PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Virtus Bologna vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 94-84
Projected total 177.8
Final 93-100
24-25 31-21 17-31 21-23
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWLWLL
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game84.2
Vs
82%
18%
■ VIR 82%■ TRI 18%
Pythia win probability
Trieste 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game85.2
ItalyLega ARound 6· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Trieste
02 Nov 2026
VIR93
TRI100
26 Apr 2026
VIR95
TRI81
15 Dec 2024
VIR70
TRI78
09 Oct 2022
VIR85
TRI80
16 Oct 2021
VIR94
TRI79
11 Apr 2021
VIR81
TRI67
15 Mar 2020
VIR v TRI
upcoming
20 Jan 2019
VIR82
TRI74
15 Jun 2017
VIR82
TRI69
13 Jun 2017
VIR85
TRI62
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Virtus Bologna will host Trieste on 2 November 2026 in the Lega Basket Serie A, and the Pythia model names the home side as the clear favourite, giving it an 82% chance of winning and a projected 94-84 score that reflects Virtus's undefeated 5-0 record, 97.4 points per game and 84.2 allowed, with a league position of 1; the model also rates the home line at -11.0 and a 49% chance that Virtus will cover it, while the over on the 176.0 total has a 54% probability. Trieste, meanwhile, sits 11th with a 2-3 record, 89.0 points per game and 85.2 allowed, and has struggled on the road, going 0-2 in its two away games with 81.5 points per game and 84.0 allowed. The last five games for each side show Virtus winning two and losing three, and Trieste winning two and losing three, with recent results including a 101-103 loss to Besiktas and a 108-99 win over Verona. In their 10-meeting history Virtus has won seven times, most recently defeating Trieste 95-81 on 26 April 2026, and the Pythia model projects a 3% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
82.3%fair 1.21
Best odds1.19
Implied81.3%
Edge+1.1pp
Trieste winWon
17.7%fair 5.66
Best odds5.70
Implied18.7%
Edge-1.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#4
W
98-89
98
89
+9
100avg 81
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#17
W
94-87
94
87
+7
86avg 81
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
86avg 81
A11/10
Lega A
Paris
#12
W
96-94
96
94
+2
95avg 81
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 81
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
113avg 81
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
L
81-90
81
90
-9
65avg 81
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
90avg 81
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
74-91
74
91
-17
62avg 81
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
L
101-103
101
103
-2
97avg 81
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
12-26
28-26
33-21
35-21
17-22
23-25
19-19
20-29
25-22
24-21
24-14
26-26
20-12
18-27
32-29
24-12
22-22
22-19
18-25
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
182.4Avg total
92.9Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)97.484.2181.6+13.2100%
Season at home (2)103.086.0189.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)93.783.0176.7+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)92.989.5182.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)92.492.2184.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.888.2168.0-8.525%
vs Similar (6)91.790.8182.5+0.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.983.2174.1+7.770%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
85avg 76
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 76
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 76
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 76
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 76
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 76
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
57avg 76
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 76
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
88avg 76
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
W
108-99
108
99
+9
101avg 76
H25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
31-27
13-24
20-15
19-21
23-28
21-19
19-22
18-22
21-22
15-17
26-23
17-16
18-22
28-18
20-21
16-27
23-20
12-20
24-23
19-17
22-21
23-19
15-26
15-21
27-18
20-20
20-28
15-19
23-21
20-21
26-24
20-18
24-20
23-15
25-19
23-27
28-26
28-24
29-22
171.4Avg total
85.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.085.2174.2+3.840%
Season at home (3)94.086.0180.0+8.067%
Season away (2)81.584.0165.5-2.50%
Last 10 (10)85.785.7171.4+0.040%
Last 5 (5)89.085.2174.2+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.187.2167.3-7.127%
vs Similar (11)85.383.1168.4+2.255%
vs Weaker (4)91.585.8177.2+5.850%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1351%1402%1453%1505%1558%16010%16511%17012%17512%18010%1858%1906%1954%2003%2051%2101%2151%2200%225
1%1352%1455%15510%16512%17510%1856%1953%2051%2150%225
Pythia expects about 178 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%). The market's main line is 178.25.
Over/Under 173Actual: Over 173
Over 173
61.1%
@ 1.60+2.3pp
Under 173
38.9%
@ 2.22-2.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.60
Marathon Be
1.49
Under
Marathon Be
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Over/Under 178.25 · main lineActual: Over 178.25
Over 178.25
47.8%
@ 1.81-2.2pp
Under 178.25
52.2%
@ 1.81+2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 183Actual: Over 183
Over 183
37.0%
@ 2.60+1.2pp
Under 183
63.0%
@ 1.52-1.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Under
Marathon Be
1.52
Bet365
1.45

📊 3. Team Totals

Virtus Bologna total 89.5Actual: Virtus Bologna over 89.5
Over 89.5
67.9%
@ 1.35+0.6pp
Under 89.5
32.1%
@ 2.74-0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.30
Under
1xBet
2.74
Betano
2.72
Virtus Bologna total 93.5 · main lineActual: Virtus Bologna under 93.5
Over 93.5
53.1%
@ 1.83-0.2pp
Under 93.5
46.9%
@ 2.05+0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.73
Betano
1.72
WilliamHill
1.70
Under
WilliamHill
2.05
Marathon Be
1.99
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Virtus Bologna total 97.5Actual: Virtus Bologna under 97.5
Over 97.5
37.9%
@ 2.35-2.1pp
Under 97.5
62.1%
@ 1.48+2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.09
Under
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Trieste total 79.5Actual: Trieste over 79.5
Over 79.5
64.8%
@ 1.44+2.1pp
Under 79.5
35.2%
@ 2.45-2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Under
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.32
Trieste total 83.5 · main lineActual: Trieste over 83.5
Over 83.5
49.4%
@ 1.91+0.4pp
Under 83.5
50.6%
@ 1.85-0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.89
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Trieste total 87.5Actual: Trieste over 87.5
Over 87.5
34.2%
@ 2.55-1.4pp
Under 87.5
65.8%
@ 1.40+1.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.45
Under
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-211%-181%-152%-124%-95%-66%-35%+08%+310%+610%+99%+129%+158%+187%+215%+244%+273%+302%+331%+361%+391%+42
0%-211%-154%-96%-38%+310%+99%+157%+214%+272%+331%+39
Margin from Virtus Bologna's side (positive = Virtus Bologna win). Pythia's expected margin is +10.7; Virtus Bologna win by 1+ in 75% of simulations.
Spread Virtus Bologna -14Actual: Trieste +14
VIR -14
38.3%
@ 2.40-2.2pp
TRI +14
61.7%
@ 1.60+2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
VIR
Bet365
2.40
Marathon Be
2.19
TRI
Marathon Be
1.60
Bet365
1.52
Spread Virtus Bologna -11 · main lineActual: Trieste +11
VIR -11
49.1%
@ 1.90-2.0pp
TRI +11
50.9%
@ 1.95+2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
VIR
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Marathon Be
1.83
TRI
Marathon Be
1.95
Pinnacle
1.95
1xBet
1.91
Bet365
1.80
Spread Virtus Bologna -8Actual: Trieste +8
VIR -8
60.1%
@ 1.58-2.0pp
TRI +8
39.9%
@ 2.49+2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
VIR
Bet365
1.58
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathon Be
1.50
TRI
Pinnacle
2.49
Marathon Be
2.34
Bet365
2.22

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
Virtus BolognaTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#17
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/10
Lega A
Paris
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
86.6Avg total
45.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 88.75
Last 30 (30)45.341.586.8+3.963%43%
Last 30 at home (15)48.742.190.7+6.667%53%
Last 30 away (15)42.040.982.9+1.160%33%
Last 10 (10)45.041.686.6+3.460%40%
Last 5 (5)44.841.686.4+3.260%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.540.583.0+2.025%25%
vs Similar (6)44.743.388.0+1.367%50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.141.187.2+5.070%45%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H25/10
Lega A
86.7Avg total
43.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 88.75
Last 30 (30)42.743.886.5-1.140%40%
Last 30 at home (16)42.643.385.9-0.838%38%
Last 30 away (14)42.944.487.3-1.643%43%
Last 10 (10)43.043.786.7-0.740%30%
Last 5 (5)43.241.684.8+1.660%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)41.344.986.2-3.527%40%
vs Similar (11)44.242.987.1+1.355%45%
vs Weaker (4)43.842.586.2+1.250%25%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Virtus Bologna win
VIR win
73.5%
@ 1.33-1.7pp
TRI win
26.5%
@ 3.79+1.7pp
1st half Spread Virtus Bologna -6.5 · main lineActual: Virtus Bologna -6.5
VIR -6.5
46.2%
@ 2.10-3.6pp
TRI +6.5
53.8%
@ 1.90+3.6pp
1st half Over/Under 88.75 · main lineActual: Over 88.75
Over
51.5%
@ 1.82+1.5pp
Under
48.5%
@ 1.82-1.5pp
Virtus Bologna 1st half total 46.5 · main lineActual: Virtus Bologna over 46.5
Over
54.2%
@ 1.83+2.6pp
Under
45.8%
@ 2.10-2.6pp
Trieste 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Trieste over 41.5
Over
50.7%
@ 1.93+1.5pp
Under
49.3%
@ 1.85-1.5pp
1st half: VIR + total 88.5
VIR & over
36.6%
@ 2.70+4.3pp
VIR & under
34.5%
@ 2.55+0.4pp
1st half: Draw + total 88.5
Draw & over
1.7%
@ 31.00-1.2pp
Draw & under
1.7%
@ 29.00-1.3pp
1st half: TRI + total 88.5
TRI & over
13.2%
@ 6.50-0.1pp
TRI & under
12.4%
@ 6.00-2.1pp
1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Over 87.5
Over
55.1%
@ 1.83+1.0pp
Under
44.9%
@ 2.12-1.0pp
1st half Over/Under 90Actual: Over 90
Over
45.6%
@ 2.03-1.2pp
Under
54.4%
@ 1.79+1.2pp
1st half Spread Virtus Bologna -7.5Actual: Virtus Bologna -7.5
VIR -7.5
42.2%
@ 2.07-2.5pp
TRI +7.5
57.8%
@ 1.67+2.5pp
1st half Spread Virtus Bologna -5.5Actual: Virtus Bologna -5.5
VIR -5.5
50.3%
@ 1.86-3.9pp
TRI +5.5
49.7%
@ 2.08+3.9pp
1st half Over/Under 86Actual: Over 86
Over
61.0%
@ 1.69+4.7pp
Under
39.0%
@ 2.18-4.7pp
1st half Over/Under 91.5Actual: Over 91.5
Over
40.2%
@ 2.30-1.5pp
Under
59.8%
@ 1.60+1.5pp
1st half Spread Virtus Bologna -8.5Actual: Virtus Bologna -8.5
VIR -8.5
38.2%
@ 2.60-2.9pp
TRI +8.5
61.8%
@ 1.55+2.9pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Trieste (regulation)
VIR
71.0%
@ 1.36+1.1pp
Draw
3.3%
@ 26.00-1.8pp
TRI
25.6%
@ 3.90+0.5pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
VIR win + total 177.5
🔒 Pro
TRI win + total 177.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: VIR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: TRI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (VIR:TRI): VIR wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Q4: Over 40.570.1%1.50
1xBet
1.50
----+11.7ppWon
Q2: Over 40.570.3%1.48
1xBet
1.48
----+11.2ppWon
Q2: Trieste over 17.574.5%1.34
1xBet
1.34
----+8.8ppWon
1st half: Trieste over 36.576.8%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+8.3ppWon
2nd half: Trieste over 36.576.4%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+7.8ppWon
Virtus Bologna over 82.587.2%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+7.7ppWon
Q4: Virtus Bologna over 19.577.7%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+7.6ppWon
Q2: Virtus Bologna over 20.572.9%1.35
1xBet
1.35
----+7.6ppWon
2nd half: Virtus Bologna over 41.576.6%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+7.4ppLost
1st half: Virtus Bologna over 38.589.2%1.13
Bet365
1.13
----+6.9ppWon
1st half: Virtus Bologna over 40.583.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+6.9ppWon
Virtus Bologna over 72.598.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.7ppWon
Q3: Trieste over 17.573.7%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+6.7ppWon
Virtus Bologna over 84.582.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+6.6ppWon
Virtus Bologna over 74.597.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+6.6ppWon
Virtus Bologna over 76.595.5%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+6.5ppWon
1st half: Virtus Bologna over 43.570.2%1.37
1xBet
1.37
----+6.4ppWon
1st half: Virtus Bologna over 42.574.9%1.33
Bet365
1.35
1xBet
1.30
---+6.4ppWon
Virtus Bologna over 80.590.7%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+6.3ppWon
Virtus Bologna over 78.593.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+6.3ppWon
1st half: Virtus Bologna over 36.593.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+6.2ppWon
Q1: Virtus Bologna over 20.574.0%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+6.0ppWon
Q1: Virtus Bologna under 33.597.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.0ppWon
Q1: Virtus Bologna under 27.577.8%1.27
1xBet
1.27
Bet365
1.26
---+5.9ppWon
Virtus Bologna under 114.597.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.8ppWon
Trieste over 64.596.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.8ppWon
2nd half: Trieste +11.574.7%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+5.7ppWon
Q1: Virtus Bologna over 13.598.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.7ppWon
Q4: Virtus Bologna +2.575.7%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+5.7ppWon
1st half: Over 80.579.0%1.27
Bet365
1.27
----+5.6ppWon
Trieste over 66.595.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+5.6ppWon
Virtus Bologna under 112.595.8%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.6ppWon
Q1: Virtus Bologna over 15.594.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+5.6ppWon
Q4: Trieste over 17.575.1%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+5.6ppWon
Q1: Trieste under 29.596.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.5ppWon
Q1: Virtus Bologna under 31.594.2%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+5.5ppWon
Q1: Virtus Bologna under 29.587.8%1.13
Bet365
1.13
----+5.5ppWon
Q1: Trieste under 30.597.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.3ppWon
1st half: Trieste over 37.571.9%1.35
1xBet
1.36
Bet365
1.35
---+5.2ppWon
Trieste over 62.598.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.2ppWon
1st half: Over 78.584.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+5.2ppWon
2nd half: Virtus Bologna under 51.573.9%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+5.2ppWon
Trieste under 94.585.7%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+5.2ppLost
Trieste under 104.597.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.1ppWon
Q3: Virtus Bologna under 26.573.5%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+5.1ppWon
2nd half: Trieste +10.571.2%1.34
1xBet
1.34
----+5.0ppWon
Q1: Virtus Bologna under 26.571.6%1.35
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.32
---+5.0ppWon
Q4: Virtus Bologna +1.571.2%1.34
1xBet
1.34
----+5.0ppLost
Q4: Virtus Bologna under 26.571.2%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+5.0ppWon
Trieste under 96.589.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+5.0ppLost
Virtus Bologna under 110.593.7%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+5.0ppWon
Trieste under 92.581.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+4.9ppLost
Trieste under 102.595.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.9ppWon
Q1: Trieste under 28.594.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+4.8ppWon
Q3: Virtus Bologna over 20.571.2%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+4.8ppLost
Q1: Trieste over 11.597.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.8ppWon
1st half: Trieste over 35.580.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+4.8ppWon
Trieste under 98.592.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+4.8ppLost
Q1: Trieste under 31.598.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.7ppWon
Trieste over 75.578.2%1.23
Betano
1.23
----+4.7ppWon
Over 151.594.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+4.7ppWon
1st half: Trieste +11.573.3%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+4.7ppWon
Q1: Trieste over 12.595.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.7ppWon
Virtus Bologna over 86.577.4%1.26
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.22
---+4.7ppWon
1st half: Trieste over 33.587.7%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+4.6ppWon
1st half: Over 82.572.8%1.37
Bet365
1.37
WilliamHill
1.36
---+4.6ppWon
Trieste under 100.593.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+4.6ppWon
Trieste over 68.592.8%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+4.5ppWon
Trieste over 72.585.9%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+4.5ppWon
1st half: Trieste over 31.592.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+4.5ppWon
Q1: Trieste under 27.591.1%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+4.5ppWon
Q1: Trieste +7.574.4%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+4.4ppWon
2nd half: Trieste over 37.571.8%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+4.4ppWon
Trieste over 70.589.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+4.4ppWon
Virtus Bologna under 108.591.0%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+4.4ppWon
Q4: Trieste +6.571.2%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+4.3ppWon
Q4: Virtus Bologna over 20.571.7%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+4.3ppWon
Q1: Trieste over 10.598.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.3ppWon
Virtus Bologna +9.595.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.3ppWon
Overtime: no96.7%1.02
Betano
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
---+4.3pp-
Virtus Bologna under 104.583.8%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+4.3ppWon
2nd half: Trieste under 46.575.0%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+4.3ppLost
Q1: Trieste under 24.576.9%1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
---+4.2ppLost
Trieste +30.594.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.2ppWon
Virtus Bologna +14.597.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.1ppWon
1st half: Virtus Bologna +3.583.5%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+4.0ppWon
Over 161.583.5%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+4.0ppWon
Q1: Virtus Bologna over 17.589.0%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+4.0ppWon
Over 152.593.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+4.0ppWon
Q1: Trieste over 13.593.0%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+4.0ppWon
2nd half: Virtus Bologna over 42.572.1%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+3.9ppLost
Over 16970.2%1.38
Bet365
1.40
Marathon Bet
1.36
---+3.9ppWon
Over 156.590.0%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+3.9ppWon
1st half: Virtus Bologna under 56.590.5%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+3.8ppWon
Virtus Bologna under 101.575.7%1.24
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.24
---+3.8ppWon
Under 202.592.8%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+3.7ppWon
Q1: Trieste under 25.582.6%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+3.7ppWon
Q1: Virtus Bologna over 19.579.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+3.7ppWon
1st half: Trieste under 51.591.9%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+3.6ppWon
Virtus Bologna -279.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+3.6ppLost
Virtus Bologna under 106.587.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+3.5ppWon
1st half: Virtus Bologna -0.571.0%1.37
Bet365
1.37
----+3.5ppWon
Q1: Trieste over 17.574.6%1.28
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.26
---+3.4ppWon
Q4: Trieste under 24.574.0%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+3.4ppWon
Trieste under 90.575.6%1.27
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.23
---+3.4ppLost
Over 166.574.9%1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
---+3.4ppWon
Trieste +21.582.3%1.17
Betano
1.17
----+3.3ppWon
Trieste +19.577.7%1.24
Betano
1.24
Marathon Bet
1.24
---+3.3ppWon
Virtus Bologna over 87.574.5%1.25
1xBet
1.27
Betano
1.24
---+3.2ppWon
Q1: Trieste over 16.580.9%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+3.1ppWon
1st half: Virtus Bologna +5.588.1%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+3.1ppWon
Q1: Trieste over 14.589.7%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+3.1ppWon
Q1: Trieste under 23.570.3%1.34
Bet365
1.38
1xBet
1.31
---+3.0ppLost
1st half: Trieste under 49.586.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+3.0ppWon
1st half: Virtus Bologna under 54.584.4%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+3.0ppLost
Under 201.592.0%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+2.9ppWon
Q1: Trieste under 26.587.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+2.9ppWon
Virtus Bologna -1.580.4%1.19
Betano
1.19
----+2.9ppLost
1st half: Virtus Bologna +1.577.6%1.25
Bet365
1.25
----+2.9ppWon
2nd half: Virtus Bologna win71.3%1.38
Betano
1.38
----+2.8ppLost
Q3: Trieste under 23.571.7%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+2.8ppLost
Q1: Virtus Bologna +1.573.3%1.29
Bet365
1.31
1xBet
1.27
---+2.8ppWon
Q1: Virtus Bologna +3.581.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+2.8ppWon
Over 157.588.9%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+2.8ppWon
Trieste over 77.571.8%1.29
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.29
---+2.6ppWon
1st half: Virtus Bologna under 51.572.5%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+2.6ppLost
Q1: Trieste +8.578.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+2.6ppWon
Under 197.588.0%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+2.5ppWon
Virtus Bologna under 102.578.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+2.5ppWon
Over 168.570.8%1.35
Bet365
1.38
Marathon Bet
1.34
Betano
1.32
--+2.4ppWon
Over 162.582.0%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+2.4ppWon
Under 192.581.2%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+2.4ppLost
1st half: Under 98.581.9%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+2.4ppLost
Trieste +20.580.1%1.19
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
---+2.3ppWon
Trieste +18.575.1%1.27
Betano
1.28
Marathon Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.26
--+2.1ppWon
Virtus Bologna under 100.572.6%1.30
Bet365
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.28
--+2.1ppWon
Trieste over 74.581.0%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+2.1ppWon
Virtus Bologna -3.574.8%1.26
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.27
Marathon Bet
1.23
--+2.1ppLost
Virtus Bologna -2.577.3%1.23
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.23
Marathon Bet
1.22
--+2.1ppLost
Virtus Bologna -474.0%1.27
Bet365
1.29
Marathon Bet
1.25
---+2.1ppLost
Virtus Bologna (regulation)80.3%1.18
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Marathon Bet
1.17
--+2.0ppLost
Virtus Bologna -4.571.6%1.31
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.32
Marathon Bet
1.28
--+2.0ppLost
Q1: Trieste over 15.585.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+2.0ppWon
Trieste +25.589.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+2.0ppWon
Virtus Bologna -376.7%1.24
Bet365
1.25
Marathon Bet
1.23
---+2.0ppLost
Trieste over 76.575.1%1.25
Bet365
1.26
Betano
1.25
---+1.9ppWon
Trieste under 89.572.5%1.26
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.24
---+1.9ppLost
Virtus Bologna +4.589.4%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+1.9ppLost
1st half: Trieste under 47.579.6%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+1.9ppWon
Q2: Virtus Bologna or Trieste94.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+1.8pp-
1st half: Virtus Bologna under 52.577.1%1.23
Bet365
1.23
----+1.8ppLost
Virtus Bologna -570.7%1.33
Bet365
1.35
Marathon Bet
1.30
---+1.7ppLost
Q2: Virtus Bologna under 26.571.6%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+1.6ppLost
Trieste +17.572.3%1.30
Betano
1.33
Marathon Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.24
-+1.6ppWon
Under 187.572.3%1.31
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.30
---+1.5ppLost
Over 167.572.9%1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
---+1.4ppWon
Virtus Bologna over 88.571.3%1.32
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.27
--+1.4ppWon
Under 196.586.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+1.3ppWon
Trieste +1874.3%1.29
Marathon Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.27
---+1.2ppWon
1st half: Trieste +14.582.7%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+1.2ppWon
1st half: Virtus Bologna (regulation)71.0%1.31
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
WilliamHill
1.30
Marathon Bet
1.28
+1.1ppLost
Virtus Bologna win82.3%1.16
WilliamHill
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Marathon Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Bet365
1.15
+1.1ppLost
Trieste +1771.4%1.33
Marathon Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.32
---+1.0ppWon
Under 191.579.6%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+0.8ppLost
1st half: Trieste +12.576.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+0.5ppWon
1st half: Trieste under 45.570.8%1.29
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.24
---+0.5ppLost
1st half: Under 96.576.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+0.2ppLost
Under 186.570.3%1.34
Marathon Bet
1.37
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.31
--+0.2ppLost
1st half: Under 94.570.2%1.32
Bet365
1.32
-----0.2ppLost
1st half: Virtus Bologna win73.5%1.29
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25
--1.7ppWon
Virtus Bologna or draw82.2%1.10
Marathon Bet
1.10
------
Trieste +1977.1%1.25
Marathon Bet
1.25
-----Won
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.9
55.0%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
34.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.7
79.4%
74.6%19.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.3
54.8%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
74.6%16.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LLWLWWWWWW
Trieste
WWLLLLWLLW
#1
League position
#6
+3.7
Net rating
+0.2
102.2
Offensive rating
100.8
98.4
Defensive rating
100.6
54.8%
Effective FG%
53.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
14.0%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.3%
3-point %
34.9%
57.7%
Assist %
56.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 100.8Defence98.4 · 100.6Shooting54.8% · 53.6%3-point %36.3% · 34.9%Ball care14.0% · 12.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Virtus Bologna wins
3
Trieste wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HBesiktas101-103
28/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas74-91
25/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-94 OT
21/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-90
18/10/26HScafati108-83
16/10/26HBaskonia86-78
14/10/26AParis96-94
11/10/26AVenezia93-86
08/10/26ABayern94-87
04/10/26HMaxima Roma98-89
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HVerona108-99
18/10/26HCantu92-72
10/10/26AVarese84-85
04/10/26HVenezia82-87
27/09/26AOlimpia Milano79-83
25/05/26ABrescia75-90
23/05/26HBrescia83-77
21/05/26HBrescia80-84
18/05/26ABrescia82-90
16/05/26ABrescia92-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.4103.093.7
Allowed / game84.286.083.0
Point differential+13.2+17.0+10.7
Avg total181.6189.0176.7
Over 178.2580%100%67%
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Trieste
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game89.094.081.5
Allowed / game85.286.084.0
Point differential+3.8+8.0-2.5
Avg total174.2180.0165.5
Over 178.2520%33%0%
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli65183%94.286.2+8.0
3 Treviso65183%93.288.8+4.3
4 Maxima Roma64267%86.383.2+3.2
5 Varese64267%88.888.2+0.7
6 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
7 Udine63350%80.880.2+0.7
8 Verona63350%89.790.5-0.8
9 Venezia63350%88.790.3-1.7
10 Trento63350%79.582.8-3.3
11 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
12 BC Roma62433%100.296.5+3.7
13 Reggiana62433%82.383.8-1.5
14 Tortona61517%83.293.5-10.3
15 Scafati61517%80.392.2-11.8
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2431172193
Trieste25213123100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.