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Virtus Bologna vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 77-73
19-19 18-15 22-19 18-20
Position#17
Record1-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#10
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4· Segafredo Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Monaco
15 Oct 2025
VIR77
MCO73
23 Jan 2025
VIR80
MCO86
09 Feb 2024
VIR78
MCO81
07 Oct 2022
VIR66
MCO83
21 Oct 2020
VIR94
MCO85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
84avg 78
A07/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
89avg 78
H12/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
75-65
75
65
+10
70avg 78
H14/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
96-74
96
74
+22
96avg 78
A17/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
74avg 78
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
66avg 78
H30/09
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
94-103
94
103
-9
86avg 78
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
105-88
105
88
+17
104avg 78
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
79-90
79
90
-11
77avg 78
A09/10
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
75avg 78
A11/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
23-15
23-15
19-19
20-23
21-22
22-22
27-20
22-21
17-11
19-19
17-14
28-15
22-13
26-23
20-23
22-20
23-22
19-17
19-24
14-19
24-16
17-15
19-18
23-26
23-23
25-26
23-28
25-19
26-13
21-24
33-32
24-24
16-25
20-23
19-18
17-12
20-19
23-16
12-25
169.1Avg total
86.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.387.0169.3-4.733%
Season at home (1)74.068.0142.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)86.596.5183.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)86.582.6169.1+3.970%
Last 5 (5)86.885.8172.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)76.887.5164.2-10.825%
vs Similar (11)83.578.1161.5+5.482%
vs Weaker (14)87.876.4164.1+11.479%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Paris
#1
W
80-74
80
74
+6
94avg 91
H22/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
93-99
93
99
-6
101avg 91
A24/06
LNB
Boulazac
#2
W
95-70
95
70
+25
109avg 91
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Mans
#3
W
104-79
104
79
+25
117avg 91
H21/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Portel
#16
W
84-63
84
63
+21
85avg 91
A28/09
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
78avg 91
H01/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
103-81
103
81
+22
102avg 91
H03/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
99-104
99
104
-5
88avg 91
H05/10
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
82-79
82
79
+3
77avg 91
A09/10
Euroleague
Paris
#2
W
99-94
99
94
+5
92avg 91
A12/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
20-27
15-13
25-18
21-29
29-25
31-19
12-26
21-14
22-21
21-22
31-13
30-16
17-16
31-23
26-24
14-17
24-12
25-16
21-18
20-27
15-18
25-22
24-22
26-23
24-23
29-13
24-22
20-31
21-20
21-24
37-29
22-17
19-19
25-26
16-17
24-15
31-30
22-27
22-22
175.5Avg total
92.3Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.783.0172.7+6.767%
Season at home (2)93.585.0178.5+8.550%
Season away (1)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.383.2175.5+9.170%
Last 5 (5)93.489.4182.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (23)83.183.7166.8-0.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)89.172.3161.4+16.971%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
Virtus BolognaMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A07/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A17/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/09
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A09/10
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A11/10
Lega A
81.6Avg total
42.9Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.180.0+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.878.1+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)42.639.381.9+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.781.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.281.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.245.082.2-7.825%-
vs Similar (11)41.239.080.2+2.245%-
vs Weaker (14)43.635.178.7+8.686%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H22/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A24/06
LNB
Boulazac
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Mans
#3
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H21/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Portel
#16
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A28/09
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H01/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H03/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H05/10
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A09/10
Euroleague
Paris
#2
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A12/10
LNB
85.6Avg total
44.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.979.9+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.340.480.7-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.379.2+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)44.041.685.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.444.689.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (23)40.041.681.5-1.648%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.434.374.7+6.171%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.3
56.2%
60.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.6
37.2%
35.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.316.3
80.3%
78.2%16.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.323.1
57.3%
60.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.2
33.3%
35.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws26.620.7
77.8%
78.2%20.7
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLWLWLWWWW
Monaco
WWLWLWWWLW
#17
League position
#10
+5.6
Net rating
+12.5
117.5
Offensive rating
125.4
111.9
Defensive rating
113.0
56.1%
Effective FG%
54.5%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
12.1%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.41
37.2%
3-point %
33.3%
64.9%
Assist %
66.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 125.4Defence111.9 · 113.0Shooting56.1% · 54.5%3-point %37.2% · 33.3%Ball care18.5% · 12.1%Off. rebounds33.6% · 30.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virtus Bologna wins
5
Monaco wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25AUdine82-80 OT
09/10/25AParis79-90
06/10/25HBasket Napoli105-88
03/10/25AValencia94-103
30/09/25HReal Madrid74-68
27/09/25HOlimpia Milano86-93 OT
17/06/25ABrescia96-74
14/06/25HBrescia75-65
12/06/25HBrescia90-87
07/06/25AOlimpia Milano84-78
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25AParis99-94
09/10/25AOlimpia Milano82-79
05/10/25HChalon/Saone99-104
03/10/25HDubai103-81
01/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas84-89
28/09/25ALe Portel84-63
21/09/25HLe Mans104-79
20/09/25ABoulazac95-70
24/06/25AParis93-99
22/06/25HParis80-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game82.374.086.5
Allowed / game87.068.096.5
Point differential-4.7+6.0-10.0
Avg total169.3142.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monaco
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game89.793.582.0
Allowed / game83.085.079.0
Point differential+6.7+8.5+3.0
Avg total172.7178.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%87.580.8+6.8
2 Barcelona43175%97.593.0+4.5
3 Panathinaikos43175%90.087.8+2.2
4 Monaco32167%89.783.0+6.7
5 Real Madrid32167%80.774.3+6.3
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32167%93.390.3+3.0
7 Valencia32167%95.093.0+2.0
8 Paris32167%89.389.7-0.3
9 Partizan32167%83.084.7-1.7
10 Olympiacos42250%85.883.5+2.2
11 Anadolu Efes42250%83.884.0-0.2
12 Dubai42250%82.583.5-1.0
13 Crvena zvezda42250%86.087.2-1.2
14 Bayern42250%77.581.5-4.0
15 Virtus Bologna31233%82.387.0-4.7
16 Olimpia Milano41325%75.577.0-1.5
17 Fenerbahce41325%81.885.0-3.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne41325%84.087.8-3.8
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%86.592.0-5.5
20 Baskonia3030%91.796.7-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1918221877
Monaco1915192073
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