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Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:10
Final 63-69
12-14 14-19 19-18 18-18
Position#5
Record7-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game88.1
Gargzdai
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#1
Record16-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game75.5
LithuaniaLKL· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas
11 Apr 2027
GAR v ZAL
upcoming
17 Sep 2026
GAR77
ZAL98
15 Feb 2026
GAR63
ZAL69
26 Oct 2025
GAR73
ZAL89
17 Sep 2023
GAR55
ZAL107
21 Dec 2022
GAR71
ZAL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
W
94-83
94
83
+11
91avg 76
A22/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
82-97
82
97
-15
75avg 76
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-108
71
108
-37
56avg 76
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 76
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
84avg 76
H13/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
78-104
78
104
-26
71avg 76
A27/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
79avg 76
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
82-78
82
78
+4
68avg 76
H10/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 76
A01/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
63avg 76
A08/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
26-18
18-23
32-17
22-22
15-28
18-25
27-22
22-29
18-27
18-26
13-26
26-23
20-11
30-20
14-20
24-24
18-26
19-37
26-17
19-27
23-32
14-20
22-25
17-19
24-18
22-20
19-18
15-16
21-15
23-25
23-22
20-18
16-12
24-16
19-24
14-23
6-23
28-21
25-16
169.4Avg total
81.8Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.288.1170.3-5.841%
Season at home (8)85.984.9170.8+1.050%
Season away (9)79.090.9169.9-11.933%
Last 10 (10)81.887.6169.4-5.850%
Last 5 (5)78.882.0160.8-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.795.5174.2-16.815%
vs Similar (11)84.684.1168.7+0.545%
vs Weaker (6)87.384.3171.7+3.050%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
89-63
89
63
+26
no box
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
96-77
96
77
+19
96avg 85
A20/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
86-82
86
82
+4
74avg 85
A22/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
82avg 85
H25/01
LKL
Baskonia
#18
L
91-102
91
102
-11
85avg 85
A30/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
104-91
104
91
+13
117avg 85
H01/02
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
104-87
104
87
+17
103avg 85
H03/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
82-92
82
92
-10
81avg 85
A06/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
87-76
87
76
+11
92avg 85
H08/02
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
88avg 85
H13/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
26-13
26-19
20-15
23-18
22-23
30-14
21-22
19-22
26-22
17-23
24-15
18-20
22-20
29-6
19-27
23-19
22-27
26-29
20-27
35-21
21-24
31-23
17-23
35-18
21-20
20-22
28-27
24-25
21-22
22-18
15-27
19-27
32-10
20-18
16-21
24-20
20-23
19-19
30-20
174.5Avg total
92.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)90.975.5166.4+15.494%
Season at home (9)94.976.7171.6+18.289%
Season away (8)86.474.2160.6+12.1100%
Last 10 (10)92.082.5174.5+9.580%
Last 5 (5)94.085.6179.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.095.0173.0-17.00%
vs Similar (7)94.686.1180.7+8.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.080.6171.6+10.473%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
GargzdaiZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H13/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A27/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A01/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
20-46
20
46
-26
A08/02
LKL
82.0Avg total
38.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.044.084.9-3.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.639.483.0+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)38.747.986.6-9.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.682.0-5.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.675.6-5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.646.284.8-7.531%-
vs Similar (11)42.143.285.3-1.164%-
vs Weaker (6)44.040.784.7+3.367%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A20/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A22/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/01
LKL
Baskonia
#18
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A30/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H01/02
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H03/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A06/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H08/02
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H13/02
Euroleague
88.0Avg total
47.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.140.986.0+4.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.237.985.1+9.371%-
Last 30 away (16)43.243.486.7-0.231%-
Last 10 (10)47.041.088.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)50.442.092.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.050.086.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (7)45.939.685.4+6.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.340.986.1+4.445%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.621.8
50.0%
55.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.8
32.2%
35.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws23.116.8
72.7%
74.3%16.8
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.2
60.9%
55.4%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.3
35.3%
35.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.719.3
78.1%
74.3%19.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LWWWLLWLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWWLWWWW
#5
League position
#1
-8.5
Net rating
+8.7
102.1
Offensive rating
108.4
110.6
Defensive rating
99.7
49.5%
Effective FG%
57.9%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.2%
3-point %
35.3%
64.3%
Assist %
68.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 108.4Defence110.6 · 99.7Shooting49.5% · 57.9%3-point %32.2% · 35.3%Ball care14.7% · 14.0%Off. rebounds30.3% · -Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
07/12/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai108-71
26/10/25Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas73-89
17/09/23Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas55-107
26/03/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai96-70
21/12/22Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas71-89
16/10/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai86-74
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26ASiauliai73-83
01/02/26ALietkabelis79-70
10/01/26HRytas82-78
03/01/26AJonava82-75
27/12/25AJuventus78-104
13/12/25HNeptunas87-104
10/12/25HNevezis90-74
07/12/25AZalgiris Kaunas71-108
04/12/25AJonava82-97
22/11/25ASiauliai94-83
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
08/02/26HNeptunas87-76
06/02/26AAnadolu Efes82-92
03/02/26HMonaco104-87
01/02/26HJonava104-91
30/01/26ABaskonia91-102
25/01/26HNevezis88-73
22/01/26AOlimpia Milano86-82
20/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne96-77
17/01/26HJonava89-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL41%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game82.285.979.0
Allowed / game88.184.990.9
Point differential-5.8+1.0-11.9
Avg total170.3170.8169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %94%89%100%
Points / game90.994.986.4
Allowed / game75.576.774.2
Point differential+15.4+18.2+12.1
Avg total166.4171.6160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%78%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1716194%90.975.5+15.4
2 Rytas1811761%92.183.8+8.3
3 Neptunas1811761%95.691.7+3.9
4 Siauliai1810856%88.289.3-1.2
5 Lietkabelis178947%84.482.7+1.7
6 Juventus178947%88.188.7-0.6
7 Gargzdai1771041%82.288.1-5.8
8 Nevezis1861233%82.190.1-8.1
9 Jonava1821611%84.697.6-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai1214191863
Zalgiris Kaunas1419181869
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