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Adelaide vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 83-69
32-17 20-17 15-17 16-18
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game96.5
vs
Position#4
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game99.0
AustraliaNBLRound 2· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Adelaide v Cairns Taipans
27 Sep 2026
ADEL83
CAIR69
24 Dec 2025
ADEL93
CAIR73
16 Nov 2025
ADEL105
CAIR101
25 Oct 2024
ADEL99
CAIR93
27 Jan 2024
ADEL88
CAIR71
09 Dec 2023
ADEL101
CAIR116
02 Dec 2022
ADEL78
CAIR75
18 Mar 2022
ADEL83
CAIR57
20 Feb 2022
ADEL82
CAIR71
11 Feb 2017
ADEL89
CAIR98
21 Oct 2016
ADEL83
CAIR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
W
104-97
104
97
+7
H10/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
108-96
108
96
+12
H17/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
68-112
68
112
-44
A21/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H27/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
93-106
93
106
-13
A29/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
92-91
92
91
+1
H01/04
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
101-113 OT
101
113
-12
A05/04
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
97-95
97
95
+2
A19/09
NBL
Perth
#3
L
97-98
97
98
-1
A24/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
25-21
27-27
27-22
30-19
27-25
20-39
15-18
28-17
31-28
24-19
25-32
23-31
16-28
17-31
12-22
25-30
28-22
15-25
23-12
31-24
22-28
17-21
23-33
22-24
24-29
26-21
20-17
31-29
24-27
21-13
19-26
25-23
24-25
26-22
22-25
20-30
28-18
29-22
20-28
194.1Avg total
94.3Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)97.096.5193.5+0.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)97.096.5193.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)94.399.8194.1-5.550%
Last 5 (5)96.0100.6196.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)92.299.1191.3-6.943%
vs Similar ◀ (10)94.593.3187.8+1.260%
vs Weaker (6)95.079.3174.3+15.783%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
L
69-106
69
106
-37
A22/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
91-118
91
118
-27
A24/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
H30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
92-106
92
106
-14
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A08/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H12/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
84-115
84
115
-31
A19/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
90-111
90
111
-21
A20/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H23/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
18-24
13-38
13-14
26-16
26-33
15-32
24-37
27-17
27-22
17-26
13-19
34-17
20-28
22-26
16-35
22-22
18-28
19-18
25-30
24-13
19-23
18-21
20-15
19-19
27-21
14-16
25-33
24-24
20-37
22-27
18-27
26-32
27-27
20-31
17-21
32-16
13-28
21-22
27-21
186.0Avg total
86.5Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.599.0190.5-7.550%
Season at home (1)93.087.0180.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)90.0111.0201.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)86.599.5186.0-13.030%
Last 5 (5)86.694.8181.4-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)84.898.7183.5-13.922%
vs Similar ◀ (3)84.789.3174.0-4.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -5.4-5.4
AdelaideCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H10/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H17/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A21/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H27/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A29/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H01/04
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A05/04
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A19/09
NBL
Perth
#3
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A24/09
NBL
101.4Avg total
50.9Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.647.193.8-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.546.492.9+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)46.847.894.6-1.156%-
Last 10 (10)50.950.5101.4+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)50.251.4101.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)48.650.198.7-1.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.646.389.9-2.740%-
vs Weaker (6)47.041.788.7+5.383%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A22/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A24/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A08/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H12/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A19/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A20/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H23/09
NBL
95.1Avg total
47.4Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.747.692.3-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.346.792.0-1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)44.148.592.5-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)47.447.795.1-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.248.094.2-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)44.648.192.7-3.641%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)45.742.788.3+3.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.5
54.8%
56.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.1
36.2%
34.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.017.0
81.0%
73.7%17.0
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.4
51.8%
56.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.6
32.1%
34.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.414.4
82.8%
73.7%14.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
LWLWLWLWLW
Cairns Taipans
WLLLWLLWLL
#5
League position
#4
-6.1
Net rating
-14.1
101.8
Offensive rating
93.3
107.9
Defensive rating
107.4
54.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
12.8%
Turnover %
12.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.2%
3-point %
32.1%
69.0%
Assist %
65.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 93.3Defence107.9 · 107.4Shooting54.6% · 50.2%3-point %36.2% · 32.1%Ball care12.8% · 12.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Adelaide   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Adelaide wins
3
Cairns Taipans wins
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/26APerth97-98
19/09/26AMelbourne United97-95
05/04/26ASydney101-113 OT
01/04/26HSydney92-91
29/03/26ASydney93-106
27/03/26HSydney91-89
21/03/26ASydney68-112
17/03/26HSouth East Melbourne108-96
14/03/26ASouth East Melbourne92-101
10/03/26HSouth East Melbourne104-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/26HTasmania JackJumpers93-87
20/09/26ASydney90-111
19/02/26ANew Zealand Breakers84-115
12/02/26HMelbourne United85-89
08/02/26ABrisbane Bullets81-72
06/02/26APerth84-98
01/02/26HSydney92-106
30/01/26HTasmania JackJumpers96-93 OT
24/01/26ASouth East Melbourne91-118
22/01/26APerth69-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game97.0-97.0
Allowed / game96.5-96.5
Point differential+0.5-+0.5
Avg total193.5-193.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%-0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game91.593.090.0
Allowed / game99.087.0111.0
Point differential-7.5+6.0-21.0
Avg total190.5180.0201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney110100%111.090.0+21.0
2 Brisbane Bullets220100%95.590.0+5.5
3 Perth32167%91.396.7-5.3
4 Melbourne United21150%90.579.0+11.5
5 Adelaide21150%97.096.5+0.5
6 Tasmania JackJumpers21150%91.592.0-0.5
7 Cairns Taipans21150%91.599.0-7.5
8 New Zealand Breakers31233%91.088.7+2.3
9 South East Melbourne31233%84.087.0-3.0
10 Illawarra Hawks2020%88.099.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide3220151683
Cairns Taipans1717171869
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