Adelaide vs Perth Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	92.8	85.8	178.5	+7.0	80%
Season at home (11)	93.5	86.7	180.2	+6.7	82%
Season away (9)	91.9	84.6	176.4	+7.3	78%
Last 10 (10)	96.2	86.5	182.7	+9.7	90%
Last 5 (5)	95.8	89.4	185.2	+6.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	93.3	94.2	187.5	-0.9	45%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	93.0	88.7	181.7	+4.3	67%
vs Weaker (10)	94.6	81.0	175.6	+13.6	100%

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPerth

Date

Competition

Adelaide

94-87

91avg 88

A09/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

88-75

+13

79avg 88

H15/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

101-95

101

100avg 88

H21/11

NBL

Melbourne United

87-98

-11

79avg 88

A23/11

NBL

Melbourne United

96-84

+12

90avg 88

H04/12

NBL

Adelaide

94-95

-1

86avg 88

H07/12

NBL

Sydney

79-108

108

-29

59avg 88

H12/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

86-62

+24

74avg 88

A14/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

76-77

-1

66avg 88

H18/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

94-85

82avg 88

A21/12

NBL

17-18

27-27

28-31

22-11

22-14

21-24

21-22

24-15

32-28

25-24

24-19

20-24

22-24

25-27

26-23

14-24

33-20

23-22

20-15

20-27

25-22

25-18

28-20

16-35

25-26

17-18

21-32

16-32

22-13

27-21

16-15

21-13

22-17

18-9

20-31

16-20

19-18

25-24

27-22

23-21

176.1Avg total

89.5Scored

86.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	88.5	86.2	174.8	+2.3	55%
Season at home (10)	87.5	88.8	176.3	-1.3	40%
Season away (10)	89.6	83.7	173.3	+5.9	70%
Last 10 (10)	89.5	86.6	176.1	+2.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	85.4	171.2	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	75.5	101.0	176.5	-25.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	96.6	95.5	192.2	+1.1	46%
vs Weaker (15)	94.8	88.0	182.8	+6.8	73%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaidePerth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	20.6	44.9	+3.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	21.3	45.2	+2.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.8	19.9	44.7	+4.8	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	21.9	45.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	22.4	46.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	25.0	22.5	47.5	+2.5	73%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.3	18.2	40.6	+4.1	78%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.5	20.5	46.0	+5.0	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.1	45.3	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.9	23.1	46.1	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.5	20.7	44.2	+2.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	20.0	43.9	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	20.5	44.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	25.3	23.3	48.6	+2.0	69%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	22.5	46.5	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.7	21.4	47.1	+4.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.5	23.5	46.0	-1.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	21.6	45.9	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	22.0	46.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	23.6	22.4	46.0	+1.3	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	25.3	24.7	50.0	+0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.2	20.7	43.9	+2.5	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	23.8	47.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.6	23.1	46.7	+0.6	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.5	24.8	49.3	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	21.4	44.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	26.5	46.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	24.4	24.5	48.9	-0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.3	22.8	47.1	+1.5	47%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tasmania JackJumpers

52-38

+14

A13/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

51-50

H16/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

44-49

-5

H19/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

37-43

-6

A22/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

50-33

+17

H05/12

NBL

Perth

40-50

-10

A07/12

NBL

Melbourne United

59-48

+11

H12/12

NBL

Sydney

56-43

+13

A17/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

41-39

A20/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

50-42

H24/12

NBL

91.5Avg total

48.0Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.4	43.1	91.4	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	49.6	42.6	92.3	+7.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	47.2	43.4	90.7	+3.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.0	43.5	91.5	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	44.4	93.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	48.6	44.9	93.5	+3.7	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	47.7	42.9	90.6	+4.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	48.7	41.2	89.9	+7.5	80%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

44-45

-1

A09/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

43-38

H15/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

57-52

H21/11

NBL

Melbourne United

47-51

-4

A23/11

NBL

Melbourne United

56-42

+14

H04/12

NBL

Adelaide

50-40

+10

H07/12

NBL

Sydney

42-44

-2

H12/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

49-34

+15

A14/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

40-26

+14

H18/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

44-42

A21/12

NBL

88.6Avg total

47.2Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.2	45.9	93.1	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	46.6	46.2	92.8	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	48.1	45.5	93.5	+2.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.2	41.4	88.6	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	37.2	82.2	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.5	47.0	90.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	49.7	47.8	97.5	+1.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (15)	45.6	44.0	89.6	+1.6	60%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.0	45.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.8	21.3	45.1	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.7	22.7	45.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	19.2	42.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.5	23.3	44.8	-1.7	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.0	23.4	46.4	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.2	19.4	44.6	+5.8	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	22.9	47.0	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.9	22.0	45.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.4	24.0	48.4	+0.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	23.0	46.1	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	24.0	46.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	28.0	49.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	24.5	25.5	49.9	-1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.3	19.9	44.2	+4.3	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.2	21.2	38.4	-4.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.8	22.6	46.4	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.8	41.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	22.4	24.9	47.3	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	22.6	45.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.1	25.2	49.2	-1.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	24.2	42.6	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	11.0	26.0	37.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.5	22.2	44.7	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.9	22.4	46.3	+1.5	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	44.0	87.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	42.5	83.5	-1.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.4	45.3	91.8	+1.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	39.8	83.9	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	40.6	81.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	43.9	48.2	92.1	-4.3	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.2	44.7	87.9	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.5	38.8	83.3	+5.7	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.5	45.4	92.0	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	48.0	47.2	95.2	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	44.6	43.2	87.8	+1.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	45.2	87.5	-2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	48.2	89.0	-7.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.0	54.0	86.0	-22.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	46.9	47.7	94.6	-0.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (15)	48.1	42.3	90.5	+5.8	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 95.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.5	24.8	51.1%	54.6%	49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	9.1	35.7%	33.3%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	24.2	18.8	77.7%	74.8%	18.8

They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 88.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.9	21.1	49.2%	54.6%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	9.5	34.8%	33.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	24.3	18.0	74.1%	74.8%	18.0

They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.7	23.0	49.3%	54.6%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	9.3	31.6%	33.3%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	17.1	11.8	69.0%	74.8%	11.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.3	21.8	49.2%	54.6%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.3	10.3	32.9%	33.3%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	15.9	11.1	69.8%	74.8%	11.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.7	23.8	54.5%	54.6%	47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	9.2	35.0%	33.3%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	22.2	17.5	78.8%	74.8%	17.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.1	23.2	52.6%	54.6%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	10.0	34.7%	33.3%	29.9
🏀 Free throws	24.7	19.1	77.6%	74.8%	19.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.2	23.0	53.3%	54.6%	46.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	9.4	31.3%	33.3%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.2	70.5%	74.8%	13.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	22.9	52.0%	54.6%	45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	10.4	35.1%	33.3%	31.3
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.3	73.1%	74.8%	14.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Adelaide

WWLWWWWWWW

Perth

WLWLLWLWWW

League position

+12.5

Net rating

+4.0

119.5

Offensive rating

113.7

107.0

Defensive rating

109.8

52.0%

Effective FG%

50.4%

48.6%

Opp. effective FG%

49.3%

10.8%

Turnover %

14.5%

31.6%

Off. rebound %

34.9%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.35

35.7%

3-point %

34.8%

65.5%

Assist %

53.9%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Adelaide ■ Perth

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Perth wins

Date	Game	Score
07/12/25	Perth v Adelaide	94-95
09/11/25	Adelaide v Perth	87-94
07/02/25	Perth v Adelaide	112-104
17/01/25	Perth v Adelaide	110-103
28/12/24	Adelaide v Perth	92-116
08/12/24	Adelaide v Perth	105-115
28/12/23	Adelaide v Perth	82-100
04/11/23	Perth v Adelaide	99-88
21/10/23	Adelaide v Perth	89-78
06/10/23	Perth v Adelaide	82-75

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/12/25	H	Cairns Taipans	93-73
20/12/25	A	Illawarra Hawks	84-78
17/12/25	A	Sydney	93-97 OT
12/12/25	H	Melbourne United	114-105 OT
07/12/25	A	Perth	95-94
05/12/25	H	Brisbane Bullets	90-65
22/11/25	A	South East Melbourne	94-81
19/11/25	H	Illawarra Hawks	97-85
16/11/25	H	Cairns Taipans	105-101 OT
13/11/25	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	97-86

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/25	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	94-85
18/12/25	H	South East Melbourne	76-77
14/12/25	A	Brisbane Bullets	86-62
12/12/25	H	Sydney	79-108
07/12/25	H	Adelaide	94-95
04/12/25	H	Melbourne United	96-84
23/11/25	A	Melbourne United	87-98
21/11/25	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	101-95
15/11/25	H	New Zealand Breakers	88-75
09/11/25	A	Adelaide	94-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	80%
Home	WWWWW	82%
Away	WWWLW	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	80%	82%	78%
Points / game	92.8	93.5	91.9
Allowed / game	85.8	86.7	84.6
Point differential	+7.0	+6.7	+7.3
Avg total	178.5	180.2	176.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	36%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	100% (2)	60% (5)
Overtime %	15%	18%	11%

Perth

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	55%
Home	WWLLL	40%
Away	LWLWW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	55%	40%	70%
Points / game	88.5	87.5	89.6
Allowed / game	86.2	88.8	83.7
Point differential	+2.3	-1.3	+5.9
Avg total	174.8	176.3	173.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	20%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	0% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Adelaide	20	16	4	80%	92.8	85.8	+7.0
2	South East Melbourne	19	13	6	68%	96.4	87.9	+8.5
3	Melbourne United	22	15	7	68%	94.7	88.9	+5.8
4	Sydney	19	12	7	63%	94.6	85.8	+8.8
5	Perth	20	11	9	55%	88.5	86.2	+2.3
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	21	9	12	43%	85.6	85.6	+0.0
7	New Zealand Breakers	21	8	13	38%	88.5	89.0	-0.4
8	Illawarra Hawks	19	6	13	32%	88.5	96.8	-8.4
9	Brisbane Bullets	21	6	15	29%	86.0	95.3	-9.3
10	Cairns Taipans	20	5	15	25%	81.5	95.5	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	20	26	29	20	95
Perth	29	20	9	26	84

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Adelaide vs Perth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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