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Adelaide vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 06:30
Projected 101-95
Projected total 196.3
Final 106-78
22-21 27-16 36-23 21-18
Position#5
Record5-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game93.7
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
Vs
68%
32%
■ ADEL 68%■ ILLA 32%
Pythia win probability
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
Position#10
Record4-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game103.7
AustraliaNBLRound 8· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks
23 Jan 2027
ADEL v ILLA
upcoming
07 Nov 2026
ADEL106
ILLA78
19 Nov 2025
ADEL97
ILLA85
02 Nov 2025
ADEL90
ILLA88
13 Jan 2025
ADEL91
ILLA88
10 Nov 2024
ADEL93
ILLA79
14 Oct 2023
ADEL89
ILLA80
06 Jan 2023
ADEL103
ILLA95
15 Oct 2022
ADEL90
ILLA80
05 Dec 2021
ADEL71
ILLA81
21 May 2021
ADEL73
ILLA81
03 Apr 2021
ADEL84
ILLA72
06 Jan 2020
ADEL102
ILLA96
20 Dec 2019
ADEL84
ILLA93
09 Dec 2018
ADEL86
ILLA87
17 Nov 2018
ADEL104
ILLA79
19 Jan 2018
ADEL112
ILLA90
11 Nov 2017
ADEL87
ILLA96
23 Feb 2017
ADEL98
ILLA106
16 Feb 2017
ADEL93
ILLA78
05 Jan 2017
ADEL117
ILLA85
12 Nov 2016
ADEL74
ILLA85
30 Jan 2016
ADEL104
ILLA90
21 Nov 2015
ADEL89
ILLA77
18 Jan 2015
ADEL83
ILLA78
23 Oct 2014
ADEL94
ILLA73
29 Nov 2013
ADEL82
ILLA81
19 Oct 2013
ADEL97
ILLA91
01 Feb 2013
ADEL78
ILLA86
28 Oct 2012
ADEL63
ILLA77
03 Mar 2012
ADEL77
ILLA73
16 Dec 2011
ADEL87
ILLA63
31 Dec 2010
ADEL98
ILLA83
31 Oct 2010
ADEL82
ILLA96
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Adelaide faces Illawarra Hawks on 7 November 2026 in the NBL, with the model favouring Adelaide at 68% to win over Illawarra's 32%. Adelaide has gone 5-6 this season, scoring 91.0 points per game and allowing 93.7, while Illawarra is 4-8, averaging 97.0 points and conceding 103.7, placing Adelaide seventh and Illawarra tenth in the league. Adelaide's home form is 1-3, 83.8 points for and 87.2 against, and their last five games include a 108-101 away win over New Zealand, a 94-108 loss to South East Melbourne, and a 89-96 defeat at home to Brisbane. Illawarra's road record is 3-4, 96.4 points for and 102.0 against, with recent victories over Cairns and Perth and a 81-98 home loss to Brisbane. Historically Adelaide has won seven of ten meetings, though Illawarra's last encounter ended 114-92 on 2 October 2026. The Pythia model projects a 101-95 score for Adelaide, 196.3 total points, a home line of -6.5 with a 46% chance of Adelaide covering, an over line of 196.5 with a 48% probability, and a 5% chance of overtime. Adelaide's recent win over New Zealand suggests they may pull ahead in this matchup.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
68.4%fair 1.46
Best odds1.44
Implied69.8%
Edge-1.4pp
Illawarra Hawks winLost
31.6%fair 3.16
Best odds3.16
Implied30.2%
Edge+1.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Perth
#7
L
97-98
97
98
-1
90avg 87
A24/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
83-69
83
69
+14
74avg 87
H27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
92-114
92
114
-22
87avg 87
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
72-88
72
88
-16
61avg 87
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
79avg 87
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 87
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 87
A16/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
94-108
94
108
-14
86avg 87
A24/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
108-101
108
101
+7
106avg 87
A30/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 87
H01/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
28-18
29-22
20-28
32-17
20-17
15-17
16-18
21-35
14-30
32-27
25-22
19-23
23-25
15-12
15-28
21-31
17-25
21-20
32-20
18-18
23-26
20-12
23-22
14-22
26-17
31-23
23-26
25-42
18-30
29-14
22-22
28-24
28-20
18-28
34-29
17-30
26-20
23-26
23-20
184.0Avg total
90.4Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.093.7184.7-2.745%
Season at home (4)83.887.2171.0-3.525%
Season away (7)95.197.4192.6-2.357%
Last 10 (10)90.493.6184.0-3.240%
Last 5 (5)93.894.2188.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)92.198.2190.3-6.147%
vs Similar (11)90.792.4183.1-1.645%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)96.896.0192.8+0.825%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
100-121
100
121
-21
87avg 89
A27/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
114-92
114
92
+22
117avg 89
H02/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
96-113
96
113
-17
87avg 89
A04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
112-122
112
122
-10
102avg 89
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
94avg 89
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 89
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
82-108
82
108
-26
70avg 89
H22/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
81-98
81
98
-17
61avg 89
H24/10
NBL
Perth
#7
W
105-98
105
98
+7
104avg 89
A31/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
107-95
107
95
+12
no box
A05/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
18-34
26-33
29-23
35-21
30-14
27-32
22-25
23-23
18-36
32-26
23-28
22-32
25-35
26-24
39-31
27-28
23-29
27-29
23-24
21-27
35-16
22-22
13-24
19-20
17-28
16-34
30-26
16-25
19-30
27-14
19-29
24-19
27-25
27-25
27-29
32-35
29-27
26-20
20-13
203.4Avg total
98.8Scored
104.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)97.0103.7200.7-6.733%
Season at home (5)97.8106.0203.8-8.220%
Season away (7)96.4102.0198.4-5.643%
Last 10 (10)98.8104.6203.4-5.840%
Last 5 (5)93.297.6190.8-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)96.1104.3200.4-8.230%
vs Similar (7)94.794.1188.9+0.643%
vs Weaker (3)103.079.3182.3+23.7100%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 188.5Actual: Under 188.5
Over 188.5
67.0%
@ 1.50+5.5pp
Under 188.5
33.0%
@ 2.50-5.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.40
Betano
2.37
Over/Under 193.5 · main lineActual: Under 193.5
Over 193.5
55.5%
@ 1.88+4.8pp
Under 193.5
44.5%
@ 2.00-4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Over/Under 198.5Actual: Under 198.5
Over 198.5
43.5%
@ 2.38+2.5pp
Under 198.5
56.5%
@ 1.63-2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.38
Betano
2.35
Bet365
2.30
Marathon Be
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Under
1xBet
1.63
Bet365
1.60
Marathon Be
1.54
BetVictor
1.53
Betano
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Adelaide total 96.5Actual: Adelaide over 96.5
Over 96.5
66.1%
@ 1.54+5.1pp
Under 96.5
33.9%
@ 2.42-5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Under
1xBet
2.42
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.35
Adelaide total 100.5 · main lineActual: Adelaide over 100.5
Over 100.5
51.0%
@ 1.95+2.5pp
Under 100.5
49.0%
@ 1.87-2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.95
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.92
Bet365
1.87
BetVictor
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.87
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Marathon Be
1.78
Betano
1.72
Adelaide total 104.5Actual: Adelaide over 104.5
Over 104.5
35.7%
@ 2.67-0.1pp
Under 104.5
64.3%
@ 1.47+0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
Bet365
2.60
1xBet
2.42
Under
1xBet
1.47
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.39
Illawarra Hawks total 91.5Actual: Illawarra Hawks under 91.5
Over 91.5
64.0%
@ 1.59+4.8pp
Under 91.5
36.0%
@ 2.35-4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.54
Under
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.22
Illawarra Hawks total 95.5 · main lineActual: Illawarra Hawks under 95.5
Over 95.5
48.8%
@ 2.13+0.2pp
Under 95.5
51.2%
@ 1.85-0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.13
Betano
2.02
Marathon Be
1.91
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.63
Illawarra Hawks total 99.5Actual: Illawarra Hawks under 99.5
Over 99.5
34.1%
@ 2.65-1.1pp
Under 99.5
65.9%
@ 1.43+1.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.65
Betano
2.60
Under
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Adelaide -9.5Actual: Adelaide -9.5
ADEL -9.5
35.9%
@ 2.60-2.9pp
ILLA +9.5
64.1%
@ 1.52+2.9pp
Best 5 market prices
ADEL
Bet365
2.60
BetVictor
2.50
Betano
2.37
Marathon Be
2.33
1xBet
2.33
ILLA
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.50
Marathon Be
1.48
Bet365
1.48
BetVictor
1.45
Spread Adelaide -6.5 · main lineActual: Adelaide -6.5
ADEL -6.5
46.7%
@ 2.10-2.6pp
ILLA +6.5
53.3%
@ 1.88+2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
ADEL
Bet365
2.10
Marathon Be
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Betano
1.93
BetVictor
1.93
ILLA
Pinnacle
1.88
Betfair
1.80
Marathon Be
1.79
1xBet
1.79
BetVictor
1.78
Spread Adelaide -3.5Actual: Adelaide -3.5
ADEL -3.5
58.3%
@ 1.70+0.1pp
ILLA +3.5
41.7%
@ 2.27-0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
ADEL
Bet365
1.70
Marathon Be
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.62
ILLA
Pinnacle
2.27
BetVictor
2.25
Marathon Be
2.17
1xBet
2.17
Bet365
2.12

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
AdelaideIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#7
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A24/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
35-65
35
65
-30
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
43-72
43
72
-29
A24/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A30/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H01/11
NBL
93.8Avg total
43.8Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 99.5
Last 30 (30)45.849.295.0-3.447%33%
Last 30 at home (13)45.148.093.1-2.938%23%
Last 30 away (17)46.450.196.5-3.853%41%
Last 10 (10)43.850.093.8-6.230%30%
Last 5 (5)44.649.894.4-5.240%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)47.350.497.7-3.147%40%
vs Similar (11)44.046.790.7-2.745%27%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.251.596.8-6.250%25%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A27/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
65-35
65
35
+30
H02/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
47-67
47
67
-20
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H22/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H24/10
NBL
Perth
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A05/11
NBL
102.2Avg total
48.7Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 99.5
Last 30 (30)47.850.598.3-2.730%47%
Last 30 at home (13)46.549.896.2-3.323%38%
Last 30 away (17)48.851.099.8-2.235%53%
Last 10 (10)48.753.5102.2-4.830%60%
Last 5 (5)47.850.498.2-2.640%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)47.552.499.9-4.925%60%
vs Similar (7)47.748.095.7-0.343%29%
vs Weaker (3)49.743.393.0+6.333%0%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Adelaide win
ADEL win
no forecast
@ 1.53
ILLA win
no forecast
@ 2.74
1st half Spread Adelaide -3.5 · main lineActual: Adelaide -3.5
ADEL -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
ILLA +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 99.5 · main lineActual: Under 99.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.05
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Adelaide 1st half total 50.5 · main lineActual: Adelaide under 50.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Illawarra Hawks 1st half total 47.5 · main lineActual: Illawarra Hawks under 47.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half: ADEL + total 99.5
ADEL & over
no forecast
@ 2.95
ADEL & under
no forecast
@ 2.90
1st half: Draw + total 99.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: ILLA + total 99.5
ILLA & over
no forecast
@ 5.00
ILLA & under
no forecast
@ 5.00
1st half Over/Under 98Actual: Under 98
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.89
1st half Spread Adelaide -4.5Actual: Adelaide -4.5
ADEL -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
ILLA +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.67
1st half Spread Adelaide -2.5Actual: Adelaide -2.5
ADEL -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
ILLA +2.5
no forecast
@ 2.06
1st half Over/Under 101.5Actual: Under 101.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.15
Under
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Over/Under 96.5Actual: Under 96.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.67
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Spread Adelaide -5.5Actual: Adelaide -5.5
ADEL -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
ILLA +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.58
1st half Spread Adelaide -1.5Actual: Adelaide -1.5
ADEL -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.67
ILLA +1.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Adelaide (regulation)
ADEL
no forecast
@ 1.59
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
ILLA
no forecast
@ 2.54

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
ADEL win + total 193.5
🔒 Pro
ILLA win + total 193.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ADEL leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ILLA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (ADEL:ILLA): ADEL wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Adelaide over 88.588.4%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+8.9ppWon
Adelaide over 90.584.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+8.0ppWon
Adelaide over 86.591.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+8.0ppWon
Adelaide over 92.579.0%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+7.6ppWon
Adelaide over 89.586.4%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+7.6ppWon
Adelaide over 82.596.2%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+7.2ppWon
Adelaide over 84.594.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+7.2ppWon
Adelaide over 87.590.2%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+7.1ppWon
Adelaide over 80.597.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+7.1ppWon
Adelaide over 94.573.0%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+6.9ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 83.587.4%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+6.8ppLost
Adelaide over 81.596.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+6.7ppWon
Adelaide over 83.595.4%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+6.6ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 85.582.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+6.6ppLost
Illawarra Hawks over 75.597.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.6ppWon
Adelaide over 85.593.2%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+6.5ppWon
Adelaide under 121.597.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.4ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 76.596.6%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+6.4ppWon
Adelaide over 91.581.7%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+6.4ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 74.597.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.3ppWon
Adelaide under 111.585.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+6.3ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 79.593.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+6.3ppLost
Illawarra Hawks over 78.594.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+6.2ppLost
Illawarra Hawks over 81.591.0%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+6.0ppLost
Over 174.590.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+5.9ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 87.577.3%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+5.9ppLost
Illawarra Hawks over 80.592.5%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+5.8ppLost
Illawarra Hawks +16.583.5%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+5.8ppLost
Illawarra Hawks +14.579.0%1.27
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26		---+5.7ppLost
Illawarra Hawks over 84.585.2%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+5.7ppLost
Over 179.584.0%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+5.7ppWon
Over 169.594.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+5.6ppWon
Adelaide over 93.576.1%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+5.6ppWon
Over 170.593.9%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+5.6ppWon
Adelaide +14.595.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.5ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 82.589.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+5.5ppLost
Illawarra Hawks under 115.596.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.4ppWon
Over 18770.7%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+5.3ppLost
Over 186.571.3%1.40
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40		---+5.2ppLost
Illawarra Hawks +1478.4%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+5.2ppLost
Illawarra Hawks +21.591.7%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+5.1ppLost
Adelaide +19.597.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.1ppWon
Over 184.575.3%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+5.0ppLost
Illawarra Hawks over 89.571.0%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+5.0ppLost
Adelaide under 109.580.2%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+4.9ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 86.580.2%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+4.9ppLost
Over 175.589.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+4.9ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 106.585.4%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+4.8ppWon
Over 171.593.1%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+4.8ppWon
Under 216.588.5%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+4.8ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 104.580.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+4.7ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 108.589.0%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+4.6ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 107.587.3%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+4.2ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +13.576.4%1.27
1xBet
1.29
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.26		--+4.2ppLost
Adelaide +9.589.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+4.2ppWon
Adelaide +13.594.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+4.1ppWon
Over 180.582.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+4.1ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 102.575.5%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+4.0ppWon
Adelaide under 107.574.4%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+4.0ppWon
Under 211.582.2%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+3.9ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +12.573.6%1.31
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Marathon Bet
1.31
Bet365
1.30		-+3.8ppLost
Illawarra Hawks over 88.574.3%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+3.8ppLost
Adelaide +18.597.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.8ppWon
Under 215.587.4%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+3.7ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 105.583.2%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+3.7ppWon
Overtime: no95.2%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+3.7pp-
Over 176.588.1%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+3.7ppWon
Under 206.573.8%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+3.5ppWon
Adelaide +4.579.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+3.4ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +11.570.6%1.37
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.35
Marathon Bet
1.34		-+3.3ppLost
Illawarra Hawks +20.590.4%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+3.3ppLost
Adelaide +2.574.3%1.27
Bet365
1.32
Betano
1.30
Marathon Bet
1.24
1xBet
1.24		-+3.2ppWon
Over 185.573.4%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+3.1ppLost
Adelaide +273.4%1.29
Bet365
1.33
Marathon Bet
1.26		---+3.1ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 103.578.3%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+3.0ppWon
Adelaide under 108.577.4%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+2.9ppWon
Under 214.586.2%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+2.6ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +15.581.4%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+2.5ppLost
Over 181.580.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+2.5ppWon
Under 210.580.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+2.4ppWon
Adelaide +170.1%1.34
Bet365
1.38
Marathon Bet
1.31		---+2.3ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +1375.7%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+2.2ppLost
Illawarra Hawks under 101.572.5%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+2.0ppWon
Adelaide +8.588.1%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+2.0ppWon
Adelaide +1.570.8%1.32
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
Marathon Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.28		-+2.0ppWon
Adelaide under 106.571.2%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+1.7ppWon
Adelaide +3.576.8%1.23
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.20		---+1.6ppWon
Under 205.571.8%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+1.5ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +1272.8%1.32
Bet365
1.32
Marathon Bet
1.32		---+1.3ppLost
Under 209.579.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+0.8ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.9
56.3%
56.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.4
30.3%
34.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.116.4
71.0%
74.0%16.4
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 96.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.6
56.8%
56.4%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.2
35.6%
34.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.512.1
73.3%
74.0%12.1
They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
LWLWWLLLWL
Illawarra Hawks
WWLLWLLLWL
#5
League position
#10
-3.3
Net rating
-8.7
99.1
Offensive rating
100.8
102.4
Defensive rating
109.5
51.6%
Effective FG%
55.4%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
11.2%
Turnover %
12.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.3%
3-point %
35.6%
67.5%
Assist %
59.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 100.8Defence102.4 · 109.5Shooting51.6% · 55.4%3-point %30.3% · 35.6%Ball care11.2% · 12.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Adelaide   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Adelaide wins
3
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
02/10/26Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide114-92
05/02/26Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide100-99
20/12/25Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide78-84
19/11/25Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks97-85
02/11/25Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks90-88
13/01/25Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks91-88
10/11/24Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks93-79
05/10/24Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide100-102
20/01/24Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide89-96
31/12/23Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide91-84
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HBrisbane Bullets89-96
30/10/26ANew Zealand Breakers108-101
24/10/26ASouth East Melbourne94-108
16/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers94-88
11/10/26ASydney84-78
07/10/26HMelbourne United91-96
04/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers72-88
02/10/26AIllawarra Hawks92-114
27/09/26HCairns Taipans83-69
24/09/26APerth97-98
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26ACairns Taipans107-95
31/10/26APerth105-98
24/10/26HBrisbane Bullets81-98
22/10/26HSydney82-108
18/10/26AMelbourne United91-89
11/10/26HCairns Taipans100-110
09/10/26HTasmania JackJumpers112-122
04/10/26ASouth East Melbourne96-113
02/10/26HAdelaide114-92
27/09/26ASydney100-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL45%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %45%25%57%
Points / game91.083.895.1
Allowed / game93.787.297.4
Point differential-2.7-3.5-2.3
Avg total184.7171.0192.6
Over 193.536%0%57%
Win by 10+9%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW33%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %33%20%43%
Points / game97.097.896.4
Allowed / game103.7106.0102.0
Point differential-6.7-8.2-5.6
Avg total200.7203.8198.4
Over 193.567%60%71%
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tasmania JackJumpers118373%94.189.5+4.5
2 Sydney107370%97.988.1+9.8
3 Melbourne United116555%96.590.8+5.6
4 Brisbane Bullets116555%95.297.4-2.2
5 Perth105550%94.397.9-3.6
6 Cairns Taipans126650%92.497.4-5.0
7 Adelaide115645%91.093.7-2.7
8 South East Melbourne104640%96.994.3+2.6
9 New Zealand Breakers124833%89.489.9-0.5
10 Illawarra Hawks124833%97.0103.7-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide22273621106
Illawarra Hawks2116231878
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