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Brescia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 97-83
26-17 20-20 22-19 29-27
Position#2
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna
Italy
Position#7
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyItalian CupItalian Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2018
Meetings · Brescia v Virtus Bologna
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BRE97
VIR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H09/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H17/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A26/12
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H02/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A07/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H14/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H21/01
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
A28/01
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H04/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A11/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
23-22
21-14
16-22
19-25
17-12
25-24
29-10
16-22
19-23
27-15
9-14
18-18
21-19
15-25
13-18
16-32
24-24
23-20
23-19
22-20
24-16
14-19
16-17
21-20
16-20
27-13
24-17
19-24
22-14
22-26
22-21
22-20
12-11
9-20
27-27
18-29
21-34
17-21
16-16
160.8Avg total
79.4Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.481.4160.8-2.040%
Last 5 (5)80.483.0163.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.287.0163.2-10.820%
vs Similar (17)76.979.6156.5-2.753%
vs Weaker (8)81.972.6154.5+9.288%
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A10/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H17/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
A26/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H02/01
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
59-87
59
87
-28
A07/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H13/01
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H21/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
86-69
86
69
+17
A28/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A11/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
16-25
25-21
24-23
15-23
23-22
22-15
24-16
17-14
19-24
15-17
23-19
25-20
23-18
9-17
18-12
10-22
15-22
16-13
18-30
17-24
27-21
25-14
16-16
21-13
23-19
23-21
15-22
26-13
21-24
17-14
22-18
30-12
21-20
15-15
19-20
15-11
23-14
19-25
17-32
158.4Avg total
80.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.777.7158.4+3.070%
Last 5 (5)82.473.6156.0+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.072.0136.0-8.00%
vs Similar (11)80.080.9160.9-0.945%
vs Weaker (18)82.169.3151.4+12.889%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
BresciaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H09/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H17/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A26/12
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H02/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A07/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H14/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/01
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A28/01
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H04/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A11/02
Lega A
81.4Avg total
38.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.579.1+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.436.677.0+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)38.742.981.6-4.143%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.681.4-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.681.0-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.442.280.6-3.820%-
vs Similar (17)38.539.277.7-0.853%-
vs Weaker (8)42.938.481.2+4.562%-
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A10/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H02/01
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A07/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H13/01
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H21/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A28/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A11/02
Lega A
79.5Avg total
40.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.236.777.9+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.937.481.2+6.575%-
Last 30 away (14)38.235.974.1+2.457%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.679.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.834.279.0+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.039.074.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (11)39.939.078.9+0.955%-
vs Weaker (18)42.435.177.5+7.378%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.8
53.5%
-41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.7
32.5%
-23.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.1
70.1%
-13.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.521.0
49.4%
-42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.1
32.7%
-24.3
🏀 Free throws18.412.9
70.1%
-12.9
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWWWLLLWL
Virtus Bologna
LWWWWLWWWL
#2
League position
#7
-2.1
Net rating
+4.6
106.9
Offensive rating
106.2
109.0
Defensive rating
101.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
49.3%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
16.0%
Turnover %
14.9%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.5%
3-point %
32.7%
63.2%
Assist %
51.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Brescia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Brescia wins
0
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
12/11/17Virtus Bologna v Brescia74-76
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/18AVarese72-100
04/02/18HTrento70-78
28/01/18AAvellino96-95 OT
21/01/18HPesaro88-70
14/01/18HPistoia76-72
07/01/18ATorino86-95
02/01/18HCremona67-80
26/12/17AOlimpia Milano71-74
17/12/17HVenezia90-71
09/12/17HSassari78-79
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/18ASassari74-82
03/02/18HPesaro85-67
28/01/18ACapo d'Orlando86-69
21/01/18HTrento82-75
13/01/18HReggiana85-75
07/01/18AAvellino59-87
02/01/18HPistoia75-67
26/12/17AVarese90-85 OT
17/12/17HTorino84-76
10/12/17ACantu87-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Italian Cup 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Virtus Bologna
Italian Cup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cantu110100%105.087.0+18.0
2 Torino110100%72.060.0+12.0
3 Cremona110100%89.082.0+7.0
4 Avellino1010%82.089.0-7.0
5 Venezia1010%60.072.0-12.0
6 Olimpia Milano1010%87.0105.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2620222997
Virtus Bologna1720192783
← all games of the day
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