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Virtus Bologna vs Basket Napoli Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game84.6
Virtus Bologna
Italy
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
6.0/10
Above normal
Basket Napoli
Italy
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game86.9
ItalyLega ARound 26· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli
11 Apr 2027
VIR v NAP
upcoming
06 Oct 2025
VIR105
NAP88
12 Jan 2025
VIR86
NAP75
28 Jan 2024
VIR101
NAP89
08 Apr 2023
VIR81
NAP89
06 Mar 2022
VIR86
NAP75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
113avg 85
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
81-90
81
90
-9
65avg 85
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
90avg 85
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
62avg 85
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
101-103
101
103
-2
97avg 85
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#8
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
91-103
91
103
-12
no box
A13/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
no box
A15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
24-25
31-21
17-31
21-23
17-21
17-27
19-28
22-17
21-22
21-14
26-27
27-18
20-28
23-32
25-16
23-27
24-13
15-19
31-16
18-27
181.7Avg total
90.4Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)95.484.6180.0+10.888%
Season at home (4)98.588.2186.8+10.275%
Season away (4)92.281.0173.2+11.2100%
Last 10 (10)90.491.3181.7-0.940%
Last 5 (5)88.490.4178.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.889.2168.0-10.420%
vs Similar (6)94.294.7188.8-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)92.284.4176.6+7.768%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
86-82
86
82
+4
84avg 88
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 88
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
99avg 88
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#12
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 88
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
W
94-85
94
85
+9
98avg 88
A28/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
100avg 88
H01/11
Lega A
Trento
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
W
112-90
112
90
+22
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
no box
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
18-19
21-24
25-21
25-18
13-23
23-25
21-32
29-20
24-22
20-24
20-27
19-26
22-21
26-17
25-26
24-20
23-25
24-20
23-20
19-16
25-22
30-20
25-23
24-21
13-18
28-15
25-25
22-19
15-28
27-28
27-14
24-22
35-19
20-28
33-21
34-27
11-24
20-22
25-16
182.5Avg total
94.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)93.286.9180.1+6.488%
Season at home (4)92.590.2182.8+2.275%
Season away (4)94.083.5177.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)94.188.4182.5+5.790%
Last 5 (5)96.485.6182.0+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.694.2171.8-16.60%
vs Similar (14)87.685.5173.1+2.157%
vs Weaker (11)94.583.6178.1+10.8100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
Virtus BolognaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#8
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A13/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A15/11
Lega A
86.7Avg total
43.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.687.9+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.942.390.3+5.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.985.6-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.743.086.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.487.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.082.8-1.220%-
vs Similar (6)45.547.893.3-2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.441.287.6+5.374%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#12
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/11
Lega A
Trento
#27
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/11
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A08/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A11/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H15/11
Lega A
86.9Avg total
44.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.484.0+1.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.038.779.7+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)44.144.288.3-0.167%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.886.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.287.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.243.482.6-4.260%-
vs Similar (14)41.140.982.0+0.357%-
vs Weaker (11)45.841.387.1+4.573%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.9
55.0%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
34.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.7
79.4%
74.6%19.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.5
59.1%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.5
41.7%
34.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.8
72.1%
74.6%17.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLWLLLLWLW
Basket Napoli
WWWWWWWWLW
#1
League position
#2
+3.7
Net rating
+8.2
102.2
Offensive rating
106.6
98.4
Defensive rating
98.4
54.8%
Effective FG%
60.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.40
36.3%
3-point %
41.7%
57.7%
Assist %
68.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 106.6Defence98.4 · 98.4Shooting54.8% · 60.6%3-point %36.3% · 41.7%Ball care14.0% · 15.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna71-90
06/10/25Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli105-88
16/03/25Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna93-88
12/01/25Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli86-75
21/09/24Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna87-96
28/01/24Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli101-89
30/10/23Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna75-88
08/04/23Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli81-89
02/10/22Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna77-89
06/03/22Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli86-75
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ATrento88-75
13/11/26AAnadolu Efes91-103
09/11/26HVerona95-81
06/11/26HDubai75-93
02/11/26HTrieste93-100
30/10/26HBesiktas101-103
28/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas74-91
25/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-94 OT
21/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-90
18/10/26HScafati108-83
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTrieste90-89
11/11/26AChemnitz112-90
08/11/26AScafati91-89
03/11/26HTrento90-79
01/11/26HVenezia99-81
28/10/26ANeptunas94-85
25/10/26ATortona92-90
21/10/26HTofas105-101 OT
18/10/26HOlimpia Milano82-98
14/10/26ASlask Wroclaw86-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game95.498.592.2
Allowed / game84.688.281.0
Point differential+10.8+10.2+11.2
Avg total180.0186.8173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game93.292.594.0
Allowed / game86.990.283.5
Point differential+6.4+2.2+10.5
Avg total180.1182.8177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna87188%95.484.6+10.8
2 Basket Napoli87188%93.286.9+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano86275%89.981.1+8.8
4 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
5 Maxima Roma85362%87.284.2+3.0
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Venezia85362%87.987.6+0.2
8 Trieste84450%93.888.6+5.1
9 Udine84450%79.980.6-0.8
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento83538%79.884.1-4.4
12 Tortona83538%86.591.1-4.6
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu8080%78.892.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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