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Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 97-128
23-37 27-27 30-35 17-29
Position#5
Record21-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game118.8
Allowed / game112.9
Milwaukee Bucks
USA
vs
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
Position#6
Record21-16
FormLWLWW
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game110.2
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets
12 Jan 2027
MIL v DEN
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
MIL100
DEN102
27 Feb 2025
MIL121
DEN112
12 Feb 2024
MIL112
DEN95
25 Jan 2023
MIL107
DEN99
30 Jan 2022
MIL100
DEN136
02 Mar 2021
MIL97
DEN128
31 Jan 2020
MIL115
DEN127
19 Nov 2018
MIL104
DEN98
15 Feb 2018
MIL123
DEN134
01 Mar 2017
MIL98
DEN110
30 Nov 2015
MIL92
DEN74
20 Feb 2015
MIL89
DEN81
20 Feb 2014
MIL90
DEN101
15 Apr 2013
MIL111
DEN112
17 Jan 2012
MIL95
DEN105
16 Feb 2011
MIL87
DEN94
11 Nov 2009
MIL108
DEN102
22 Feb 2009
MIL120
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
124-125
124
125
-1
no box
A11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
115-129
115
129
-14
94avg 110
A13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
109-114
109
114
-5
98avg 110
A15/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
113-124
113
124
-11
106avg 110
H17/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
96-110
96
110
-14
88avg 110
H19/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
98-85
98
85
+13
95avg 110
H20/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
128-115
128
115
+13
123avg 110
H22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
139-112
139
112
+27
138avg 110
H24/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
129-125
129
125
+4
117avg 110
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
105-100
105
100
+5
97avg 110
H28/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-32
39-27
30-39
23-27
31-35
21-34
30-27
33-33
24-24
17-28
40-29
28-33
33-33
31-31
27-30
22-30
26-33
15-25
31-27
24-25
16-20
30-22
32-20
20-23
28-25
42-31
29-26
29-33
38-36
41-26
34-27
26-23
35-31
34-37
34-35
26-22
27-23
26-25
24-33
28-19
229.5Avg total
115.6Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)118.8112.9231.7+5.857%
Season at home (20)118.5110.5229.0+8.070%
Season away (17)119.1115.8234.9+3.341%
Last 10 (10)115.6113.9229.5+1.750%
Last 5 (5)119.8107.4227.2+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)117.4117.7235.1-0.244%
vs Weaker (21)119.0109.8228.7+9.271%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
97-95
97
95
+2
88avg 106
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
122-105
122
105
+17
118avg 106
H15/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
99-112
99
112
-13
92avg 106
A17/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
128-130
128
130
-2
119avg 106
A18/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
120-103
120
103
+17
116avg 106
A20/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
115-123
115
123
-8
106avg 106
A22/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
111-106
111
106
+5
98avg 106
H24/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
110-112
110
112
-2
102avg 106
H26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
126-96
126
96
+30
128avg 106
A28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
118-112
118
112
+6
114avg 106
A02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
24-25
30-26
27-16
33-33
40-28
30-24
19-20
26-30
28-29
21-27
24-26
41-24
23-46
29-30
35-30
33-23
36-27
26-30
25-23
33-27
23-37
20-29
39-30
34-25
23-32
21-21
33-28
22-26
32-30
34-32
22-24
38-20
27-23
34-26
27-27
37-25
25-30
27-32
29-25
224.0Avg total
114.6Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)115.9110.2226.2+5.757%
Season at home (18)116.8109.0225.8+7.861%
Season away (19)115.1111.4226.5+3.753%
Last 10 (10)114.6109.4224.0+5.260%
Last 5 (5)116.0109.8225.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)113.6112.4225.9+1.253%
vs Weaker (13)117.7106.8224.5+10.869%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
Milwaukee BucksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A15/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H17/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H19/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H20/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H24/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H28/02
NBA
116.4Avg total
58.6Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.355.8116.1+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.553.9116.4+8.676%-
Last 30 away (13)57.558.3115.8-0.846%-
Last 10 (10)58.657.8116.4+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)63.455.2118.6+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)58.657.4116.0+1.144%-
vs Weaker (21)61.155.1116.2+6.071%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H15/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A17/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A18/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A20/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A22/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H24/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
65-43
65
43
+22
A28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A02/03
NBA
116.2Avg total
59.4Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.954.1114.0+5.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.054.6114.6+5.462%-
Last 30 away (17)59.853.6113.5+6.259%-
Last 10 (10)59.456.8116.2+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)58.855.0113.8+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)60.755.3116.0+5.465%-
vs Weaker (13)58.852.5111.3+6.454%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 115.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.929.4
53.6%
52.8%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.213.2
37.5%
36.6%39.6
🏀 Free throws23.117.0
73.6%
77.7%17.0
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.928.6
56.2%
52.8%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.814.0
39.1%
36.6%42.0
🏀 Free throws18.815.4
81.9%
77.7%15.4
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWWLLLLL
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLWLLWW
#5
League position
#6
+1.5
Net rating
+5.3
112.7
Offensive rating
115.8
111.2
Defensive rating
110.6
54.6%
Effective FG%
57.2%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
11.9%
Turnover %
12.3%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.5%
3-point %
39.1%
54.9%
Assist %
58.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 115.8Defence111.2 · 110.6Shooting54.6% · 57.2%3-point %37.5% · 39.1%Ball care11.9% · 12.3%Off. rebounds21.6% · 20.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
09/02/21Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks112-125
10/03/20Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks109-95
01/02/20Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets115-127
20/11/18Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets104-98
12/11/18Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks114-121
02/04/18Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks128-125 OT
16/02/18Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets123-134
02/03/17Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets98-110
04/02/17Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks121-117
01/12/15Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets92-74
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/21HLos Angeles Clippers105-100
26/02/21HNew Orleans Pelicans129-125
24/02/21HMinnesota Timberwolves139-112
22/02/21HSacramento Kings128-115
20/02/21HOklahoma City Thunder98-85
19/02/21HToronto Raptors96-110
17/02/21HToronto Raptors113-124
15/02/21AOklahoma City Thunder109-114
13/02/21AUtah Jazz115-129
11/02/21APhoenix Suns124-125
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/21AChicago Bulls118-112
28/02/21AOklahoma City Thunder126-96
26/02/21HWashington Wizards110-112
24/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers111-106
22/02/21AAtlanta Hawks115-123
20/02/21ACleveland Cavaliers120-103
18/02/21AWashington Wizards128-130
17/02/21ABoston Celtics99-112
15/02/21HLos Angeles Lakers122-105
13/02/21HOklahoma City Thunder97-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW57%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayWWLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372017
Win %57%70%41%
Points / game118.8118.5119.1
Allowed / game112.9110.5115.8
Point differential+5.8+8.0+3.3
Avg total231.7229.0234.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)100% (3)0% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWWWWL61%
AwayLWLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %57%61%53%
Points / game115.9116.8115.1
Allowed / game110.2109.0111.4
Point differential+5.7+7.8+3.7
Avg total226.2225.8226.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %11%11%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz3830879%116.6106.6+9.9
2 Los Angeles Lakers39281172%111.3105.2+6.1
3 Philadelphia 76ers37251268%114.0110.4+3.6
4 Brooklyn Nets38251366%120.6115.4+5.2
5 Los Angeles Clippers40241660%113.5109.6+3.9
6 Phoenix Suns37221559%112.4108.2+4.2
7 Milwaukee Bucks37211657%118.8112.9+5.8
8 Denver Nuggets37211657%115.9110.2+5.7
9 Golden State Warriors38211755%113.8112.4+1.3
10 Memphis Grizzlies35191654%112.4110.4+2.0
11 Portland Trail Blazers37201754%113.5115.5-2.0
12 San Antonio Spurs34181653%110.6111.9-1.3
13 Dallas Mavericks36191753%113.4113.4-0.1
14 New York Knicks40211952%104.2103.0+1.2
15 Toronto Raptors37191851%112.6110.3+2.3
16 Chicago Bulls37181949%114.0113.9+0.1
17 Boston Celtics37181949%110.2110.4-0.2
18 Miami Heat37181949%106.8108.9-2.1
19 New Orleans Pelicans36171947%116.1115.2+1.0
20 Charlotte Hornets38172145%112.1113.6-1.5
21 Atlanta Hawks39172244%112.6112.7-0.1
22 Indiana Pacers36152142%112.4112.5-0.1
23 Cleveland Cavaliers39162341%103.9111.5-7.6
24 Oklahoma City Thunder37152241%106.9112.4-5.5
25 Sacramento Kings38152339%113.9119.7-5.8
26 Washington Wizards36142239%113.4117.9-4.6
27 Orlando Magic39152438%106.4112.6-6.3
28 Houston Rockets37142338%108.1111.2-3.2
29 Detroit Pistons38112729%106.1109.9-3.8
30 Minnesota Timberwolves3883021%108.4116.7-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2327301797
Denver Nuggets37273529128
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