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Adelaide vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 05:30
Final 105-101 (OT)
26-27 25-23 27-18 13-23 14-10
Position#3
Record8-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game85.1
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Position#9
Record3-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game95.4
AustraliaNBLRound 9· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Adelaide v Cairns Taipans
27 Sep 2026
ADEL83
CAIR69
24 Dec 2025
ADEL93
CAIR73
16 Nov 2025
ADEL105
CAIR101
25 Oct 2024
ADEL99
CAIR93
27 Jan 2024
ADEL88
CAIR71
09 Dec 2023
ADEL101
CAIR116
02 Dec 2022
ADEL78
CAIR75
18 Mar 2022
ADEL83
CAIR57
20 Feb 2022
ADEL82
CAIR71
11 Feb 2017
ADEL89
CAIR98
21 Oct 2016
ADEL83
CAIR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
110-79
110
79
+31
104avg 85
A02/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
98-89
98
89
+9
96avg 85
H09/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
79-103
79
103
-24
73avg 85
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 85
H16/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
80avg 85
A18/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
80-81
80
81
-1
81avg 85
A26/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 85
H02/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
73avg 85
A06/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 85
H09/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
97-86
97
86
+11
91avg 85
A13/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-23
22-15
27-22
25-19
21-20
30-22
25-30
22-17
19-29
22-25
23-25
15-24
28-16
22-11
16-18
22-26
19-17
25-19
20-21
27-29
17-14
20-26
18-19
25-22
21-19
20-22
31-26
18-21
22-14
21-33
23-21
17-11
18-17
27-27
31-28
11-22
26-15
26-23
28-17
17-31
175.9Avg total
90.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.085.1175.1+4.973%
Season at home (6)88.287.5175.7+0.767%
Season away (5)92.282.2174.4+10.080%
Last 10 (10)90.385.6175.9+4.770%
Last 5 (5)87.485.6173.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)95.298.0193.2-2.843%
vs Similar (11)92.391.8184.1+0.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)95.481.6177.0+13.8100%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
79-110
79
110
-31
72avg 76
H02/10
NBL
Perth
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
66avg 76
H10/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
60-95
60
95
-35
53avg 76
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
77avg 76
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
L
78-110
78
110
-32
67avg 76
H22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
55avg 76
H24/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
85-113
85
113
-28
80avg 76
A30/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
75-69
75
69
+6
63avg 76
A01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
90-107
90
107
-17
82avg 76
H07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
92avg 76
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-36
15-22
22-27
19-25
23-23
20-18
17-20
17-19
15-27
10-21
16-22
19-25
17-19
19-25
21-20
29-27
22-30
20-30
20-28
16-22
16-31
18-17
17-24
16-22
27-25
20-32
20-22
18-34
18-15
22-16
14-18
21-20
22-25
26-27
20-29
22-26
24-28
15-36
23-20
28-17
175.7Avg total
78.7Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.895.4174.2-16.623%
Season at home (8)81.296.9178.1-15.612%
Season away (5)74.893.0167.8-18.240%
Last 10 (10)78.797.0175.7-18.310%
Last 5 (5)81.496.8178.2-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)84.897.5182.2-12.724%
vs Similar (9)90.794.4185.1-3.833%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
AdelaideCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A02/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H09/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A18/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A26/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H02/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A06/11
NBL
Perth
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A13/11
NBL
86.9Avg total
46.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.544.694.2+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.344.795.0+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)48.944.693.4+4.356%-
Last 10 (10)46.240.786.9+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.085.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)49.947.096.9+2.957%-
vs Similar (11)48.743.892.5+4.964%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)50.239.890.0+10.480%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H02/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H10/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
L
42-60
42
60
-18
H22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H24/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A30/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
39-64
39
64
-25
H14/11
NBL
89.5Avg total
39.2Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.150.094.1-5.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.049.992.9-6.938%-
Last 30 away (14)45.450.195.5-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.250.389.5-11.120%-
Last 5 (5)41.650.492.0-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)42.250.092.3-7.833%-
vs Similar (9)48.649.998.4-1.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.8
53.7%
54.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.8
35.1%
33.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.818.1
76.1%
74.8%18.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.0
55.2%
54.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.6
31.7%
33.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.111.1
73.5%
74.8%11.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WLWWLWWLWW
Cairns Taipans
LLWLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#9
+6.3
Net rating
-23.8
119.7
Offensive rating
106.0
113.3
Defensive rating
129.8
53.3%
Effective FG%
51.6%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
13.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.1%
3-point %
31.7%
64.7%
Assist %
65.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence119.7 · 106.0Defence113.3 · 129.8Shooting53.3% · 51.6%3-point %35.1% · 31.7%Ball care13.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds30.6% · 27.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Adelaide   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Adelaide wins
4
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
18/10/25Cairns Taipans v Adelaide86-91
02/10/25Cairns Taipans v Adelaide79-110
19/01/25Cairns Taipans v Adelaide75-99
25/10/24Adelaide v Cairns Taipans99-93 OT
28/09/24Cairns Taipans v Adelaide101-97
27/01/24Adelaide v Cairns Taipans88-71
13/01/24Cairns Taipans v Adelaide111-101 OT
09/12/23Adelaide v Cairns Taipans101-116
30/01/23Cairns Taipans v Adelaide96-99
31/12/22Cairns Taipans v Adelaide86-83
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers97-86
09/11/25HPerth87-94
06/11/25ANew Zealand Breakers83-79
02/11/25HIllawarra Hawks90-88
26/10/25AMelbourne United80-81
18/10/25ACairns Taipans91-86
16/10/25HSouth East Melbourne88-71
11/10/25HSydney79-103
09/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers98-89
02/10/25ACairns Taipans110-79
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25HSouth East Melbourne90-101
07/11/25HIllawarra Hawks90-107
01/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers75-69
30/10/25ABrisbane Bullets85-113
24/10/25HMelbourne United67-94
22/10/25HPerth78-110
18/10/25HAdelaide86-91
12/10/25AMelbourne United60-95
10/10/25HPerth77-80
02/10/25HAdelaide79-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW73%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game90.088.292.2
Allowed / game85.187.582.2
Point differential+4.9+0.7+10.0
Avg total175.1175.7174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%17%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %23%12%40%
Points / game78.881.274.8
Allowed / game95.496.993.0
Point differential-16.6-15.6-18.2
Avg total174.2178.1167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1311285%96.784.5+12.2
2 South East Melbourne118373%97.489.0+8.4
3 Adelaide118373%90.085.1+4.9
4 Sydney127558%91.984.3+7.6
5 Perth127558%88.285.1+3.1
6 Tasmania JackJumpers135838%83.586.2-2.6
7 Illawarra Hawks114736%88.096.5-8.5
8 Brisbane Bullets145936%89.695.6-6.0
9 New Zealand Breakers1441029%87.387.6-0.3
10 Cairns Taipans1331023%78.895.4-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Adelaide2625271314105
Cairns Taipans2723182310101
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