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Wurzburg vs Ulm Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 09 May 2027
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#11
Record4-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game85.4
GermanyBBLRound 34· Tectake Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Wurzburg v Ulm
09 May 2027
WUR v ULM
upcoming
02 May 2026
WUR98
ULM84
10 Jun 2025
WUR78
ULM77
04 Jun 2025
WUR87
ULM77
14 Apr 2025
WUR89
ULM72
24 May 2024
WUR75
ULM72
22 May 2024
WUR82
ULM79
19 Nov 2023
WUR83
ULM88
14 Oct 2023
WUR72
ULM76
03 Mar 2023
WUR62
ULM82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#3
L
62-101
62
101
-39
38avg 67
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
73-90
73
90
-17
56avg 67
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 67
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#13
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 67
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
91-62
91
62
+29
79avg 67
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
96-72
96
72
+24
92avg 67
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
113-79
113
79
+34
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
no box
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
14-21
6-35
21-26
20-22
17-17
12-27
24-24
21-21
28-22
20-15
18-15
27-17
23-25
27-15
21-31
30-16
16-14
27-11
18-21
29-19
29-11
21-22
17-20
23-20
31-19
33-17
26-23
21-26
18-23
7-33
27-12
12-24
23-22
26-17
17-13
17-24
23-33
16-24
28-10
168.1Avg total
85.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.883.2165.0-1.550%
Season at home (4)80.583.8164.2-3.250%
Season away (4)83.082.8165.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)85.582.6168.1+2.960%
Last 5 (5)88.882.4171.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.890.2165.0-15.525%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.176.1158.2+6.062%
vs Weaker (12)82.577.8160.3+4.758%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Vechta
#14
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
84avg 80
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 80
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 80
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 80
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
86-68
86
68
+18
84avg 80
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 80
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#3
L
87-97
87
97
-10
no box
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
97-78
97
78
+19
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
27-13
14-26
23-25
26-26
26-23
26-16
24-28
20-19
22-27
13-13
23-28
18-23
25-22
16-23
23-30
22-25
28-17
17-9
19-17
18-20
26-12
16-20
21-13
19-19
17-35
24-14
22-28
21-29
24-29
21-15
21-24
15-11
19-24
16-27
28-21
33-11
17-28
30-16
17-23
172.7Avg total
86.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.185.4169.6-1.344%
Season at home (4)82.877.5160.2+5.275%
Season away (5)85.291.8177.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)86.586.2172.7+0.340%
Last 5 (5)85.083.8168.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.095.2179.2-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.387.6168.9-6.327%
vs Weaker (11)87.876.3164.1+11.573%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
WurzburgUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#13
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A14/11
BBL
85.8Avg total
44.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.579.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.281.6+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.737.876.5+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.585.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.289.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.040.579.5-1.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.036.277.2+4.869%-
vs Weaker (12)41.240.281.4+1.150%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#3
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H14/11
BBL
87.6Avg total
44.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.783.9+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)43.841.885.5+2.059%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.387.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.685.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.055.097.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.540.281.7+1.353%-
vs Weaker (11)46.837.884.6+9.091%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.2
48.5%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
73.4%13.6
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.923.1
56.5%
55.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
33.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
73.4%13.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LWLWWWWWLL
Ulm
WLLLWWLLWL
#9
League position
#11
+4.1
Net rating
-2.8
92.6
Offensive rating
93.5
88.5
Defensive rating
96.3
49.0%
Effective FG%
54.6%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
14.2%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.1%
3-point %
34.3%
54.9%
Assist %
59.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 93.5Defence88.5 · 96.3Shooting49.0% · 54.6%3-point %33.1% · 34.3%Ball care14.2% · 17.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Wurzburg wins
5
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
27/09/26Ulm v Wurzburg67-90
02/05/26Wurzburg v Ulm98-84
29/12/25Ulm v Wurzburg66-61
12/06/25Ulm v Wurzburg91-84
10/06/25Wurzburg v Ulm78-77
07/06/25Ulm v Wurzburg99-86
04/06/25Wurzburg v Ulm87-77
01/06/25Ulm v Wurzburg91-87 OT
14/04/25Wurzburg v Ulm89-72
28/09/24Ulm v Wurzburg85-76
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHamburg84-91
11/11/26HAEK Larnaca78-76
08/11/26HBayern73-94
02/11/26HTartu Ulikool113-79
31/10/26ABasketball Braunschweig96-72
28/10/26HDziki Warszawa91-62
26/10/26HChemnitz98-88
20/10/26HMZT Skopje87-73
14/10/26AIraklis73-90
10/10/26ARostock62-101
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HJena97-78
11/11/26ABC Roma78-83
07/11/26ARostock87-97
03/11/26HBahcesehir Kol.82-96
31/10/26HOldenburg81-65
27/10/26ALietkabelis86-68
25/10/26AAlba Berlin82-98
21/10/26APAOK78-87
14/10/26HKK Bosna102-93
10/10/26AVechta92-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.880.583.0
Allowed / game83.283.882.8
Point differential-1.5-3.2+0.2
Avg total165.0164.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game84.182.885.2
Allowed / game85.477.591.8
Point differential-1.3+5.2-6.6
Avg total169.6160.2177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern98189%95.469.1+26.3
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Syntainics MBC96367%83.881.3+2.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Chemnitz93633%89.888.8+1.0
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Basketball Braunschweig93633%85.298.1-12.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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