Adelaide vs Perth Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	89.6	84.0	173.6	+5.6	78%
Season at home (5)	88.4	86.2	174.6	+2.2	80%
Season away (4)	91.0	81.2	172.2	+9.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	88.1	84.1	172.2	+4.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	81.0	167.4	+5.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	95.1	99.0	194.1	-3.9	40%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	90.4	90.7	181.1	-0.3	40%
vs Weaker (5)	95.4	81.6	177.0	+13.8	100%

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPerth

Date

Competition

Tasmania JackJumpers

72-75

-3

no box

H20/09

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

89-78

+11

no box

A27/09

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

92-84

86avg 93

H02/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

80-77

69avg 93

A10/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

93-110

110

-17

82avg 93

H15/10

NBL

Sydney

72-94

-22

59avg 93

A19/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

110-78

110

+32

106avg 93

A22/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

84-85

-1

67avg 93

H25/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

95-84

+11

88avg 93

A29/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

89-94

-5

87avg 93

A02/11

NBL

21-13

14-20

14-21

23-21

25-17

19-25

18-17

27-19

10-20

34-23

23-13

25-28

23-23

18-20

20-17

19-17

21-26

27-30

23-24

22-30

22-15

23-35

21-24

6-20

30-22

30-20

28-20

22-16

19-23

15-18

24-11

26-33

16-28

21-13

35-27

23-16

24-21

22-25

26-29

17-19

173.5Avg total

87.6Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	87.6	85.9	173.5	+1.7	50%
Season at home (4)	85.2	88.5	173.8	-3.2	25%
Season away (6)	89.2	84.2	173.3	+5.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	85.9	173.5	+1.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	87.0	177.0	+3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	90.3	111.7	202.0	-21.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	101.1	100.1	201.2	+1.0	50%
vs Weaker (19)	103.4	91.4	194.8	+12.0	79%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaidePerth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.0	22.6	47.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	25.1	21.4	46.5	+3.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.0	37.4	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	25.9	22.7	48.6	+3.1	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.2	22.4	44.6	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	28.2	18.8	47.0	+9.4	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.0	24.5	49.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	24.5	48.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	26.1	24.5	50.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.8	41.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	26.7	27.0	53.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	26.2	25.2	51.5	+1.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (19)	24.3	23.8	48.1	+0.5	37%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	23.3	47.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.1	22.1	47.1	+3.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.4	24.4	47.9	-1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.8	44.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	23.8	25.1	48.9	-1.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	25.9	21.9	47.8	+4.0	70%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.8	24.2	50.0	+1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.4	24.9	50.3	+0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	26.2	23.6	49.8	+2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.9	45.2	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.2	44.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	29.0	51.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	24.9	27.0	51.9	-2.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (19)	26.8	22.3	49.1	+4.5	58%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

45-26

+19

A16/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

48-47

H28/09

NBL

Cairns Taipans

58-38

+20

A02/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

51-42

H09/10

NBL

Sydney

41-54

-13

H11/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

50-27

+23

H16/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

44-36

A18/10

NBL

Melbourne United

37-40

-3

A26/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

41-41

H02/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

43-47

-4

A06/11

NBL

85.6Avg total

45.8Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.2	45.3	94.5	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	50.1	44.6	94.7	+5.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	48.5	45.9	94.4	+2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	39.8	85.6	+6.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	38.2	81.2	+4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	49.7	47.8	97.5	+1.9	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	48.1	44.3	92.4	+3.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	50.2	39.8	90.0	+10.4	80%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tasmania JackJumpers

35-33

H20/09

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

44-42

A27/09

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

44-43

H02/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

41-43

-2

A10/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

48-56

-8

H15/10

NBL

Sydney

45-50

-5

A19/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

60-42

+18

A22/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

34-41

-7

H25/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

37-41

-4

A29/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

46-46

A02/11

NBL

87.1Avg total

43.4Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	50.8	48.7	99.5	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	49.2	49.4	98.6	-0.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	52.2	48.1	100.3	+4.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	43.7	87.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	44.0	88.4	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	48.7	56.0	104.7	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	51.1	52.2	103.4	-1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (19)	51.1	46.1	97.1	+5.0	58%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	23.5	46.0	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	23.3	44.3	-2.3	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.9	23.6	47.6	+0.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	23.0	45.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	23.4	23.9	47.3	-0.5	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.7	23.6	43.3	-3.9	10%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.8	22.0	47.8	+3.8	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	23.2	48.3	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.9	22.7	48.6	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.3	23.6	47.9	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.3	43.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	22.2	49.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.7	27.7	52.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	24.5	26.4	50.9	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (19)	25.4	21.2	46.5	+4.2	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	24.3	45.8	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	23.7	44.6	-2.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	24.8	46.8	-2.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	22.0	27.3	49.3	-5.3	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.8	21.9	43.7	-0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	23.0	48.1	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	26.6	26.1	52.7	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.7	20.4	44.1	+3.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.9	42.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	28.0	45.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	25.5	21.5	47.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	26.2	22.9	49.1	+3.3	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	47.7	91.8	-3.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	47.0	88.9	-5.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.0	48.4	94.4	-2.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	44.3	86.6	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	42.8	86.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	45.4	51.2	96.6	-5.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.5	45.5	87.0	-4.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.2	41.8	87.0	+3.4	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	50.1	46.2	96.4	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	52.6	48.8	101.4	+3.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	48.0	44.0	92.0	+4.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	42.2	86.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	43.0	88.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.7	55.7	97.3	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	50.0	47.9	97.9	+2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (19)	51.5	44.1	95.6	+7.5	74%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 86.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	21.1	57.0%	54.6%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	9.1	32.9%	33.3%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	22.6	17.4	77.0%	74.8%	17.4

They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 91.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	22.9	56.1%	54.6%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	9.5	33.6%	33.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	22.2	17.0	76.6%	74.8%	17.0

They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.3	22.9	56.8%	54.6%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	8.0	29.3%	33.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.1	71.6%	74.8%	13.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	22.0	54.3%	54.6%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	11.0	35.9%	33.3%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	19.1	13.0	68.1%	74.8%	13.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.5	23.7	55.8%	54.6%	47.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	9.1	34.8%	33.3%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	22.9	17.8	77.8%	74.8%	17.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	24.2	54.9%	54.6%	48.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	11.1	37.0%	33.3%	33.2
🏀 Free throws	24.7	19.8	80.0%	74.8%	19.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	22.4	54.6%	54.6%	44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.6	11.1	35.2%	33.3%	33.4
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.4	72.8%	74.8%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	24.2	54.2%	54.6%	48.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	10.2	36.1%	33.3%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	22.4	17.1	76.4%	74.8%	17.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Adelaide

WWLWWLWWWL

Perth

LWLWLLWWWL

League position

+5.3

Net rating

+1.7

115.9

Offensive rating

117.7

110.5

Defensive rating

116.0

53.7%

Effective FG%

53.8%

51.6%

Opp. effective FG%

54.1%

15.7%

Turnover %

14.7%

28.6%

Off. rebound %

30.4%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.32

32.9%

3-point %

33.6%

64.2%

Assist %

53.7%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Adelaide ■ Perth

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Perth wins

Date	Game	Score
07/02/25	Perth v Adelaide	112-104
17/01/25	Perth v Adelaide	110-103
28/12/24	Adelaide v Perth	92-116
08/12/24	Adelaide v Perth	105-115
28/12/23	Adelaide v Perth	82-100
04/11/23	Perth v Adelaide	99-88
21/10/23	Adelaide v Perth	89-78
06/10/23	Perth v Adelaide	82-75
14/01/23	Perth v Adelaide	112-97
09/12/22	Adelaide v Perth	90-98

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/25	A	New Zealand Breakers	83-79
02/11/25	H	Illawarra Hawks	90-88
26/10/25	A	Melbourne United	80-81
18/10/25	A	Cairns Taipans	91-86
16/10/25	H	South East Melbourne	88-71
11/10/25	H	Sydney	79-103
09/10/25	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	98-89
02/10/25	A	Cairns Taipans	110-79
28/09/25	H	Brisbane Bullets	87-80
16/02/25	A	South East Melbourne	75-85

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/25	A	South East Melbourne	89-94
29/10/25	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	95-84
25/10/25	H	Illawarra Hawks	84-85
22/10/25	A	Cairns Taipans	110-78
19/10/25	A	Sydney	72-94
15/10/25	H	Brisbane Bullets	93-110
10/10/25	A	Cairns Taipans	80-77
02/10/25	H	Illawarra Hawks	92-84
27/09/25	A	New Zealand Breakers	89-78
20/09/25	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	72-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	78%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	WWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	78%	80%	75%
Points / game	89.6	88.4	91.0
Allowed / game	84.0	86.2	81.2
Point differential	+5.6	+2.2	+9.8
Avg total	173.6	174.6	172.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	20%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Perth

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	50%
Home	LWLL	25%
Away	WLWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	50%	25%	67%
Points / game	87.6	85.2	89.2
Allowed / game	85.9	88.5	84.2
Point differential	+1.7	-3.2	+5.0
Avg total	173.5	173.8	173.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	12	10	2	83%	96.5	83.8	+12.7
2	Adelaide	9	7	2	78%	89.6	84.0	+5.6
3	South East Melbourne	10	7	3	70%	97.0	88.9	+8.1
4	Sydney	10	5	5	50%	92.6	86.9	+5.7
5	Perth	10	5	5	50%	87.6	85.9	+1.7
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	12	5	7	42%	83.3	85.2	-1.9
7	Brisbane Bullets	12	5	7	42%	89.8	93.9	-4.1
8	Illawarra Hawks	10	4	6	40%	89.7	96.4	-6.7
9	New Zealand Breakers	11	3	8	27%	87.5	88.6	-1.2
10	Cairns Taipans	12	3	9	25%	77.8	94.9	-17.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	18	27	31	11	87
Perth	17	27	28	22	94

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Adelaide vs Perth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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