varese wins
4
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23Brindisi v Varese86-81
19/04/23Varese v Brindisi93-86
08/01/23Brindisi v Varese90-104
03/04/22Brindisi v Varese72-75
07/11/21Varese v Brindisi71-84
10/05/21Brindisi v Varese108-84
04/02/21Varese v Brindisi76-74
27/10/19Varese v Brindisi102-78
24/03/19Brindisi v Varese81-77
25/11/18Varese v Brindisi85-67
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24ANymburk80-65
03/03/24AOlimpia Milano63-94
11/02/24HPesaro91-80
07/02/24ACSM Oradea103-96
04/02/24ATrento84-90
31/01/24ALeiden77-81
28/01/24ACremona83-82
24/01/24HChemnitz90-78
21/01/24HVirtus Bologna69-81
14/01/24HVenezia92-103
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HCremona79-76
11/02/24AOlimpia Milano55-69
04/02/24HTortona77-86
28/01/24APesaro86-78
21/01/24HBasket Napoli77-80
15/01/24AVirtus Bologna76-103
07/01/24HBrescia88-79
30/12/23ACremona58-75
23/12/23HScafati98-103 OT
17/12/23ASassari81-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeLWLLW45%
AwayWWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%45%30%
Points / game84.685.084.1
Allowed / game89.784.195.9
Point differential-5.1+0.9-11.8
Avg total174.3169.1180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brindisi
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW24%
HomeLWLLW36%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %24%36%10%
Points / game73.677.169.7
Allowed / game82.283.081.4
Point differential-8.7-5.9-11.7
Avg total155.8160.1151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2116576%88.176.1+12.0
2 Virtus Bologna2115671%88.676.4+12.2
3 Olimpia Milano2115671%79.572.4+7.1
4 Venezia2115671%82.776.4+6.3
5 Basket Napoli22121055%85.684.5+1.1
6 Reggiana22121055%79.881.1-1.3
7 Tortona22111150%79.678.3+1.3
8 Trento21101148%82.083.5-1.4
9 Scafati21101148%83.186.7-3.5
10 Pistoia21101148%78.282.6-4.4
11 Cremona2191243%81.279.2+2.0
12 Sassari2191243%76.581.9-5.4
13 Varese2181338%84.689.7-5.1
14 Treviso2271532%79.584.5-4.9
15 Pesaro2161529%79.086.0-7.0
16 Brindisi2151624%73.682.2-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1520281881
Brindisi1622181773
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