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Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Sep 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-68
23-17 25-17 19-15 22-19
Position#1
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#2
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 1
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Panathinaikos v AEK Athens
24 Jan 2027
PAO v AAT
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
PAO103
AAT78
21 Oct 2024
PAO94
AAT74
15 Feb 2024
PAO79
AAT72
20 Nov 2023
PAO86
AAT85
11 Dec 2022
PAO71
AAT57
13 Nov 2021
PAO100
AAT75
23 May 2021
PAO94
AAT83
19 May 2021
PAO78
AAT72
10 Jan 2021
PAO80
AAT75
28 Sep 2019
PAO89
AAT68
23 Dec 2018
PAO111
AAT79
11 May 2018
PAO115
AAT85
18 May 2017
PAO81
AAT72
11 May 2017
PAO80
AAT70
11 Dec 2016
PAO77
AAT68
26 Oct 2014
PAO92
AAT58
06 Apr 2011
PAO111
AAT70
25 Apr 2010
PAO91
AAT62
11 Jan 2009
PAO86
AAT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#15
W
87-67
87
67
+20
87avg 97
H04/04
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
89-51
89
51
+38
no box
H07/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
104-72
104
72
+32
no box
A10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H13/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
60avg 97
A17/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
63-78
63
78
-15
53avg 97
A19/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
69avg 97
H23/04
Euroleague
Holargos B.C.
#8
W
81-64
81
64
+17
no box
A04/05
Basket League
G.S. Kymis
#11
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H08/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H20/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
26-15
17-20
21-11
24-16
22-12
25-12
18-11
27-18
28-19
25-17
24-18
14-21
24-13
22-21
27-21
17-21
18-22
17-15
20-17
8-21
18-14
15-26
22-17
18-23
23-13
17-22
24-31
26-17
17-13
17-16
21-18
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
127.7Avg total
68.5Scored
59.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.559.2127.7+9.360%
Last 5 (5)49.250.299.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.679.0153.6-4.429%
vs Similar (4)84.080.5164.5+3.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)72.655.9128.5+16.789%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Ifaistos Limnou
#7
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A23/03
Basket League
Bamberg
#12
L
67-71
67
71
-4
no box
A27/03
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
H30/03
Basket League
Bamberg
#12
W
69-67
69
67
+2
no box
H03/04
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
A06/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
72-104
72
104
-32
no box
H10/04
Basket League
Panionios
#12
L
74-78
74
78
-4
no box
A13/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
no box
H20/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
106-69
106
69
+37
no box
A08/05
Basket League
Holargos B.C.
#8
W
84-62
84
62
+22
no box
H18/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
17-17
24-16
24-20
10-11
20-17
20-21
17-22
21-14
22-23
17-18
21-18
20-17
16-15
18-17
15-18
20-28
29-14
21-27
19-20
18-27
19-28
17-25
18-24
18-21
17-26
22-15
17-16
20-21
16-18
14-18
17-19
26-19
25-21
36-10
19-19
21-8
22-22
20-17
21-15
157.5Avg total
80.7Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.776.8157.5+3.960%
Last 5 (5)80.677.8158.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.298.0171.2-24.80%
vs Similar (4)76.569.0145.5+7.575%
vs Weaker (22)84.072.8156.8+11.282%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
PanathinaikosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H04/04
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H07/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H13/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A17/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A19/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H23/04
Euroleague
Holargos B.C.
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A04/05
Basket League
76.5Avg total
41.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)44.236.881.0+7.377%-
Last 30 at home (11)47.433.881.2+13.5100%-
Last 30 away (15)41.839.080.8+2.860%-
Last 10 (8)41.634.976.5+6.875%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.672.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.139.075.1-2.943%-
vs Similar (4)48.041.089.0+7.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.934.781.5+12.2100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ifaistos Limnou
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A23/03
Basket League
Bamberg
#12
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A27/03
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H30/03
Basket League
Bamberg
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/04
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A06/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H10/04
Basket League
Panionios
#12
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A13/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H20/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A08/05
Basket League
Holargos B.C.
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H18/05
Basket League
78.7Avg total
39.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.477.8+3.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.335.275.5+5.181%-
Last 30 away (14)40.540.080.5+0.557%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.878.7+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.282.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.250.888.0-13.50%-
vs Similar (4)41.230.872.0+10.5100%-
vs Weaker (22)40.836.277.0+4.677%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.623.7
49.8%
53.4%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.47.0
38.0%
34.8%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.411.9
72.6%
74.0%11.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Panathinaikos wins
2
AEK Athens wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/19HOlympiacos20-0
08/05/19HG.S. Kymis0-20
04/05/19AHolargos B.C.81-64
23/04/19HReal Madrid82-89
19/04/19AReal Madrid63-78
17/04/19AReal Madrid72-75
13/04/19HPromitheas87-76
10/04/19AAEK Athens104-72
07/04/19HPAOK89-51
04/04/19HBuducnost87-67
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/19HHolargos B.C.84-62
08/05/19AKolossos Rhodes106-69
20/04/19HOlympiacos67-76
13/04/19APanionios74-78
10/04/19HPanathinaikos72-104
06/04/19ALavrio100-94 OT
03/04/19HBamberg69-67
30/03/19HAris81-73
27/03/19ABamberg67-71
23/03/19AIfaistos Limnou87-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
AEK Athens
Basket League 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kolossos Rhodes110100%89.061.0+28.0
2 Promitheas110100%96.069.0+27.0
3 Ifaistos Limnou110100%66.050.0+16.0
4 Peristeri110100%75.059.0+16.0
5 Lavrio110100%94.090.0+4.0
6 Ionikos1010%90.094.0-4.0
7 Iraklis1010%59.075.0-16.0
8 Rethymno1010%50.066.0-16.0
9 Larisa1010%69.096.0-27.0
10 Panionios1010%61.089.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2325192289
AEK Athens1717151968
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