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Virtus Bologna vs Trieste Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 17:15
Postponed
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game75.0
Virtus Bologna
Italy
vs
Trieste
Italy
Position#14
Record7-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game80.5
ItalyLega ARound 26
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Trieste
02 Nov 2026
VIR93
TRI100
26 Apr 2026
VIR95
TRI81
15 Dec 2024
VIR70
TRI78
09 Oct 2022
VIR85
TRI80
16 Oct 2021
VIR94
TRI79
11 Apr 2021
VIR81
TRI67
15 Mar 2020
VIR v TRI
upcoming
20 Jan 2019
VIR82
TRI74
15 Jun 2017
VIR82
TRI69
13 Jun 2017
VIR85
TRI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
66-78
66
78
-12
50avg 101
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
99-87
99
87
+12
103avg 101
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
69avg 101
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
94-62
94
62
+32
87avg 101
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
83-77
83
77
+6
82avg 101
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
97-68
97
68
+29
103avg 101
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-60
90
60
+30
90avg 101
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
81avg 101
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
106-89
106
89
+17
112avg 101
H01/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
20-20
18-14
14-18
22-20
32-23
23-22
22-22
17-22
21-21
19-27
20-21
22-11
23-14
20-21
29-16
24-20
22-20
17-16
20-14
21-17
21-8
13-25
28-27
22-14
28-15
21-21
26-18
19-8
27-20
16-20
28-12
21-21
23-18
19-16
20-16
25-25
27-22
29-11
25-31
163.1Avg total
87.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.075.0160.9+11.090%
Season at home (10)88.173.4161.5+14.7100%
Season away (10)83.876.6160.4+7.280%
Last 10 (10)87.875.3163.1+12.580%
Last 5 (5)91.873.0164.8+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.374.3150.7+2.067%
vs Similar (7)75.976.1152.0-0.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.772.8157.6+11.990%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
79avg 80
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
53-80
53
80
-27
39avg 80
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
83avg 80
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
63avg 80
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
80avg 80
A19/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
67-85
67
85
-18
53avg 80
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
83-82
83
82
+1
no box
H02/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-76
74
76
-2
67avg 80
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
97-80
97
80
+17
91avg 80
H07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
23-33
17-20
19-23
3-19
22-21
11-18
17-22
16-16
19-23
32-18
22-12
25-27
23-20
16-17
18-12
23-17
8-23
17-21
24-20
20-20
18-22
21-33
26-16
15-23
19-18
12-25
21-19
20-24
14-20
19-20
30-18
17-16
20-18
25-14
12-28
25-20
25-19
22-22
25-19
160.4Avg total
78.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.080.5156.4-4.532%
Season at home (11)78.080.8158.8-2.845%
Season away (11)73.980.1154.0-6.218%
Last 10 (10)78.881.6160.4-2.840%
Last 5 (5)81.282.8164.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.281.8156.0-7.523%
vs Similar (13)81.483.2164.6-1.838%
vs Weaker (4)88.880.0168.8+8.875%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
Virtus BolognaTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H01/02
Lega A
81.6Avg total
45.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.077.1+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.335.476.7+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)40.836.877.6+3.954%-
Last 10 (10)45.136.581.6+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.833.680.4+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.333.073.3+7.367%-
vs Similar (7)36.637.073.6-0.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.836.178.9+6.675%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A19/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H02/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H07/03
Lega A
80.1Avg total
38.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.481.0-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.042.485.4+0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)36.240.376.5-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.980.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.078.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.139.574.5-4.431%-
vs Similar (13)41.444.285.5-2.823%-
vs Weaker (4)48.538.587.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.622.3
59.3%
52.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.7
37.0%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.413.3
68.6%
73.6%13.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.5
51.2%
52.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.9
31.9%
35.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.511.3
72.9%
73.6%11.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWLWL
Trieste
WLWLLLWWLL
#1
League position
#14
+17.2
Net rating
-3.3
117.8
Offensive rating
108.8
100.6
Defensive rating
112.2
57.8%
Effective FG%
49.9%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.0%
3-point %
31.9%
67.5%
Assist %
50.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 108.8Defence100.6 · 112.2Shooting57.8% · 49.9%3-point %37.0% · 31.9%Ball care18.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds32.5% · 33.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Virtus Bologna wins
0
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
17/11/19Trieste v Virtus Bologna85-89 OT
20/01/19Virtus Bologna v Trieste82-74
07/10/18Trieste v Virtus Bologna88-92
19/06/17Trieste v Virtus Bologna66-72
15/06/17Virtus Bologna v Trieste82-69
13/06/17Virtus Bologna v Trieste85-62
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/20HPesaro106-89
25/01/20AVenezia83-71
18/01/20HPistoia90-60
12/01/20AVirtus Roma97-68
05/01/20ATrento83-77
29/12/19HOlimpia Milano83-70
25/12/19HFortitudo Bologna94-62
22/12/19ASassari77-91
14/12/19HBrindisi99-87
08/12/19ACremona66-78
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HPistoia97-80
09/02/20ABrescia74-76
02/02/20HSassari83-82
26/01/20HOlimpia Milano67-85
19/01/20AVarese85-91
12/01/20HVenezia72-81
05/01/20APesaro82-76
29/12/19HFortitudo Bologna89-69
26/12/19ATrento53-80
22/12/19HCantu86-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game86.088.183.8
Allowed / game75.073.476.6
Point differential+10.9+14.7+7.2
Avg total160.9161.5160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Trieste
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW32%
HomeWLLWW45%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%45%18%
Points / game76.078.073.9
Allowed / game80.580.880.1
Point differential-4.5-2.8-6.2
Avg total156.4158.8154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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