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Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 110-112
22-26 32-30 34-32 22-24
Position#6
Record19-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game110.5
Denver Nuggets
USA
vs
Washington Wizards 🏆
USA
Position#18
Record12-20
FormWWWWL
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game118.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards
21 Jan 2027
DEN v WAS
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
DEN121
WAS115
15 Mar 2025
DEN123
WAS126
22 Feb 2024
DEN130
WAS110
14 Dec 2022
DEN141
WAS128
13 Dec 2021
DEN113
WAS107
25 Feb 2021
DEN110
WAS112
22 Jul 2020
DEN89
WAS82
26 Nov 2019
DEN117
WAS104
31 Mar 2019
DEN90
WAS95
23 Oct 2017
DEN104
WAS109
08 Mar 2017
DEN113
WAS123
12 Mar 2016
DEN116
WAS100
25 Jan 2015
DEN115
WAS117
23 Mar 2014
DEN105
WAS102
18 Jan 2013
DEN108
WAS112
25 Mar 2011
DEN114
WAS94
16 Mar 2010
DEN97
WAS87
20 Mar 2009
DEN116
WAS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
114-119
114
119
-5
107avg 106
A06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
112-125
112
125
-13
no box
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
133-95
133
95
+38
no box
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
97-95
97
95
+2
88avg 106
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
122-105
122
105
+17
118avg 106
H15/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
99-112
99
112
-13
92avg 106
A17/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
128-130
128
130
-2
119avg 106
A18/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
120-103
120
103
+17
116avg 106
A20/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
115-123
115
123
-8
106avg 106
A22/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
111-106
111
106
+5
98avg 106
H24/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
27-27
29-34
33-32
42-37
20-22
26-34
24-32
34-17
30-26
36-23
33-29
16-28
24-25
30-26
27-16
33-33
40-28
30-24
19-20
26-30
28-29
21-27
24-26
41-24
23-46
29-30
35-30
33-23
36-27
26-30
25-23
33-27
23-37
20-29
39-30
34-25
23-32
21-21
33-28
226.4Avg total
115.1Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)115.8110.5226.3+5.256%
Season at home (17)117.2108.8226.1+8.465%
Season away (17)114.3112.2226.5+2.147%
Last 10 (10)115.1111.3226.4+3.850%
Last 5 (5)114.6114.8229.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)113.3112.8226.1+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)117.9108.8226.7+9.267%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
97-119
97
119
-22
84avg 101
A07/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
105-101
105
101
+4
no box
A09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
115-137
115
137
-22
no box
H11/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
91-109
91
109
-18
77avg 101
H13/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
104-91
104
91
+13
101avg 101
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
131-119
131
119
+12
124avg 101
H16/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
130-128
130
128
+2
129avg 101
H18/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
118-111
118
111
+7
114avg 101
A21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
127-124 OT
127
124
+3
117avg 101
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
116-135
116
135
-19
112avg 101
A24/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-34
21-35
21-33
24-17
24-27
34-21
25-30
22-23
28-40
33-34
32-29
22-34
23-30
19-23
22-26
27-30
29-22
26-21
34-24
15-24
38-34
34-35
28-20
31-30
24-41
46-23
30-29
30-35
31-43
30-12
28-37
29-19
23-33
26-30
31-23
35-29
20-36
35-36
39-27
22-36
230.8Avg total
113.4Scored
117.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)113.2118.4231.5-5.238%
Season at home (16)115.5119.0234.5-3.538%
Season away (16)110.8117.8228.6-6.938%
Last 10 (10)113.4117.4230.8-4.060%
Last 5 (5)124.4123.4247.8+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)123.0125.0248.0-2.056%
vs Similar (17)109.5115.9225.5-6.435%
vs Weaker (4)113.0119.0232.0-6.025%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -6.9-6.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -6.9-6.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
Denver NuggetsWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H15/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A17/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A18/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A20/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A22/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H24/02
NBA
116.0Avg total
59.1Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.155.8115.9+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.856.1116.9+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)59.555.5115.0+4.050%-
Last 10 (10)59.156.9116.0+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)60.060.0120.0+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)60.456.2116.6+4.261%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)59.755.2114.8+4.550%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A07/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H11/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H13/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H16/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H18/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A24/02
NBA
118.5Avg total
57.5Scored
61.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.862.3120.1-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.961.6122.5-0.733%-
Last 30 away (15)54.763.0117.7-8.327%-
Last 10 (10)57.561.0118.5-3.550%-
Last 5 (5)61.464.6126.0-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)60.664.0124.6-3.433%-
vs Similar (17)55.661.4116.9-5.829%-
vs Weaker (4)60.862.5123.2-1.825%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.328.7
55.9%
52.8%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.914.4
39.0%
36.6%43.2
🏀 Free throws17.914.5
81.0%
77.7%14.5
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.731.3
53.3%
52.8%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.6
31.5%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws28.621.8
76.2%
77.7%21.8
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWLLWWWLL
Washington Wizards
LWWWWWLLWL
#6
League position
#18
+4.2
Net rating
-3.7
116.4
Offensive rating
105.9
112.1
Defensive rating
109.7
57.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
10.9%
Turnover %
13.6%
19.0%
Off. rebound %
20.1%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.0%
3-point %
31.5%
59.6%
Assist %
61.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 105.9Defence112.1 · 109.7Shooting57.0% · 51.2%3-point %39.0% · 31.5%Ball care10.9% · 13.6%Off. rebounds19.0% · 20.1%Free throws0.20 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Washington Wizards wins
DateGameScore
18/02/21Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets130-128
22/07/20Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards89-82
05/01/20Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets128-114
27/11/19Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards117-104
01/04/19Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards90-95
21/03/19Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets108-113
23/03/18Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets100-108
24/10/17Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards104-109
09/03/17Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards113-123
09/12/16Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets92-85
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers111-106
22/02/21AAtlanta Hawks115-123
20/02/21ACleveland Cavaliers120-103
18/02/21AWashington Wizards128-130
17/02/21ABoston Celtics99-112
15/02/21HLos Angeles Lakers122-105
13/02/21HOklahoma City Thunder97-95
11/02/21HCleveland Cavaliers133-95
09/02/21HMilwaukee Bucks112-125
06/02/21ASacramento Kings114-119
Washington Wizardslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/21ALos Angeles Clippers116-135
23/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers127-124 OT
21/02/21APortland Trail Blazers118-111
18/02/21HDenver Nuggets130-128
16/02/21HHouston Rockets131-119
14/02/21HBoston Celtics104-91
13/02/21HNew York Knicks91-109
11/02/21HToronto Raptors115-137
09/02/21AChicago Bulls105-101
07/02/21ACharlotte Hornets97-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeLWWWW65%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %56%65%47%
Points / game115.8117.2114.3
Allowed / game110.5108.8112.2
Point differential+5.2+8.4+2.1
Avg total226.3226.1226.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)40% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL38%
HomeLLWWW38%
AwayLWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %38%38%38%
Points / game113.2115.5110.8
Allowed / game118.4119.0117.8
Point differential-5.2-3.5-6.9
Avg total231.5234.5228.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%19%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)60% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz3529683%116.2105.4+10.7
2 Los Angeles Lakers37261170%111.4105.9+5.5
3 Philadelphia 76ers35241169%113.7110.3+3.4
4 Brooklyn Nets36241267%121.1115.5+5.6
5 Los Angeles Clippers37231462%113.7109.8+3.9
6 Phoenix Suns35201557%112.4108.7+3.7
7 Denver Nuggets34191556%115.8110.5+5.2
8 Golden State Warriors36201656%114.0112.1+1.9
9 Milwaukee Bucks35191654%118.9113.0+5.9
10 Portland Trail Blazers35191654%113.8116.1-2.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies32171553%111.8111.0+0.8
12 San Antonio Spurs31161552%110.1112.0-2.0
13 Chicago Bulls35181751%114.6114.0+0.5
14 New York Knicks37191851%104.2102.8+1.4
15 Toronto Raptors36181850%112.3110.3+2.0
16 Dallas Mavericks34171750%112.8113.6-0.8
17 New Orleans Pelicans33161748%115.5114.4+1.1
18 Miami Heat34161847%107.0109.4-2.4
19 Charlotte Hornets35161946%111.4112.5-1.1
20 Indiana Pacers33151845%112.5111.9+0.6
21 Atlanta Hawks36162044%113.6113.5+0.0
22 Boston Celtics34151944%109.7110.3-0.6
23 Houston Rockets34142041%109.2110.6-1.4
24 Orlando Magic37152241%105.8111.8-6.0
25 Oklahoma City Thunder35142140%106.9112.1-5.3
26 Sacramento Kings36142239%113.7119.9-6.1
27 Cleveland Cavaliers37142338%103.8112.2-8.4
28 Washington Wizards32122038%113.2118.4-5.2
29 Detroit Pistons36112531%106.5109.9-3.4
30 Minnesota Timberwolves3682822%108.6116.3-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets22323422110
Washington Wizards26303224112
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