PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Virtus Bologna vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 88-90 (OT)
18-26 20-22 23-20 17-10 10-12
Position#17
Record2-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game84.5
Virtus Bologna
vs
Alba Berlin 🏆
Position#18
Record2-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game91.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13· Segafredo Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Alba Berlin
04 Dec 2024
VIR88
ABE90
18 Oct 2023
VIR87
ABE76
14 Dec 2022
VIR85
ABE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
W
104-97
104
97
+7
105avg 79
H03/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
85-81
85
81
+4
88avg 79
H06/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 79
H08/11
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
95-104
95
104
-9
99avg 79
A10/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
86-98
86
98
-12
76avg 79
A12/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 79
H15/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
97avg 79
H17/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 79
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 79
A28/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
L
97-98
97
98
-1
90avg 79
A01/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
21-27
36-21
20-22
12-18
32-22
25-18
16-23
25-17
20-22
15-16
24-22
22-24
22-27
30-25
21-28
25-28
24-25
18-27
19-18
18-19
25-27
15-14
19-22
21-18
16-23
37-23
21-21
22-23
16-14
23-19
21-30
24-21
14-23
23-25
17-12
19-27
32-19
21-18
25-34
177.2Avg total
88.3Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.784.5164.2-4.817%
Season at home (6)77.079.8156.8-2.817%
Season away (6)82.389.2171.5-6.817%
Last 10 (10)88.388.9177.2-0.640%
Last 5 (5)85.886.4172.2-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.984.7162.6-6.914%
vs Similar (12)82.685.1167.7-2.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.180.9167.0+5.280%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
70-86
70
86
-16
61avg 77
H31/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 77
A03/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
71-92
71
92
-21
65avg 77
A07/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
96-88
96
88
+8
88avg 77
H09/11
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
101avg 77
H12/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
88-115
88
115
-27
76avg 77
A14/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
93-96
93
96
-3
85avg 77
A17/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
84-98
84
98
-14
78avg 77
A21/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
85-103
85
103
-18
80avg 77
H28/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
60-74
60
74
-14
55avg 77
H01/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
16-26
17-17
18-18
18-18
16-21
24-22
24-26
14-23
18-18
18-22
21-29
22-22
25-22
22-27
27-17
19-23
24-32
26-22
23-15
27-28
17-34
14-34
30-19
33-22
17-29
16-19
27-26
22-23
33-32
13-24
16-19
16-32
20-20
20-25
29-26
13-17
4-23
23-14
20-20
177.4Avg total
83.4Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.091.6170.6-12.617%
Season at home (7)82.189.4171.6-7.329%
Season away (5)74.694.6169.2-20.00%
Last 10 (10)83.494.0177.4-10.620%
Last 5 (5)82.097.2179.2-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.790.2168.9-11.523%
vs Similar (11)78.576.7155.2+1.755%
vs Weaker (6)87.587.0174.5+0.517%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
Virtus BolognaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H03/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H06/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H08/11
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A10/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A12/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A28/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A01/12
Lega A
88.8Avg total
43.7Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.183.5+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.838.678.4+1.254%-
Last 30 away (17)44.443.187.5+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)43.745.188.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.884.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.442.783.1-2.329%-
vs Similar (12)40.441.281.7-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.240.685.8+4.660%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H31/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/11
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H12/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A14/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A17/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A21/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H28/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
17-40
17
40
-23
H01/12
BBL
88.3Avg total
39.3Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.382.5-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.842.180.9-3.244%-
Last 30 away (14)39.744.684.4-4.914%-
Last 10 (10)39.349.088.3-9.710%-
Last 5 (5)40.452.092.4-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.245.983.1-8.88%-
vs Similar (11)39.440.179.5-0.755%-
vs Weaker (6)43.543.386.8+0.233%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.122.0
57.7%
54.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.39.1
39.1%
36.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.216.4
70.7%
78.0%16.4
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.1
56.2%
54.5%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.8
30.6%
36.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.314.6
71.9%
78.0%14.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LLLWLLLWWW
Alba Berlin
LLLLLWWLLL
#17
League position
#18
-0.3
Net rating
-13.7
117.2
Offensive rating
104.5
117.5
Defensive rating
118.2
58.1%
Effective FG%
52.2%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
19.6%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.1%
3-point %
30.6%
68.5%
Assist %
62.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 104.5Defence117.5 · 118.2Shooting58.1% · 52.2%3-point %39.1% · 30.6%Ball care16.2% · 19.6%Off. rebounds27.4% · 29.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Virtus Bologna wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
05/01/24Alba Berlin v Virtus Bologna68-83
18/10/23Virtus Bologna v Alba Berlin87-76
09/03/23Alba Berlin v Virtus Bologna74-96
14/12/22Virtus Bologna v Alba Berlin85-76
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24ABrescia97-98
28/11/24AParis78-81
20/11/24HFenerbahce82-86
17/11/24HSassari95-85
15/11/24HPanathinaikos77-82
12/11/24AReal Madrid86-98
10/11/24AVarese95-104
08/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv84-77
06/11/24HTortona85-81
03/11/24HTreviso104-97
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HLudwigsburg60-74
28/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv85-103
21/11/24AReal Madrid84-98
17/11/24AVechta93-96
14/11/24ABayern88-115
12/11/24HOlimpia Milano105-101 OT
09/11/24HUlm96-88
07/11/24ACrvena zvezda71-92
03/11/24ABamberg82-87
31/10/24HAnadolu Efes70-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLWLL17%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%17%17%
Points / game79.777.082.3
Allowed / game84.579.889.2
Point differential-4.8-2.8-6.8
Avg total164.2156.8171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %17%29%0%
Points / game79.082.174.6
Allowed / game91.689.494.6
Point differential-12.6-7.3-20.0
Avg total170.6171.6169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1310377%85.881.1+4.7
2 Olympiacos139469%85.479.6+5.8
3 Fenerbahce139469%79.477.4+2.0
4 Panathinaikos138562%86.282.5+3.6
5 Monaco138562%84.881.9+2.9
6 Bayern138562%88.787.7+1.0
7 Anadolu Efes137654%85.084.0+1.0
8 Barcelona137654%86.385.8+0.5
9 Olimpia Milano137654%87.687.2+0.4
10 Zalgiris Kaunas137654%74.875.1-0.2
11 Real Madrid136746%84.482.6+1.8
12 Crvena zvezda136746%83.882.3+1.5
13 Baskonia136746%77.278.5-1.2
14 Partizan135838%80.280.8-0.6
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne135838%81.384.7-3.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv134931%83.887.4-3.6
17 Virtus Bologna1221017%79.784.5-4.8
18 Alba Berlin1221017%79.091.6-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Virtus Bologna182023171088
Alba Berlin262220101290
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.