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Trento vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-77
21-14 15-20 21-25 17-18
Position#8
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record3-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game88.0
ItalyLega ARound 9
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Trento v Varese
18 Oct 2026
TRE87
VAR85
08 Feb 2026
TRE84
VAR78
13 Oct 2024
TRE106
VAR100
04 Feb 2024
TRE90
VAR84
22 Jan 2023
TRE90
VAR80
28 Jan 2022
TRE84
VAR90
22 Nov 2020
TRE74
VAR77
19 Apr 2020
TRE v VAR
upcoming
02 Feb 2019
TRE74
VAR71
10 Mar 2018
TRE82
VAR74
18 Dec 2016
TRE84
VAR68
15 Nov 2015
TRE89
VAR63
02 Mar 2015
TRE78
VAR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
71-57
71
57
+14
63avg 68
A17/10
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
61-51
61
51
+10
50avg 68
H20/10
Eurocup
Cremona
#9
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
no box
H25/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
70avg 68
A01/11
Lega A
Bursaspor
#18
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 68
H04/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
W
92-78
92
78
+14
86avg 68
H07/11
Lega A
Promitheas
#22
W
89-80
89
80
+9
79avg 68
A11/11
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#4
L
61-71
61
71
-10
39avg 68
A13/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
70avg 68
A15/11
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
L
102-104 OT
102
104
-2
no box
H18/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-8
15-16
22-23
18-10
15-12
15-10
24-12
7-17
20-27
12-22
22-16
22-11
12-19
32-22
18-19
13-22
30-17
20-20
16-22
23-21
17-13
28-19
30-17
17-29
17-17
24-24
28-18
20-21
17-17
12-16
12-15
20-23
13-25
22-12
24-22
21-14
15-17
22-20
21-18
17-20
156.4Avg total
80.5Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.279.6158.9-0.450%
Season at home (3)86.082.7168.7+3.367%
Season away (5)75.277.8153.0-2.640%
Last 10 (10)80.575.9156.4+4.670%
Last 5 (5)84.881.2166.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.372.8149.2+3.567%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.479.4157.8-1.147%
vs Weaker (7)83.673.6157.1+10.086%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
102-100
102
100
+2
no box
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#11
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
no box
H27/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
88-83
88
83
+5
89avg 77
A04/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
80-90
80
90
-10
69avg 77
H11/10
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
67-80
67
80
-13
55avg 77
A17/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
58avg 77
H24/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
82-104
82
104
-22
73avg 77
A01/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 77
A08/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
96avg 77
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
21-23
18-25
18-24
33-29
17-24
32-30
20-17
17-23
16-20
26-16
22-22
29-22
14-23
19-22
26-16
29-23
15-21
20-14
16-32
18-26
15-21
16-15
18-18
23-29
16-24
21-15
13-17
18-36
14-31
26-17
24-20
21-16
18-18
18-27
21-24
20-17
28-16
23-28
27-27
173.4Avg total
83.9Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.588.0170.5-5.538%
Season at home (4)86.288.0174.2-1.850%
Season away (4)78.888.0166.8-9.225%
Last 10 (10)83.989.5173.4-5.640%
Last 5 (5)79.688.4168.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.793.0173.7-12.310%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.186.9170.0-3.840%
vs Weaker (10)86.577.9164.4+8.670%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
TrentoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A17/10
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H20/10
Eurocup
Cremona
#9
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H25/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A01/11
Lega A
Bursaspor
#18
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H07/11
Lega A
Promitheas
#22
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A11/11
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#4
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A13/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A15/11
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H18/11
Eurocup
72.7Avg total
37.4Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.175.1-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.336.372.6-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)37.839.977.7-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)37.435.372.7+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.073.4+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.034.571.5+2.567%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)34.939.774.6-4.829%-
vs Weaker (7)42.137.379.4+4.957%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H27/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A04/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H11/10
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H24/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
32-67
32
67
-35
A01/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H15/11
Lega A
86.3Avg total
40.2Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.543.885.3-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.342.686.9+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)39.144.883.9-5.825%-
Last 10 (10)40.246.186.3-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)38.246.885.0-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.950.190.0-10.210%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.541.281.7-0.740%-
vs Weaker (10)44.140.184.2+4.060%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.2
46.2%
51.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.8
34.0%
35.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.511.9
72.1%
75.8%11.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.415.5
49.4%
51.2%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.612.2
36.3%
35.9%36.6
🏀 Free throws17.313.2
76.3%
75.8%13.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LWLWWWLWWW
Varese
WLLLLLWWWL
#8
League position
#12
+2.9
Net rating
-7.7
103.5
Offensive rating
111.0
100.6
Defensive rating
118.7
48.1%
Effective FG%
52.0%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.1%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.0%
3-point %
36.3%
52.6%
Assist %
62.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 111.0Defence100.6 · 118.7Shooting48.1% · 52.0%3-point %34.0% · 36.3%Ball care14.7% · 16.1%Off. rebounds29.8% · 29.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Trento   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Trento wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
29/12/19Varese v Trento81-86
02/02/19Trento v Varese74-71
21/10/18Varese v Trento93-85
10/03/18Trento v Varese82-74
04/11/17Varese v Trento93-66
15/04/17Varese v Trento83-80
18/12/16Trento v Varese84-68
06/03/16Varese v Trento96-82
15/11/15Trento v Varese89-63
02/03/15Trento v Varese78-65
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/20HNanterre102-104 OT
15/11/20ABrescia80-73
13/11/20AGran Canaria61-71
11/11/20APromitheas89-80
07/11/20HSassari92-78
04/11/20HBursaspor89-80
01/11/20AOlimpia Milano75-82
25/10/20HCremona85-83 OT
20/10/20HCedevita Olimpija61-51
17/10/20APesaro71-57
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/20HVirtus Roma98-88
08/11/20APesaro78-85
01/11/20ASassari82-104
24/10/20HVirtus Bologna73-85
17/10/20ACremona67-80
11/10/20HCantu80-90
04/10/20AFortitudo Bologna88-83
27/09/20HBrescia94-89 OT
13/09/20HBrescia102-100
10/09/20AOlimpia Milano77-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game79.286.075.2
Allowed / game79.682.777.8
Point differential-0.4+3.3-2.6
Avg total158.9168.7153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%33%0%
Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game82.586.278.8
Allowed / game88.088.088.0
Point differential-5.5-1.8-9.2
Avg total170.5174.2166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano990100%88.668.4+20.1
2 Brindisi87188%89.478.2+11.1
3 Virtus Bologna85362%83.978.4+5.5
4 Venezia85362%79.177.8+1.4
5 Reggiana53260%78.876.4+2.4
6 Pesaro74357%81.178.4+2.7
7 Sassari84450%88.686.2+2.4
8 Trento84450%79.279.6-0.4
9 Treviso63350%84.291.0-6.8
10 Cantu73443%79.682.0-2.4
11 Trieste52340%76.078.0-2.0
12 Varese83538%82.588.0-5.5
13 Cremona62433%80.787.3-6.7
14 Brescia82625%74.880.6-5.9
15 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
16 Fortitudo Bologna81712%80.187.4-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2115211774
Varese1420251877
← all games of the day
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