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Varese vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 106-79
24-20 22-20 27-20 33-19
Position#4
Record8-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game91.9
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record5-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game82.8
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Varese v Basket Napoli
07 Mar 2027
VAR v NAP
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
VAR84
NAP80
28 Dec 2024
VAR89
NAP86
07 Apr 2024
VAR113
NAP79
15 Jan 2023
VAR106
NAP79
12 Dec 2021
VAR89
NAP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
87-85
87
85
+2
83avg 77
H30/10
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
101-93
101
93
+8
88avg 77
A06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
73avg 77
H19/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
98-91
98
91
+7
88avg 77
A27/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
100-108
100
108
-8
86avg 77
H04/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
93-101
93
101
-8
88avg 77
A11/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
no box
H18/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
61avg 77
A26/12
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
76avg 77
H02/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
104-90
104
90
+14
103avg 77
A08/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
17-23
26-19
20-20
31-33
28-15
17-20
25-25
20-16
27-23
26-30
20-21
34-30
25-19
19-21
20-21
20-28
27-28
22-23
31-29
27-27
17-32
30-23
19-19
26-16
21-22
25-21
16-29
21-36
11-21
28-25
24-14
17-18
27-24
29-20
15-27
26-27
29-17
23-24
26-22
189.4Avg total
95.2Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.991.9184.7+1.057%
Season at home (7)92.992.3185.1+0.657%
Season away (7)92.991.4184.3+1.457%
Last 10 (10)95.294.2189.4+1.060%
Last 5 (5)94.695.0189.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)85.591.5177.0-5.936%
vs Similar (15)89.387.8177.1+1.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)95.594.0189.5+1.575%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
H30/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
56avg 65
A06/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
84-82
84
82
+2
77avg 65
H20/11
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
73-74
73
74
-1
68avg 65
A27/11
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
72-95
72
95
-23
62avg 65
A04/12
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
69-58
69
58
+11
68avg 65
H10/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
69-86
69
86
-17
61avg 65
A17/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
74-80
74
80
-6
61avg 65
H26/12
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
61-96
61
96
-35
49avg 65
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
no box
H08/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
13-26
21-16
20-22
18-15
15-25
20-20
18-22
17-22
16-19
29-18
22-23
23-20
12-10
18-23
20-21
15-26
23-21
22-34
12-14
16-15
14-14
18-16
21-13
18-22
10-21
23-21
18-22
20-21
16-18
21-13
17-28
15-21
14-19
18-33
14-23
23-18
18-19
11-21
23-17
158.1Avg total
75.2Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.582.8159.3-6.336%
Season at home (7)79.478.9158.3+0.657%
Season away (7)73.686.7160.3-13.114%
Last 10 (10)75.282.9158.1-7.730%
Last 5 (5)72.080.2152.2-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.882.5155.4-9.79%
vs Similar (18)78.980.7159.6-1.844%
vs Weaker (1)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
VareseBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H30/10
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H19/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A27/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H04/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A11/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H18/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A26/12
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A08/01
Lega A
95.3Avg total
47.5Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.944.489.2+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.043.387.3+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)45.745.491.1+0.367%-
Last 10 (10)47.547.895.3-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.448.092.4-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.546.589.9-3.055%-
vs Similar (15)45.141.987.0+3.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)47.848.095.8-0.250%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H30/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H20/11
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A27/11
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A04/12
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H10/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A17/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H26/12
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/01
Lega A
73.0Avg total
34.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.840.276.0-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.639.978.5-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)33.040.473.4-7.413%-
Last 10 (10)34.238.873.0-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.670.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.241.477.5-5.227%-
vs Similar (18)35.638.974.6-3.328%-
vs Weaker (1)35.049.084.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.7
55.5%
51.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.311.8
35.4%
36.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws23.517.3
73.6%
76.1%17.3
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.119.3
47.0%
51.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.0
32.1%
36.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.610.9
65.7%
76.1%10.9
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLWLLWWWW
Basket Napoli
WLLLWLLWLL
#4
League position
#12
+0.4
Net rating
-12.2
113.6
Offensive rating
95.6
113.3
Defensive rating
107.8
54.4%
Effective FG%
47.4%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.7%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.4%
3-point %
32.1%
53.7%
Assist %
55.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 95.6Defence113.3 · 107.8Shooting54.4% · 47.4%3-point %35.4% · 32.1%Ball care13.9% · 15.7%Off. rebounds22.8% · 23.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
1
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
14/03/22Basket Napoli v Varese74-82
12/12/21Varese v Basket Napoli89-98 OT
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23ABrindisi104-90
02/01/23HTortona88-89
26/12/22AOlimpia Milano84-96
18/12/22HTrieste104-99 OT
11/12/22APesaro93-101
04/12/22HVirtus Bologna100-108
27/11/22AVerona98-91
19/11/22HVenezia93-90
06/11/22AScafati101-93
30/10/22HTreviso87-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23HOlimpia Milano87-81 OT
02/01/23AScafati61-96
26/12/22HVerona74-80
17/12/22ASassari69-86
10/12/22HTrento69-58
04/12/22ABrescia72-95
27/11/22ATortona73-74
20/11/22HTreviso84-82
06/11/22AVenezia71-82
30/10/22HTrieste92-95 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW57%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game92.992.992.9
Allowed / game91.992.391.4
Point differential+1.0+0.6+1.4
Avg total184.7185.1184.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %14%29%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%57%14%
Points / game76.579.473.6
Allowed / game82.878.986.7
Point differential-6.3+0.6-13.1
Avg total159.3158.3160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %21%29%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1411379%84.374.0+10.3
2 Virtus Bologna1411379%85.377.3+8.0
3 Tortona1410471%82.275.9+6.3
4 Venezia148657%83.279.1+4.1
5 Pesaro148657%88.685.0+3.6
6 Varese148657%92.991.9+1.0
7 Trento148657%74.174.7-0.6
8 Brescia147750%85.283.5+1.7
9 Sassari146843%80.880.1+0.7
10 Scafati146843%77.277.2+0.0
11 Brindisi146843%79.282.9-3.7
12 Trieste156940%79.384.5-5.3
13 Basket Napoli145936%76.582.8-6.3
14 Verona145936%78.686.9-8.2
15 Treviso1551033%78.185.1-7.0
16 Reggiana1431121%75.479.1-3.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese24222733106
Basket Napoli2020201979
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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